Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and decoration industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the acceleration of government bond issuance is expected to positively impact infrastructure investment and physical workload [5]. - The overseas contracting business in China is projected to achieve a year-on-year revenue growth of 3.1% in 2024, with new contract amounts increasing by 1.1%, reaching a historical high [9]. - The report suggests that the demand structure shows promising opportunities, particularly in specialized manufacturing, prefabricated buildings, energy conservation, and new energy-related infrastructure sectors [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The report notes that in February, government bond financing increased by CNY 1.7 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 1.1 trillion, benefiting from accelerated issuance of replacement bonds [8]. - The government work report sets a domestic economic growth target of around 5% for 2025, with a proposed deficit rate of 4% [8]. - The report emphasizes that macro policies are expected to remain positive, with infrastructure and real estate sectors likely to see a recovery in demand due to fiscal stimulus and stabilization policies [8]. Overseas Expansion - The report indicates that the Belt and Road Initiative will continue to drive infrastructure cooperation, with overseas engineering demand expected to remain robust [9]. - Companies such as China National Materials, Shanghai Port Construction, and others are recommended for investment in the international engineering sector [9]. Demand Structure - The report identifies high demand in niche areas such as prefabricated construction and energy-efficient infrastructure, suggesting companies like Honglu Steel Structure and Huayang International as potential beneficiaries [9]. - The low-altitude economy is also highlighted, with recommendations for design institutes in construction and infrastructure [9]. Market Performance - The construction and decoration sector saw a weekly increase of 1.6%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices [24]. - Notable stocks that performed well include Dongyi Risheng and Jincheng, while others like Sujiao Ke and Honglu Steel Structure faced declines [25][26].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [5] Core Insights - The market heat has objectively increased, primarily driven by improved supply quality. In the first two months of 2025, the total land transaction price reached 257 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.6%, while the average land transaction price was 9,751 million, up 32.2% year-on-year [10][11] - The trend of "high premium" is expected to continue in the short term, with a consensus forming around "high-speed products." The average premium rates for first-tier and second-tier cities have increased, reflecting a recovery in land market heat [11][12] - Companies with operational leverage and turnover advantages are highlighted as key players. Leading companies in equity investment include China Resources Land, China Jinmao, and Greentown China, with investment intensity exceeding 100% for several firms [12][14] Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - In the first two months of 2025, land transaction volume in 300 cities decreased by 1.9% year-on-year, while the total land transaction price increased significantly, indicating a shift towards higher quality land supply [10][11] 2. New and Second-hand Housing Market - The new housing market saw a transaction area of 236 million square meters, with a month-on-month decline of 11.98% [4][29] - The second-hand housing market experienced a transaction area of 235 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 47.40%, although it also saw a month-on-month decline [4][29] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on non-state-owned enterprises benefiting from debt relief and policy support, as well as leading companies with product advantages and regional firms with improving market shares [14]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the technology sector, suggesting a "bull market" driven by improved risk appetite due to potential easing in US-China relations [1][8]. Core Insights - The core insight of the report emphasizes that the performance of major asset classes in Q2 will largely depend on risk appetite, with a particular focus on the equity market benefiting from improved US-China dialogue [1][8]. - The report anticipates a slight economic slowdown in Q2, with GDP growth expected to decrease to approximately 4.9% from 5.1% in Q1, primarily due to weaker internal dynamics in the private sector [2][12]. - The report highlights that broad infrastructure and manufacturing investments are expected to remain resilient, contributing to economic recovery [2][21]. Summary by Sections Economic Overview - Q2 GDP growth is projected to slow to 4.9%, influenced by a recovery in both supply and demand driven by counter-cyclical policies [2][12]. - Retail sales growth is expected to reach 5.5% in Q2, supported by low base effects and policy stimulus [18][19]. Monetary Policy - The report suggests a potential reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut in Q2, while interest rate cuts remain uncertain due to external pressures [3][4]. Fiscal Policy - Fiscal policy is expected to maintain a proactive stance, with an increase in government bond issuance and a focus on special bonds for land reserves [4][46]. Industry Policy - The report indicates a push for innovation and energy consumption control, with a focus on supporting new industries such as quantum technology and AI [4][26]. US Economic Outlook - The US economy is expected to stabilize in Q2, with the report attributing recent economic slowdowns to uncertainties in fiscal policy and trade tariffs [5][7]. Major Asset Classes - The report predicts that the stock market will maintain a high-risk appetite leading up to potential meetings between US and Chinese leaders, with technology stocks expected to perform well [1][8].

