震荡中突围 截至8月24日，南华基金管理有限公司已率先发布旗下20只产品的中报，其中债基占12只。 具体来看，报告期内，上述12只债基（仅统计主份额）的净值增长率均为正收益。其中，南华瑞泽债券 A、南华瑞利债券A、南华价值启航纯债债券A等6只，实现超越同期业绩比较基准收益率。 南华瑞恒中短债债券发布的中报显示，一季度初，在宽松的资金环境中，利率低位运行，随后资金面出 现超预期收紧，叠加市场风险偏好提升，利率大幅上行，一季度末在央行呵护下企稳回落。进入二季 度，资金面回暖以及避险需求共同推动债市上涨，季初利率显著下行，随后窄幅震荡。 面对复杂的市场环境，已披露中报的多只债基通过灵活调整投资组合，积极应对震荡行情。数据显示， 截至记者发稿，从已披露数据来看，南华价值启航纯债债券A、南华瑞扬纯债A、南华瑞享纯债A、南 华瑞泽债券A、南华瑞利债券A、南华瑞扬纯债A、南华瑞恒中短债债券A等6只债基的上半年净值增长 率跑赢了业绩比较基准。这6只产品中，按二级投资类型划分，中长期纯债型基金、混合债券型二级基 金、短期纯债型基金数量分别为3只、2只、1只。 上半年，部分债基加大了对短久期债券的配置比例，以降低利率波动带来的风 ...

Group 1 - The overall credit bond yields have followed the adjustment of interest rate bonds, with credit spreads showing mixed changes. Specifically, the decline in the 3-5 year high-grade perpetual bonds was the most significant, reaching 6-11 basis points, while the longer-term bonds also experienced notable declines [1][11] - City investment bonds saw a greater decline compared to medium-short bonds, with the 7-year ultra-long city investment bonds experiencing the largest drop of around 8 basis points [1][11] - The credit spread for medium-short bonds, especially those with maturities of 4 years and above, was generally weaker than that of the same maturity national development bonds, leading to a passive narrowing of credit spreads during the week [1][11] Group 2 - Since July, the trading volume of public credit bonds has been continuously shrinking, and the duration has also decreased from its high levels. The long-term credit bonds (over 5 years) have shown relative resilience due to buying from insurance and wealth management products, while the buying power from funds has decreased significantly [2][16] - The valuation of ETF constituent bonds has generally followed the market adjustment, but the decline in valuation for constituent bonds was structurally lower than that of non-constituent bonds of similar maturity [3][24] - The long-end constituent bonds, especially ultra-long bonds, were more resilient during the week, with most individual bonds experiencing smaller valuation declines compared to non-constituent bonds [3][44] Group 3 - Since May, the trading duration of perpetual bonds has been continuously extended, with both the trading volume and proportion of bonds with maturities over 5 years reaching year-to-date highs. This indicates a shift from trading to allocation among major participating institutions [4][46] - The supply of perpetual bonds, including TLAC bonds, has significantly increased during this period, and the buying power from public funds has been higher than selling power, particularly for long-end perpetual bonds [4][47] Group 4 - As of August 15, 2025, some AA and AA(2) credit bonds with maturities within 2 years have seen yields drop to over 1.9%, indicating the value of short-term bonds. These bonds also possess defensive attributes amid market volatility, as the bond market will continue to be influenced by equity market fluctuations [5][60] - The 3-4 year perpetual bonds have emerged as a cost-effective option, with their yield curve steepening and current valuations being higher than those of similarly rated medium-short bonds and city investment bonds, offering better trading value and liquidity [5][60]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a continued preference for high-grade long-duration credit bonds amidst a fluctuating but generally strong market trend [1][62] - It highlights a slight decrease in the issuance scale of credit bonds in July, with a net financing increase, indicating a mixed but generally positive market sentiment [2][12][19] Group 1: Primary Market Conditions - In July, a total of 1,435 credit bonds were issued, amounting to 12,900.31 billion, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.27% [12] - The net financing amount for credit bonds increased to 3,662.83 billion, a month-on-month increase of 954.08 billion [12] - The issuance rates for various maturities decreased, with overall changes ranging from -20 BP to -1 BP [14][18] Group 2: Secondary Market Conditions - The total transaction volume of credit bonds in July reached 41,783.17 billion, representing a month-on-month growth of 4.05% [19] - Credit spreads for most varieties of credit bonds narrowed, with the trend mirroring that of yields [22][29] - The report notes that the overall yield of credit bonds exhibited a volatile trend, with a monthly average decline compared to June [62] Group 3: Investment Perspectives - The report suggests that the current market conditions favor high-grade bonds due to their potential for price recovery and the limited space for compression in short-term credit spreads [62][67] - It recommends focusing on bonds from state-owned enterprises and high-quality private enterprises with strong guarantees, as these are expected to provide better risk-adjusted returns [67] - The report also indicates that the ongoing adjustments in the market necessitate a strategic approach to bond selection, emphasizing the importance of monitoring interest rate trends and individual bond coupon values [62][67]

