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从 1000 多款车的数据,看新车生命周期如何压缩
晚点LatePost· 2024-08-20 15:59
汽车逐渐从耐用消费品,变成消费电子。 文丨赵宇 以下文章来源于晚点Auto ,作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造,从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 2023 年,中国市场发布了 126 款新车型(不包括改款),其中 44% 的新车在发布后的月销量始终低于 1000 辆,只有 23 款月销量到过 5000 辆、7 款到过 10000 辆。 制图丨黄帧昕 编辑丨黄俊杰 数据支持丨汽车之家研究院 2017 年是中国汽车销量的最高峰,已经开始出现技术公司颠覆汽车行业的讨论。常见的对比是,手机厂商 每年一换代,快速迭代。而汽车品牌两三年一改款、五六年才换代,生命周期太长,发展太慢。 更早的时候,头部车企推出的经典款车型,比如甲壳虫、卡罗拉,甚至可以连续畅销几十年,全生命周期 累计销量达到数千万辆。 当新能源车普及、价格战打到第 20 个月,汽车产品更新换代的规则被改写。一款全新车型的研发周期被 缩短到 12-15 个月,而有的车型改款快进到一年两次。 我们分析了汽车之家研究院提供的过去 9 年 1088 款车的数据,发现 2022-2023 这两年发布的新能源 车,有超过 80% 的型号 ...
汽车与 AI,英特尔必须要赢的一仗
晚点LatePost· 2024-08-09 14:37
最火热的汽车市场是中国,必须置身其中。 这种策略在注重能耗的移动时代遇到了麻烦,紧凑的手机无法提供持续的电量与散热。好消息是,英特尔 等来了背着几十度大电池的电动汽车。 2024 年的 CES(消费电子展)上,英特尔汽车业务总经理杰克·维斯特(Jack Weast)在发布会上问 CEO 帕特里克·格尔辛格 (Patrick P. Gelsinger) 的第一个问题是:如何让行业相信,英特尔接下来会持续投入汽 车业务? 这是英特尔时隔多年再次将汽车业务作为重点向公众介绍。在此之前,英特尔其实已在汽车市场布局多 年,从最早的燃油车座舱系统、到收购 Mobileye 进军智能驾驶,但并未形成持续的、明确的战略。对于 英特尔这样的科技巨头来说,让客户相信它会持续投入,是比技术能力本身更重要的问题。 对此,CEO 基辛格说,英特尔已经在汽车市场已经进进出出多次,汽车这个市场非常大,英特尔有技术能 力、有芯片、有代工厂,有足够的理由去承诺将会持续投入汽车市场,不只是在今天,而是未来的数十 年。 英特尔选择加注智能电动车最蓬勃的市场——中国,汽车业务总部设在了北京,总经理维斯特也身先士 卒,全家都搬到了北京。在此之前,他已 ...
​晚点财经丨黄峥成中国首富;太古、恒隆地产利润下滑;万亿公募董事长被查
晚点LatePost· 2024-08-09 14:37
黄峥成中国首富 黄峥成中国首富 太古、恒隆地产利润下滑 万亿公募董事长被查 中芯国际利润率超预期增长 豪华电动车设计陷入两难 中国家庭去杠杆 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标,第一时间获取每日商业精华。 据彭博亿万富翁指数,拼多多创始人黄峥最新财富已经达到 486 亿美元,超过农夫山泉创始人钟睒睒 (474 亿美元),成为中国首富。 拼多多的公司价值低于腾讯、字节,(目前)也略低于阿里,但黄峥在拼多多上市前出让给投资方和 团队的股份比例低于其他大公司,至今仍持有拼多多 25% 的股份,远高于马化腾(7.4%)、马云 (3.9%)和王兴(9.6%)。黄峥的净资产巅峰是 2021 年 2 月时的 715 亿美元,一个月后,他卸任拼 多多董事长,转而研究食品科学和生命科学。今年年初以来,拼多多股价跌了约 5.7%,黄峥的个人 财富少了近 30 亿美元。 钟睒睒拥有农夫山泉 84.5% 的股份,并直接和间接持有上市药企万泰生物 73% 的股份。他的净资产 巅峰同样是在 2021 年 2 月,最多时有 974 亿美元,而且他从当年 4 月开始就一直是中国首富。自年 初以来,农夫山泉和万泰生物股价跌幅分别为 34.7% 和 9 ...
