开源证券近日发布电力设备低空经济行业周报：7月31日，深圳市发改委发布《深圳市低空基础设施高 质量建设方案（2024—2026年）》，目标到2026年底建成1200个起降点、开通1000条商业航线，实现 eVTOL和直升机1公里半径覆盖建成区50%以上，预计产业规模突破1300亿元，强化深圳全球低空经济 领导地位。 开源证券近日发布电力设备低空经济行业周报：7月31日，深圳市发改委发布《深圳市低空基础设施高 质量建设方案（2024—2026年）》，目标到2026年底建成1200个起降点、开通1000条商业航线，实现 eVTOL和直升机1公里半径覆盖建成区50%以上，预计产业规模突破1300亿元，强化深圳全球低空经济 领导地位。 以下为研究报告摘要： 深圳政策加码打造"低空经济第一城"，中创航空将亮相印尼应急救援博览会 7月28日-8月1日低空经济A股相关标的平均涨跌幅为-0.8%，涨幅前五标的分别为山河智能 （+28.9%）、西测测试（+10.6%）、四川九洲（+9.0%）、纵横股份（+8.8%）、莱斯信息 （+8.2%）；跌幅前五标的分别为宁德时代（-7.0%）、宝武镁业（-6.7%）、国轩高科（-5.9% ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the gold stocks have collectively strengthened due to rising risk aversion, driven by disappointing U.S. non-farm employment data, which has led to an increase in gold prices [1][2] - The non-farm employment report indicated an increase of 73,000 jobs in July, below the market expectation of 104,000, with the unemployment rate rising by 0.1 percentage points to 4.2% [1] - The gold price surged by $40 following the non-farm data release, closing at $3,363 per ounce, erasing previous losses [2] Group 2 - The long-term outlook suggests that the combination of "rate cut trades" and "Trump 2.0" will continue to catalyze gold prices through 2025, with central bank purchases providing strong support [3] - The World Gold Council reported that global gold demand is expected to reach 4,974 tons in 2024, a 1.5% increase from 4,899 tons in 2023, driven by strong central bank purchases and investment demand [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 49.71% of the index, with major companies including Zijin Mining, Northern Rare Earth, and Shandong Gold [4]

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is demonstrating strong resilience and is viewed as a "pioneer against involution" in the A-share market, particularly as the market hovers around the 3600-point mark [1][5]. ETF Fund Split - The non-ferrous leading ETF (159876) has completed a 1:2 fund share split, increasing the total shares from approximately 60.59 million to 121 million, while the net asset value per share decreased from 1.2683 yuan to 0.6341 yuan, effectively halving the unit net value [1][2]. - The purpose of the fund split is to lower the trading threshold for investors, making it easier for more participants to engage in the "anti-involution" investment opportunities in the A-share market [2][5]. Performance of Non-Ferrous Metal Index - The non-ferrous leading ETF tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index, which has significantly outperformed the broader market since the "9.24" market rally began in 2024, with a cumulative increase of 33.47% from September 23, 2024, to July 31, 2025, compared to 29.99% for the Shanghai Composite Index and 26.86% for the CSI 300 Index during the same period [3][11]. Investment Value - As of June 30, 2024, the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index had a price-to-book ratio of 2.24, indicating a historically low valuation at the 34.45 percentile since its inception, suggesting significant long-term investment value [5][11]. Composition of the Non-Ferrous Metal Index - The top ten constituents of the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index include major companies such as Northern Rare Earth (6.93%) and China Aluminum (4.30%), with the index covering 60 leading A-share companies in the non-ferrous metal sector [6][11]. - The index's weightings in copper, gold, aluminum, rare earths, and lithium are 26.1%, 16.3%, 15.8%, 8.5%, and 7.7% respectively, providing diversification benefits compared to investing in a single metal [6][11]. Fund Management and Growth - Huabao Fund has achieved over 100 billion yuan in assets under management for its equity ETFs, reflecting its commitment to providing high-quality financial services and supporting technological innovation [8][9]. - The firm has been recognized for its performance, winning the "Gold Fund - Passive Investment Fund Management Company Award" for three consecutive years from 2021 to 2023 [8][10].

