Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The military industry shows significant differentiation in fundamentals, with traditional internal installation sectors under pressure and varying performances among individual stocks. Longjiang Securities recommends a bottom-up stock selection approach, focusing on companies with a second growth curve, such as commercial aerospace and overseas computing power [1][3]. Key Companies and Their Insights - **Guangdong Hongda** has developed into a military industrial group through both organic and external growth, achieving progress in exporting advanced ammunition and high-end equipment. The company has a robust order book in its traditional civil explosives and mining services business, with orders nearing 40 billion yuan. Its future prospects are promising due to a market-oriented mechanism [1][5][10]. - **AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (中航西飞)** and **Aero Engine Corporation of China (航发动力)** are highlighted as key stocks for 2026, with AVIC Xi'an benefiting from its positioning in commercial aircraft and high-end military trade, while Aero Engine is noted for its significant role in the engine supply chain and high premium in military trade [2][6]. Market Trends and Catalysts - The commercial large aircraft and domestic engine sectors are expected to be major themes in the military industry for 2026, with projects like C919 and Changjiang 1,000 set to see important industry information releases. These developments will benefit companies like AVIC Xi'an and Aero Engine [6][8]. - The high-end military trade breakthrough is most favorable for main engine manufacturers, including AVIC Shenfei, AVIC Xi'an, and Aero Engine. Upcoming global aviation exhibitions, such as the Singapore Airshow and the Saudi World Defense Show, are crucial for promoting China's high-end weaponry exports [7]. Investment Opportunities - The domestic commercial aerospace industry presents significant investment opportunities, with a complete and independent supply chain. Key companies in this sector include Aerospace Electronics and Fudan Microelectronics, which align with the development direction promoted by SpaceX [13][14]. - Guangdong Hongda's second growth curve is characterized by the high-end military trade breakthrough and low-cost sustainable development, supported by strategic acquisitions that enhance its capabilities in ammunition and aerospace components [11][12]. Additional Insights - The differentiation in the military sector is more pronounced at the individual stock level, with companies like Beimo High-Tech and Ruichuang Weina showing strong performance. Longjiang Securities emphasizes the importance of market-driven incentives for companies like Guangdong Hongda, which is actively expanding into overseas markets [3][4][9]. - The company’s unique development advantages stem from its state-owned background and market-oriented mechanisms, which include competitive procurement strategies and performance-linked management incentives [10].

Core Insights - Since 2026, technology stocks have become highly sought after by insurance capital institutions due to the rotation trend in sectors like commercial aerospace, AI applications, and brain-computer interfaces [1] Group 1: Investment Trends - In January of this year, approximately 97 insurance capital institutions conducted research on around 170 listed companies, with the number of participating institutions increasing by over 20% year-on-year [1] - More than half of the companies being researched are in the technology sector, with companies such as Haitai Ruisheng, Entropy Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, Nengke Technology, and Fudan Microelectronics receiving significant attention, each being researched by more than five insurance institutions [1] Group 2: Institutional Participation - The top four insurance institutions participating in research this year are all pension insurance companies: Taiping Pension, Yangtze Pension, Ping An Pension, and China Life Pension, each participating in over 10 research sessions [1]