Fixed Income Research - The report indicates that the overall issuance guidance rates for credit bonds have mostly decreased, with a change range of -5 BP to 2 BP [2] - The issuance scale of credit bonds has increased on a month-on-month basis, with net financing amounts for medium-term notes and short-term financing bonds rising, while corporate bonds, company bonds, and targeted tools saw a decrease [2] - In the secondary market, the transaction amount of credit bonds has increased, with all varieties showing growth; however, credit bond yields have risen by 4-14 BP [2] - The report suggests that despite the recent yield adjustments, the conditions for a trend reversal in credit bonds remain insufficient, but the support from insufficient supply and strong demand may lead to a potential decline in yields [2] - The report emphasizes a cautious yet optimistic approach to current configurations and trading strategies, focusing on the trends in interest rate bonds and the coupon value of individual bonds [2] Industry Research - In the steel sector, prices have rebounded, leading to some replenishment intentions downstream, with macro "anti-involution" news positively impacting steel prices [5] - The aluminum market is expected to experience price fluctuations due to insufficient fundamental support, with attention on the outcomes of the July Politburo meeting and US-China trade negotiations [5] - Lithium prices have been positively influenced by "anti-involution" news, but there is still significant pressure from oversupply, necessitating caution regarding speculative demand [5] - The rare earth sector has seen a significant increase in exports, with June exports rising by 32.02% month-on-month, indicating potential for further price strength due to improving export demand [5] - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the steel industry and the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting specific companies for potential investment [6]

Group 1 - The credit bond market is expected to experience strong fluctuations in August due to multiple factors, including the upcoming Politburo meeting and the end of the temporary period for "reciprocal tariffs" between China and the US on August 14, which may affect market sentiment [1][11] - The overall trend of credit bonds is likely to remain stable in the short term, with limited downward potential, as the central bank's supportive stance continues to provide backing for the bond market [1][11] - After recent adjustments, credit bond spreads are still compressing, and institutional investors are expected to gradually enter the market, driven by the current "asset shortage" environment [1][11] Group 2 - The supply of credit bonds is not expected to increase significantly, with the growth of sci-tech bonds potentially offsetting the reduction in local government bonds, but overall net supply is likely to remain constrained [2][14] - The weighted coupon rate of sci-tech bonds is below 2%, indicating a scarcity of high-yield assets, which maintains a strong demand for credit bonds in the market [2][14] - The investment value of credit bonds has improved after a significant adjustment, particularly for mid-to-high-grade short- to medium-term credit varieties, which are now yielding above 10% historical levels [19][20] Group 3 - Manufacturing, new infrastructure, and consumption are expected to be key areas of policy focus in the second half of the year, with various measures likely to be introduced to support these sectors [22][23] - The macroeconomic data for the first half of 2025 shows a resilient economy, with GDP growth of 5.3% and industrial output growth of 6.4%, indicating a stable economic environment for credit bonds [22][23] - The government is likely to implement more policies to regulate the competitive order in the new energy vehicle industry, which may improve cash flow for upstream suppliers [24][29]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - From July 14th to July 20th, the issuance guiding rates announced by the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors showed divergence, with high - grade rates rising overall and medium - low - grade rates falling overall, with a change range of - 5 BP to 3 BP. The issuance scale of credit bonds decreased slightly month - on - month, and the net financing amount also decreased. In the secondary market, the trading volume of credit bonds continued to decline, and the yields of credit bonds decreased overall. The credit spreads of medium - short - term notes, enterprise bonds, and urban investment bonds narrowed overall. [1][62] - From a long - term perspective, the yields of credit bonds are still in a downward channel. Due to the current high price, the risk of chasing high is relatively large. When allocating, investors can wait for opportunities and increase positions during adjustments. They should focus on the change trend of interest - rate bonds and the coupon value of individual bonds. At present, the effect of credit sinking is not good, and there is a demand to increase the duration to increase returns. High - grade 5 - year varieties can be considered first. [1][62] - The central and local governments have continuously optimized real - estate policies, which have