Core Viewpoint - Innovation International Industrial Group Limited has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on the upstream aluminum industry, specifically alumina refining and electrolytic aluminum smelting [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The electrolytic aluminum industry in China has a high concentration, with a domestic CR5 of 45.3% and a global CR5 of approximately 30% [2] - The main trend in the industry is the "green electricity transformation," with policies requiring that by 2025, the use of green electricity in electrolytic aluminum should exceed 25% [3] Group 2: Company Structure and Operations - The founder, Cui Lixin, holds 100% of Innovation International through a BVI company, indicating a highly concentrated ownership structure prior to the IPO [4] - The company's main products include electrolytic aluminum (85% of revenue in 2024) and alumina (12.2% of revenue in 2024) [5] - Innovation International has a clear integrated layout covering energy (self-owned power plants), alumina refining, and electrolytic aluminum smelting, with self-sufficiency rates of 88% for electricity and 84% for alumina in 2024 [6] Group 3: Market Position and Financial Performance - By production volume in 2024, Innovation International ranks as the 12th largest electrolytic aluminum producer in China, with a market share of 1.8% [11] - The company has a significant cost advantage, with cash costs in the top 5% in China and top 30% globally [10] - The company’s revenue from its largest customer, Innovation New Materials, accounted for over 70% of total revenue, indicating a high customer concentration risk [12] Group 4: Financial Health and Challenges - The company's net profit for the first five months of 2025 was 856 million yuan, a decrease of 14.4% year-on-year, attributed to rising raw material costs [13] - The operating cash flow has shown fluctuations, with negative investment cash flow due to expansion investments [14] - The company has a weak debt structure, with short-term debt accounting for 74% of total debt as of May 2025 [15] Group 5: Future Plans and Risks - Innovation International plans to raise funds through the IPO to expand capacity, including a $277 million investment in a new electrolytic aluminum smelting plant in Saudi Arabia [21] - The company aims to allocate 40% of the IPO proceeds to green energy projects, targeting over 50% clean energy usage by 2027 [21] - Risks include high customer concentration, short-term debt repayment pressure, and uncertainties related to overseas projects [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [6][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent cooling of U.S. non-farm employment data has raised expectations for interest rate cuts, which in turn has boosted precious metal prices. The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q2 was reported at 3.0%, exceeding expectations, but concerns about economic slowdown persist [1][37]. - In the industrial metals segment, copper prices are expected to be driven by demand in the short term, despite recent pressures from a strong dollar and tariff announcements. The report notes a significant increase in global copper inventories [1][2]. - For energy metals, lithium prices have seen a decline due to reduced market sentiment, with carbon lithium prices dropping by 13.3% to 69,000 yuan/ton. The report anticipates a volatile price environment until supply disruptions are fully assessed [2][25]. Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - Precious metals are experiencing price recovery due to market expectations of interest rate cuts following disappointing employment data. The long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact despite short-term fluctuations [1][37]. - Copper prices are under pressure from increased inventories and tariff announcements, but demand dynamics may provide support in the near term [1][2]. - Aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate due to mixed production and demand signals, with a slight increase in theoretical operating capacity in the industry [1][2]. Energy Metals - Lithium prices have decreased, with carbon lithium down 2.1% to 71,000 yuan/ton, while supply disruptions are expected to impact future pricing [2][25]. - The report indicates a slight increase in the production of silicon metal, but the overall supply-demand balance remains unchanged, leading to stable pricing expectations [2]. Key Companies to Watch - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and others in the non-ferrous metals sector for potential investment opportunities [1][6].

Group 1 - The July Politburo meeting decided to hold the Fourth Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee in October to discuss the "14th Five-Year Plan" proposals, emphasizing the need for "solid foundation and comprehensive efforts" for achieving socialist modernization [12][13] - The macro policy focus has shifted from "quantity" to "quality," with the removal of phrases like "timely reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts," indicating a more cautious approach to economic stimulus [12][13] - The "de-rolling" policy has been officially defined, with a focus on "key industries" and a shift away from real estate-related discussions, reflecting a new development model in the real estate sector [13] Group 2 - The manufacturing PMI for July was reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector, with both supply and demand showing signs of decline [14] - Recent supply-demand policies have led to price increases in some commodities, which may boost PPI expectations; however, historical data suggests that price increases driven by strong reality tend to be more sustainable than those driven by strong expectations [14][15] Group 3 - The recent US-China trade talks have resulted in a temporary suspension of tariffs, but the long-term risks associated with reciprocal tariffs should not be underestimated, as the situation remains fluid and subject to change [17][20] - The trade talks have not yielded unexpected results, merely postponing risk points by 90 days, and the experience from the 2018 trade war indicates that the US stance can be unpredictable [20] Group 4 - The A-share market has seen a significant improvement in liquidity, with financing balances exceeding 2024 levels, indicating a potential for continued market performance [22] - The relationship between the stock and bond markets is characterized by a "see-saw" effect, where funds are shifting from the bond market to the stock market, driven by improved expectations for fundamentals [22][23] Group 5 - The overall profit expectations for A-shares in 2025 are likely to be weak, with a downward trend expected in the second and third quarters, followed by a potential recovery in the fourth quarter [25] - The profit growth in A-shares is primarily driven by year-on-year net profit margin increases, while revenue growth remains under pressure, indicating a challenging demand environment [25][27] Group 6 - The upcoming mid-year report disclosures in August are expected to enhance the importance of performance trading, with stocks showing high growth and strong