Core Viewpoint - The release of a significant policy in Shanghai has led to a strong rally in the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876), which saw a price increase of over 2.1% during the day and is approaching its previous listing high [1][11]. Fund Performance - As of the latest update, the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) has received a net subscription of 21.6 million units, accumulating a total of 635 million yuan over the past 10 days [1][11]. - The latest scale of the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF reached 1.665 billion yuan, setting a new historical high, making it the largest ETF tracking the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index in the market [6][13]. Stock Performance - Key stocks in the sector, including Baiyin Nonferrous, Hunan Nonferrous, and Shengxin Lithium Energy, have hit the daily limit, with Baiyin Nonferrous rising by 10.01% and Hunan Nonferrous by 10% [3][14]. - Other notable performers include Guocheng Mining, which increased by over 8%, and Zhongkuang Resources, which rose by more than 7% [3][14]. Market Dynamics - The Shanghai government has issued a plan to enhance the competitiveness of non-ferrous metal commodities, aiming to improve resource allocation and global pricing influence [4][12]. - A favorable supply-demand balance, characterized by limited supply growth and improving demand, is expected to support the long-term strength of the non-ferrous sector [5][13]. Investment Outlook - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF covers a wide range of metals, including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture various market cycles [8][16]. - Analysts suggest that geopolitical tensions may reshape global metal supply chains, potentially increasing the demand and value of strategic metals such as copper, tungsten, molybdenum, cobalt, and rare earth materials [5][13].

Group 1 - The CSI Rare Metals Theme Index (930632) has shown a strong increase of 2.56% as of January 21, 2026, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Shengxin Lithium Energy (up 9.99%) and Tianhua New Energy (up 7.42%) [1] - As of January 20, 2026, the total scale of the Rare Metals ETF Fund (561800) reached 220 million yuan, marking a new high for the past month, with the latest share count at 200 million [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.54% of the index, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [1] Group 2 - Recent significant declines in tin prices have been observed, with spot tin prices dropping over 5% in a single day, yet the long-term outlook for tin remains positive due to its critical role in high-growth industries such as new energy and semiconductors [2] - The rare earth magnetic material supply chain has seen rising prices, with significant increases in the prices of praseodymium and neodymium oxides, driven by low inventory levels and tight supply conditions [2] - The Rare Metals ETF Fund (561800) tracks the CS Rare Metals Index, which has a high content of energy metals like lithium and cobalt, positioning it to benefit from ongoing market trends [2]

Group 1 - The metal lithium sector is experiencing a significant rally, with Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit increase [1] - Other companies such as Yongxing Materials, Rongjie Co., Tianqi Lithium, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tibet Mining are also seeing gains [1] - Previously, the main contract for lithium carbonate on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged by 6% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong rally, with the Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) showing resilience and attracting significant capital inflow, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [1][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF (159876) increased by 1.06% today, marking two consecutive days of gains and aiming for a third [1][11]. - The ETF has seen a net subscription of 21.6 million units, accumulating a total of 635 million yuan over the past ten days [1][11]. - Key stocks in the sector, such as Hunan Silver and Shengxin Lithium Energy, have shown significant price increases, with Hunan Silver leading at 8.23% [2][4][14]. Group 2: Industry Insights - Analysts suggest that the current non-ferrous metal cycle is part of a longer-term trend, with historical cycles lasting 25-30 years, indicating that the current upward trend may persist for several years [3][13]. - The sector is expected to benefit from a combination of factors, including global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, and improved domestic macroeconomic expectations [3][13]. - The Huabao Non-Ferrous ETF is the largest among three ETFs tracking the CSI Non-Ferrous Metal Index, with a recent scale of 1.665 billion yuan, setting a new historical high [5][15]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The industry is anticipated to enter a bull market driven by monetary, demand, and supply factors by 2026, with institutions broadly optimistic about a comprehensive bull market in non-ferrous metals [5][13]. - The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and central bank gold purchases are expected to support long-term gold prices, reinforcing the bullish outlook for precious metals [2][12].

早盘 锂矿概念震荡反弹， 盛新锂能涨停， 大中矿业、 天华新能、 永兴材料、 中矿资源、 融捷股份涨 幅靠前。消息面上，广期所碳酸锂主力合约日内涨超5%，一度突破16.4万元/吨。 ...

