证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·煤炭开采 煤炭开采行业跟踪周报 港口库存仍处高位，煤价震荡运行 2025 年 06 月 15 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 行业近况 本周（6 月 9 日至 6 月 13 日）港口动力煤现货价环比持平，报收 609 元 /吨。 供给端，本周环渤海四港区日均调入量 182.46 万吨，环比上周增长 7.81 万吨，增幅 4.47%。矿山产地煤矿正常供应，港口供给略有增长。 需求端，本周环渤海四港区日均调出量 189.41 万吨，环比上周减少 2.27 万吨，降幅 1.18%；日均锚地船舶共 75 艘，环比上周增长 7 艘，增幅 10.11%。库存端，环渤海四港区库存端 2868.8 万吨，环比上周下降 63.1 万吨，降幅 2.15%。港口本周日均调出量环比下降，库存绝对值减少， 但绝对值仍处高位，煤价震荡运行。 我们分析认为：煤炭价格目前主要受库存高位影响以及汛期水电稳增 影响导致上涨动能有限，但伴随逐步进入迎峰度夏旺季期，煤价或有进 一步触底上行可能。 估值与建议： 仍旧关注保险资金增量；保费收入维持正增长，且向头部保险集中。固 收类资 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [7] Core Views - Geopolitical conflicts are intensifying, highlighting the safe-haven attributes of gold, which has led to an increase in gold prices [3] - Basic metals such as copper and aluminum are experiencing divergent price trends, with copper prices remaining stable while aluminum prices have seen a slight increase [2][23] - The tungsten market is experiencing price increases, although market activity remains subdued [4][56] - The rare earth sector is showing signs of improvement due to a combination of fundamental and sentiment factors [5] Summary by Sections Basic and Precious Metals - Copper prices are fluctuating within a narrow range, with current prices at 78,350 CNY/ton. Domestic supply is high, and export plans are being arranged by some smelters, leading to potential inventory pressures [2][14] - Aluminum prices have increased slightly, with current prices at 20,465 CNY/ton, supported by improved macro sentiment and declining social inventory [2][23] - Gold prices have been influenced by geopolitical tensions, with the average price at 773.50 CNY/gram, a decrease of 0.49% from the previous week [3][27] Minor Metals - Tungsten prices have been adjusted upwards, with black tungsten concentrate averaging 173,500 CNY/ton, and ammonium paratungstate at 252,500 CNY/ton [4][56] - The lithium market remains weak, with prices stabilizing around 60,000-65,000 CNY/ton [41][42] - Cobalt prices are stable, with the CIF price at 11.3-11.6 USD/pound, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [44][45] Rare Earths - Light rare earth prices have decreased by 1.4% to 442,500 CNY/ton, while heavy rare earths have also seen slight declines [5] - The magnetic materials sector is expected to improve as licensing for manufacturers progresses, indicating potential long-term opportunities [5] Market Recommendations - Companies to watch include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and China Rare Earth Holdings [2][5][26]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.05% as of 13:59, with a trading volume of 820.47 million shares and a transaction value of 10,365.57 billion yuan, an increase of 1.57% compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The media, non-ferrous metals, and pharmaceutical industries showed the highest gains, with increases of 1.39%, 1.04%, and 0.68% respectively [1]. - The household appliances, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and coal industries experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 1.51%, 1.20%, and 1.02% respectively [1][2]. Detailed Industry Data - **Media**: Increased by 1.39%, with a transaction value of 531.00 billion yuan, up 34.02% from the previous day. Leading stock: Chuanwang Media, up 20.00% [1]. - **Non-ferrous Metals**: Increased by 1.04%, with a transaction value of 596.64 billion yuan, down 7.44% from the previous day. Leading stock: Dadi Bear, up 14.09% [1]. - **Pharmaceuticals**: Increased by 0.68%, with a transaction value of 977.58 billion yuan, up 5.76% from the previous day. Leading stock: Rongchang Bio, up 17.40% [1]. - **Household Appliances**: Decreased by 1.51%, with a transaction value of 126.95 billion yuan, down 7.96% from the previous day. Leading stock: Hesheng New Materials, down 3.61% [2]. - **Coal**: Decreased by 1.02%, with a transaction value of 50.36 billion yuan, down 7.05% from the previous day. Leading stock: Anyuan Coal Industry, down 4.15% [2]. - **Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry**: Decreased by 1.20%, with a transaction value of 148.33 billion yuan, down 26.53% from the previous day. Leading stock: Shennong Seed Industry, down 4.30% [2].

