每经记者｜赵云 每经编辑｜肖芮冬 经过多日休整，明天（2月24日），A股即将开启农历马年行情。 | F9 不复权 超级叠加 画线 工具 | 10 | 力得至A | | 881001 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2023/01/13-2026/02/13(159周)▼ | | 15:00:05 | | -77.07 -1.13% 十八 ■ ▼ 就要心指数 / ■ + | | | | 全额 | | 2.00万亿 | | | | IVANTH | | 1147.15 Z | | | | | | 6799.24 (-0.51%) | | | | 面向 | | 6832.58 (-0.02%) | | | | 最低 | | 6752.84 (-1.19%) | | | | 三次次日 | 23.2 | 古屋率比 1.91 | | 6000.00 | | 문 | 1.11% 20H | -0.21% | | | | 60日 | 7.78% 文由 | 5.41% | | | | 52周高 | 6930.17 | 52周低 4506.65 | 截至2月13日，万得全A周K线 和过去的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The travel data during the Spring Festival showed strong performance, while the IEEPA tariff ruling and escalating Middle East tensions disturbed risk appetite. The AI competition accelerated, and the resilience of the US economy led to a decline in interest rate cut expectations [1][2][7] Group 1: Major Events and Market Trends - The US Supreme Court ruled the IEEPA tariffs illegal, prompting Trump to invoke the Trade Act of 1974, resulting in an average tariff rate that may not differ significantly from previous levels [2][8] - The technology sector continues to see a high level of interest with new AI and robotics products emerging [2][14] - The US economy remains resilient, with inflation pressures emerging, leading to a decline in interest rate cut expectations [2][23] Group 2: Asset Class Performance - During the Spring Festival, major asset classes showed divergence, with the Nasdaq, Korean index, and European stocks rising by 1.51%, 5.92%, and 2.44% respectively, while Hong Kong stocks weakened due to liquidity and competitive pressures [3][26] - The bond market showed mixed results, with US Treasury yields slightly rising while Japanese and German long-term bond yields fell [3][26] - Precious metals and oil performed strongly due to safe-haven demand, with gold and silver prices reaching $5104 and $84 per ounce, respectively, and oil prices rising to $71 per barrel [3][26] Group 3: Debt Market Outlook - The post-Spring Festival bond market will largely depend on the fundamentals, policy signals, supply and demand, and stock market performance [4][41] - The bond market is expected to remain in a volatile state, with limited space below 1.8% for the 10-year Treasury yield [4][41] - The demand side of the bond market is primarily driven by insurance and bank allocations, with a focus on the potential for structural opportunities in medium to short-term bonds [4][40] Group 4: Stock Market and Convertible Bonds - The stock market is expected to open slightly lower on the first trading day after the holiday, with a focus on tariff and trade issues, the Fed's interest rate decisions, and geopolitical concerns [5][42] - The overall market sentiment is expected to remain positive, with potential for a quick recovery after a slight dip [5][42] - Investors are advised to optimize their positions during the post-holiday low opening, particularly in sectors like AI applications and humanoid robots that may be undervalued due to market sentiment [5][48]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The performance of robots during the Spring Festival Gala was impressive, highlighting the capabilities of various companies such as Yushutech and Galaxy General, which showcased advanced control algorithms and integrated models [2] - The robot sector is expected to enter a 1-10 development phase in 2026, with Tesla's third-generation robot anticipated to be released in Q1, leading to a potential supply chain resonance between domestic and international robot manufacturers [2] Summary by Sections Important Events - On February 16, during the 2026 Spring Festival Gala, several companies' robots performed, attracting significant attention. On February 20, the first trading day of the Year of the Horse saw a surge in robot concept stocks, with Yujian rising over 21%, Sutonju rising over 9%, and Ubtech rising over 4% [1] Key Points - The overall performance of robots at the Spring Festival was remarkable, with Yushutech demonstrating high algorithmic and motor power density capabilities, and Galaxy General showcasing smooth dexterous hand operations through its integrated model "Galaxy Brain" [2] - The report anticipates that 2026 will be a year of mass production for the robot sector, with significant developments expected in the supply chain and potential opportunities for peripheral stocks [2]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market faced pressure on the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,413.35 points, down 1.1%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.91% at 5,211.5 points [1] - The decline was attributed to two main factors: the weakness in the U.S. markets during the Hong Kong market's closure and a temporary lack of liquidity due to the suspension of southbound trading until February 23 [1] Robotics Sector Performance - Despite the overall market downturn, robotics stocks surged, driven by the performance of robots during the Spring Festival Gala. Notable gains included: - Yujian up 21.4% to HKD 48.44 per share - Sutonju up 9.24% to HKD 37.58 per share - Hesai-W up 7.93% to HKD 217.8 per share - Ubtech up 4.71% to HKD 144.5 per share [1] Industry Insights - Four robotics companies showcased their technology during the