期 货 眼 ·日 迹 每日早盘观察 银河期货研究所 2026 年 1 月 21 日 0 / 47 研究所 期货眼·日迹 | 钢材：需求存在支撑，钢价延续震荡 13 | | --- | | 双焦：基本面乏善可陈，市场情绪走弱 13 | | 铁矿：市场预期反复，矿价偏弱运行 14 | | 铁合金：跟随调整后，底部支撑较强 15 | | 股指期货：贴水继续收敛显示后市乐观 3 | | --- | | 蛋白粕：产量维持高位 盘面整体承压 5 | | --- | | 白糖：国际糖价格下跌，郑糖价格走弱 5 | | 油脂板块：整体维持震荡 7 | | 玉米/玉米淀粉：北港现货偏弱，盘面高位回落 7 | | 生猪：出栏压力增加 现货整体下行 8 | | 花生：花生现货稳定，花生盘面底部震荡 9 | | 鸡蛋：需求有所改善，蛋价稳定为主 9 | | 苹果：节前走货尚可，苹果价格坚挺 10 | | 棉花-棉纱：下游补货意愿一般 棉价震荡为主 11 | | 金银：美欧争端升级 金银再创新高 16 | | --- | | 铂钯：美元指数下行 贵金属板块走强 17 | | 铜：多头动能减弱，铜价高位盘整 18 | | 氧化铝：偏弱运 ...

Group 1: Delisting Risks - *ST Xin Yan: The Shenzhen Stock Exchange has approved the company's application to revoke the delisting risk warning due to restructuring [1] - *ST Zhong Zhuang (Rights Protection): The delisting risk warning has been revoked, but other risk warnings will continue, and the stock will be suspended for one day starting tomorrow [2] - ST Sai Wei: Expected to incur a loss of 720 million to 1.02 billion yuan in 2025, with a possibility of being subject to delisting risk warnings [3] Group 2: Earnings Forecasts - Hikvision: Expected net profit attributable to shareholders to grow by 18.46% year-on-year in 2025 [28] - Langzi Co.: Expected net profit to increase by 245.25% to 302.8% year-on-year in 2025 [4][30] - Zhaoyan New Drug: Expected net profit to increase by 214% to 371% year-on-year in 2025 [5][30] - Huachen Equipment: Expected net profit to increase by 193.64% to 242.04% year-on-year in 2025 [6][30] - Qianyuan Power: Expected net profit to increase by 160% to 190% year-on-year in 2025 [7][30] - Jin Fang Energy: Expected net profit to increase by 123.97% to 193.7% year-on-year in 2025 [8][31] - Zhongfu Industrial: Expected net profit to increase by 120.27% to 141.59% year-on-year in 2025 [9][32] - Batian Co.: Expected net profit to increase by 117.53% to 139.53% year-on-year in 2025 [10][32] - Zhongrong Electric: Expected net profit to increase by 104.89% to 131.10% year-on-year in 2025 [11][32] - Kaisheng New Materials: Expected net profit to increase by 96.47% to 150.06% year-on-year in 2025 [12][32] - Putailai: Expected net profit to increase by 93.18% to 101.58% year-on-year in 2025 [13][32] - Dongfang Iron Tower: Expected net profit to increase by 91.4% to 125.07% year-on-year in 2025 [14][32] - Pulaike: Expected net profit to increase by 89.64% to 110.11% year-on-year in 2025 [15][32] - Huabang Health: Expected profit of 660 million to 730 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [16][32] - Hongyuan Green Energy: Expected net profit of 180 million to 250 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [17][32] - Kangda New Materials: Expected profit of 125 million to 135 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [18][32] - Langxin Technology: Expected profit of 100 million to 150 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [19][32] - Hualv Biological: Expected profit of 100 million to 130 million yuan in 2025, turning from loss to profit [20][32] Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - Kangxin New Materials: Plans to acquire 51% of Yubang Semiconductor for 392 million yuan [21][32] - Aibo Medical: Plans to gain control of Demei Medical [22][32] Group 4: Share Buybacks and Reductions - Hengtong Co.: Plans to repurchase company shares worth 80 million to 100 million yuan [24][32] - Haier Smart Home: Plans to repurchase D shares up to 200,000 euros [29][32] - Blue Universe Co.: Shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 3.02% [29][32] - Hesheng Silicon Industry: Controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Aolian Electronics (Rights Protection): Shareholder Liu Junsheng plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Bluefeng Biochemical: Hainan Wenqin plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Zhixin Precision: Shareholders plan to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] - Peking University Medical: Peking University Health plans to reduce holdings by no more than 3% [29][32] Group 5: Other Updates - Liou Co.: Self-inspection work has been completed, and the stock will resume trading on January 21 [29][32] - Yongxing Materials: The lithium mica green intelligent and efficient lithium extraction project has reached production capacity [29][32] - Debang Co.: Plans to voluntarily withdraw A shares from trading on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [29][32]

