Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong insurance stocks have collectively risen, with major companies like China Life and Ping An increasing by over 5%, driven by favorable market conditions and growth in new business value (NBV) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - China Life's stock price increased by 5.22% to 35.460 [2] - Ping An's stock price rose by 5.03% to 73.100 [2] - China Taiping's stock price went up by 4.79% to 25.820 [2] - China Pacific's stock price increased by 4.46% to 40.260 [2] - Other companies like China People’s Insurance and New China Life also saw increases of over 3% [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - CITIC Securities' report indicates that with a large amount of deposits maturing, savings-type insurance products are expected to meet the demand for stable long-term value growth due to their high returns and long terms [1] - The leading insurance companies are expected to leverage the improvement in bancassurance value rates to enhance their market positioning, leading to rapid growth in new business and NBV [1] - The asset side is anticipated to benefit from a bullish equity market in spring, which will enhance profits, while stable interest rates will support long-term returns for insurance funds [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Huaxi Research forecasts that the net profit attributable to shareholders of listed insurance companies will continue to grow rapidly through 2025, although Q4 may face some pressure from investment impacts [1] - The high demand for new business value in Q1 2026 is expected to significantly increase year-on-year, driven by the favorable conditions at the beginning of the year [1] - The transformation towards dividend insurance is expected to alleviate pressure from interest rate spreads, further driving the valuation recovery of insurance stocks [1] Group 4: Stock Recommendations - Recommended stocks include Ping An for its improving fundamentals and high dividend yield, New China Life for its asset flexibility and high dividend yield, and China Life for its asset flexibility [1] - Other recommended stocks include China People’s Insurance and China Pacific for their stable performance, as well as ZhongAn Online for its business improvements [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The macro - economic data shows a mixed picture, with some indicators like GDP growth slowing down while others such as CPI turning positive. The commodity market has different trends, with gold rising and silver experiencing significant price fluctuations. The financial market has various developments including bond market changes and currency exchange rate movements. The stock market shows a shift in capital flow from mainstream wide - based ETFs to specific high - growth theme ETFs [1][2][36]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Macro Data - GDP growth in Q4 2025 was 4.5% year - on - year, down from 4.8% in the previous quarter and 5.4% in the same period last year. The manufacturing PMI in January 2026 was 49.3%, slightly up from 49.0% in the previous month. The non - manufacturing PMI: business activity was 49.4%, down from 50.1% in the previous month [1]. - In December 2025, social financing scale was 22075 billion yuan, lower than 35299 billion yuan in the previous month. M0, M1, and M2 growth rates showed different trends, with M0 growth slowing down, M1 growth dropping significantly, and M2 growth slightly increasing [1]. - CPI in December 2025 was 0.8% year - on - year, turning positive from - 0.3% in the previous month. PPI was - 1.9% year - on - year, slightly improving from - 2.3% in the previous month [1]. 3.2 Commodity Investment Reference 3.2.1 Comprehensive - The State Council executive meeting studied policies to promote effective investment, aiming to use various funds and tools to promote major projects in key areas [2]. - In January 2026, the futures market had a good start, with total funds increasing by over 400 billion yuan to 2.57 trillion yuan, and customer equity increasing by about 19% compared to the end of 2025. The number of futures customers also continued to grow [2]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange adjusted the margin ratio and price limit of some contracts [2]. 3.2.2 Metals - On February 9, spot gold rose 1% to return to the $5000 mark, and spot silver rose nearly 3%. From February 2 to 6, the on - site price of Guotou Silver LOF dropped 40.94% in a single week [4][5]. - China's foreign exchange reserves increased for the sixth consecutive month, and gold reserves increased for 15 consecutive months. In January 2026, global gold ETFs attracted a record $18.7 billion in capital inflows [5][6]. 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - In late January, the daily output of crude steel of key steel enterprises was 1.935 million tons, down 2.22% month - on - month and 8.25% year - on - year [9]. 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - Indian refiners are avoiding purchasing Russian oil for April delivery. The IEA predicts that by 2030, the combined share of renewable energy and nuclear power in the global power structure will rise to 50% [10]. - The EU proposed the 20th round of sanctions against Russia, covering energy, financial services, and trade. The US Energy Secretary will visit Venezuela to understand local oil and gas production [10][11]. 