Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a strong rebound, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 27,027.16 points, up 1.76% or 467.21 points, and a total trading volume of 255.14 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index rose 1.34% to 5,417.6 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.52% to 9,168.33 points [1] - Analysts from Galaxy Securities noted a significant "Spring Festival effect" in the market, driven by optimistic sentiment and early capital allocation [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - Innovent Biologics (01801) led the blue-chip stocks, surging 7.42% to 85.4 HKD, contributing 15.57 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - The company announced a strategic partnership with Eli Lilly to advance global R&D in oncology and immunology, receiving an upfront payment of 350 million USD and potential milestone payments up to 8.5 billion USD [2] - Other notable blue-chip movements included Pop Mart (09992) up 5.76%, Zijin Mining (02899) up 5.58%, while China Telecom (00728) and China Mobile (00941) saw declines of 2.96% and 2.12%, respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Major technology stocks showed positive performance, with Baidu rising over 3%, Tencent up over 2%, and Alibaba increasing by 1.87% [3] - AI application stocks were particularly strong, with Zhipu AI soaring over 36% to a new high [3] - The gold sector rebounded significantly, with spot gold returning to 5,000 USD per ounce, leading to gains in gold stocks [3][6] AI and Technology Developments - Recent financial reports from Meta, Amazon, Google, and Microsoft indicated a potential capital expenditure of 660 billion USD in AI infrastructure this year [4] - Zhipu AI's stock rose 36.22% to 276.8 HKD, reflecting strong market interest in AI applications [4] - The Chinese government is focusing on building a national computing power interconnection node system, which may further stimulate the AI sector [4] New Market Entrants - Lanqi Technology (06809) debuted with a remarkable 63.72% increase, closing at 175 HKD, following its IPO pricing at 106.89 HKD per share [9] - The company specializes in integrated circuit design for cloud computing and AI infrastructure [9] - Additionally,兆易创新 (03986) saw an 11.43% rise to 314 HKD, supported by its inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect program and positive earnings forecasts [10]

此前，多家科技巨头发布最新财报，制定了雄心勃勃的AI投资计划。这些科技巨头都是英伟达的忠实 客户。 分析指出，股东们对资本支出增加的反应不一，Meta和谷歌因广告和其他业务出现积极改善而受到投 资者青睐，微软和亚马逊则因AI相关业务增长不够快而受到冷遇。 #黄仁勋力挺科技巨头天量资本开支#【#黄仁勋力挺科技巨头超6000亿美元资本开支#：需求旺盛，AI 投资创造更多收入】近日，英伟达CEO黄仁勋在接受外媒采访时表示，科技行业在AI（人工智能）基 础设施方面不断增长的资本支出是合理、适当且可持续的，因为这些公司的现金流都将开始增长。他还 认为，AI基础设施建设仍处于早期阶段，未来几年内需求将持续旺盛。 黄仁勋表示："只要人们继续为AI付费，AI公司能够从中获利，那它们就会不断地翻倍、翻倍、翻倍、 再翻倍。" 其中，亚马逊预计，今年的资本支出将猛增五成至2000亿美元；谷歌母公司Alphabet预计，2026年支出 将在1750亿美元至1850亿美元之间；Meta表示，其资本支出可能比去年翻一番，达到1150亿美元至 1350亿美元之间；微软上财季资本支出同比增长创纪录的66%，高达375亿美元。 《华尔街日报》 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Google (GOOGL) with a current price of $322.86 and a fair value of $362.78 [4]. Core Insights - Google's cloud revenue is accelerating, with significant improvements in profitability, while capital expenditure guidance is aggressive, raising concerns about return on investment [4][11]. - The company reported strong revenue and net profit for Q4 2025, exceeding expectations, with a notable increase in cloud revenue driven by AI demand [4][12][22]. - The advertising segment remains robust, although YouTube ad revenue growth is slowing [4][19]. Summary by Sections Q4 2025 Performance Review - Google achieved Q4 2025 revenue of $113.83 billion, surpassing consensus estimates by 2.15%, with a year-over-year growth of 17.99% [12]. - Advertising revenue reached $82.28 billion, up 13.6% year-over-year, with search ads growing by 16.7% [19]. - Cloud revenue for Q4 was $17.66 billion, reflecting a 47.8% year-over-year increase, with a cloud operating margin of 30.1% [22]. Business Analysis - The digital advertising market is expanding, with Google maintaining a dominant position, holding a 59.07% market share in search advertising [32]. - AI technology is increasingly integrated into Google's advertising and cloud services, enhancing efficiency and user engagement [34][40]. - The company is investing heavily in AI infrastructure, with a projected capital expenditure of $180 billion for 2026, a 96.9% increase from 2025 [23]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for Google indicate a growth rate of 17.8% in 2026, with net profits expected to reach $139.7 billion [62]. - The cloud segment is anticipated to be a key growth driver, with revenue growth rates of 46.1% in 2026 [62]. - The Other Bets segment is expected to show slow growth, with revenue increasing by 3% annually [63].

