有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指数化投资标的。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、华友钴业、中国铝业、赣锋锂业、云铝股份、山东黄金、中金黄金、天齐锂业，前十 大权重股合计占比51.65%。 有色ETF鹏华(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886) 贵金属概念持续拉升，消息面上，1月28日，现货黄金首次突破5200美元/盎司，年内累计涨幅超过 20%，持续刷新历史系高。现货白银站上113美元/盎司。 华福证券指出，短期而言，美联储降息预期摇摆，整体呈现易涨难跌格局；中长期而言，全球关税政策 和区域政治的不确定性背景下，避险和滞涨交易仍是黄金交易的核心，长期配置价值不改。 截至2026年1月28日 10:40，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)强势上涨3.95%，成分股白银有色上涨 10.0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold industry is experiencing a significant surge, driven by a decline in the US dollar index and increasing demand for gold from private investors and central banks, with gold prices potentially reaching new highs [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 28, 2026, the CSI Hong Kong-Shenzhen Gold Industry Stock Index (931238) rose by 5.98%, with notable increases in constituent stocks such as Xiaocheng Technology (up 18.09%), Mankalon (up 13.89%), and China Gold (up 10.04%) [1]. - The Gold Stock ETF (159322) increased by 6.02%, with the latest price reported at 2.41 yuan [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - On January 27, the US dollar index fell significantly, reaching its lowest point in nearly four years, with the euro to dollar exchange rate surpassing the 1.2 mark for the first time since 2021 [1]. - US President Trump expressed confidence in the current performance of the dollar, stating he does not believe it has depreciated excessively, which contributed to the dollar's rapid decline [1]. Group 3: Future Projections - UBS Wealth Management's investment office indicated that if regional tensions escalate, gold prices could rise to $5,400 per ounce [1]. - Goldman Sachs raised its year-end gold price target from $4,900 to $5,400 per ounce, citing growing demand from private investors and central banks, with expectations of central banks purchasing 60 tons of gold monthly [1].