opening characteristics likely to yield good returns [30] - Key industries to focus on in August include motorcycles and others, optical electronics, traditional Chinese medicine, lighting equipment, and agriculture [30][36] Group 7 - The recommended stocks for August include Lu'an Huanneng, which is positioned as a top choice for coking coal due to its resilient demand and potential for production capacity increases [37][38] - China Aluminum is highlighted for its strong position in the global aluminum industry, with expected profit increases driven by rising production volumes [37]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, particularly emphasizing investment opportunities in precious metals [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant adjustments in U.S. employment data, suggesting a shift in focus towards precious metal investments due to increased economic uncertainty [4]. - It notes a decline in various metal prices, with precious metals experiencing a mixed performance, while industrial metals face downward pressure due to seasonal demand and tariff impacts [5][10]. - The report suggests that the central bank's continued gold purchases indicate a long-term bullish trend for gold prices, with specific companies recommended for investment [5][22]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.94%, while the Shenzhen Component and CSI 300 Index dropped by 1.58% and 1.75%, respectively. The non-ferrous metals index underperformed, decreasing by 4.62% [6]. - Precious metals saw a 4.11% decline, with industrial metals like aluminum and copper also experiencing significant drops [10]. - Year-to-date performance shows precious metals up by 30.47%, indicating a strong recovery potential despite recent declines [10]. Price Changes and Company Valuations - The report details price changes for various metals, with copper, aluminum, and lead showing declines of 1.42%, 2.64%, and 2.11%, respectively, while gold prices increased by 2.32% [15]. - Key companies in the industry are evaluated, with specific price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios provided for major players like Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold [19][20]. Precious Metals Analysis - The report indicates that the U.S. non-farm payrolls data has created a favorable environment for gold investments, with central bank purchases expected to support price increases [22]. - The gold ETF holdings have slightly decreased, but the overall sentiment remains positive due to ongoing purchases by the Chinese central bank [22]. Industrial Metals Overview - Copper supply is under pressure due to increased tariffs on imports, while demand remains stable with slight increases in production rates [33]. - Aluminum prices have decreased, but the report anticipates a long-term upward trend due to supply constraints and policy support [49]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential in the metals sector, particularly those involved in gold mining and aluminum production [5][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the non-ferrous metals sector, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining [4][6][10]. Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in the probability of interest rate cuts, which has led to rising prices for both industrial and precious metals. The macroeconomic environment is expected to support metal prices in the second half of the year [2][4]. - Industrial metals are anticipated to benefit from ongoing macroeconomic policy support in China, with a focus on the "14th Five-Year Plan" and continued investment in infrastructure [2][4]. - Precious metals, particularly gold, are expected to see a long-term upward trend due to central bank purchases and weakening US dollar credit [4][6]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - Copper prices have been affected by the US imposing a 50% tariff on semi-finished copper, leading to a significant drop in COMEX copper prices. However, domestic demand is showing signs of recovery with an increase in the operating rate of copper rod enterprises to 71.73% [2][4]. - Aluminum production capacity remains stable, but demand is weak due to seasonal factors, with social inventory increasing to 544,000 tons [2][4]. - Key companies recommended include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Nonferrous Mining [2][4]. Energy Metals - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to the impact of the Democratic Republic of Congo's mining ban, while lithium prices have seen a rapid decline amid cautious market sentiment [3][4]. - Nickel prices are projected to remain strong due to low inventory levels and increased purchasing activity from downstream sectors [3][4]. - Recommended companies include Huayou Cobalt and Zangge Mining [3][4]. Precious Metals - Gold prices are expected to rise due to strong central bank purchases and a favorable macroeconomic environment, with the report highlighting a long-term upward trend for gold prices [4][6]. - Silver prices are also expected to increase, driven by industrial demand and recovery in the market [4][6]. - Key companies recommended include Shandong Gold, Zhongjin Gold, and Zijin Mining [4][6].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance and holdings of the Dachen State-Owned Enterprise Reform Flexible Allocation Mixed A Fund, which has a recent net value of 3.6100 yuan and a year-to-date return of 13.92% [1] - The fund was established on September 21, 2017, and as of June 30, 2025, it has a total scale of 1 billion yuan [1] - The top ten stock holdings of the fund include Shandong Gold, Sailun Tire, Guangsheng Nonferrous, Zhongjin Gold, Haohua Technology, Zijin Mining, Huatai Securities, Yun Aluminum, China Aluminum, and Xingye Silver Tin, with a combined holding percentage of 66.87% [1] Group 2 - The fund's recent performance shows a weekly return of -2.90% and a three-month return of 13.02% [1] - The fund manager is Han Chuang, indicating a specific management strategy and expertise [1] - The fund's focus on state-owned enterprises suggests a targeted investment approach within the Chinese market [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - A significant block trade of China Aluminum occurred on August 1, with a transaction volume of 270,700 shares and a transaction value of 2,000,500 yuan, at a price of 7.39 yuan per share, indicating active trading interest in the stock [2][3]. Trading Activity - In the last three months, China Aluminum has recorded a total of four block trades, with a cumulative transaction value of 26,553,100 yuan [3]. - On the same day, the closing price of China Aluminum was 7.39 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.54%, with a daily turnover rate of 0.73% and a total trading volume of 713 million yuan [3]. - The net outflow of main funds for the day was 95,959,700 yuan, and over the past five days, the stock has seen a cumulative decline of 4.27% with a total net outflow of 412 million yuan [3]. Margin Trading Data - The latest margin financing balance for China Aluminum stands at 2,322 million yuan, with a decrease of 28,587,300 yuan over the past five days, representing a decline of 1.22% [3].