2026 年 01 月 28 日 双融日报 --鑫融讯 分析师：万蓉 S1050511020001 wanrong@cfsc.com.cn 市场情绪：55 分（中性） 最近一年大盘走势 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (%) 沪深300 相关研究 | 1、《双融日报》2026-01-27 | | --- | | 2、《双融日报》2026-01-26 | | 3、《双融日报》2026-01-23 | ▌ 华鑫市场情绪温度指标：（中性） 华鑫市场情绪温度指标显示，昨日市场情绪综合评分为 55 分，市场情绪处于"中性"。历史市场情绪趋势变化可参 考图表 1 ▌ 热点主题追踪 今日热点主题：化工、银行、消费 1、化工主题："十五五"规划强调扩大内需，叠加美国降息 周期，化工品需求预期提升。行业供需双底基本确立，政策 助力产能出清，且资本开支连续两年负增长，供给端持续收 缩。市场普遍预计，2026 年化工行业将迎来周期拐点，有望 实现从估值修复到业绩增长的"戴维斯双击"，开启新一轮 上 升 周 期 。 相 关 标 的 ： 卫 星 化 学 （ 002648 ） 、 云 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yonghui Supermarket is projected to incur a net loss of 2.14 billion yuan in 2025, with a net loss of 2.94 billion yuan after deducting non-recurring items, raising concerns about its operational strategy and sustainability in the retail sector [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance and Store Closures - In 2025, Yonghui closed 381 stores, averaging one closure per day, resulting in a loss of 1.174 billion yuan from store adjustments and closures, accumulating over 11.6 billion yuan in losses over the past five years [4][12]. - The company reported a non-recurring net loss of 2.94 billion yuan, which has become a significant burden for its operations [5][12]. - Despite the challenges, 31 reformed stores completed in 2024 saw sales increase to 4.662 billion yuan in 2025, a 71% year-on-year growth, with profits rising by 112% [25][29]. Group 2: Strategic Challenges and Market Position - Yonghui's traditional expansion strategy has led to a decline in store profitability, with many locations operating at a loss due to high operational costs and ineffective supply chain management [11][12]. - The shift in consumer preferences towards convenience and quality has diminished the market share of traditional supermarkets, including Yonghui, which struggles to adapt to these changes [10][13]. - The company's attempts to emulate the successful model of "Fat Donglai" have faced difficulties due to structural differences, including its status as a publicly listed company, which complicates the implementation of flexible management practices [21][22]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Outlook - The retail landscape is evolving, with instant retail becoming mainstream, pushing traditional supermarkets to either adapt or face obsolescence [29]. - Yonghui's transformation is seen as a broader industry challenge, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive restructuring of strategy, supply chain, and organizational systems to regain consumer trust [29]. - The company faces skepticism from investors due to ongoing losses and management's stock sell-off, raising questions about its ability to stabilize and grow in the future [26][29].

Group 1: Company News - Haolilai apologized for selling bread that had fallen on the floor, stating that the affected batch has been destroyed and employee training will be strengthened. The incident involved a new employee and occurred on January 25, 2026 [1] - Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol's total compensation for the fiscal year 2025 will be $31 million, a significant decrease from $96 million in fiscal year 2024 [2] - Anta Sports announced plans to acquire 29.06% of Puma SE for €1.505 billion, aiming to become the largest shareholder and enhance its global market position [3] - Mixue Ice City won a trademark infringement case against six similarly named companies, reinforcing its brand recognition as it prepares for a 2025 IPO [4] - Alibaba's charity initiative "Yiqi Hui Jia Guo Nian" promotes over 300 specialty products from 24 underdeveloped counties [5] Group 2: Industry Developments - The State Administration for Market Regulation penalized Shenzhen Romoss Technology for quality issues related to power banks, highlighting regulatory efforts to maintain market order [7] - Taobao Flash Sale participated in drafting the "Digital Service Standards for Elderly Meal Assistance," marking a significant step in community service [8] - JD.com launched a national subsidy program for specific 3C digital products, offering a 15% discount in 15 provinces [10] - Fat Donglai's founder announced a shift towards original research and development to enhance product quality [11] - Tmall International reported that 2,415 overseas brands opened their first stores on the platform in 2025, indicating strong growth in international brand presence [12] Group 3: Retail Expansion - Beijing Yonghui Supermarket's Hongkun Plaza store was forced to close due to property management issues, impacting its operations [15] - Sam's Club plans to open two new stores in Tianjin in 2026, with construction progressing as scheduled [16] - JD's Qixian Xiaochu brand is accelerating its national expansion, opening new stores in multiple cities [17] - Aote's store count in China reached 95, with plans to exceed 100 by the end of the first quarter [23] - McDonald's Shanghai location has reached 600 stores, with plans to expand to over 10,000 locations by 2028 [21] - Domino's Pizza opened its 1,405th store in Sanya, marking a significant milestone in its expansion strategy [21] - Master Kong's Chongqing smart production base has reached full production capacity, with a daily output of 150,000 boxes [21]