Spring Festival Gala, enhancing market attention towards the robotics sector [2] - Dongwu Securities highlighted that advancements in core robotic capabilities are crucial for the industry's transition from experimental phases to mass production, with a significant development phase expected from 2021 to 2025 [2] - The report anticipates that in 2026, major companies like Tesla and leading domestic firms will begin large-scale production, marking a new phase in the industry [2] AI Sector Performance - The domestic AI large model sector also performed strongly, with companies like Zhiyu and MiniMax both surpassing a market capitalization of HKD 300 billion, reaching new highs. - Zhiyu surged 42.72% to HKD 725 per share - MiniMax increased by 14.52% to HKD 970 per share [2]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened on February 20, 2023, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,413.35 points, down 1.1%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index at 5,211.5 points, down 2.91% [1] - Despite the overall decline, sectors such as AI, humanoid robots, biotechnology, and oil and petrochemicals showed strong performance, creating a structural market trend [1] AI Sector Performance - AI concept stocks in Hong Kong continued to rise, with notable gains from companies like Zhizhu and MINIMAX-WP, both surpassing a market capitalization of 300 billion HKD [1] - Zhizhu's stock price surged by 42.72% to 725 HKD per share, with a trading volume of 3.24 billion HKD, resulting in a total market cap of 323.2 billion HKD [1] - MINIMAX-WP increased by 14.52% to 970 HKD per share, with a trading volume of 3.52 billion HKD, leading to a market cap of 304.2 billion HKD [1] - The demand for Zhizhu's GLM-5 has surged globally, causing service delays, prompting the company to initiate a "computing power partner" recruitment plan [1] - The AI industry is entering a critical development phase, transitioning from a focus on computing infrastructure to a collaborative model of "computing power + hardware + applications" [1] Humanoid Robot Sector - The humanoid robot sector gained traction, influenced by the high visibility of robots during the Lunar New Year gala, with stocks like Yujian, SUTENG, and UBTECH showing significant increases [1] - Yujian's stock rose by 21.4% to 48.44 HKD per share, while UBTECH increased by 4.71% to 144.5 HKD per share [1] - The demand for robots surged, with JD.com's robot search volume increasing over 300% and order volume rising by 150% during the gala [1] - Analysts predict that by 2026, major companies like Tesla and leading domestic firms will begin large-scale production of robots, marking a new chapter in the industry [1] Oil and Petrochemical Sector - The oil and petrochemical sector performed well due to rising oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, with the Hong Kong oil and petrochemical index increasing by 2.39% [1] - Stocks such as Jixing New Energy and Zhonggang Petroleum saw gains exceeding 7% [1] - The port transportation index also rose by 1.95%, with companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and Seaspan International experiencing significant stock increases [1] Storage Sector - The storage sector showed active performance, with stocks like Lanke Technology and Zhaoyi Innovation seeing substantial gains [1] - Lanke Technology's stock rose over 8% during trading, while Zhaoyi Innovation increased by over 7% [1] Market Sentiment - Current market volatility remains high, influenced by factors such as U.S. stock performance, consumer data during the Lunar New Year, and advancements in AI [1] - Analysts suggest a balanced investment approach, focusing on sectors directly benefiting from AI developments, such as storage and semiconductor hardware [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline on the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, with major indices falling, while domestic AI models and robotics stocks surged significantly [1][2]. Market Performance - As of February 20, the Hang Seng Index closed at 26,413.35 points, down 1.1%; the Hang Seng Tech Index closed at 5,211.5 points, down 2.91%; and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index closed at 8,959.56 points, down 1.22% [2][3]. - The AI model sector saw strong performance, with Zhizhu and MiniMax both surpassing a market capitalization of 300 billion HKD. Zhizhu surged by 42.72% to 725 HKD per share, marking a cumulative increase of 206% in February [3][5]. Robotics Sector - The robotics sector also experienced a collective rise, with companies like Yujian up 21.4% to 48.44 HKD per share, and Suton Ju Chuang rising 9.24% to 37.58 HKD per share [5]. Oil Sector - Oil-related stocks also saw gains, with Yanchang Petroleum International up 3.75%, China Petroleum International up 3.70%, and CNOOC Services up 3.20% [6]. Sector Outlook - Huatai Securities suggests focusing on three key areas in the Hong Kong market: semiconductor hardware represented by storage, improving specialty consumption, and electrical equipment [6]. - Galaxy Securities recommends attention to precious metals and energy sectors due to geopolitical uncertainties, as well as the technology sector as a long-term investment focus, particularly in the context of accelerating AI applications [6].

