Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (expected to outperform the market index by more than 5% in the next 6 months) [66] Core Views - The macroeconomic outlook is marginally improving, which is expected to elevate the price center of industrial metals [4] - For precious metals, particularly gold, the resilience of the U.S. labor market is anticipated to support a long-term bullish trend for gold, driven by ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and a weakening U.S. dollar [3][6] - In the copper market, domestic demand is gradually recovering, and the global demand for refined copper is expected to open up long-term growth opportunities [6] - The aluminum sector is expected to see prices rise due to a supply-demand imbalance, with domestic demand anticipated to grow under supportive policies [6] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices have shown a slight increase, with COMEX gold futures rising by 0.54% to $3,331 per ounce as of June 6 [3] - The SPDR Gold ETF holdings increased by 0.4% to 934.2 tons, indicating a stable demand for gold amid macroeconomic uncertainties [3] Industrial Metals Copper - As of June 6, LME copper futures rose by 1.8% to $9,670.5 per ton, with domestic copper social inventory at 148,800 tons, reflecting a slight increase [5] - The LME copper inventory stood at 132,400 tons, showing a positive trend in demand resilience [5] Aluminum - LME aluminum futures increased by 0.1% to $2,451.5 per ton, with domestic aluminum social inventory at 504,000 tons, indicating a slight decrease [5] - The global electrolytic aluminum inventory continues to decline, supporting price stability [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the gold, copper, and aluminum sectors due to their favorable market conditions [6] - Specific companies to watch include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining for gold, Zijin Mining for copper, and Tianshan Aluminum for aluminum [6]

智通财经APP获悉，国泰海通发布研报称，维持建材行业"增持"评级。该行假设建材实物需求量在2025 年迎来本轮下滑的尾声，核心依据在于产业链已经先后转入缩表周期。该行对于建材板块的关键词 是："龟兔赛跑"，该行将供给改善比喻成龟，需求收缩比喻成兔，供给优化追上需求收缩的盈利改善契 机正在到来。大宗行业或迎来单位盈利中枢的底部反弹，消费建材价格竞争和费用有望同步改善。建材 板块估值和机构配置处于低位，龙头公司投资价值持续凸显。 国泰海通主要观点如下： 水泥行业：协同共识增强，盈利修复高确定性 2024年水泥需求在地产调整与基建托底减弱下承压，25年地产拖累减弱叠加基建资金改善下，需求压力 收窄企稳预期增强，25Q1降幅显著收窄正在兑现。24年行业重返协同，24Q4首次旺季错峰提价实质落 地盈利显著改善，25年观察行业保利润共识继续增强，25Q1价格及盈利同比明显改善，奠定全年良好 基础，25Q2观察在高基数下以稳为主，全年展望盈利中枢修复具备高确定性。长期供需格局的改善政 策预期亦在逐步落地。推荐水泥板块龙头公司海螺水泥，华新水泥，天山股份，上峰水泥，塔牌集团， 华润建材科技等。 消费建材：格局走向固化，行业盈 ...

证券代码：000877.SZ 证券简称：天山股份 公告编号：2025-046 债券代码：148759.SZ 债券简称：24 天材 K3 天山材料股份有限公司 2024 年面向专业投资者 公开发行科技创新公司债券（第二期）（品种二） 2025 年付息公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载，误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 天山材料股份有限公司 2024 年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创 新公司债券（第二期）（品种二）（简称"24 天材 K3"、"本期债 券"）2025 年付息债权登记日为 2025 年 6 月 4 日。凡在 2025 年 6 月 4 日前（含当日）买入并持有本期债券的投资者享有本次派发的 利息；2025 年 6 月 4 日卖出本期债券的投资者不享有本次派发的利 息。 天山材料股份有限公司（简称"公司"）发行的本期债券至 2025 年 6 月 5 日将期满 1 年。根据《天山材料股份有限公司 2024 年 面向专业投资者公开发行科技创新公司债券（第二期）募集说明书》 有关条款的规定，在本期债券的计息期限内，每年付息一次，现将 ⚫ 债券简称：24 天材 K3 ⚫ 债券代码 ...