近日，永辉超市北京大兴一调改门店突然停业一事引发关注。 1月26日深夜，北京永辉超市就鸿坤广场店暂停营业一事发布声明称，该店此次暂停营业，系因物业方在未与公司进行有效沟通及达成一致 的情况下，自2026年1月15日起，物业方单方面多次采取断水、断暖等措施，阻碍门店正常营业。1月23日，公司通过水源车运水至收货 口、水桶搬运至门店来恢复生产营业，物业方则采取封闭扶梯、直梯、铁马阻拦等方式关闭所有顾客能进入门店的通道，最终致使门店被 迫闭店。物业方声称"擅自闭店"的说法与上述事实严重不符。 图片来源：北京永辉超市微信公众号截图 就相关费用问题，永辉超市称，物业方声明中所涉款项，其中存在部分缺乏合同及事实依据。此外，因北京鸿坤伟业房地产开发有限公司 对外存在债务纠纷，公司此前已收到法院相关文件，要求公司暂停支付房租以保障债权人利益，此文件内容公司早在收到文件时同步出租 方及相关方，出租方及相关方对此信息已知晓。因此物业方提出的欠缴房租与事实不符。 永辉超市还表示，目前，永辉超市在北京的其他所有门店均正常运营。对于鸿坤广场店，公司仍在积极与相关方沟通，尽最大努力争取门 店早日恢复营业。 当日稍早时候，北京鸿坤广场购物 ...

Core Insights - The traditional retail industry in China has faced significant challenges over the past three years, with several companies, including Meitehao, entering bankruptcy restructuring due to liquidity crises and operational difficulties [2][5][6] Group 1: Company-Specific Developments - Meitehao announced its bankruptcy restructuring on January 25, 2026, and has appointed Shennong Investment (Shanxi) Co., Ltd. for operational management [2] - Other retail companies, such as Honghui Fruits and Vegetables and Hebei 365 Group, have also sought assistance from state-owned enterprises, indicating a trend of government intervention in the retail sector [2][4] - The involvement of state-owned enterprises is seen as a means to stabilize the economy and ensure the supply chain for essential goods, as large supermarkets typically provide significant employment opportunities [5][6] Group 2: Industry Trends and Challenges - The retail sector is experiencing structural challenges, with traditional large supermarkets facing competition from discount stores and e-commerce platforms [6][7] - The rise of hard discount stores and the acceleration of instant retail by major internet companies are reshaping consumer preferences, emphasizing price and quality [7][8] - Retailers are exploring internal reforms, such as innovative business models and operational adjustments, to adapt to changing market conditions [9][10] Group 3: Financial Performance and Strategic Responses - In 2025, the sales of the successful retailer Pang Donglai increased by 38.71% to 23.53 billion yuan, contrasting with the struggles of other retailers like Yonghui Supermarket, which reported significant losses [10] - Retailers are increasingly seeking partnerships with state-owned enterprises either to address liquidity crises or to facilitate strategic transformations [8][9] - The overall performance of chain supermarkets remains weak, with only half achieving sales growth in 2025, primarily driven by improvements in existing stores rather than expansion [9][10]

Core Viewpoint - Yonghui Supermarket's "Fat Transformation" has resulted in significant losses, with a reported loss of 2.14 billion yuan and the closure of 381 stores, raising concerns about its financial stability as its debt ratio approaches 90% [3][5][36]. Financial Performance - Yonghui Supermarket expects a net profit loss of 2.14 billion yuan for 2025, marking a 45.6% increase in losses year-on-year [11][42]. - Since 2021, Yonghui has recorded five consecutive years of losses, totaling 11.641 billion yuan [43]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities has dropped from 4.569 billion yuan in 2023 to 1.14 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [57]. - As of September 2025, Yonghui's total debt ratio reached 88.96%, with short-term loans of 3.884 billion yuan and long-term loans of 500 million yuan [28][57]. Strategic Transformation - Yonghui has restructured 315 stores while closing 381 that do not align with its strategic goals, marking the highest number of closures in recent years [12][44]. - The transformation has incurred over 1.2 billion yuan in losses due to asset write-offs and renovation costs [45][47]. - Despite the challenges, some restructured stores have shown positive results, with a 71% increase in sales and a 112% increase in profits for 31 stores completed in 2024 [51][52]. Market Position and Competition - The retail landscape is polarized, with smaller competitors like Pang Donglai achieving significant success, while Yonghui faces increasing pressure from competitors like Hema and discount stores [36][55]. - Traditional competitors are also struggling, with companies like Zhongbai Group and Gao Xin Retail reporting significant revenue declines [56]. Investor Sentiment - Following the transformation announcement, Yonghui's stock price initially doubled, but has since declined due to ongoing financial struggles [25][56]. - Key investors, including the chairman and vice president, have begun to reduce their stakes in the company, indicating a lack of confidence in the turnaround strategy [60][62].