Investment Rating - The report gives a positive investment rating for the construction decoration industry, indicating an "Overweight" outlook, suggesting that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][34]. Core Insights - The construction decoration sector has shown a weekly increase of 1.60%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and the Shenzhen Component Index [5][6]. - Key sub-sectors like decorative curtain walls, ecological landscaping, and design consulting have demonstrated significant weekly gains, with respective increases of 5.33%, 4.44%, and 2.41% [5][8]. - The report highlights a recovery in infrastructure investment for 2025, emphasizing the cyclical investment value in high-elasticity sectors [5][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The SW Construction Decoration Index increased by 1.60%, ranking 18th among 31 sectors [5][6]. - The best-performing sub-sectors for the week were decorative curtain walls (+5.33%), ecological landscaping (+4.44%), and design consulting (+2.41%) [5][8]. Major Changes in the Industry - The People's Bank of China reported a cumulative increase in social financing of 9.29 trillion yuan in the first two months of 2025, which is 1.32 trillion yuan more than the same period last year [5][20]. - The central bank is expected to implement appropriate monetary policies to support major strategies and key areas, while also managing financial risks [5][20]. Key Company Developments - China Power Construction Corporation won a major project worth 5.771 billion yuan, accounting for 0.95% of its 2023 revenue [5][20]. - Shaanxi Construction Group secured a significant project totaling 2.436 billion yuan, representing 2.39% of its 2023 revenue [5][20]. - China Railway Group elected a new chairman, indicating a change in leadership [5][21]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in cyclical sectors with high elasticity, such as steel structures and urban renewal, while also highlighting undervalued companies for potential valuation recovery [5][20].

【兴证建筑】周观点：专项债和赤字率 提升，基建投资稳健增长可期 （2025.3.1-2025.3.7）-2025.03.09 行业点评报告 | 建筑装饰 证券研究报告 行业评级 推荐（维持） 报告日期 2025 年 03 月 13 日 相关研究 分析师：李明 S0190524060003 liming22@xyzq.com.cn 乌克兰重建，哪些建筑企业有望受益 投资要点： 【兴证建筑】周观点："化债"再融资专 项债发行超万亿，项目资金到位率持续 改善（2025.2.22-2025.2.28）- 2025.03.02 【兴证建筑】周观点：俄乌冲突缓和信 号不断，利好国际工程企业（2025.2.15- 2025.2.21）-2025.02.23 分析师：黄杨 S0190518070004 huangyang@xyzq.com.cn 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 1/7 ⚫ 2025 年，俄乌释放和谈积极信号，预期俄乌冲突结束曙光初现。当地时间 2 月 12 日， 俄罗斯总统普京与美国总统特朗普举行电话会谈，重点讨论乌克兰局势调解及双边关 系。随后，美俄代表团在沙特利雅得会晤，达成四点共识，旨在解决两国间"棘手问 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - The company has shown significant sales growth, with a total sales amount of 251.0 billion yuan in January-February 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.8% [1] - The company ranked third in total sales amount in the industry, outperforming the average performance of the top 100 real estate companies [1] - The company has actively acquired land in key cities, achieving a top position in land acquisition amount with 317.7 billion yuan in January-February 2025 [2] - The company has reported steady growth in recurring income, with a total of 83.9 billion yuan in recurring business income for January-February 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.6% [3] - The company is expected to maintain strong earnings growth, with an estimated EPS of 3.73 yuan for 2024 [4] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In January-February 2025, the company achieved a sales area of 1.073 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, with an average sales price of 23,392 yuan per square meter, up 12% year-on-year [1] - In February alone, the sales amount reached 135 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.9% [1] Land Acquisition - The company acquired land worth 317.7 billion yuan, with a new value of 620.7 billion yuan, leading the land acquisition rankings [2] - Notable acquisitions include a land parcel in Shanghai for 50.9 billion yuan and a new land price record in Hangzhou at 50,683 yuan per square meter [2] Recurring Income - The company's recurring business income for January-February 2025 was 54.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.7% [3] - The growth in recurring income is expected to continue with the opening of five new major shopping centers in 2025 [3] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to have a net profit of 28.5 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.17% [10] - The estimated P/E ratio for 2025 is 5.83, indicating a favorable valuation [10]