卖布加迪的香港富商,为何卖起了国产电车
晚点LatePost· 2024-07-29 10:55
这位香港富商的转型决定背后,趋势已然明了。 香港不相信造车 "鸡汤"。 文丨王笑渔 1983 年,香港出行工具开始逐渐丰富。麦庆德抓住这个时机,做起来了汽车零部件及二手车生意。 不屈不挠、自强不息的狮子山精神,是那一代香港人最宝贵的精神财富。经过四十多年的打拼,卖零件的 麦庆德,如今成了豪华汽车代理集团锦龙汽车的 "掌门人"。麦庆德的手里,除了拥有宾利、兰博基尼的代 理权之外,超跑品牌布加迪在中国唯一的代理也在他的手中。在业余时间,他甚至还是一位亚洲保时捷卡 雷拉杯的车手。 就是这样一个爱车玩车、卖遍传统豪车的麦庆德,在 2023 年为锦龙做了一个具有转折意义的决定——成 为 "中国汽车品牌" 极氪,在香港及澳门市场的进口商。很快,位于湾仔的香港首家极氪陈列馆在去年底 开业。今年 7 月 22 日,位于太古湾道 12 号的极氪香港第二家门店正式开业,右舵版的极氪 X 和全新极 氪 009 也同步开售。 2023 年,在 "一换一" 计划(油车换电车)的加持下,香港的电动车渗透率(约 60%)已经超过了内地 (约 30%)。根据运输署的数据显示,2023 年 1-12 月,香港新登记私家车总数达 4.4 万辆, ...
​晚点财经丨6月蔚来、理想找回节奏,小米破万;跨境电商需求激增,中美空运价格翻倍
晚点LatePost· 2024-07-03 13:55
6 月多家新能源汽车品牌批发量为年内新高 在 Shein、Temu 的推动下,华南至美国空运价格较 2019 年翻倍 上海中海·顺昌玖里二期开盘即售罄,单价近每平方米 30 万元 特斯拉止住颓势,二季度销量超预期 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标,第一时间获取每日商业精华。 上半年国内新能源车销量陆续公布。比亚迪以超 34 万辆的月销量继续断层领先、上半年累计卖出 161 万辆新车,完成年度销量目标的 45%。特斯拉中国排 6 月销量榜第二,据乘联会数据约 7.1 万 辆,继续同比下滑 24%、但环比小幅增长。本月,特斯拉推出 5 年免息等优惠购车政策。 理想和蔚来找回节奏,因为给了消费者更有性价比的选项。前者在 L6 的带动下,月销量回暖至 4.78 万辆,同比增长 47%,接近去年 12 月 5 万辆的最高纪录。后者则在 BaaS 电池租用服务费降低以及 创始人李斌的卖力直播影响下,年内第二次月销超过 2 万辆、6 月达到 2.1 万辆,同比接近翻倍。 据摩根士丹利统计,5 月理想和蔚来国内市场份额不同程度增长,机构预计 L6 订单动力将继续支撑 理想在三季度份额回升 —— 顶着赛力斯给的压力。 作为另一家月销 ...
对话产品经理丨极氪 MIX 杨大成:如何把一台概念车做到量产?
晚点LatePost· 2024-06-12 15:55
以下文章来源于晚点Auto ,作者晚点团队 创新最难的是工程落地。 文丨王海璐 编辑丨 宋玮 胶囊造型、对开门、隐藏 B 柱、旋转座椅 ...... 融合了这些设计的极氪 MIX 是中国汽车市场最独特 的一台车,可能也是工程实现难度最高的一台车。 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造,从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 为了让没有传统 B 柱的车身满足国际碰撞标准,极氪重新设计了 A 柱和门槛梁的结构,在车门四周 用了 2000 兆帕的热成型钢,让驾驶员前方的发动机舱里面的每个零部件都能吸收能量。 前后对开门之间没有锁止结构,为了避免高速行驶时被吸开,极氪的工程师们给后门设计了三把 锁,前门装了两把锁。 杨大成回忆,他们当时尝试了很多方案。要想拎着购物袋走上车,必须满足两个条件:车的离地间 隙足够低、门足够大。 普通 MPV 的开门宽度大概 760mm,乘客只能先坐上车,再把购物袋放下。 要 "走上车",除非做 成对开门,把 B 柱 "拿掉"。杨大成选择了这个方案。 市场中并非没有出现过对开门的车。最知名的要数劳斯莱斯,采用转轴结构,后门向后开启。杨大 成说,极氪采用了一个更难的工程方案,进入空 ...