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company, Mingming Hen Mang, is a leading player in the Chinese leisure food and beverage retail sector, projected to achieve a GMV of 55.5 billion RMB and nearly 15,000 stores by 2024, capitalizing on the trend of bulk purchasing and consumer demand for high-quality price-performance ratios [4][9] - The leisure food and beverage retail market in China is experiencing structural growth, with a market size exceeding 3.7 trillion RMB and a CAGR of approximately 14% for specialized retail channels from 2019 to 2024, indicating significant growth potential [4][28] - The company has demonstrated rapid financial growth, with revenue expected to reach 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 282.15%, and net profit projected at 833.7 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 283.44% [4][19] - The company has established a robust operational framework, leveraging refined operations, brand marketing, and supply chain management to create a competitive advantage [4][48] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Mingming Hen Mang is the largest leisure food and beverage retail chain in China, formed by the merger of two brands, "Mingming Hen Mang" and "Zhao Yiming Snacks," in November 2023 [9][10] - The company aims to provide a wide range of high-quality products at competitive prices, enhancing customer experience and addressing industry pain points [9] Industry Analysis - The leisure food and beverage retail market is expanding, driven by rising disposable income and changing consumer preferences towards healthier and more diverse product offerings [28][32] - The market is projected to grow from 5.5 trillion RMB in 2019 to 7.1 trillion RMB in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.2% [32][35] Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by low concentration, with the top five retail chains holding only 6% of the market share, indicating opportunities for growth and consolidation [41][44] - Mingming Hen Mang holds a market share of 1.5% with a GMV of 55.5 billion RMB in 2024, positioning it as a key player alongside competitors like Walmart China and Wanchen Group [41][46] Financial Performance - The company has shown strong financial performance, with revenues of 10.30 billion RMB in 2023 and projected revenues of 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [1][19] - The net profit is expected to reach 833.7 million RMB in 2024, with a continuous improvement in profit margins due to operational efficiencies [4][19] Operational Advantages - The company employs a refined operational strategy, including a specialized product selection team and digital tools to ensure product innovation and high sales velocity [48][51] - Effective supply chain management and a strong digital infrastructure enhance the company's ability to respond to market demands and maintain competitive pricing [70]

Group 1 - Adidas has become the official strategic partner of the 2026 Jiangsu Province City Football League, with attendance exceeding 2.43 million and an average of 28,000 spectators per match since its inception in 2025 [1] - Samsung and SK Hynix have reportedly decided to significantly increase the price of LPDDR used in iPhones, nearly doubling the price compared to the previous quarter [2] - Vietnamese automaker Kim Long Motor will collaborate with China's BYD to build a $130 million electric vehicle battery factory in northern central Vietnam, with funding provided by Kim Long and technical support from BYD [3] Group 2 - Rheinmetall and Bremen-based satellite manufacturer are planning to bid for a contract to provide a satellite internet service similar to the US Starlink for the German military, with the contract potentially worth several billion euros [4] - OpenAI's Chief Information Security Officer, Nate, is set to resign from his position [5] - The Beijing Stock Exchange has denied rumors regarding a delayed announcement for new stock subscriptions, stating that the circulated notice was false [6] Group 3 - Beijing Yonghui Supermarket has issued a statement regarding the suspension of operations at its Hongkun Plaza store due to property management issues, including water and heating disruptions [7] - Nike is laying off 775 employees to accelerate automation processes in its U.S. distribution centers, following a previous announcement to cut 1,000 positions [8] - DeepSeek has released the DeepSeek-OCR 2 model, which utilizes an innovative DeepEncoder V2 method for dynamic image rearrangement based on meaning [9][10] Group 4 - Alibaba Health's medical AI application "Hydrogen Ion" has launched a new feature for "dynamic evidence positioning," which accurately locates specific statements supporting viewpoints in original texts [11] - AI medical innovation company "Virtual Reality" has completed an A+ round of financing exceeding 50 million yuan, with plans for further development in AI algorithms and hardware [12] - The National Market Supervision Administration has reported 1,169 cases related to charging treasure safety violations, emphasizing the importance of product quality safety [13] Group 5 - Domestic gold jewelry prices have increased, with several brands reporting prices for pure gold jewelry ranging from 1,575 to 1,585 yuan per gram [14] - China's Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security plans to implement measures to support employment in response to the impact of artificial intelligence, including actions to stabilize and expand job opportunities [15]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [1]. Core