Group 1: Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace industry is experiencing upward trends due to accelerated progress in domestic and international computing constellations[5] - Key focus areas include satellite payloads, satellite platforms, space photovoltaics, application terminals, operational services, and rocket support[3] - The China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation has significant external assets, indicating strong expectations for mergers and acquisitions[3] Group 2: Photovoltaic Industry - Rising silver prices are increasing cost pressures in the photovoltaic industry, making "de-silvering" a critical demand for battery mass production[3] - The adoption of N-type batteries has become mainstream, with silver paste costs in components rising to 21.4% by January 2026[30] - The laser technology is pivotal in supporting the de-silvering transition, enhancing efficiency and reducing material costs[31] Group 3: AI Glasses Market - Global sales of AI glasses are rapidly increasing, with Meta contributing significantly to growth, projecting 6 million units sold in 2025[3] - By 2026, global AI glasses sales are expected to reach 16 million units, with non-display AI audio and photography glasses being major contributors[40] - In Q4 2025, domestic and overseas sales of AI glasses were 24.5 million and 425 million units, respectively[40]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in Hong Kong chip stocks, with notable drops in several companies [1] Group 2 - Hua Hong Semiconductor experienced a drop of over 10% [1] - Zhaoyi Innovation fell by more than 7% [1] - Shanghai Fudan decreased by over 5% [1] - SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation) declined by nearly 4% [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [8] Core Insights - SpaceX has applied to deploy up to 1 million satellites to create a large-scale space data center, aiming to provide AI inference, machine learning, and edge computing services to billions of users globally [1] - The space data center will utilize solar power and operate in various orbital shells between 500 km and 2000 km, leveraging the low-temperature environment of space for natural cooling, which will significantly reduce energy and infrastructure costs [2] - Compared to ground data centers, space-based data centers can achieve a 95% reduction in operational costs, with a projected total cost of approximately $8.2 million for a 40MW center in space over ten years, versus $167 million for a ground facility [3] - The scalability of space data centers is virtually unlimited, allowing for rapid deployment without the physical or regulatory constraints faced on Earth [3] Summary by Sections Rocket Sector - In the next five years, approximately 13,000 satellites are expected to be launched, with the number of launches increasing from 54 in 2025 to 860 in 2030, representing a CAGR of about 74% [4] - By 2029, China's computing power is projected to reach 5457 EFLOPS, with 2% potentially moving to space, necessitating around 6,800 rocket launches [4] Satellite Sector - The competition for global space orbits and frequency resources is intensifying, with countries racing to launch satellites [5] - China has submitted over 200,000 new satellite applications, aiming to secure frequency and orbital resources, thereby strengthening the domestic commercial space industry [5] - The growth of satellite internet and computing satellites is expected to drive rapid increases in satellite launches [5] Investment Recommendations - Focus on leading companies in the rocket sector such as Hangyang Co., Srey New Materials, Aerospace Power, and others [6] - In the satellite sector, attention should be given to companies like China Satellite, Maiwei Co., Zhenyou Technology, and others [6]

债 券 周 相关研究 证券分析师 黄伟平 A0230524110002 huangwp@swsresearch.com 王明路 A0230525060003 wangml@swsresearch.com 徐亚 A0230524060002 xuya@swsresearch.com 联系人 徐亚 A0230524060002 xuya@swsresearch.com 2026 年 01 月 31 日 高估值下转债抗回撤能力有限 ——转债周度跟踪 20260130 ⚫ 1. 周观点及展望 ⚫ 本周贵金属高位调整带动权益和转债市场明显回撤，高平价偏股转债估值环比下行幅度 较大，估值高位下转债抗风险能力较差。当前可转债市场定位已呈现四个关键特征：一是 从左侧思维转向右侧交易，不宜过早坚守；二是从配置价值转向交易价值，需警惕机构防 御性抛售带来的下行风险；三是从追求确定性收益转向衡量风险与回报比，短期冲高后应 再次评估其投资价值；四是从债性或衍生品定价转向机构行为与权益预期驱动，交易盘节 前止盈压力可能较大。因此，短期内应当积极防御、守住盈利，为节后低位布局做好准备。 结构方面，从关注高价、次新、不强赎的品种，转向配置 ...