极氪(ZK) - 2024 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2024-06-11 09:45
[ZEEKR Reports First Quarter 2024 Unaudited Financial Results](index=1&type=section&id=ZEEKR%20Reports%20First%20Quarter%202024%20Unaudited%20Financial%20Results) [Financial Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Financial%20Highlights%20for%20the%20First%20Quarter%20of%202024) ZEEKR's Q1 2024 total revenue reached RMB 14.74 billion with 71.0% YoY growth, while gross profit increased 154.9% to RMB 1.74 billion, and net loss significantly narrowed Key Financial Indicators for Q1 2024 | Indicator (RMB million) | 2024 Q1 | 2023 Q1 | YoY Change | 2023 Q4 | QoQ Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Total Revenues** | 14,736.8 | 8,620.4 | +71.0% | 16,357.9 | -9.9% | | **Gross Profit** | 1,739.4 | 682.5 | +154.9% | 2,328.3 | -25.3% | | **Gross Margin** | 11.8% | 7.9% | +3.9pp | 14.2% | -2.4pp | | **Operating Loss** | (2,086.9) | (2,349.2) | -11.2% | (2,950.1) | -29.3% | | **Net Loss** | (2,022.1) | (2,465.4) | -18.0% | (2,937.9) | -31.2% | | **Adjusted Net Loss (Non-GAAP)** | (2,019.4) | (2,432.6) | -17.0% | (2,902.6) | -30.4% | [Operating Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Operating%20Highlights%20for%20the%20First%20Quarter%20of%202024) In Q1 2024, ZEEKR achieved a record 33,059 vehicle deliveries, a 117% YoY increase, with strong growth continuing into Q2, supported by new model launches like the 2024 ZEEKR 001 and ZEEKR 009 Grand - Total deliveries in Q1 reached **33,059 units**, a **117% YoY increase**[1](index=1&type=chunk) - Growth momentum continued into Q2, with **16,089 deliveries in April** (**99% YoY growth**) and **18,616 deliveries in May** (**115% YoY growth**)[34](index=34&type=chunk)[10](index=10&type=chunk) - The company continued to launch new models, including the new **ZEEKR 001** in February 2024 and the **ZEEKR 009 Grand** in April[11](index=11&type=chunk)[35](index=35&type=chunk) [Management Comments](index=3&type=section&id=CEO%20and%20CFO%20Comments) Management expressed satisfaction with the quarter's performance, with the CEO highlighting record deliveries as a foundation for the 230,000-unit annual target and market leadership, while the CFO noted improved vehicle gross margin due to cost control and a strengthened balance sheet from the May IPO - The CEO stated that record **33,059 deliveries** in Q1 provided a strong start towards the **230,000-unit annual target** and solidified the company's leading position in China's premium pure electric vehicle market above RMB 200,000[13](index=13&type=chunk) - The CFO highlighted **71.0% YoY growth in total revenue** and **154.9% YoY growth in gross profit**, with vehicle gross margin improving by **3.9 percentage points YoY** due to effective procurement cost control[37](index=37&type=chunk) [Financial Performance Analysis](index=3&type=section&id=Financial%20Results%20for%20the%20First%20Quarter%20of%202024) [Revenue Analysis](index=3&type=section&id=Revenues) Total revenue in Q1 2024 was RMB 14.74 billion, up 71.0% YoY, primarily driven by a 73.0% increase in vehicle sales revenue and an 82.0% increase in battery and other components sales, while R&D and other services revenue decreased due to reduced related-party services [Vehicle Sales Revenue](index=3&type=section&id=Vehicle%20sales) Q1 vehicle sales revenue reached RMB 8.17 billion, up 73.0% YoY due to increased ZEEKR vehicle sales, but declined 22.8% QoQ due to seasonal delivery impacts and product mix shifts affecting average selling price Vehicle Sales Revenue (RMB million) | Period | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | 2024 Q1 | 8,174.1 | | 2023 Q1 | 4,725.2 | | 2023 Q4 | 10,592.6 | [Sales of Batteries and Other