Group 1 - Liou Co., Ltd. announced that its stock price fluctuations have been investigated, confirming normal operations and no undisclosed significant information [1] - Tongfu Microelectronics expects a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.34% to 99.24% [17][18] Group 2 - Zhongtung High-tech reported an increase of 91,700 tons in tungsten metal resources, which will not directly impact its current operations or financial situation [2] - Aibo Medical plans to acquire at least 51% of Demai Medical to gain control, aiming to cultivate new profit growth points in the sports medicine sector [2] Group 3 - Zhaojin Gold confirmed normal operations and no undisclosed significant matters after its stock price experienced abnormal fluctuations [3] - Riying Electronics stated that it has no revenue from humanoid robot-related businesses and emphasized the need for rational investment decisions [4] Group 4 - Yifan Transmission intends to purchase 87.07% of Beijing Helishi Electric Technology Co., Ltd., which is expected to constitute a major asset restructuring [5] - China Merchants Industry plans to build four 3000TEU traditional fuel container ships with a total investment of no more than 1.324 billion yuan [6] Group 5 - Jiangtian Chemical plans to invest 49.8 million yuan in a project to produce 60,000 tons of acrylic acid annually [7] - *ST Xinyan has received approval to lift its delisting risk warning after completing its restructuring plan [7] Group 6 - Kangxin New Materials intends to acquire 51% of Wuxi Yubang Semiconductor for 392 million yuan, marking its expansion into the semiconductor field [8] - Guoshun Quantum signed a technology implementation license contract with the University of Science and Technology of China [8] Group 7 - Zhenyu Technology reported a significant increase in orders from the robotics sector for Q4 2025, although these orders represent a small portion of its overall revenue [9] - Yongxing Materials announced that its lithium extraction project has reached full production capacity [9] Group 8 - Nanjing Julong plans to invest 110 million yuan in a production line for modified plastics with an annual capacity of 60,000 tons [9] - Guodian Nanzi signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Huawei to establish an AI technology innovation center [10][11] Group 9 - He Sheng New Materials plans to sell idle factory assets for no less than 80 million yuan [13] - He Sheng New Materials expects a net profit increase of 55% to 75% for 2025, driven by improved supply chain management [14] Group 10 - Kangda New Materials forecasts a net profit of 125 million to 135 million yuan for 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year [15] - Yanjing Beer anticipates a net profit increase of 50% to 65% for 2025, supported by its large product strategy [16] Group 11 - Jinfang Energy expects a net profit of 109 million to 143 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 123.97% to 193.7% [19] - Yandong Microelectronics predicts a net loss of 340 million to 425 million yuan for 2025 due to market changes and increased R&D costs [20] Group 12 - Taishan Petroleum forecasts a net profit increase of 30.88% to 66.11% for 2025, benefiting from reduced expenses [21] - Huayuan Holdings expects a net profit increase of 50.98% to 66.82% for 2025, driven by lower raw material prices [22] Group 13 - Huajin Co. anticipates a net loss of 1.6 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025, although the loss is expected to be less than the previous year [23] - Zhongyuan Neipei expects a net profit increase of 80.47% to 109.9% for 2025, supported by steady growth in core business [24] Group 14 - Dongfang Tower expects a net profit of 1.08 billion to 1.27 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 91.4% to 125.07% [34] - Dali Long anticipates a net profit increase of 51.88% to 86.27% for 2025, driven by market expansion and operational efficiency [35] Group 15 - Hikvision reported a net profit increase of 18.46% for 2025, with total revenue reaching 925.18 billion yuan [44] - Zhongfu Industrial expects a net profit increase of 120.27% to 141.59% for 2025, primarily due to lower costs in the electrolytic aluminum business [45]