Insights - The company, Mingming Hen Mang, is a leading player in the Chinese leisure food and beverage retail sector, projected to achieve a GMV of 55.5 billion RMB and nearly 15,000 stores by 2024, capitalizing on the trend of bulk purchasing and consumer demand for high-quality price-performance ratios [4][9]. - The leisure food and beverage retail market in China is experiencing structural changes, with a shift towards specialized bulk retail models, which are growing faster than traditional supermarket channels, and a significant opportunity in the lower-tier markets [4][28]. - The company's financial performance is robust, with revenue expected to reach 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 282.15%, and net profit projected at 833.7 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 283.44% [4][19]. - The company has established a strong operational framework, leveraging refined operations, brand marketing, and supply chain management to create a competitive advantage [4][48]. - The report forecasts continued revenue growth for the company, with expected revenues of 64.52 billion RMB in 2025 and 82.20 billion RMB in 2026, alongside net profits of 2.25 billion RMB and 3.02 billion RMB respectively [4][19]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Mingming Hen Mang is the largest leisure food and beverage retail chain in China, formed by the merger of two brands, "Mingming Hen Mang" and "Zhao Yiming Snacks," in November 2023 [9][10]. - The company aims to provide a wide range of high-quality products at competitive prices, enhancing customer experience and addressing industry pain points [9]. Industry Analysis - The Chinese leisure food and beverage retail market is projected to grow significantly, with a market size exceeding 3.7 trillion RMB and a CAGR of 5.5% from 2019 to 2024 [28][35]. - The market is witnessing a shift towards specialized retail formats, with the bulk retail model gaining traction and expected to capture a larger market share [28][37]. Competitive Position - Mingming Hen Mang holds a market share of 1.5% in the leisure food and beverage sector, positioning itself as a leader among competitors [41][46]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a low concentration of market share among top players, with significant growth opportunities in the lower-tier markets [41][44]. Financial Performance - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with revenues of 10.30 billion RMB in 2023 and projected revenues of 39.34 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 282.15% [19][20]. - Profitability metrics are improving, with net profit margins expected to rise from 1.67% in 2022 to 3.36% in 2025 [19][22]. Operational Strengths - The company employs a refined operational strategy, including a professional product selection team and advanced supply chain management systems, to enhance efficiency and customer satisfaction [48][70]. - Digital tools are utilized to optimize inventory management and supplier relationships, ensuring timely product delivery and maintaining competitive pricing [51][70].

Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of operations at Yonghui Supermarket's store in Hongkun Plaza, Beijing, has raised concerns due to claims of unpaid fees exceeding 16 million yuan by the property management [2][3][4]. Group 1: Financial Disputes - The property management, Hongkun Plaza, stated that since the completion of renovations on March 28, 2025, Yonghui Supermarket has not paid any rent, utility fees, or other charges, accumulating debts over 16 million yuan [4][12]. - Yonghui Supermarket refuted the claims, arguing that some of the amounts cited lack contractual and factual basis, and that they have received court documents requiring them to suspend rent payments to protect creditor interests due to the property management's own debt disputes [9][12]. Group 2: Operational Issues - The store's closure on January 23 was attributed to the property management's unilateral actions, including cutting off water and heating since January 15, which hindered normal operations [11][12]. - Yonghui Supermarket attempted to restore operations by transporting water to the store, but the property management obstructed customer access, leading to the forced closure [11][12]. Group 3: Ongoing Communication - Both parties are currently in negotiations, with no definitive updates available, and the property management has stated they will not accept media interviews, emphasizing reliance on official announcements [3][8]. - Yonghui Supermarket has expressed a commitment to resolving the situation and maintaining communication with relevant parties to restore operations as soon as possible [13]. Group 4: Broader Context - Yonghui Supermarket has been facing financial difficulties, reporting a projected net loss of 2.14 billion yuan for 2025, marking five consecutive years of losses totaling approximately 11.64 billion yuan [17]. - The store in Hongkun Plaza is part of Yonghui's strategy to adapt its business model, having undergone significant renovations and operational changes in recent months [15][17].