played a positive role in promoting the real - estate market to stop falling and stabilize. For real - estate bonds, investors with high risk preferences can consider early layout, focusing on central and state - owned enterprises with stable historical valuations and high - quality private - enterprise bonds with strong guarantees. For urban investment bonds, the possibility of default is very low, and they can still be a key allocation variety of credit bonds. [2][66][68] Summary by Directory 1. Primary Market Situation 1.1 Issuance and Maturity Scale - From July 14th to July 20th, a total of 343 credit bonds were issued, with an issuance amount of 281.016 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 0.66%. The net financing amount was 44.902 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 38.421 billion yuan. [12] - In terms of different varieties, the issuance amounts of corporate bonds and private placement notes decreased, while those of enterprise bonds, medium - term notes, and short - term financing bills increased. The net financing amounts of enterprise bonds and private placement notes increased, while those of corporate bonds, medium - term notes, and short - term financing bills decreased. The net financing amounts of enterprise bonds, private placement notes, and short - term financing bills were negative, while those of corporate bonds and medium - term notes were positive. [13] 1.2 Issuance Interest Rates - The issuance guiding rates announced by the National Association of Financial Market Institutional Investors showed divergence. High - grade rates rose overall, and medium - low - grade rates fell overall, with a change range of - 5 BP to 3 BP. By term, the 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 7 - year varieties had different interest - rate change ranges. By grade, different grades also had different interest - rate change ranges. [14] 2. Secondary Market Situation 2.1 Market Trading Volume - From July 14th to July 20th, the total trading volume of credit bonds was 864.586 billion yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 5.24%. The trading volumes of all varieties decreased. [19] 2.2 Credit Spreads - For medium - short - term notes, all varieties' credit spreads narrowed. For enterprise bonds, all varieties' credit spreads narrowed. For urban investment bonds, most varieties' credit spreads narrowed, but there were some exceptions in specific grades and terms. [22][33][37] 2.3 Term Spreads and Rating Spreads - For AA + medium - short - term notes, the 3Y - 1Y term spread narrowed by 0.35 BP, the 5Y - 3Y term spread narrowed by 0.44 BP, and the 7Y - 3Y term spread widened by 2.17 BP. For 3 - year medium - short - term notes, the (AA - )-(AAA) rating spread narrowed by 1.00 BP, the (AA)-(AAA) rating spread widened by 1.00 BP, and the (AA + )-(AAA) rating spread remained unchanged. [46] - For AA + enterprise bonds, the 3Y - 1Y term spread narrowed by 1.19 BP, the 5Y - 3Y term spread widened by 0.78 BP, and the 7Y - 3Y term spread widened by 1.28 BP. For 3 - year enterprise bonds, the (AA - )-(AAA) rating spread widened by 1.00 BP, the (AA)-(AAA) rating spread widened by 1.00 BP, and the (AA + )-(AAA) rating spread remained unchanged. [52] - For AA + urban investment bonds, the 3Y - 1Y term spread narrowed by 0.45 BP, the 5Y - 3Y term spread widened by 2.29 BP, and the 7Y - 3Y term spread widened by 1.24 BP. For 3 - year urban investment bonds, the (AA - )-(AAA) rating spread widened by 7.00 BP, the (AA)-(AAA) rating spread widened by 2.00 BP, and the (AA + )-(AAA) rating spread widened by 1.00 BP. [55] 3. Credit Rating Adjustment and Default Bond Statistics 3.1 Credit Rating Adjustment Statistics - From July 14th to July 20th, a total of 4 companies had their ratings (including outlooks) adjusted, with 1 downgraded and 3 upgraded. [59] 3.2 Default and Extended - Maturity Bond Statistics - From July 14th to July 20th, there were no credit - bond defaults or bond - maturity extensions. [61] 4. Investment Views - The investment views are basically the same as the core viewpoints, emphasizing the current situation of credit - bond issuance, trading, and spread changes, and providing investment suggestions from absolute and relative return perspectives. At the same time, it is necessary to pay attention to the impact of stable - growth policies, capital - market conditions, and supply - demand patterns on the bond market. [1][62] - For real - estate bonds, with the real - estate market showing signs of stabilization, investors with high risk preferences can consider early layout, focusing on high - quality bonds and properly speculating on the trading opportunities brought by the valuation repair of undervalued real - estate enterprise bonds. For urban investment bonds, they can still be a key allocation variety, and the short - term credit risk is controllable. [2][66][68]