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - The national standard for pre - made food safety is open for public comment, with restrictions on preservatives and shelf - life. The agricultural department will strengthen the regulation of pig production capacity [13]. - APK reduced Ukraine's corn and rapeseed export forecasts. Brazilian soybean sales reached 33.9% of the expected output, lower than 42.4% in the same period last year [13]. 3.3 Financial News Compilation 3.3.1 Open Market - On February 6, the central bank conducted 31.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations and 300 billion yuan of 14 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 146 billion yuan. This week, there will be 405.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase and 500 billion yuan of 182 - day repurchase due [16]. 3.3.2 Important News - This week, important domestic and international events include the release of economic data, corporate earnings reports, and international negotiations. The State Council studied policies to promote effective investment, and the central government emphasized the front - loading of macro - policies [17]. - Eight departments jointly issued a document to ban virtual currency - related business activities. The CSRC issued a regulatory guide for the overseas issuance of asset - backed securities tokens [18]. - The Ministry of Commerce will build a policy system to cultivate new service consumption growth points. China's foreign exchange and gold reserves increased, and the Asian and global manufacturing PMIs showed different trends [19][21]. 3.3.3 Bond Market Review - In the inter - bank bond market, bond yields generally declined, and bond futures rose. In the exchange bond market, some bonds had significant price changes. The convertible bond index rose, and the currency market interest rates had different trends [26][27][28]. 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose 7 points at the 16:30 close, and the RMB central parity rate against the US dollar was adjusted down 20 points. The US dollar index fell 0.36% [31]. 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - Shenwan Fixed - income believes that the convertible bond market style is solidified, and the supply - demand contradiction is intensified. CITIC Securities expects the market to return to the main lines of domestic policy and economic repair and overseas Fed rate - cut expectations in February [32][33]. - CICC believes that the Fed is unlikely to "shrink the balance sheet" in the short term, and the final rate - cut amplitude may exceed market expectations. CICC Fixed - income believes that the default risk of short - duration urban investment bonds is still low [33][34]. 3.4 Stock Market News - In 2026, the A - share ETF market showed a trend of capital flowing from mainstream wide - based ETFs to theme ETFs. Southbound funds have continuously increased their investment in the Hong Kong stock market, and the Hong Kong IPO market has maintained its popularity [36]. 3.5 Today's Reminder - On February 9, 248 bonds are listed, 118 bonds are issued, 147 bonds are due for payment, and 309 bonds are due for principal and interest repayment [35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the insurance sector, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [19]. Core Insights - The insurance index decreased by 0.73% this week, outperforming the broader market by 0.6 percentage points. Individual stock performances varied, with Ping An increasing by 0.22% and China Life decreasing by 4.53% [1]. - The report highlights that the long-end interest rates remain stable, and the equity market is active, suggesting potential for significant growth in the investment sector in the first half of the year. The insurance sector is expected to achieve high double-digit growth in new policies this year [3][4]. - The report indicates that the new business value for the insurance industry is projected to maintain a double-digit growth trend, primarily driven by the transformation of dividend insurance [3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The insurance index's performance this week was a decline of 0.73%, with Ping An showing a slight increase of 0.22% while other companies like China Life and Zhong An experienced declines of 4.53% and 7.09%, respectively [1]. Regulatory Updates - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has revised the "Bank and Insurance Institution License Management Measures," effective June 1, 2026, which will apply to insurance institutions [2]. Premium and Claims Data - In 2025, the total premium for the auto insurance sector is expected to reach approximately 996.37 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.99%. Claims settled are projected to be around 622.46 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.06% [2]. Company Actions - Ping An increased its stake in China Life H shares by 10.12%, acquiring 10.89 million shares at a price of 33.2588 HKD per share, totaling approximately 362 million HKD [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides PEV valuations for various insurance companies, indicating that China Life has a PEV of 0.91x, while Ping An stands at 0.81x. The report suggests that PEV valuations are expected to recover towards 1x [3][4].