Components](index=3&type=section&id=Sales%20of%20batteries%20and%20other%20components) Q1 sales of batteries and other components reached RMB 6.32 billion, increasing 82.0% YoY and 56.5% QoQ, driven by higher sales of battery packs, electric drive systems, and growth in overseas battery component business - This segment's revenue increased by **82.0% YoY** and **56.5% QoQ**, primarily due to increased sales of battery packs, electric drives, and growth in overseas business[15](index=15&type=chunk) [Research and Development and Other Services Revenue](index=3&type=section&id=Research%20and%20development%20service%20and%20other%20services) Q1 R&D and other services revenue was RMB 244 million, decreasing 42.4% YoY and 85.9% QoQ, mainly due to reduced sales of R&D services and technology licensing to related parties - This segment's revenue decreased by **42.4% YoY** and **85.9% QoQ**, primarily due to reduced services to related parties[38](index=38&type=chunk)[16](index=16&type=chunk) [Cost of Revenues and Gross Margin Analysis](index=4&type=section&id=Cost%20of%20Revenues%20and%20Gross%20Margin) Q1 gross profit was RMB 1.74 billion, up 154.9% YoY, with overall gross margin improving significantly to 11.8% from 7.9% last year, primarily driven by a 3.9 percentage point YoY increase in vehicle gross margin to 14.0% due to lower component procurement costs, while QoQ decline was impacted by new model deliveries and product mix changes Gross Profit and Gross Margin | Indicator | 2024 Q1 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q4 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Gross Profit (RMB million)** | 1,739.4 | 682.5 | 2,328.3 | | **Gross Margin** | 11.8% | 7.9% | 14.2% | | **Vehicle Gross Margin** | 14.0% | 10.1% | 15.3% | - The primary reason for the YoY increase in vehicle gross margin was procurement savings from lower automotive component and material costs[40](index=40&type=chunk) [Operating Expenses Analysis](index=4&type=section&id=Operating%20Expenses) In Q1 2024, total operating expenses were RMB 3.83 billion, with selling, general, and administrative expenses at RMB 1.95 billion (up 51.9% YoY) for staff growth, marketing, and channel expansion, and R&D expenses at RMB 1.93 billion (up 6.7% YoY) for product portfolio and intelligent technology expansion [Selling, General and Administrative Expenses](index=4&type=section&id=Selling%2C%20general%20and%20administrative%20expenses) Q1 selling, general, and administrative expenses were RMB 1.95 billion, up 51.9% YoY, primarily driven by increased staff compensation, marketing activities for domestic and international vehicle sales, and higher rent and related costs from offline channel expansion - Expenses increased by **51.9%** to **RMB 1.95 billion**, primarily driven by staff compensation, marketing activities, and offline channel expansion[20](index=20&type=chunk) [Research and Development Expenses](index=4&type=section&id=Research%20and%20development%20expenses) Q1 R&D expenses were RMB 1.93 billion, up 6.7% YoY, mainly due to increased staff compensation from a growing R&D workforce and higher costs to support an expanding product portfolio and intelligent technologies - Expenses increased by **6.7%** to **RMB 1.93 billion**, primarily supporting staff growth, product portfolio expansion, and technology development[41](index=41&type=chunk) [Operating Loss and Net Loss](index=5&type=section&id=Net%20Loss%20and%20Net%20Loss%20Per%20Share) In Q1 2024, the company's loss continued to improve, with operating loss narrowing 11.2% to RMB 2.09 billion, net loss narrowing 18.0% to RMB 2.02 billion, and adjusted non-GAAP net loss narrowing 17.0% to RMB 2.02 billion, resulting in basic and diluted net loss per share of