市场层面，端午节前A股三大指数全线调整。对于A股后市，多家机构认为市场调整空间有限，科技成长已到左侧关注时。中信建投称，关税担忧短期或压 制市场情绪，但市场正逐步对关税脱敏，中国基本面韧性将为市场提供底部支撑；广发证券表示，A股市场目前窄幅震荡，若国内财政和中美关系无新进 展，科技产业变化或成触发因素，6月大厂发布会成色关键；兴业证券认为，短期关税扰动或冲击市场及科技风格，但结合交易指标、日历效应等，科技成 长风格已到左侧关注时，同时可重视军工、创新药等板块配置机会。（陈十一） 同日，深交所还发布关于深港通下的港股通标的证券名单调整的公告，因富智康集团开始并行买卖合并股份、钧达股份在香港市场价格稳定期结束且相应A 股上市满10个交易日，港股通标的证券名单自2025年6月3日起调整。 【环球网财经综合报道】6月3日，深交所发布关于调整深证成指、创业板指、深证100等指数样本股的公告，调整将于2025年6月16日生效。 具体来看，深证成指调入中钨高新等20只个股，调出南玻A等20只个股；创业板指调入蓝色光标等8只个股，调出安科生物等8只个股；深证100指数调入领 益智造等3只个股，调出TCL中环等3只个股。此外， ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [74] Core Views - Precious Metals - Gold: The U.S. International Trade Court has blocked Trump's "Day of Liberation" tariffs, leading to a slight decline in gold prices. As of May 30, the COMEX gold futures contract fell by 1.33% to $3,313.10 per ounce. The SPDR Gold ETF increased by 0.8% to 930.2 tons. Short-term uncertainties in U.S. policy, trade negotiations, and geopolitical factors continue to support safe-haven demand for gold. In the medium to long term, ongoing macro uncertainties abroad and the weakening of the dollar's credit are expected to enhance gold's monetary attributes, leading to a positive outlook for gold prices [4][7]. - Industrial Metals: Domestic metal inventories remain relatively low, with a focus on downstream demand in June [5]. As of May 30, LME copper futures fell by 1.2% to $9,497 per ton, while domestic copper social inventory reached 138,700 tons, with a slight decrease of 1,200 tons. LME copper inventory stood at 149,900 tons, indicating a positive trend in inventory reduction. The copper market shows resilience, and if downstream demand exceeds expectations, copper prices may enter an upward channel [6][7]. - Aluminum: As of May 30, LME aluminum futures fell by 0.7% to $2,448.5 per ton. Domestic aluminum social inventory reached 511,000 tons, with a reduction of 46,000 tons. The global electrolytic aluminum inventory continues to decline. Despite some seasonal weakness in downstream sectors, demand remains resilient, and the aluminum price is expected to rise in the medium to long term due to policy support and improved demand expectations [6][7]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Gold prices have slightly declined due to tariff uncertainties, but medium to long-term outlook remains positive due to macro uncertainties and dollar weakening [4][7]. Industrial Metals - Copper: Domestic demand is gradually recovering, with a long-term demand space opening up due to industrialization in emerging markets. The tight supply of copper concentrate is expected to support prices [6][7]. - Aluminum: The supply-demand dynamics are favorable, with expectations of rising aluminum prices due to strong demand and reduced inventory levels [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the gold, copper, and aluminum sectors. Specific companies to watch include Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining for gold, Zijin Mining for copper, and Tianshan Aluminum for aluminum [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector is experiencing fluctuations at the bottom of the PMI index, with expectations for a gradual recovery in demand driven by government policies and market dynamics [4][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the home decoration materials segment, particularly with the implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies and service consumption stimulus policies [4][16] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.18% in the past week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index, which decreased by -1.08% and -0.02% respectively [4] - The report highlights that the cement market price is currently at 367.8 RMB/ton, down by 3.0 RMB/ton from the previous week and down by 6.3 RMB/ton compared to the same period last year [20][21] 2. Cement Market - The average cement inventory ratio is reported at 65.7%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous week, but down by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [25] - The average daily cement shipment rate is 47.8%, up by 1.4 percentage points from the previous week but down by 5.3 percentage points compared to last year [25] - The report notes that the cement price is expected to stabilize or slightly rebound in the coming months due to supply-side adjustments and demand recovery [12][19] 3. Glass Fiber Market - The report indicates that the profitability of the glass fiber sector remains low, with many second and third-tier companies operating at breakeven or loss [13] - The demand for high-end products in wind power and thermoplastics is expected to continue growing, which may support profitability for leading companies [13] - The report recommends companies like China Jushi and suggests monitoring others such as Zhongcai Technology and Shandong Fiberglass [13] 4. Glass Market - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with inventory levels remaining high and price pressures expected to increase as the market enters a seasonal downturn [14][15] - The report recommends Qibin Group as a leading player in the glass market, with a focus on its cost advantages and growth potential in photovoltaic glass [14] 5. Home Decoration Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to enhance the demand for home decoration materials [16] - Companies such as Beixin Building Materials and Arrow Home are recommended for their strong growth potential and market positioning [16]

"水泥市场需求下滑严重，供需矛盾加剧，市场信心缺失，企业生产经营困难，纷纷通过低价恶性竞争抢占市场份额，导 致水泥价格持续下降至成本线附近，行业效益大幅下降。"数字水泥网总裁陈柏林表示。 本报记者 刘欢 近期，安徽海螺水泥股份有限公司（以下简称"海螺水泥"）、天山材料股份有限公司（以下简称"天山股份"）、甘肃上峰 水泥股份有限公司（以下简称"上峰水泥"）等多家水泥上市公司陆续召开业绩说明会，各公司高管围绕公司2024年、2025年一 季度的业绩表现和经营情况等，与投资者展开了深入交流。 从上述公司业绩说明会释放的信号来看，各企业围绕产业链延伸、绿色低碳转型等方向谋篇布局，试图在需求下行等多重 压力下，寻找突围与转型的新路径。 企业积极探索应对之策 2024年，全国及各主要消费区域水泥需求均出现接近两位数的降幅，全国规模以上企业的累计水泥产量18.25亿吨，同比下 降9.5%（按可比口径），水泥产量创下十五年以来的最低值。 从企业层面来看，Wind数据显示，2024年，A股市场18家水泥上市公司中，有10家净利润同比下滑。 "展望2025年全年，水泥行业整体盈利水平有望比2024年出现明显改善。"中国水泥协会会 ...