来源：长江商报 记者：徐佳 截至2025年末，我国保险业资产总额41.31万亿元，同比增长15.1%；净资产3.66万亿元，同比增长 10.2%。其中，人身险公司、财产险公司的资产总额分别为36.39万亿元、3.12万亿元。 长江商报记者注意到，2025年，人身险公司实现原保险保费收入4.36万亿元，同比增长9.1%，赔付支出 1.28万亿元。其中，寿险、意外险、健康险保费收入分别为3.56万亿元、368亿元、7699亿元。 2025年，我国保险业在深化转型中实现稳健增长。 数据显示，2025年我国保险业原保险保费收入6.12万亿元，可比口径同比增长7.4%。其中，人身险原保 险保费收入4.65万亿元。财产险方面，车险作为支柱业务保持稳定，全年保费收入达9409亿元，同比增 长2.98%，在新能源汽车产销两旺的背景下展现出持续增长潜力。 值得关注的是，2025年，全行业健康险保费收入达到9973亿元，同比增长2.04%，逼近万亿大关。 截至2025年末，保险业资产总额达41.31万亿元，同比增长15.1%。在业务发展的同时，赔付支出也保持 合理增长，全年原保险赔付支出2.44万亿元，同比增长6.2%，保险保障 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing interest of insurance capital in commercial real estate, particularly in high-quality assets that provide stable cash flows and inflation resistance, as traditional fixed-income investments face pressure from declining interest rates [1][3][4] Group 1: Investment Trends - Insurance capital is increasingly focusing on core assets, with a notable transaction involving the establishment of a real estate fund by Ingka Group and Gaohe Capital, which will include projects in Beijing, Wuxi, and Wuhan, with insurance institutions as limited partners [2][3] - The trend of insurance capital "buying" quality commercial real estate is evident, with significant investments in office buildings, shopping centers, and hotels located in prime areas [2][3] Group 2: Financial Instruments and Strategies - Insurance institutions are evolving their investment strategies, moving from direct property ownership to utilizing diverse financial instruments such as public REITs, holding-type ABS, and Pre-REITs, which enhance liquidity and efficiency [5][6][7] - The capitalized rates for office and retail assets in Beijing are reported at 5.5% and 6.3%, respectively, which are significantly higher than the 10-year government bond yields, providing a strong incentive for insurance capital to invest [4][7] Group 3: Operational Models - The separation of ownership and operational rights is becoming a mainstream model in commercial real estate, allowing insurance capital to act as financial landlords while original owners manage daily operations, thus reducing operational risks for insurers [8][9] - This collaborative model is exemplified by partnerships like that of Ingka Group and Gaohe Capital, where the former retains brand and operational management of the shopping centers [8][9] Group 4: Future Outlook - The demand for commercial real estate from insurance capital is expected to persist, driven by an increase in quality asset supply in core cities and the maturation of the REITs market, which will attract a broader range of investors [9] - Insurance capital is positioned as a "patient capital" in the market, providing liquidity to the existing real estate market while enhancing its own long-term liabilities through innovative investment tools and strategies [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting it will outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings in January 2026, reaching 4.9158 million, a year-on-year increase of 213% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 89%. This trend is expected to benefit brokerage firms as funds flow from traditional banks to capital markets [4]. - The report emphasizes the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerage firms. It also notes the expansion of international business opportunities due to the ongoing internationalization of the RMB [4]. - The report discusses specific stock movements, including Huatai Securities' plan to issue HKD 10 billion in zero-coupon convertible bonds, and the restructuring of Zhongtai Securities to enhance operational efficiency [4][13]. - In the insurance sector, the report notes that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting confidence in the sector's value re-evaluation. The report anticipates steady growth in new business value (NBV) and an increase in equity allocation for China Life [4][11]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.33% during the week, while the non-bank index fell by 0.60%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [7]. Non-Bank Financial News and Key Stock Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [9]. - Specific stock announcements include Huatai Securities' bond issuance and Ping An's increased holdings in China Life, showcasing strategic moves within the sector [11][13]. Key Data Tracking - The report provides data on average daily trading volume, which reached CNY 24,068.65 billion, and highlights the significant increase in new investors, with 995,900 new accounts opened in August 2023 [23][24].