Summary of AnYuan Coal Industry Conference Call Company Overview - AnYuan Coal Industry has faced continuous losses for three consecutive years, leading to delisting risks and a pressing need for transformation [2][3] - The company is transitioning from coal mining to new business areas by divesting its coal assets and acquiring shares in JinHuan Magnetic Separation, a subsidiary of Jiang Tung Holdings [2][4] Core Points and Arguments - Jiang Tung Holdings possesses the largest tungsten mine in China and the largest tantalum-niobium mine in Asia, along with other minor metal resources, providing significant growth potential for AnYuan Coal Industry [2][4] - The change in controlling shareholder to Jiang Tung Holdings and the complete management overhaul indicate a strong commitment from the new major shareholder [2][4][9] - Jiang Tung Holdings' tungsten business contributed approximately 750 million yuan in net profit, with an estimated asset value of around 20 billion yuan for Jiang Tung Holdings based on market comparisons [2][15] - The tantalum-niobium business has a high gross profit margin of 70%, generating about 1.7 billion yuan in gross profit in 2022, making it a crucial profit source for the company [2][13] Challenges Faced by AnYuan Coal Industry - AnYuan Coal Industry is located in Jiangxi, which has less favorable resource endowments compared to major coal-producing regions, resulting in higher production costs and lower profitability even during industry peaks [3][6][7] - The company has been unable to achieve profitability despite favorable market conditions, indicating a need for a second growth curve to avoid delisting [3][4] Recent Developments - Significant changes include the transfer of controlling shareholder from Jiang Energy Group to Jiang Tung Holdings by the Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [8] - A major asset swap was announced in April 2025, exchanging 57% of JinHuan Magnetic Separation shares for AnYuan's coal business assets and liabilities [9] Future Prospects - The transition to Jiang Tung Holdings is expected to open new avenues for growth, with a focus on high-margin, high-profitability sectors such as tungsten and rare metals [10][18] - The company aims to enhance its market position by leveraging Jiang Tung's resource advantages and improving its processing capabilities [10][18][25] - AnYuan Coal Industry's future development is contingent on successfully integrating and utilizing the high-quality mineral resources from Jiang Tung Holdings [24][25] Market Performance and Institutional Interest - AnYuan Coal Industry has recently seen increased market interest and institutional investment, attributed to the release of a comprehensive report highlighting its growth potential [28] - The company is viewed as having significant development potential within the coal sector, despite not being the top performer in the broader A-share market [27][28] Conclusion - AnYuan Coal Industry is at a critical juncture, with the potential for substantial transformation and growth driven by its new ownership and strategic focus on high-value metal resources. The successful execution of its transition strategy will be key to overcoming its historical challenges and enhancing its market valuation.