RMB 1.01 Loss Performance (RMB million) | Indicator | 2024 Q1 | 2023 Q1 | YoY Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **Operating Loss** | (2,086.9) | (2,349.2) | -11.2% | | **Net Loss** | (2,022.1) | (2,465.4) | -18.0% | | **Adjusted Net Loss (Non-GAAP)** | (2,019.4) | (2,432.6) | -17.0% | - Basic and diluted net loss per share in Q1 was **RMB 1.01** (**US$0.14**), compared to RMB 1.20 in the prior year period and RMB 1.49 in the previous quarter[45](index=45&type=chunk)[23](index=23&type=chunk) [Balance Sheet Summary](index=5&type=section&id=Balance%20Sheets) As of March 31, 2024, the company held RMB 3.79 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, with total assets of RMB 28.53 billion and total liabilities of RMB 39.27 billion - As of March 31, 2024, the company held **RMB 3.79 billion** (**US$525.1 million**) in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash[46](index=46&type=chunk) Key Balance Sheet Items (As of March 31, 2024, RMB thousand) | Item | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | **Total Assets** | 28,530,040 | | **Total Liabilities** | 39,270,781 | | **Total Shareholders' Equity (Deficit)** | (10,740,741) | [Appendices and Supplementary Information](index=5&type=section&id=Supplementary%20Information) [Conference Call Information](index=5&type=section&id=Conference%20Call) Management will host an earnings conference call on June 11, 2024, at 8:00 AM U.S. Eastern Time (8:00 PM Beijing/Hong Kong Time), with online registration available for investors - The earnings conference call is scheduled for **June 11, 2024**, with online registration and webcast available[66](index=66&type=chunk)[25](index=25&type=chunk)[48](index=48&type=chunk) [About ZEEKR](index=6&type=section&id=About%20ZEEKR) ZEEKR, established in March 2021, is a rapidly growing intelligent electric vehicle technology company dedicated to leading automotive electrification, intelligence, and innovation through developing and selling next-generation premium intelligent EVs and technology-driven solutions, including models like ZEEKR 001, 009, and X - ZEEKR is a company focused on premium intelligent electric vehicles and technology solutions, with a product portfolio including **ZEEKR 001**, **ZEEKR 009**, and **ZEEKR X** models[67](index=67&type=chunk)[49](index=49&type=chunk) [Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures](index=6&type=section&id=Non-GAAP%20Financial%20Measures) The company uses non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted operating loss and adjusted net loss, to evaluate performance and make decisions, excluding share-based compensation expenses to provide a clearer understanding of underlying business trends and future prospects - The company uses non-GAAP financial measures to exclude the impact of share-based compensation expenses, aiming to help investors better understand core operating performance[50](index=50&type=chunk) [Financial Statements](index=8&type=section&id=Financial%20Statements) This section includes the company's unaudited condensed consolidated balance sheets, statements of comprehensive loss, and reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP results, detailing financial data for the reporting period [Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=8&type=section&id=UNAUDITED%20CONDENSED%20CONSOLIDATED%20BALANCE%20SHEETS) [Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Loss](index=10&type=section&id=UNAUDITED%20CONDENSED%20CONSOLIDATED%20STATEMENTS%20OF%20COMPREHENSIVE%20%28LOSS%29%2FINCOME) [Unaudited Reconciliations of GAAP and Non-GAAP Results](index=12&type=section&id=UNAUDITED%20RECONCILIATIONS%20OF%20GAAP%20AND%20NON-GAAP%20RESULTS)
​晚点财经丨日本汽车业再曝造假丑闻;曾经的核心资产现在怎么样了?