2 月销售量价齐升，优质资产率先修复 ——华润置地点评报告 事件 2025 年 3 月 13 日，华润置地发布 2025 年 2 月经营数据情况。 投资要点 ❑ 销售额同比高增，印证核心地段核心资产价格率先修复 2025 年 1-2 月，公司累计销售额 251.0 亿元，同比增长 21.8%；销售面积 107.3 万平方米，同比增长 8.7%；销售均价 23392 元/平，同比上涨 12%，与 2024 年销售均价相比上涨 1.5%。2 月单月来看，公司销售额 135 亿元，同比增 长 46.9%；销售面积 58.5 万平，同比增长 28.1%；销售均价 23077 元/平，同 比增长 14.6%。2025 年 1-2 月公司全口径销售金额位列克而瑞排行榜第 3 位， 与 2024 年相比排名保持稳定，公司销售金额同比增幅亮眼，显著优于百强房企 平均表现（百强 2 月增幅 1.2%，1-2 月增幅-1.2%），彰显了公司城市深耕的优 势，我们认为在市场企稳修复期的，公司的销售弹性更加值得关注。 ❑ 经常性收入稳健增长，2 月单月增幅扩大 2025 年 1-2 月公司经常性业务收入 83.9 亿元，同比增长 1 ...

| H | A | | --- | --- | | 股代码：00390 | 股代码：601390 | | H 股简称：中国中铁 | A 股简称：中国中铁 | | | 公告编号：临 2025-011 | 中国中铁股份有限公司 关于回购注销部分限制性股票减资暨通知债权人的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误 导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法 律责任。 一、通知债权人的原因 中国中铁股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 3 月 13 日召 开第六届董事会第八次会议以及第五届监事会第三十次会议，审议通过了 《关于回购注销中国中铁 2021 年限制性股票激励计划部分限制性股票的 议案》。 公司 2021 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予对象中，2 名激励对象因 成为不能持有公司限制性股票人员而不再属于激励计划规定的激励范围， 3 名激励对象因不能胜任工作岗位、业绩考核不合格、过失、违法违规等 原因不再属于激励计划规定的激励范围，公司董事会审议决定回购注销上 述 5 名激励对象已获授但尚未解除限售的限制性股票共计 856,199 股 A 股股票。具体内容详 ...

根据《公司法》《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》《公司章程》等 规定，陈云先生的辞职不会导致公司董事会成员低于法定最低人数， 不会影响公司董事会正常运作和公司正常生产经营，其辞职自辞职报 告送达董事会时生效。 | A 股代码：601390 | A 股简称：中国中铁 | 公告编号：临 | 2025-005 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H 股代码：00390 | H 股简称：中国中铁 | | | 中国中铁股份有限公司 关于公司执行董事、董事长、法定代表人辞职的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性 承担法律责任。 中国中铁股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"本公司"）董事 会于 2025 年 3 月 12 日收到执行董事、董事长、法定代表人陈云先生 的书面辞职报告。陈云先生因年龄原因（退休），向公司董事会申请 辞去执行董事、董事长、董事会战略与投资委员会主任及委员、董事 会提名委员会主任及委员职务。辞职后，陈云先生不再担任公司法定 代表人及其他任何职务。陈云先生已确认其与公司董事会和公司无任 何意见分歧， ...

中国中铁股份有限公司 | A 股代码：601390 | A 股简称：中国中铁 | 公告编号：临 | 2025-008 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | H 股代码：00390 | H 股简称：中国中铁 | | | 关于公司董事长、法定代表人变更的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性 承担法律责任。 中国中铁股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"本公司"） 于 2025 年 3 月 13 日召开第六届董事会第八次会议。会议均以 6 票同 意、0 票反对、0 票弃权审议通过了《关于解聘陈文健先生中国中铁 股份有限公司总裁职务的议案》和《关于选举中国中铁股份有限公司 董事长的议案》，同意因职务调整解聘陈文健先生的公司总裁职务， 选举陈文健先生为公司董事长，任期自董事会通过之日起至公司第六 届董事会届满之日止。 根据《公司章程》规定，公司董事长为公司法定代表人，故公司 法定代表人亦变更为陈文健先生。 陈文健先生的简历如下： 陈文健先生，无曾用名/别名，正高级工程师，现任本公司党委 书记、董事长，董事会战略与投资 ...