Core Viewpoint - The tourism industry, once expected to thrive, is now facing significant challenges, highlighted by the bankruptcy of Qinghai Tourism Investment Group and the struggles of various tourism companies despite an increase in domestic travel and spending [2][3][4][8]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - Qinghai Tourism Investment Group and its subsidiaries have filed for bankruptcy, shocking the tourism sector [3]. - The company, which aimed for significant growth and public listing, mismanaged its resources, leading to a loss of 4.8 billion in registered capital [4]. - 44 listed companies in the tourism sector reported their Q1 earnings, with 25 experiencing negative revenue growth, accounting for 56.8% of the total [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Major airlines like China Southern Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, and Air China reported substantial losses in Q1, with losses of 747 million, 995 million, and 2.044 billion respectively [7]. - Despite a 26.4% increase in domestic travel and an 18.6% rise in spending, the tourism industry is struggling financially [8][9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The tourism market is saturated, with an increase in A-level scenic spots and travel agencies, yet average income has dropped by nearly 40% [31]. - Online travel platforms like Ctrip and Tongcheng are thriving, with Ctrip reporting a net profit of approximately 4.3 billion in Q1, showcasing the "shovel effect" where service providers profit while actual tourism businesses struggle [28][30]. Group 4: Shifts in Consumer Behavior - The tourism industry is transitioning to a 2.0 era, where experiential value is prioritized over mere scarcity of resources [46][50]. - Successful attractions like Jiuhua Mountain and Disney have capitalized on immersive experiences, contrasting with traditional scenic spots that fail to adapt [39][41]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Many tourism platforms are likely to face severe financial difficulties or bankruptcy if they cannot adapt to the changing market dynamics and consumer preferences [55][56]. - The current environment suggests a need for a significant restructuring within the tourism sector to eliminate ineffective players and allow successful entities to thrive [58][59].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In-Line" [5] Core Insights - China's total non-domestic Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) increased by 11% year-over-year (YoY) to 79% of 2019's level as of June 23, 2025, compared to 77% in the previous week [10] - Non-domestic seat capacity grew by 14% YoY for the same period [5] - Capacity additions were observed on routes to Thailand (+7%), Hong Kong (+7%), Macau (+4%), and Japan (+3%) on a week-over-week (WoW) basis [10] Summary by Sections International Air Capacity - Non-domestic ASK was 79% of 2019's level as of June 23, 2025, up from 77% the previous week [2] - The increase in ASK was driven by significant growth on Japan (+37%), Hong Kong (+24%), Korea (+21%), and US (+14%) routes, while Macau and Thailand saw decreases of -11% and -28% respectively [10] Capacity Metrics - Seat capacity on Japan, Thailand, and Korea routes reached 113%, 51%, and 97% of 2019 levels, respectively, while US routes were at 29% [10] - The overall growth in non-domestic ASK reflects a recovery trend in international air travel post-pandemic [5][10] Company Ratings - Air China Limited (601111.SS) rated Equal-weight [62] - Air China Limited (0753.HK) rated Overweight [62] - Cathay Pacific Airways (0293.HK) rated Equal-weight [62] - China Southern Airlines (600029.SS) rated Equal-weight [62] - COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (1138.HK) rated Overweight [62]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the transportation industry, highlighting sufficient safety margins in the current market conditions [4][22]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery of the aviation sector, driven by limited supply growth and increasing passenger demand, suggesting a potential uplift in airline profitability [41][42]. - The shipping market is experiencing volatility, with a significant drop in oil tanker rates due to easing Middle Eastern tensions, while coal and dry bulk shipping may see a rebound [23][24][25]. - The logistics and express delivery sectors are expected to benefit from policy support aimed at optimizing costs, with major players likely to gain market share through strategic pricing [4][22]. Summary by Sections Transportation Industry Performance - The transportation index decreased by 0.24%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.19 percentage points [5][12]. - The shipping sector faced the largest decline at -4.39%, while the intermediate products and consumer goods supply chain services saw a rise of 7.56% [5][12]. Shipping and Oil Transportation - VLCC rates fell by 44% to $29,878 per day, with Middle Eastern routes dropping 54% to $28,488 per day due to reduced demand [23]. - The report notes that the average MR tanker rate decreased by 5% to $24,132 per day, reflecting a broader trend of declining rates in the oil transportation sector [24]. Dry Bulk and Coal Shipping - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell by 9.9% to 1,521 points, indicating a challenging environment for large bulk carriers, while smaller vessels showed resilience [25]. - The report anticipates a seasonal decline in rates for Capesize vessels, but strong summer coal demand may support smaller bulk carriers [25]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is projected to maintain high growth rates, with major companies like SF Express and JD Logistics positioned to optimize capacity utilization [4][22]. - The report highlights the potential for market share consolidation among leading express delivery firms due to favorable policy changes [4][22]. Aviation Sector - The aviation market is entering a peak season, with supply constraints and rising passenger volumes expected to enhance airline profitability [41][42]. - Recommended stocks in the aviation sector include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines, among others [41][42]. High Dividend Stocks - The report identifies several high dividend stocks within the transportation sector, including Bohai Ferry and Daqin Railway, which offer attractive yields [17][20].

Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines Group is actively participating in rural revitalization efforts through the "Wings Spread Rural · Taste Mountains and Rivers" product exhibition and sales event, aiming to leverage small products to stimulate large industries and support poverty alleviation and rural development [1][6]. Group 1: Event Overview - The exhibition features a combination of product promotion, cultural tourism display, tasting experiences, and live interaction, creating a fast track for rural products from farms to markets, attracting over a thousand participants including employees and partners [3]. - The event showcases over 400 products from 14 supported regions, highlighting unique local specialties such as Xinjiang's maren candy and various regional delicacies from Guangdong, Guizhou, and more [4]. Group 2: Business and Cultural Impact - The exhibition serves as a platform for cultural display and industry collaboration, featuring product introductions, cultural presentations, and stories from supported regions, effectively showcasing their natural beauty and development potential [5]. - Agreements were signed for significant procurement contracts and intentions for ongoing sales, establishing a foundation for continuous market access and brand building for rural products [5]. Group 3: Strategic Goals - China Southern Airlines aims to not only sell products but also to help rural areas build brands and expand markets, leveraging its global network and customer base to enhance the visibility and sales of rural specialties [5]. - The company has already facilitated over 1 billion yuan in sales through various channels, significantly benefiting thousands of farmers and marking a deepening of its "aviation + consumption assistance" model [5].

Group 1 - The domestic civil aviation market is experiencing a surge in travel demand as the summer travel season approaches in 2025, with airlines announcing capacity expansion plans [1][2] - There is a notable increase in outbound travel, particularly to the Schengen area in Europe, with visa application orders rising by over 10% compared to last year, marking a three-year peak [1] - Major airlines like China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines are increasing flight frequencies and adding new routes to popular tourist destinations to meet high travel demand during the summer peak [2][4] Group 2 - China Eastern Airlines plans to operate over 1,150 passenger routes during the summer peak, with an average of over 3,200 flights per day, reflecting a 5% increase from the previous year [2] - China Southern Airlines aims to operate 320,000 flights across 970 domestic and over 260 international routes, with a significant increase in wide-body aircraft deployment [2][4] - The average ticket price for domestic economy class is projected to reach 869 yuan during the summer travel period, showing a 6.6% increase compared to last year's final average price [3] Group 3 - The new flight capacity is concentrated in the northwest region of China, with Xinjiang becoming a popular long-distance travel destination for tourists from central and eastern China [4] - Hotel bookings in Xinjiang have seen a significant increase, with some areas experiencing over 41% growth in hotel reservations [4] - The expansion of flight routes and increased capacity are expected to lower travel costs for consumers and stimulate spending at travel destinations [5]

Core Viewpoint - China Southern Airlines has issued A-share convertible bonds totaling 16 billion yuan, approved by the board and shareholders, to support its operational and financial needs [2][3][4]. Section 1: Bond Details - The bond issuance was approved on May 14, 2020, and the total amount authorized is up to 16 billion yuan [2]. - The company issued 160 million A-share convertible bonds at a face value of 100 yuan each, raising a total of 16 billion yuan [3]. - The bonds have a term of 6 years, from October 15, 2020, to October 14, 2026, with a tiered interest rate starting at 0.2% in the first year and reaching 2.0% in the sixth year [4][5]. Section 2: Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a total operating revenue of 174.224 billion yuan, an increase of 8.94% from the previous year [19]. - The passenger transport volume reached 164.73 million, up 15.84% year-on-year [19]. - Despite revenue growth, the company faced a net loss attributable to shareholders of 1.696 billion yuan, a significant improvement from a loss of 4.209 billion yuan in the previous year [19]. Section 3: Use of Proceeds - The net proceeds from the bond issuance, after deducting underwriting fees, amounted to approximately 15.98 billion yuan, which is allocated for aircraft purchases, spare engine acquisition, and working capital [17][19]. - The company has committed to investing 1.06 billion yuan in aircraft and maintenance projects, 60 million yuan in spare engines, and 480 million yuan in working capital, with actual investments meeting or exceeding these commitments [19][20]. Section 4: Credit Rating - The bonds have been rated AAA by the credit rating agency, indicating a strong credit quality and stable outlook for the issuer [16][18].