晚点LatePost· 2024-06-04 10:05
日本汽车业再曝造假丑闻 日本国土交通省(相当于交通部与建设部)6 月 3 日通报称,丰田、本田、马自达、雅马哈、铃木被 发现在多款车型认证过程中提交虚假数据,现在已被要求暂停出货。去年底,丰田旗下的大发汽车被 指长期伪造碰撞测试数据,已经暂停出货。 日本汽车业再曝造假丑闻 曾经的核心资产现在怎么样了? 新能源销量二梯队背后的爆款们 当一家对冲基金要 IPO "截至 5 月底,共有 5 家汽车制造商涉嫌在车型指定申请中进行了不当行为……这种行为不仅会损害 用户的信任,同时也会动摇汽车认证制度的基础……" 日本国土交通省说。根据日本规定,进入日本 市场的整车和零部件,均需要通过型式指定,由日本国土交通省监管。日本的整车型式测试包括安 全,排放,油耗,噪音,由国土交通省指定机构负责测试和输出报告。 五家日本车企在各自官网刊登了相关说明。丰田三款现役车型(Corolla Fielder、Corolla Axio 以及 Yaris Cross)涉及提交行人保护测试虚假数据等问题,四款过去生产的车型(Crown、Isis、Sienta 和 雷克萨斯 RX)涉及碰撞测试的不当应对。 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标,第一时间获取 ...
极氪靠一款车冲上美股,然后呢?
晚点LatePost· 2024-05-12 12:01
以下文章来源于晚点Auto ,作者晚点团队 晚点Auto . 从制造到创造,从不可能到可能。《晚点LatePost》旗下汽车品牌。 极氪上市首日涨 35%,但至今近半销量来自三年前上市的第一款车。 文丨赵宇 编辑丨 黄俊杰 此外,受新能源车型的冲击,宝马 3 系、奥迪 A4L 和奔驰 C 级等豪华品牌燃油车也在不同程度降 价。激烈的竞争之下,极氪 007 能否保持当前的销量,仍然存有疑问。 根据规划,极氪计划到 2025 年实现年销 65 万辆。然而,极氪 2023 年交付 11.9 万辆,2024 年的销 量目标也只有 23 万辆。如果要在 2025 年实现既定目标,则明年的销量同比增幅需要超过 180%。 北京时间 5 月 10 日晚,极氪在纽交所上市。截至收盘,极氪股价为 28.3 美元 / 股,较发行价上涨 34.6%,市值为 69 亿美元。 极氪曾在 2023 年 11 月首次递表,谋求以 130 亿美元的估值在美国上市,这与极氪 2023 年 2 月启 动 A 轮融资时的估值持平。但当时中概股整体暴跌,二级市场给出的估值约为 85 亿美元,极氪决 定暂缓上市。 这次招股,极氪大幅调低预期。募资金额 ...
​晚点财经丨吉姆·西蒙斯不做价值投资,收益率跑赢巴菲特;单车撑起极氪 2.8 万美元市值;​学钢琴的孩子少了,雅马哈利润下滑
晚点LatePost· 2024-05-12 12:01
吉姆·西蒙斯去世,半生在用数学搞清楚市场发生了什么 极氪上市,一台车撑起 2.8 万美元市值 学钢琴的孩子少了,雅马哈利润下滑 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标,第一时间获取每日商业精华。 吉姆·西蒙斯去世,半生在用数学搞清楚市场发生了什么 有两个投资团队几乎年年跑赢市场,几十年来为投资者带去上千亿美元回报。 一个团队精简、只有几个人参与直接决策。不动用高等数学和编程语言,只在看过公司基本面后挑最 好的时机买入。平均一年做不了一次交易决策。这是巴菲特和芒格的伯克希尔哈撒韦。 另一个团队雇了数百名数学和物理学博士,用大量数据训练模型、写算法交易,对他们而言一家公司 跟标了名字的筹码没什么区别,电脑一天自动做出成千上万次交易。这是吉姆·西蒙斯的文艺复兴科 技。 图片来源:西蒙斯基金会 当地时间 5 月 10 日,文艺复兴创始人、数学家、破译学家吉姆·西蒙斯在曼哈顿的家中去世,享年 86 岁。西蒙斯的发言人乔纳森·加斯塔尔特证实了他的死讯,但没有具体说明死因。 西蒙斯一生都在求解。三岁时喜欢心算倍数,二十岁从麻省理工学院毕业,然后去加州大学伯克利分 校读博 —— 他听说那里的微分几何最好。毕业后在哈佛和麻省理工学院任教一 ...