大家新年好啊，今天是周五，港股已经开盘，因此上来和大伙儿聊几句，然后休息两天，等下周一（初七）港股再开盘的晚上，继续完整地聊一 下海外等全球大类资产，在假期的表现，帮大家在A股开盘前热个身。 今天分几个点哈，聊到哪儿算哪儿。 一、春晚的一些想法。 我觉得吐槽是没啥意义的，能看到一些事物发展的本质，才是有价值的。 1、本届春晚的 "含科量" 巨高，炒股的自然都知道，这和对A股提高"含科量"的政策目标，是一脉相承的，显然是自上而下的传导，因为很多工 作，靠春晚导演组，是协调不到的。 2、虽然很多人会揶揄春晚，拿部分地区春晚收视率不高抬杠，但毫无疑问，在传统媒介逐渐凋敝（从大家都集中看几家电视台，变成了人人刷 不同的短视频），人民群众的爱好和目光焦点多元化的当下， 春晚就是全国人民的最大公约数 ，在这个舞台上做些宣传，显然效果是最好的 ——反面例子是这回美国的超级碗，有个波多黎各歌手全程用西班牙语表演"报菜名"，川宝发帖子吐槽，称其是史上最差表演，简直礼崩乐坏。 年初展望的时候《 2026年金融市场的十大预测 》，咱们提到过 K型分化 的问题，在第十点。 这回春节就有了个微观的体验，家族里有亲戚，去年在股市里赚的不 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant divergence on the first trading day of the Lunar New Year, with the Hang Seng Index declining by 1.1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 2.91%, reaching a new low of nearly 5200 points [1][3] - Internet technology stocks, once highly sought after, became the main contributors to the market decline, with notable drops including Baidu down over 6%, Bilibili down over 5%, Alibaba down nearly 5%, and Tencent down over 2% [3] AI and Robotics Sector - In stark contrast to the decline in internet giants, the domestic AI model sector saw a significant surge, particularly with the "domestic AI dual champions" Zhiyuan and MiniMax, with Zhiyuan's stock price soaring by 42.72% to 725 HKD per share, marking a cumulative increase of over 220% since February [3][5] - The recent launch of Zhiyuan's flagship model GLM-5, which boasts over a 20% performance improvement in programming development scenarios, has garnered strong market interest [5] - The robotics sector also experienced a notable rise, with leading collaborative robot company Yujian increasing by 21.40% and other companies like Sutonju and Ubtech showing impressive gains [7] Market Trends and Insights - The market is witnessing a shift in investment focus from internet platforms, which primarily relied on model innovation, to hard technology sectors driven by technological innovation [7][9] - Analysts from Dongwu Securities highlighted that advancements in core robotic capabilities have been crucial for the sector's recent popularity, with expectations for significant growth as major companies like Tesla and domestic leaders begin large-scale production [7] - According to招商证券, the AI application field is experiencing simultaneous deepening of technological breakthroughs and commercialization competition, supported by the national strategy for artificial intelligence, indicating promising upward potential despite slightly high valuations [9]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a collective decline on the first trading day of the Year of the Horse, with significant interest in robotics stocks following their appearance at the Spring Festival Gala, which led to a strong performance in this sector [1][5]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.6%, the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 2.28%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 0.59% [1]. - Major tech stocks faced pressure, with Baidu Group-SW down 5.67%, Kingdee International down 5.47%, Bilibili-W down 5.12%, and JD Health down 5.03%. Alibaba-W also saw a decline of 3.75% [3][1]. Sector Highlights - Robotics stocks surged, with notable gains including Yujian up over 19%, Suten up over 9%, and UBTECH and Sanhua Intelligent Control both up over 6% [5]. - The electric equipment sector also performed well, with China High-Speed Transmission up over 17%, Shanghai Electric up over 6%, and Harbin Electric up over 4% [7][9]. - The semiconductor sector saw fluctuations, with Lanke Technology rising nearly 2% before retreating, while Tensu Zhixin fell over 6% after reaching a historical high [9]. Investment Recommendations - Haitong Securities suggests focusing on three key areas for future investments: 1. Semiconductor hardware, particularly storage, which is expected to benefit from ongoing global demand [10]. 2. Specialty consumption sectors, such as dining and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are anticipated to see improved market conditions [10]. 3. The electric equipment sector, driven by the need for upgrades in power systems and the influx of passive funds following the inclusion of CATL in the Hang Seng Index [10].

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened on February 20, 2023, with the Hang Seng Index closing down by 1.10% and the Hang Seng Tech Index down by 2.91% [1][8] - Despite the overall market decline, several robotics concept stocks rose significantly, indicating a "Spring Festival effect" [3][11] IPO and Market Activity - As of the new year, 24 new stocks have been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising over 87 billion HKD, with 488 companies currently waiting to go public [4][15] - The average daily trading volume in January exceeded 278 billion HKD, reflecting the effectiveness of liquidity enhancement measures [15] Sector Performance - The technology sector faced pressure, with major internet stocks like JD Health, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent experiencing declines ranging from 2.06% to 6.27% [9][10] - In contrast, the robotics sector saw notable gains, with stocks such as Yujian up by 21.4%, Sutech up by 9.24%, and Ubtech up by 4.71% [11][12] Gold Market - The Hong Kong gold market also performed well, with gold prices rising to 46,685 HKD per tael, an increase of over 200 HKD from the previous trading day [17][18] - The Hong Kong government aims to establish the city as an international gold trading center, targeting over 2,000 tons in gold storage within three years [16][17] Index Adjustments - The Hang Seng Index will increase its constituent stocks from 88 to 90, adding companies like CATL and Luoyang Molybdenum, effective March 9, 2023 [18][19] - The adjustments in the Hong Kong Stock Connect are expected to lead to significant trading activity, particularly for newly included stocks in the healthcare and technology sectors [19]