2026 年 01 月 27 日 铜铝下游开工率有所回升，高价接受度提升 推荐(维持) 投资要点 | 分析师：傅鸿浩 | S1050521120004 | | --- | --- | | fuhh@cfsc.com.cn | | | 分析师：杜飞 | S1050523070001 | | dufei2@cfsc.com.cn | | 行业相对表现 表现 1M 3M 12M 有色金属(申万) 24.5 37.5 131.2 沪深 300 1.1 -0.2 23.3 市场表现 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 -50 0 50 100 150 (%) 有色金属 沪深300 相关研究 1、《有色金属行业周报：1 月美联 储进一步降息的概率较高，黄金上 行动力较足》2026-01-20 2、《有色金属行业周报：美国非农 就业人数不及预期，贵金属进一步 上行》2026-01-13 3、《有色金属行业周报：LME 铜库 存注销，推动铜价走高》2025-12- 09 ▌贵金属：PCE 数据温和叠加年内仍将降息，支撑贵 金属价格 价格方面，周内伦敦黄金价格为 4946.25 美元/盎司，环比 1 月 16 日+335.20 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent surge in international gold prices surpassing $5200 per ounce has initiated a structural bull market in the non-ferrous metals sector, with significant inflows into the mining ETF (561330) exceeding 1.6 billion yuan over 20 consecutive days [1][3] Group 1: Market Performance - The mining ETF (561330) has seen a broad increase in its constituent stocks, with most of the top ten stocks experiencing gains [3] - The top ten constituent stocks of the mining ETF include Zijin Mining, Luoyang Aluminum, and Northern Rare Earth, with Zijin Mining showing a 3.67% increase and Luoyang Aluminum a 3.68% increase [4] Group 2: Macro Drivers - The current bull market in non-ferrous metals is driven by multiple factors, including de-globalization, de-dollarization, and macroeconomic cycles [5] - De-globalization has led to resource nationalism, with major resource countries implementing export controls and taxes to secure strategic resources, increasing the geopolitical value of these resources [5] - The acceleration of de-dollarization is evidenced by countries like Denmark and Sweden reducing their U.S. Treasury holdings, while nations like India are repatriating gold reserves, indicating a shift away from dollar-denominated assets [6] - The synchronization of macro policy cycles between China and the U.S. is expected to provide support for global industrial metal prices, particularly in 2026 [7] Group 3: Gold Market Insights - Gold's rise above $5200 per ounce reflects a reassessment of its monetary attributes amid the de-dollarization trend, with central banks continuing to accumulate gold [8][9] - The demand for gold is being driven by geopolitical tensions and the increasing appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset [10] - Institutional investors are beginning to allocate gold as an alternative to U.S. Treasury bonds, marking a significant shift in asset allocation strategies [11] Group 4: Industrial and Energy Metals - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are experiencing a shift in demand from traditional infrastructure to AI and energy revolution, while supply constraints persist due to resource nationalism and insufficient capital expenditure [12] - Copper is facing structural shortages due to increased demand from sectors like AI data centers and electric vehicles, while supply is hindered by declining ore grades and geopolitical disruptions [13] - Aluminum supply is constrained by domestic carbon goals and high energy costs abroad, with demand expanding into high-growth areas like lightweighting for electric vehicles [13] - Lithium demand is surging due to the growth of energy storage markets, leading to a tightening supply-demand balance [13] Group 5: Investment Strategy - The non-ferrous metals market is transitioning from futures prices to equity markets, with a focus on the mining ETF (561330) as a more stable investment option [15] - The mining ETF (561330) has outperformed other non-ferrous ETFs, with a cumulative increase of 296.64% since its inception in 2013, indicating strong historical performance [16] - The mining ETF focuses on upstream resource leaders, providing higher profit elasticity and valuation opportunities during price increases [21]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal sector, with the non-ferrous mining ETF (招商, 159690) reaching a historical high, reflecting a significant increase of 3.31% and peaking at 3.84% [2] - Major stocks in the sector, including silver and various gold mining companies, have shown substantial gains, indicating robust market activity and investor interest [2] Group 2 - Zhongjin Gold announced an impressive forecast for its 2025 annual performance, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.8 billion to 5.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.76% to 59.48% [3] - The expected net profit, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is projected to be between 5.6 billion and 6.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 58.55% to 75.54% [3] - The strong performance is attributed to the continuous rise in gold prices in 2025, showcasing the resilience of the gold sector amid macroeconomic changes [3] Group 3 - The non-ferrous mining ETF has a high concentration in its top three weighted commodities: copper (31%), gold (14%), and aluminum (12%), which together account for nearly 60% of the ETF [3] - The ETF is described as having a "leverage property," acting as a "cycle amplifier" due to its concentrated investment in leading upstream resource companies, which allows profit margins to expand significantly when metal prices rise [3] - This results in a "Davis double-hit" scenario, where both profits and valuations are enhanced, leading to net asset value increases that can outpace the underlying commodity price increases [3]

据了解，有色矿业ETF招商(场内：159690；场外：026477)前三大权重品种铜（31%）、金（14%）、 铝（12%）合计占比近6成，龙头集中度高。还自带"杠杆属性"，被称为"周期放大器"：由于集中投资 上游资源龙头，在矿业公司成本相对固定时，有色金属价格上涨导致涨价部分几乎全是利润。因此形成 利润+估值双提升的"戴维斯双击"行情，净值涨幅数倍于商品本身。 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 消息面，据 Bitget 行情信息，现货黄金站上 5190 美元/盎司，日内涨 0.24%。现货白银向上触及 114 美 元/盎司，日内涨 1.54%。国金证券首席策略分析师牟一凌认为，对于商品而言，资产配置属性驱动了 本轮的上涨且当前定价并不极致，对冲美元风险下黄金储备有望继续上升，且商品计价的黄金股相对其 他资源股较为低估，有修复需求。 1月28日，金银继续上攻！数据显示，截至10时15分，有色矿业ETF招商(159690)放量涨超3%，成分股 白银有色、湖南黄金涨停、西部黄金、山东黄金涨幅居前。 | 官 - | 代码 | 有色型(ETF招商159690成分喜观 | | 估算权重 | | --- | --- | ...

