华源证券指出，目前AI仍是全球产业叙事中最重要的方向之一，大厂AI产品进度仍是核心，AI入口竞 争后续会持续演绎，手机端侧（苹果等）、超级APP（微信、抖音等）和垂直AI平台（类似豆包、元 宝、千问、智谱等）将从不同维度持续推进AIAgent入口用户层面的教育和圈定，同时通过不同方式完 成应用层生态的连接和统一。建议重视产品落地且有收入结构的应用方向。 截至2026年2月2日 14:17，中证人工智能主题指数(930713)成分股方面涨跌互现，新易盛领涨6.65%，润 泽科技上涨3.87%，三六零上涨3.46%；北京君正领跌。AI人工智能ETF(512930)最新报价2.34元，盘中 换手4.5%，成交1.52亿元。 消息面上，阿里加入春节档红包大战，千问APP宣布投入30亿启动"春节请客计划"，将于2月6日正式上 线。春节期间，千问App将联合淘宝闪购、飞猪、大麦、盒马、天猫超市、支付宝等阿里生态业务，以 免单形式请全国人民在春节期间吃喝玩乐。此前腾讯元宝上线春节红包活动，当日腾讯元宝已超过字节 跳动旗下豆包升至第一名。 数据显示，截至2026年1月30日，中证人工智能主题指数(930713)前十大权重股分 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zhongke Shuguang's stock price has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.05% and a total market capitalization of 128.65 billion yuan, indicating potential volatility in investor sentiment and market performance [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhongke Shuguang reported a revenue of 8.82 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.68%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 966 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 25.55% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 2.02 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.19 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder and Market Activity - As of January 20, 2025, the number of shareholders for Zhongke Shuguang reached 398,100, an increase of 0.58% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 0.58% to 3,674 shares [2]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 190 million yuan in principal funds recently, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1]. Company Overview - Zhongke Shuguang, established on March 7, 2006, and listed on November 6, 2014, is based in Beijing and specializes in high-performance computing, general servers, and storage products, with IT equipment accounting for 88.79% of its revenue [1]. - The company operates within the computer industry, specifically in the computer equipment sector, and is associated with concepts such as supercomputing and computing power [1].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is maintained as "Recommended" [8] Core Insights - The computer sector's fund holdings in Q4 2025 accounted for approximately 2.34% of total fund holdings, showing a slight decrease from previous quarters, indicating a historical low. The focus remains on leading companies in AI applications and computing power, with expectations for increased holdings as national industrial policies support the AI sector [4][21] - Recent developments in the industry include significant financing rounds and advancements in AI chip technology, highlighting the ongoing growth and innovation within the sector [22][23][25] Summary by Sections 1. Q4 2025 Holdings Analysis - The proportion of computer sector holdings in funds decreased slightly to 2.34%, down from 2.51% in Q3 2024 [11] - The number of computer companies in the top ten holdings decreased to 138 from 171 in the previous quarter, indicating a consolidation in holdings [14] - The top ten companies by fund holdings in Q4 2025 included iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, Hikvision, Inspur Information, and others, with notable changes in rankings compared to Q3 2025 [17] 2. Industry News - StepFun completed a B+ round financing exceeding 5 billion yuan, setting a record for single financing in the domestic large model sector [22] - Microsoft launched the second-generation AI chip Maia 200, which improves inference efficiency by 30% compared to its predecessor [23] - Alibaba's Pingtouge introduced the high-end AI chip "Zhenwu 810E," achieving full self-research in both hardware and software [25] 3. Company News - Inspur Information's chairman and vice president plan to reduce their holdings by a total of 30,000 shares, representing 0.002% of the total share capital [26] - Tianyang Technology's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 14.5 million shares, accounting for 3% of the total share capital [27] - Daily Interaction's controlling shareholder announced a plan to reduce holdings by up to 371,500 shares [29] 4. Market Review - During the week of January 26-30, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the computer sector index fell by 4.47%. The top gainers included Wangsu Science and Technology and Youke Technology, while the biggest