天山材料股份有限公司 2025 年跟踪评级报告 | H ે | | --- | | = | | 121 | | H 5 | | 首 北 ー 収 | | 服 | | ੜੇ | www.lhratings.com 1 联合〔2025〕3337 号 联合资信评估股份有限公司通过对天山材料股份有限公司主体 及其相关债券的信用状况进行跟踪分析和评估，确定维持天山材料 股份有限公司主体长期信用等级为 AAA，维持"22 天山 01" "24 天山 K1"和"24 天材 K3"信用等级为 AAA，评级展望为稳定。 特此公告 联合资信评估股份有限公司 评级总监： 二〇二五年五月二十六日 跟踪评级报告 | 2 声 明 一、本报告是联合资信基于评级方法和评级程序得出的截至发表之日的 独立意见陈述，未受任何机构或个人影响。评级结论及相关分析为联合资信 基于相关信息和资料对评级对象所发表的前瞻性观点，而非对评级对象的事 实陈述或鉴证意见。联合资信有充分理由保证所出具的评级报告遵循了真 实、客观、公正的原则。鉴于信用评级工作特性及受客观条件影响，本报告 在资料信息获取、评级方法与模型、未来事项预测评估等方面存在局限性。 二、本报告系联 ...

Core Viewpoint - The inclusion of the cement industry in the national carbon emissions trading market signifies a profound transformation in cost, technology, and competitive landscape, presenting both challenges and opportunities for industry transformation [1] Group 1: Industry Challenges - The Chinese cement industry is experiencing its most severe downturn in nearly a decade, with a projected reduction of 550 million tons in national cement production by 2024 compared to 2021, leading to pressure on the market capitalization of listed companies [1] - The decline in real estate investment and infrastructure growth has resulted in a "cliff-like" drop in cement demand, exacerbated by overcapacity and intense competition among companies [2] - The industry faces challenges such as reduced mutual trust among enterprises and chaotic competition, making effective collaboration difficult and intensifying market confusion [2] Group 2: Opportunities from Carbon Market Inclusion - The implementation of the carbon emissions trading market is expected to drive the cement industry from a high-carbon path to a low-carbon competitive landscape, accelerating innovation and application of low-carbon technologies [3] - The carbon market will encourage companies to adopt advanced production processes, improve energy efficiency, and reduce carbon emissions, enhancing their market competitiveness and promoting a positive green brand image [3][4] - Companies can generate new revenue streams by selling surplus carbon allowances, attracting investments from green funds and financial institutions, thereby broadening financing channels and reducing costs [4] Group 3: Long-term Implications - The carbon market will necessitate increased investments in energy-saving renovations, low-carbon technologies, and materials to lower carbon emission intensity, which is essential for reducing costs associated with purchasing shortfall allowances [5] - The initial phase of the carbon market implementation (2024-2026) provides a transition period for the cement industry, allowing it to adapt without losing price advantages compared to non-participating companies [6] - Despite current market demand decline, the cement industry is expected to remain a crucial raw material in the construction sector due to the large economic scale of the country [6]

Core Viewpoint - The cement industry in China is experiencing a slowdown in demand, but the decline is easing, with prices stabilizing and profitability improving in the first quarter of the year [1][2][3] Group 1: Production and Demand - In the first quarter, national cement production reached 331 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.4%, which is a narrowing decline compared to earlier months [1] - March saw a single-month cement production of 158 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.5% [1] - The demand decline has significantly eased, supported by infrastructure investment, which has buffered some of the downward pressure on the market [1][2] Group 2: Supply and Pricing - The national cement inventory capacity ratio stood at 58%, down 7 percentage points from the previous year, indicating a reasonable inventory level [2] - The average market price for cement in the first quarter was 397 yuan per ton, marking a 9.3% increase year-on-year [2] - The Northeast region had the highest cement prices at 486 yuan per ton, up 119 yuan per ton from the previous year [2] Group 3: Profitability and Future Outlook - The cement industry is expected to turn from a loss in the previous year to a profit of 1.5 billion to 2 billion yuan in the first quarter, driven by improved operational quality and reduced costs [2] - Major companies like Conch Cement reported a net profit of 1.808 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 20% [2] - Looking ahead to the second quarter, demand is expected to rise, supported by continued infrastructure investment, while prices are likely to stabilize [3]