| 投资评级 | | | --- | --- | | 行业评级 | 强于大市（维持评级） | | 上次评级 | 强于大市 | 作者 刘奕町 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110523050001 liuyiting@tfzq.com 曾先毅 分析师 行业报告 | 行业研究周报 2025 年 06 月 08 日 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110524060002 zengxianyi@tfzq.com 胡十尹 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110525010002 hushiyin@tfzq.com 吴亚宁 联系人 wuyaning@tfzq.com 金属与材料 证券研究报告 小非农惨淡推升降息预期，地缘冲突共振利好金价上行 基本金属：铜铝价格走势分化，铜价小幅上行。1）铜：本周铜价延续窄幅震荡，沪铜收于 78620元/吨。 随着宏观对铜价影响再度提升，铜价波动率本周有明显提升，进入下周后价格仍有望延续当前相对较强的 波动表现，价格起伏有进一步扩大表现。基本面上，目前铜社会库存去库暂时休止，市场消费呈现下滑趋 势，部分下游企业也表现出对短期消费的悲观预期，市场的高升水、高月差在本周铜价上涨之后有所转弱。 ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report suggests that the upcoming months of June and July will be critical for trade negotiations and economic observations, particularly focusing on the U.S.-China and EU trade talks, with a significant meeting scheduled on June 9 [5] - The U.S. economy shows resilience with no signs of recession as of May, and the market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have been slightly adjusted, indicating a cautious outlook for the next two months [6] Group 2: Market Performance - The stock market is expected to continue its upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.13% over the past week, indicating a bullish sentiment among investors [6] - A total of 20 industries are currently in a weekly uptrend, suggesting a broad-based market recovery, with opportunities for investors to position themselves favorably [6] Group 3: Banking Sector - Several banks have announced dividend distributions, with 11 banks having completed their annual dividend distributions by early June, indicating a proactive approach to shareholder returns [21] - The average dividend yield for listed banks is reported at 4.14%, with state-owned banks yielding between 4.3% and 5%, reflecting stable profit growth and a favorable long-term investment outlook [22] Group 4: Coal Industry - The coal price has seen a significant decline from a peak of 1615 RMB/ton in October 2021 to approximately 618 RMB/ton as of June 5, 2025, marking a cumulative drop of 997 RMB/ton [28] - Historical analysis indicates that coal prices typically recover following government intervention or demand-side stimulus, suggesting that policy support will be crucial for future price stabilization [27][28] Group 5: Real Estate Sector - China Resources Vientiane Life is positioned as a leader in commercial operations, with plans to open 6 new shopping centers annually from 2025 to 2028, contributing to revenue growth [31] - The company has demonstrated resilience with a projected retail sales growth of 4.6% in 2024, outperforming the overall retail sector [31] Group 6: Pharmaceutical Sector - The report highlights the transformation of China's innovative drug sector from an importer to an exporter, with a significant increase in the commercialization of innovative drugs [10][11] - The domestic innovative drug market is expected to grow, with the proportion of innovative drugs in medical insurance expenditures rising to 3.19% in 2023, indicating a robust growth trajectory [10] Group 7: Technology Sector - Guokewai plans to acquire a 94.366% stake in Zhongxin Ningbo, which is expected to enhance its capabilities in high-end filters and MEMS, thereby expanding its market reach in smart devices and connected vehicles [42]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·煤炭开采 煤炭开采行业跟踪周报 港口库存仍处高位，需求疲弱，煤价震荡运 行 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 行业近况 供给端，本周环渤海四港区日均调入量 174.64 万吨，环比上周减少 3.96 万吨，降幅 2.22%。矿山产地煤矿正常供应，港口供给略有下降。 需求端，本周环渤海四港区日均调出量 191.69 万吨，环比上周减少 12.6 万吨，降幅 6.17%；日均锚地船舶共 68 艘，环比上周减少 14 艘，降幅 17.25%。库存端，环渤海四港区库存端 2931.9 万吨，环比上周减少 125 万吨，降幅 4.1%。港口本周日均调出量环比下降，库存绝对值减少， 但绝对值仍处高位，煤价震荡运行。 我们分析认为：煤炭价格目前主要受库存高位影响以及汛期水电稳增 影响导致上涨动能有限，但伴随逐步进入迎峰度夏旺季期，煤价或有进 一步触底上行可能。 估值与建议： 仍旧关注保险资金增量；保费收入维持正增长，且向头部保险集中。固 收类资产荒依旧，叠加红利资产已经高位，所以关注权益配置变化，预 期更青睐于资源股。 本周（6 月 2 日至 6 月 6 日） ...

上市企业：赣能股份（000899）、诚志股份（000990）、华伍股份（300095）、安源煤业（600397）、 晶科科技（601778）、九丰能源（605090）、晶科能源（688223）、孚能科技（688567）、百通能源 （001376）、德福科技（301511）、南矿集团（001360） 统计范围： 报告中的产量数据统计口径均为规模以上工业，其统计范围为年主营业务收入2000万元及以上的工业企 业。 由于规模以上工业企业范围每年发生变化，为保证本年数据与上年可比，计算产品产量等各项指标同比 增长速度所采用的同期数与本期的企业统计范围相一致，和上年公布的数据存在口径差异。 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国能源行业市场研究分析及投资前景评估报告》 2025年3月，江西省发电143.6亿千瓦时，同比增 ...

Group 1 - The A-share coal mining and processing sector experienced a surge at the beginning of trading, with Dayou Energy hitting the daily limit up [1] - Other companies such as Shaanxi Black Cat, Shanxi Coking Coal, Anyuan Coal Industry, Yunmei Energy, and Zhengzhou Coal Electricity also saw increases in their stock prices [1]

证券代码：600397 证券简称：安源煤业 公告编号：2025-044 安源煤业集团股份有限公司 关于公司对外担保进展情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ●截至2025年6月4日，安源煤业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）为 公司全资子公司江西煤业集团有限责任公司（以下简称"江西煤业"）融资实际 提供担保余额82,447万元（含公司与全资子公司江西江能物贸有限公司（以下简 称"江能物贸"）联合为江西煤业实际已办理的担保余额15,618万元），为江能 物贸融资实际提供担保余额83,533万元；为公司三级全资子公司丰城曲江煤炭开 发有限责任公司(以下简称"曲江公司") 融资实际提供担保余额15,900万元, 江西煤业为其全资子公司江西煤炭储备中心有限公司（以下简称"江储中心"） 融资实际提供担保余额23,778万元；江能物贸为江西煤业融资实际提供担保余额 15,618万元。 | 单位：万元 | | --- | | | | | | 被担保 | | | | | 被担保方 | | --- | - ...