Core Viewpoint - The electronic ETF (515260) is experiencing significant activity, with a peak increase of 2.72% and currently up by 2.57%, recovering both the 5-day and 60-day moving averages [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The electronic sector is showing strong performance, with several leading stocks experiencing notable gains, including: - Chipone Technology up by 15.07% with a total market value of 116.1 billion [2] - Jinghe Integrated up by 7.58% with a market value of 74.8 billion [2] - SanHuan Group up by 7.06% with a market value of 104.3 billion [2] - Long Electric Technology up by 5.70% with a market value of 83.4 billion [2] - Zhaoyi Innovation up by 5.34% with a market value of 202.3 billion [2] - Lanke Technology up by 5.11% with a market value of 206.6 billion [2] Group 2: Industry News - Positive developments in the supply chains of major tech companies are noted: - Apple is expected to officially announce the iPhone 17e later this month, aimed at making iPhones more accessible [3] - Nvidia is collaborating with Tower to develop a 1.6T silicon photonics module, indicating growth in data center interconnects [3] - Alphabet's latest quarterly results exceeded expectations, with a capital expenditure guidance for 2026 reaching $175-185 billion, nearly double market forecasts [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The electronic ETF (515260) and its linked funds are designed to passively track the electronic 50 index, focusing on semiconductor and consumer electronics sectors, with significant investments in AI chips, automotive electronics, 5G, and PCBs [6] - The ETF includes major stocks such as Luxshare Precision, Cambrian, and SMIC, providing an efficient tool for investing in core electronic assets [6]

本周内，科技领域迎来密集的资本运作信号：从多家硬科技企业冲刺IPO，到半导体产业链并购浪潮再起，再到全球智能手机核心芯片市 场格局面临重塑，一系列动态深刻揭示了在当前技术变革与市场周期交汇的关键节点，产业正通过资本的力量加速整合、转型与升级。 硬科技企业加速拥抱资本市场 本周，多家半导体与新材料领域的硬科技企业密集披露上市辅导备案或上市计划，展现出资本市场对高端制造与国产替代赛道的持续关 注。其中，瑞发科半导体、福建德尔科技及河北鼎瓷电子等公司正式启动A股上市进程，而已登陆科创板的澜起科技则计划在香港二次上 市，拟募资约70亿港元。 天津证监局网站信息显示，天津瑞发科半导体技术有限公司已于近日完成上市辅导备案，正式启动A股IPO进程，辅导机构为华泰联合证 券。 瑞发科成立于2009年，是一家专注于高速模拟与混合信号芯片设计的公司，其核心产品为车载SerDes（串行器/解串器）芯片。公司由具 备海外背景的技术团队创立，已建立完整的车规级质量管理体系。据公司介绍，瑞发科是全球仅有的三家可提供12G Automotive SerDes 芯片产品的企业之一，也是国内唯一实现该技术量产的公司，技术领先性与国产化地位显著 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 报告摘要 2026.2.9 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 Capex计划超预期，为何美股科技反而下跌？ 全球资产配置每周聚焦 (20260130-20260206) 证券分析师：金倩婧 A0230513070004 冯晓宇 A0230521080005 林遵东 A0230524100005 王胜 A0230511060001 3 2. 全球资金流向：资金流入发达市场股市，流出中国股市 3. 资产估值指标：A股ERP较上周小幅上升，仍位于历史中性水平 4. 资产风险情绪：美股散户看涨比例下降，A股隐含波动率显著下行 5. 全球经济数据：美国制造业PMI大幅上行，降息预期小幅上行 6. 