losers were Chuangzhong Technology and China Greatwall [30][37]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the AI sector, with the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index rising by 1.18% and notable gains in constituent stocks such as NewEase and 360 [1] - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF (512930) also saw an increase of 1.14%, with the latest price reported at 2.4 yuan [1] - UBTECH announced the open-sourcing of its self-developed embodied intelligent model, Thinker, aimed at enhancing industrial humanoid robots' responsiveness and spatial awareness [1] Group 2 - The CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index (930713) includes 50 listed companies that provide foundational resources, technology, and application support for artificial intelligence, reflecting the overall performance of AI-related securities [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index accounted for 57.27% of the index, with companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and NewEase leading the list [2] - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF closely tracks the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index and has several connection funds available for investors [2] Group 3 - Guojin Securities pointed out that the DeepSeek Engram architecture may further promote the concept of "computing with storage," effectively decoupling computation and memory in large models [1] - The Engram architecture allows for the computation of all Transformer operators on GPU/accelerator cards while running a 100 billion parameter Engram table in CPU memory, which could enhance the demand for storage-based computing [1] - Anthropic's Claude Cowork introduces a new permanent memory method designed for Claude, which could also help overcome GPU memory limitations [1]

Core Viewpoint - The global market experienced a significant downturn, with gold prices plummeting 12% in a single day, marking the largest drop since 1980, while silver saw a staggering 35% decline, breaking historical records [1][3]. Market Reaction - Fund managers in Shanghai held emergency meetings to assess the impact of the gold market collapse, noting that the total market value of the A-share gold sector is approximately 2 trillion, with the non-ferrous sector accounting for 26% of total market turnover [4]. - Despite the severe drop in gold prices, the overall impact on the A-share market, valued at 114 trillion, is expected to be limited, akin to adding salt to a pot of soup [4]. Historical Context - The current market situation is compared to the 1980 gold crash, highlighting key differences such as the role of algorithmic trading and the rapid market response to price drops, which may not allow for the same recovery period seen in the past [5][6]. Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest that while the gold sector faces challenges, there are opportunities in sectors less affected by the gold cycle, such as AI computing and chemical materials, which have shown resilience and growth potential [6][8]. - Specific companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Hongbaoli are highlighted for their strong performance due to independent market drivers, indicating a shift in investment focus away from gold [6]. Strategic Recommendations - Investors are advised to wait for potential rebounds in gold stocks before making decisions, as historical data shows a 67% chance of a rebound the day after a significant drop [7]. - It is recommended to shift funds towards sectors benefiting from policy support, such as commercial aerospace and brain-computer interfaces, while maintaining a cash reserve for potential buying opportunities in undervalued stocks [7].

本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025年1月1日至2025年12月31日。 （二）业绩预告情况 1、经财务部门初步测算，预计北京安博通科技股份有限公司（以下简称"安博通"或"公司"）2025年年 度实现营业收入人民币53,600万元至59,200万元，与上年同期相比，将减少14,475.27万元至20,075.27万 元，同比减少19.65%至27.25%。 2、预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润人民币-11,400万元至-16,500万元，与上年同期相 比，将继续亏损。 3、预计2025年年度实现归属母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净利润人民币-11,700万元至-16,900 万元，与上年同期相比，将继续亏损。 五、其他说明事项 二、上年同期业绩情况 2024年度业绩情况：营业收入：73,675.27万元；归属于母公司所有者的净利润：-11,866.72万元；归属 于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润：-12,211.85万元。 三、本期业 ...