Core Insights - The domestic civil aviation market is experiencing a surge in travel demand as the summer travel season approaches, driven by various travel types such as summer vacations, family trips, and outbound travel [1][2] Group 1: Passenger Traffic Predictions - The domestic flight ticket bookings for July 2025 are projected to reach approximately 17.9 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 5% [2] - International flight ticket bookings have exceeded 7.74 million, marking a year-on-year growth of around 14% [2] - Major domestic routes include Beijing-Shanghai, Beijing-Guangzhou, and Guangzhou-Shanghai, with significant interest in travel to Xinjiang this summer [2] Group 2: Airline Operations and Capacity - Hainan Airlines plans to operate 30,435 flights during the summer season, transporting approximately 4.59 million passengers [2] - Eastern Airlines will execute over 1,150 passenger routes with an average of more than 3,200 flights daily, representing a 5% increase compared to 2024 [2][3] - China Southern Airlines aims to operate over 320,000 flights across 970 domestic and 260 international routes, with daily flights exceeding 3,000 during peak periods [3][4] Group 3: New Routes and Seasonal Adjustments - Xiamen Airlines is launching 24 seasonal routes to popular summer destinations, including new flights from major hubs to Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia [5] - Sichuan Airlines is optimizing its domestic route network, adding and resuming over 10 routes, including direct flights from Chengdu to Hailar [5][6] - Eastern Airlines is introducing 38 new domestic routes, focusing on popular tourist regions such as Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia [7] Group 4: Market Trends and Pricing - The aviation industry is witnessing an upward trend in domestic ticket prices, with strong performance during the May Day holiday expected to carry into the summer season [8] - Analysts suggest that the improved pricing environment and strong summer demand may lead to better-than-expected profitability for the aviation sector in the second and third quarters [8]

Core Points - Singapore Airlines announced the return of the Airbus A380 on the Singapore-Shanghai route from June 23 to August 31, with daily flights [1] - The A380, known as the "superjumbo," is the largest passenger aircraft in the world, designed to challenge Boeing's dominance in the aviation market [3][5] - Despite its technological marvel, the A380 has faced operational challenges in the Chinese market, leading to its limited adoption by Chinese airlines [9][12] Group 1: A380 Overview - The A380 project was launched in 1990, aiming to create a new aircraft that would reshape the international long-haul aviation market [3] - Officially released in 2000, the A380 features a double-deck design, with a maximum capacity of 853 passengers in an all-economy layout and a range of 15,200 kilometers [5][6] - Singapore Airlines was the first to operate the A380 in 2007, marking the beginning of its prominence among major airlines [7] Group 2: Decline of A380 - The A380's production was halted in 2021 due to the rise of more fuel-efficient twin-engine aircraft and a shift in global aviation trends towards point-to-point routes [8][12] - By 2022, several airlines, including China Southern Airlines, had retired their A380 fleets, with only a few carriers like Emirates and Singapore Airlines continuing to operate them [8][11] Group 3: Challenges in the Chinese Market - The A380's operational model is not well-suited for the Chinese market, which has seen a trend towards dispersed international routes and lower passenger volumes [12][24] - The aircraft's size limits its operational flexibility, as only a small number of Chinese airports can accommodate it, making it difficult for airlines to adjust routes [14] - High operational costs associated with the A380, including fuel consumption and maintenance, make it less viable for airlines with smaller fleets [15][16]

证券代码：600029 证券简称：南方航空 转债代码：110075 转债简称：南航转债 中国南方航空股份有限公司 公开发行 A 股可转换公司债券 受托管理事务报告 （2024 年度） 债券受托管理人 二〇二五年六月 重要声明 本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》（以下简称"《管理办 法》"）、《中国南方航空股份有限公司公开发行 A 股可转换公司债券之债券 受托管理协议》（以下简称"《受托管理协议》"）、《中国南方航空股份有 限公司公开发行 A 股可转换公司债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明 书》"）、《中国南方航空股份有限公司 2024 年度报告》等相关公开信息披露 文件、第三方中介机构出具的专业意见等，由本期债券受托管理人中国国际金 融股份有限公司（以下简称"中金公司"）编制。中金公司对本报告中所包含 的从上述文件中引述内容和信息未进行独立验证，也不就该等引述内容和信息 的真实性、准确性和完整性做出任何保证或承担任何责任。 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相 关事宜做出独立判断，而不应将本报告中的任何内容据以作为中金公司所作的 承诺或声明。在任何情况下，投资者依据本报告 ...

风险提示：宏观经济下行、人民币大幅贬值、油价大幅上涨、重大自然灾害 等。 证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 06 月 27 日 量价双升，5 月行业盈利有望大幅改善 航空行业 2025 年 5 月数据跟踪 周期/交通运输 本月关注：航空 5 月客运数据量价齐升，关注 25-26 年行业基本面上行趋势及 市值弹性。 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 129 | 2.5 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 3114.3 | 3.5 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 2879.2 | 3.6 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 3.1 0.7 18.2 相对表现 0.8 1.8 4.8 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 Jun/24 Oct/24 Feb/25 Jun/25 (%) 交通运输 沪深300 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 行业规模 重点公司主要财务指标 | 公司简称 | 公司代码 | 市值 | 24EPS | 25EPS | 25PE | PB | 投资评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...