风险提示 地缘避险与增长忧虑交织，黄金与工业金属走势分化 ◼ 全球资本市场回顾：本周 (20260130-20260206)美国ADP数据低于预期，美联储3月降息预期升温1）固收方面，10Y美债收益率录得 4.22%，本周下跌4BP，美元指数上涨0.51%，当前点位为97.6；2）本周泰国、法国市场股市上涨较多，A股全线收跌，恒生科技、科创50 和创业扳指跌幅位列前三，阿根廷、越 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Google (GOOGL) with a current price of $322.86 and a fair value of $362.78 [4]. Core Insights - Google's cloud revenue is accelerating, and the capital expenditure guidance is aggressive, raising concerns about the return on investment (ROI) from AI infrastructure investments [5][12]. - The company reported strong revenue and net profit for Q4 2025, with revenue of $113.83 billion, exceeding expectations by 2.15%, and a year-on-year growth of 17.99% [5][13]. - The cloud segment showed significant growth, with Q4 2025 cloud revenue reaching $17.664 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47.8% [5][23]. - The advertising revenue growth is mixed, with strong performance in search ads but a slowdown in YouTube ad revenue [5][20]. - Despite concerns over capital expenditures, the financial pressure is manageable, and the returns from AI investments are promising [5][63]. Summary by Sections Q4 2025 Performance Review - Revenue and net profit exceeded expectations, with operating income at $35.934 billion and a net profit of $34.455 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.84% [5][14]. - The cloud segment's operating profit margin improved significantly to 30.1%, up from 23.7% in Q3 2025 [5][23]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 2025 were $27.9 billion, a 95.1% increase year-on-year, with a projected capital expenditure of approximately $180 billion for 2026 [5][24]. Business Analysis - Google's advertising business remains a solid revenue foundation, with search ads contributing significantly to overall revenue [5][42]. - The cloud business is positioned as a new growth engine, driven by strong demand for AI services, with projected revenue growth rates of 46.1% for 2026 [5][63]. - The Other Bets segment is still in a loss phase, but investments in AI and other innovative sectors are expected to yield long-term growth [5][57]. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts Google's net profit for 2026-2028 to be $139.7 billion, $163.5 billion, and $196.3 billion, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 28x, 24x, and 20x [5][66]. - The overall revenue growth is projected at 17.8% for 2026, with operating margins improving gradually [5][66].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective surge, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.17%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.07%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.11% as of the morning close. Over 4,400 stocks in the market rose, with a half-day trading volume exceeding 1.5 trillion yuan [2]. Overseas Market Influence - The overseas stock market saw significant gains, boosting market sentiment. On February 6, U.S. stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones increasing by 2.47%, surpassing the 50,000-point mark for the first time. Chinese concept stocks also surged, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 3.71%. Additionally, the Nikkei 225 and KOSPI indices both saw substantial increases, with the Nikkei 225 reaching a new historical high [4]. Solar