证券日报网讯 1月20日，永兴材料（002756）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司锂电新能源业务 依托于国内自有锂矿资源，搭建从采矿、选矿到碳酸锂深加工的一体化全产业链，公司采用的工艺路 线，实现锂云母资源的综合利用，在提锂过程中可以联产有经济效益的副产品。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core View of the Report - No explicit core view presented in the report. It mainly provides comprehensive data on the lithium carbonate futures and spot markets, including price, volume, and cost - profit information. 3. Summary by Sections 3.1 Futures Data - **Price and Volatility**: The strong support level of the lithium carbonate futures main contract is 120,000 yuan/ton. The current 20 - day rolling volatility is 81.8%, and the historical percentile (3 - year) is 96.5% [2]. - **Futures Contract Indicators**: The main contract's closing price is 160,500 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 13,240 yuan (8.99%) and a weekly decrease of 6,480 yuan (-3.88%). The trading volume is 451,074 lots, with a daily increase of 121,948 lots (37.05%) and a weekly decrease of 157,103 lots (-25.83%). The open interest is 415,351 lots, with a daily increase of 4,020 lots (0.98%) and a weekly decrease of 44,930 lots (-9.76%) [3]. - **Spread Data**: LC2605 - LC2607 is -860 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 320 yuan (59.26%) and a weekly increase of 240 yuan (38.71%); LC2605 - LC2609 is -1,400 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 640 yuan (-31.37%) and a weekly decrease of 820 yuan (-36.94%); LC2607 - LC2609 is -540 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 960 yuan (-64.00%) and a weekly decrease of 1,060 yuan (-66.25%) [3]. - **Warehouse Receipts**: The Guangzhou Futures Exchange's lithium carbonate warehouse receipts are 27,681 lots, with a daily decrease of 17 lots (-0.06%) and a weekly increase of 783 lots (2.91%) [3]. 3.2 Spot Data - **Lithium Ore**: Lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) is priced at 4,710 yuan/ton (no daily change), lithium spodumene (3 - 4%) is 8,295 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 70 yuan, 0.85%), lithium spodumene (5 - 5.5%) is 14,075 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 125 yuan, 0.90%), etc. [20]. - **Lithium Salts**: Industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 149,000 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 1,500 yuan, 1.02%), battery - grade lithium carbonate is 152,500 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 1,500 yuan, 0.99%), etc. [20]. - **Cell Materials**: Energy - storage lithium iron phosphate (2.5g) is 54,740 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 360 yuan, 0.66%), power lithium iron phosphate (2.5g) is 54,140 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 360 yuan, 0.67%), etc. [21]. - **Exchange Rate**: The US dollar to RMB exchange rate is 6.961, with a daily decrease of 0.0031 (-0.04%) [21]. - **Spot Spreads**: The spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 3,500 yuan/ton (no change), the spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and battery - grade lithium hydroxide is -12,800 yuan/ton (a daily increase of 1,680 yuan, 15.11%), etc. [25]. 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - **Basis**: The main continuous contract basis and near - month contract basis of lithium carbonate are presented in historical trend charts [30][31]. - **Brand Basis**: The basis quotes of different lithium carbonate brands such as Shengxin Lithium Energy, Tianqi Lithium, etc., for the LC2601 contract are provided, with most having no daily change [32]. - **Warehouse Receipt Seasonality**: The lithium carbonate warehouse receipt seasonality chart is shown, and the total warehouse receipt quantity is 27,698 lots, with a daily decrease of 17 lots [34][35]. 3.4 Cost - Profit Data - **Production Profits**: The production profits of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium ore (lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate) and the production profits of lithium hydroxide by causticization and smelting methods are presented in trend charts [37]. - **Delivery and Trade Profits**: The theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate, the export profit of lithium hydroxide, and the import profit of lithium carbonate are shown in trend charts [38][40].