1月28日，中金黄金涨5.72%，截至发稿，报36.24元/股，成交20.33亿元，换手率1.19%，总市值1756.67 亿元。中金黄金股价已经连续3天上涨，区间累计涨幅17.48%。 资料显示，中金黄金股份有限公司位于北京市东城区安定门外大街9号，成立日期2007年9月24日，上市 日期2003年8月14日，公司主营业务涉及黄金等有色金属地质勘查、采选、冶炼。主营业务收入构成 为：冶炼94.45%，矿山27.85%，其他0.03%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 截至发稿，邹立虎累计任职时间8年139天，现任基金资产总规模667.96亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 119.19%， 任职期间最差基金回报-7.78%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但 不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。受限于第三方数据库质量等问题，我们无法对数据的真实性及完整性进行分辨或核验，因此本文内 容可能出现不准确、不完整、误导性的内容或信息，具体以公司公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 ...

现货黄金突破5200美元/盎司大关后，盘中再度突破5220美元/盎司关口，现报5205.84美元/盎司。 编辑丨瑜见 | 代码 | | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | 涨跌 | 换手率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300945 | 曼卡龙 | 22.72 | 10.34% | 2.13 | 10.95% | | 600916 | 中国黄金 | 12.27 | 10.04% | 1.12 | 1.58% | | 603900 | 莱绅通灵 | 10.53 | 10.03% | 0.96 | 10.14% | | 600655 | 豫园股份 | 5.82 | 10.02% | 0.53 | 1.04% | | 000506 | 招金黄金 | 25.93 | 10.01% | 2.36 | 7.07% | | 001337 | 四川黄金 | 66.86 | 10.00% | 6.08 | 7.92% | | 002155 湖南黄金 | | 30.58 | 10.00% | 2.78 | 0.15% | | 601069 西部黄金 | | 44.26 | 9.99% ...

| 代码 | 类型 名称 | | 现价 | | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 159562 | 主 | 黄金股ETF | 3.224 | 0.153 | 4.98% | | 517400 | H | 黄金股票ETF | 2.342 | 0.111 | 4.98% | | 517520 | H | 黄金股ETF | 2.949 | 0.135 | 4.80% | | 159321 | H | 黄金股票ETF | 2.256 | 0.100 | 4.64% | | 159322 | H | 黄金股票ETF基金 | 2.377 | 0.102 | 4.48% | | 159315 | | 主 黄金股ETF工银 | 2.410 | 0.103 | 4.46% | 现货黄金再创新高，首次突破5200美元/盎司，本月累计涨超880美元，逾20%。 黄金概念股早盘走强，湖南黄金涨停，中金黄金、赤峰黄金涨超6%。 受盘面影响，黄金股相关ETF涨超4%。 有分析人士指出，美国方面反复无常的政策信号，进一步削弱了投资者对美元资产的信心，推动金价进 一步走强。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The gold stocks have experienced a significant surge, with multiple companies reaching their daily limit up on January 28, indicating strong market interest and potential investment opportunities in the gold sector [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Several gold stocks, including China Gold, Zhaojin Mining, Sichuan Gold, and Hunan Gold, have hit the daily limit up, showcasing a robust performance in the market [1]. - The following stocks reported notable price increases: - Mankalon (300945) rose by 10.34% to 22.72, with a turnover rate of 10.95% [2]. - China Gold (600916) increased by 10.04% to 12.27, with a turnover rate of 1.58% [2]. - Zhaojin Mining (000506) saw a rise of 10.01% to 25.93, with a turnover rate of 7.07% [2]. - Sichuan Gold (001337) climbed 10.00% to 66.86, with a turnover rate of 7.92% [2]. - Hunan Gold (002155) also increased by 10.00% to 30.58, with a turnover rate of 0.15% [2]. Group 2: Gold Price Movement - The spot gold price has surpassed the significant threshold of 5200 USD/ounce and has further increased to over 5220 USD/ounce, currently reported at 5205.84 USD/ounce, indicating a bullish trend in the gold market [3].