Energy Sector - The solar energy sector saw explosive growth, with over ten component stocks hitting the daily limit. GCL-Poly Energy achieved a "four consecutive limit-up" with a stock price of 5.04 yuan. As of the midday close, there were over 1.97 million hands of sealed orders on the limit-up board [4][12]. - GCL-Poly announced that its stock price had deviated significantly over two consecutive trading days, indicating abnormal trading activity. The company is currently exploring "space photovoltaic" technology, which remains in the exploratory phase, and has not yet secured relevant orders in this field [4]. CPO Concept Stocks - CPO concept stocks collectively surged, with leading stocks such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication experiencing significant increases. Tianfu Communication's stock price reached a historical high of 303.56 yuan, with a total market value exceeding 230 billion yuan [6][8]. - The rise in CPO stocks is attributed to several factors, including a recent surge in overseas computing power stocks, with Nvidia's stock rising by 7.87%. Major tech companies like Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Google have announced plans to continue expanding investments in AI, with projected capital expenditures reaching approximately 650 billion dollars by 2026 [11]. Patent Licensing Agreement - Two major photovoltaic BC technology companies recently signed a patent licensing agreement, authorizing nearly a thousand patents in the BC technology field. TCL Zhonghuan's subsidiary signed a five-year agreement worth 1.65 billion yuan with Aiko Solar, which includes an initial payment of 250 million yuan [15]. - This agreement is expected to enhance the competitive position of domestic photovoltaic equipment manufacturers, potentially allowing them to enter the supply chains of companies like Tesla and SpaceX, thereby opening new growth opportunities [15].

场内ETF方面，截至2026年2月9日午间收盘，中证人工智能产业指数(931071)强势上涨3.63%，成分股 芯原股份上涨12.16%，光环新网上涨9.31%，新易盛上涨9.20%，奥飞数据、光迅科技等个股跟涨。人 工智能ETF(515980)上涨3.26%。 份额方面，截至2026年2月6日，人工智能ETF最新份额达111.68亿份，创成立以来新高！从资金净流入 方面来看，人工智能ETF近5天获得连续资金净流入，最高单日获得5.75亿元净流入，合计"吸金"9.51亿 元。 消息面上，工业和信息化部近日印发《关于组织开展国家算力互联互通节点建设工作的通知》，部署推 进国家算力互联互通节点体系建设。《通知》提出建立"1+M+N"国家算力互联互通节点体系，通过构 建"统一标识、统一标准、统一规则"运行机制，实现不同区域、主体、架构的算力资源标准化互联和高 效流动应用，有效提高公共算力资源使用效率和服务水平。 有分析认为，人工智能行业正处于快速发展阶段，技术创新和应用场景不断拓展。随着政策支持力度的 加大以及市场需求的增长，人工智能产业链将迎来新的发展机遇。特别是中上游的基础技术领域如算法 框架等，将成为未来投资 ...

今天，A股三大指数集体大涨。截至上午收盘，上证指数上涨1.17%，深证成指上涨2.07%，创业板指上涨3.11%。全市场超4400只个股上涨，半日成交额 超1.5万亿元。 海外股市大涨，带动市场情绪。当地时间2月6日（上周五），美股三大股指集体收涨，道指涨2.47%，首次突破5万点整数关口；中概股普涨，纳斯达克 中国金龙指数大涨3.71%。今天上午，日经225指数、韩国KOSPI指数均大涨，日经225指数再创历史新高。 今日上午，A股两大板块爆发。光伏概念十余只成分股涨停，协鑫集成实现"4连板"，报5.04元/股，截至中午收盘，涨停板上有超197万手封单。 协鑫集成2月5日晚公告称，公司2月4日、2月5日连续两个交易日内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计达到20%，属于股票交易异常波动情形。目前，"太空光 伏"尚处技术探索阶段，其技术路径、产业模式及商业化前景均存在不确定性。截至目前，公司暂未获得"太空光伏"领域的相关订单。该领域未对公司经 营业绩产生实质影响，未来是否能够带来业务机会亦存在不确定性。 算力硬件概念集体走强，CPO概念龙头股中际旭创、新易盛、天孚通信集体大涨，半日成交额均破百亿元，位居A股前三。天孚通信 ...