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 《计算机板块持仓分析！CPU、沙箱、 Agent 全面分析！ ——计算机行业周报 20260119-20260124》 2026/01/24 《台积电 CapEx 指引算力需求确定性！ 2025 业绩前瞻！——计算机行业周报 20260112-20260116》 2026/01/17 证券分析师 黄忠煌 A0230519110001 huangzh@swsresearch.com 洪依真 A0230519060003 hongyz@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 研究支持 崔航 A0230524080005 cuihang@swsresearch.com 曹峥 A0230525040002 caozheng@swsresearch.com 陈晴华 A0230525100001 chenqh@swsresearch.com 罗宇琦 A0230124070004 luoyq@swsresearch.com 联系人 王开元 A0230125030001 wangky ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the computer industry, indicating an expectation of returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 5% [3][9]. Core Insights - The server CPU supply from Intel and AMD is constrained, leading to a projected price increase of 10%-15% due to surging demand from customers like CSPs. The production capacity for server CPUs is essentially sold out for the year 2026 [4]. - The price increase is driven by limited advanced process capacity and unexpectedly high downstream demand, particularly as the general server market enters a significant upgrade cycle and AI demand continues to exceed expectations [4]. - The report suggests that the current price increase for server CPUs reflects a structural shift in demand rather than a short-term fluctuation, with expectations for continued growth in both quantity and performance requirements for CPUs [4]. - Domestic CPU manufacturers are expected to benefit from this supply-demand imbalance, with companies like Haiguang Information and Loongson expected to fill the demand gap as domestic cloud service providers accelerate evaluations of domestic alternatives [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Recommended stocks include Haiguang Information (688041, Buy), Zhongke Shuguang (603019, Buy), and others, as they are positioned to benefit from the supply constraints faced by Intel and AMD [2]. Industry Dynamics - The report highlights a significant shift in the AI landscape, where the demand for high single-core performance and memory bandwidth is becoming critical due to the rise of AI agents and reinforcement learning applications [4]. - The infrastructure focus is expected to shift from "GPU compute power" to "CPU scheduling," indicating a long-term trend in the industry [4].

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry chain experienced a rapid increase due to positive news regarding domestic chips, with significant gains in stocks such as 澜起科技, which rose over 11% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The AI ETF (515070) saw a recovery in the afternoon after an early decline of over 2%, ultimately rising more than 1.2% with a trading volume exceeding 2 billion yuan [1]. - Stocks in the semiconductor sector, including 新易盛 and 北京君正, also experienced notable increases, reflecting a broader market rally [1]. Group 2: AI Developments - Baidu's Wenxin APP launched the industry's first "multi-agent" group chat beta, allowing multiple specialized agents to collaborate, enhancing AI's role as a "smart collaborator" in decision-making processes [1]. - This advancement signifies a shift in AI interaction from "human-machine dialogue" to "human-machine group chat," indicating a more integrated approach to AI in collaborative environments [1]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Dongwu Securities noted that favorable factors driving market strength remain unchanged, suggesting a stable transition into the second phase of the spring market rally [1]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission emphasized maintaining stability and supporting a gradual market recovery, which is expected to provide a solid foundation for a sustained bull market [1]. - As the annual performance forecasts begin to be disclosed in late January, market focus is anticipated to shift towards earnings reports [1]. Group 4: AI ETF Composition - The AI ETF (515070) tracks the CS AI theme index (930713), selecting stocks that provide technology, foundational resources, and applications within the AI industry, often referred to as the "brain" creators of robotics and the "infrastructure" of the Internet of Things [2]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include leading domestic technology firms such as 中际旭创, 新易盛, and 科大讯飞, among others [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a strong performance in the AI sector, with the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index rising by 1.19% and key stocks like Chipone Technology and NewEase rising by 8.88% and 6.93% respectively [1] - ByteDance and Alibaba are set to launch new AI models around the Spring Festival, with Alibaba increasing its investment in AI and cloud computing from 380 billion to 480 billion yuan over the next three years [1] - CITIC Securities suggests that the overseas computing power chain is expected to return to a relatively optimistic scenario in the next 3-6 months, recommending focus on three investment opportunities related to computing power demand [1] Group 2 - The CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index tracks 50 listed companies involved in providing resources, technology, and application support for AI, reflecting the overall performance of AI-related stocks [2] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index include companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and NewEase, accounting for 58.08% of the index [2] - The AI Artificial Intelligence ETF closely follows the CSI Artificial Intelligence Theme Index and includes various connection funds [2]