Group 1 - The report suggests that for most investors, it is time to gradually take profits on ultra-long credit bonds due to declining odds of capital gains, limited arbitrage opportunities, and weak coupon protection [6][14][18] - The performance of ultra-long credit bonds has been primarily driven by the compression of liquidity premiums in June, but this trend is expected to be difficult to sustain moving forward [7][14] - The report indicates that the current coupon advantage of ultra-long credit bonds is not significant, and their ability to protect against interest rate fluctuations is lacking, leading to a low probability of success for short-term holdings [12][18] Group 2 - The weekly review of credit bonds shows that the issuance volume remained stable, with a slight increase in maturity amounts, resulting in a net inflow of 452 billion yuan, which is a decrease compared to previous weeks [20][22] - The average coupon rates for newly issued AAA and AA+ rated bonds were 1.99% and 2.24%, respectively, indicating a mixed trend in issuance costs [20][21] - The liquidity of credit bonds continues to weaken, with a decrease in turnover rate to 1.76%, reflecting a return to a relatively low level [23]

Core Viewpoint - The report provides an overview of the performance and management of the Jianxin Credit Enhanced Bond Fund for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting its investment strategy, financial indicators, and market conditions affecting the fund's performance [2][3][4]. Fund Product Overview - Fund Name: Jianxin Credit Enhanced Bond Fund - Fund Manager: Jianxin Fund Management Co., Ltd. - Fund Custodian: Bank of Communications Co., Ltd. - Total Fund Shares at Period End: 78,551,329.16 shares - Investment Objective: To achieve long-term stable appreciation of fund assets while maintaining liquidity and controlling risks [3][4]. Financial Indicators and Fund Performance - The fund's net value growth rates for different periods are as follows: - Last three months: 0.73% - Last six months: 0.91% - Last year: 2.47% - Last three years: 8.51% - Last five years: 25.99% [5][12]. - The fund's performance is benchmarked against the China Bond Total Index Yield [3]. Investment Strategy - The fund employs a top-down approach to determine the duration of the investment portfolio, combined with a bottom-up selection of individual bonds. It also participates in new stock issuances and additional stock subscriptions to enhance returns [3][4]. Market Conditions - The macroeconomic environment in Q2 2025 showed resilience despite external shocks, with a slight decline in manufacturing investment and a rebound in consumer spending. The CPI recorded a slight negative growth of -0.1% from January to May [9][10][11]. - The bond market experienced a downward trend in yields, with the 10-year government bond yield decreasing by 15 basis points to 1.69% [11][12]. Fund Management - The fund manager has adhered to regulations and internal controls to ensure fair treatment of investors and prevent conflicts of interest. The investment strategy has focused on maintaining a flexible bond duration and a higher allocation to convertible bonds [8][12].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the credit bond ETF fund (511200) has shown resilience in the face of market adjustments, with a slight increase in value and strong demand supporting its performance [1] - As of July 15, 2025, the credit bond ETF fund has risen by 0.15%, with the latest price reported at 101.29 yuan [1] - The fund has achieved an average daily trading volume of 7.72 billion yuan over the past week, ranking first among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - In the past 10 trading days, the credit bond ETF fund has attracted a total of 585 million yuan in inflows [1] - Despite a slight adjustment in the bond market due to a strong stock market, the demand for credit bonds remains positive, with expectations for credit spreads to maintain low levels [1] - The underlying bonds of the credit bond ETF fund are primarily AAA-rated bonds from large issuers, mainly state-owned enterprises, with a total of 245 component bonds covering a maturity range of 0-30 years [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the continuous evolution of fixed income investment frameworks, highlighting the career development of Chen Yunhui, a seasoned fund manager at GF Fund [1][2] - Chen Yunhui has built a comprehensive credit bond investment system over her ten-year career, focusing on both top-down and bottom-up approaches to enhance her investment strategies [4][5] - The current macroeconomic environment presents both opportunities and challenges, necessitating a more strategic approach to asset allocation and investment in credit bonds [5] Group 2 - Chen Yunhui's career began in 2011 at Huatai Securities, where she transitioned from equity research to fixed income investment, developing a keen ability to manage positions actively [2][3] - Her experience across different financial sectors, including securities asset management and bank wealth management, has equipped her with a multifaceted skill set in risk control and investment management [2][3] - The investment strategies employed by Chen Yunhui focus on balancing risk and return, particularly in a low-return, low-risk environment, by emphasizing the importance of left-side positioning and dynamic position management [5]