证券板块 券商经营环境进一步改善。交易活跃背景下业绩有望延续高增，上交所数据显示，2026 年 1 月 A 股新开户 491.58 万 户，环比增长 89%，同比 2025 年 1 月的 157.0 万户增长 213%；1 月日均股基成交额同比增长 157%至 3.6 万亿元，日 均两融余额同比增长 47%至 2.7 万亿元，IPO 向常态化恢复。预计交易层面 ETF 净流出将缓解、再融资影响可控，券 商的压制因素逐步解除，当前估值性价比极高。当前板块 PB（LF）估值 1.36 倍，处于十年 34%分位数。 投资建议：建议关注三条主线：（1）强烈推荐估值及业绩错配程度较大的优质券商，重点关注国泰海通；建议关注 AH 溢价率较高、有收并购主题的券商；建议关注短期受益于科技股上市的券商。（2）四川双马：科技赛道占优，创投业 务有望受益，布局基因治疗赛道新标的，深化生物医药产业链。公司管理基金的已投项目：屹唐股份、西安奕材、沐 曦股份（科创板已上市）、奕斯伟计算以及群核科技（港交所 IPO 申报）、邦德激光、丽豪半导体等上市进程加快；公 司参投基金已投：傅利叶已完成多轮融资，奇瑞汽车港交所已上市，慧算账向港交所递 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry [4][48]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings, with 4.9158 million new accounts in January 2026, representing a year-over-year increase of 213% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 89% [4]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing shift of funds from traditional banks to capital markets and non-bank financial institutions, driven by the expiration of 70 trillion yuan in one-year or longer deposits and a decline in net interest margins [4]. - The report discusses the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerages [4]. - The report notes that the international business landscape for brokerages is expanding due to the deepening process of RMB internationalization and the demand for cross-border wealth management and investment banking services [4]. - The report mentions that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting a strong confidence in the insurance sector [4][12]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,643.60 with a decline of 1.33%, while the non-bank index closed at 2,030.92 with a decline of 0.60% [8]. - The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial indices reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [8]. Non-Bank Industry News and Key Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [10]. - Ping An Group's recent acquisitions of shares in China Life (H) are detailed, showcasing a strategic investment approach [12]. - Huatai Securities plans to issue 10 billion HKD in zero-coupon convertible bonds to support overseas business development [14]. Investment Analysis Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on brokerages with strong comprehensive capabilities, recommending stocks such as Guotai Junan A+H, GF Securities A+H, and CITIC Securities A+H [4]. - For insurance, the report recommends China Life (H), New China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance, highlighting the systemic value reassessment opportunities in the insurance sector [4].

行业研究丨深度报告丨投资银行业与经纪业 [Table_Title] 轮动对比视角复盘，当前非银子行业如何择时选 股？ %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 历史上 A 股牛市中保险及券商表现如何？不同类型牛市下表现何异？节奏及持续性如何？站 在当前如何展望？我们梳理了 2012 年以来几次 A 股上涨周期中保险及券商指数涨跌及行业相 对表现，并进一步梳理一级行业月度涨跌轮动以探究行情节奏，最后结合当前时点进行分析展 望。我们认为当前估值上非银进入配置性价比区间，择时应合理配合政策及监管节奏增配，配 置上推荐高弹性保险与金融 IT。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490519080007 SFC：BUV596 吴一凡 盛晓双 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 21 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 投资银行业与经纪业 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 轮动对比视角复盘，当前非银子行业如何择时 2] 选股？ [Table_Summary2] 历史 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the insurance sector [11]. Core Insights - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from a stable interest rate environment and a slow bull market, leading to improved interest spreads and valuations. If new premium growth remains strong, profitability is likely to improve, further enhancing sector valuations. The report recommends specific stocks including New China Life, Ping An, China Life, and China Pacific Insurance [3][10]. Summary by Sections Insurance Market Outlook - Historical data indicates that the insurance index typically shows positive returns in the five trading days before the Spring Festival, with a success rate of approximately 71.4%. The report anticipates a potential repeat of this trend in 2026, as the conditions appear favorable for premium growth [8][9]. Premium and Profitability Analysis - The report projects that the life insurance market could reach a scale of 4.8 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of about 10%. The asset side is expected to benefit from a strong stock market performance, while the focus should be on long-term profitability improvements driven by policy and market changes [9][10]. Long-term Valuation Recovery - The insurance industry's ability and willingness to allocate equity will significantly increase in the foreseeable future, leading to improved interest spreads and enhanced policy profitability. The report emphasizes the importance of long-term perspectives on profitability improvement, suggesting that the sector has substantial room for valuation recovery [10].