Group 1 - The technology sector experienced fluctuations in early trading due to the overnight decline in US stocks, while the AI industry chain showed resilience with a low rebound [1] - Alibaba is considering increasing its investment in AI infrastructure and cloud computing from 380 billion to 480 billion yuan over the next three years [1] - ByteDance plans to launch the official version of its Doubao mobile assistant by the end of 2025, with a new device expected to be released in late Q2 2026 [1] Group 2 - Microsoft and Meta reported that the tight supply of AI computing power will persist through 2026, with both companies exceeding market expectations for Q4 capital expenditures: Microsoft at 37.5 billion and Meta at 22.137 billion [1] - Meta has raised its full-year capital expenditure forecast for 2026 to 125 billion, a 73% year-on-year increase [1] - Research institutions predict that the demand for computing power will continue to rise in the next 3-6 months due to the intensive catalysts from AI applications and ongoing model iterations [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board 100 Index showed mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Shijia Photon leading at an increase of 8.56% [1] - The Science and Technology Innovation Board 100 ETF (588220) was quoted at 1.55 yuan [1] - The Science and Technology Innovation Board 100 ETF has a turnover rate of 4.66% and a transaction volume of 492 million yuan during the trading session [2]

科创人工智能ETF华夏(589010)紧密跟踪上证科创板人工智能指数，覆盖全产业链优质企业，兼具高研 发投入与政策红利支持，20%涨跌幅与中小盘弹性助力捕捉AI产业"奇点时刻"。 截至今日10:25，科创人工智能ETF(589010)开盘后单边震荡下行，最新价报 1.575元，较开盘价下跌 1.991%。持仓层面，该ETF跟踪的 30 只成分股跌势高度主导，下跌覆盖度超八成，25只个股下跌，中 科星图跌超5%，优刻得、复旦微电、亚信安全等跌幅居前。少数标的逆势大涨，思看科技开盘涨停。 流动性方面，该 ETF 成交额达2595万元，换手率1.03%，成交活跃度维持适中水平。 消息方面，1月29日消息，据The Information报道，英伟达、微软、亚马逊三大科技巨头正洽谈联合向 OpenAI投资至多600亿美元，其中英伟达拟投最高300亿美元、亚马逊超100亿美元、微软低于100亿美 元，该轮融资前OpenAI的估值或达7300亿美元。 中信证券表示，虽然AI应用大规模商业化落地仍不明朗，但海外AI模型与应用密集催化下，海外算力 需求有望持续上行，算力相关担忧迎来阶段性修复，未来3-6个月海外算力链有望重回 ...

截至9月30日，复旦微电股东户数2.75万，较上期增加26.42%；人均流通股19562股，较上期减少 20.91%。2025年1月-9月，复旦微电实现营业收入30.24亿元，同比增长12.70%；归母净利润3.30亿元， 同比减少22.69%。 分红方面，复旦微电A股上市后累计派现3.11亿元。近三年，累计派现2.58亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，复旦微电十大流通股东中，嘉实上证科创板芯片ETF（588200） 位居第五大流通股东，持股731.77万股，相比上期减少33.69万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第八大流 通股东，持股680.43万股，相比上期增加102.04万股。南方军工改革灵活配置混合A（004224）位居第 九大流通股东，持股642.27万股，相比上期增加76.78万股。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第十大流 通股东，持股473.47万股，为新进股东。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, several foreign public funds achieved significant excess returns, with clear positioning in technology growth and resource sectors, reflecting strong stock selection and allocation capabilities [1][3]. Group 1: Performance of Foreign Public Funds - Multiple foreign public funds recorded impressive gains in 2025, with standout performances from products like BlackRock Advanced Manufacturing A, which rose 63.34%, and Robeco Resource Select A, which surged 97.28%, indicating strong grasp of structural market trends [3]. - The overall portfolio structure of these funds remains centered on manufacturing, while maintaining high attention to technology growth and resource opportunities [3]. Group 2: Specific Holdings and Strategies - BlackRock Advanced Manufacturing A focused heavily on manufacturing, with key technology stock positions in Q4 including Zhongji Xuchuang and Lixun Precision, leaning towards high-end manufacturing [3]. - Fidelity Low Carbon Growth A also prioritized manufacturing, with significant holdings in companies like Xinyi Solar and Shanghai Fudan, balancing low-carbon transition and technology growth [3]. - Robeco Resource Select A displayed a more diversified portfolio, investing in materials and mining sectors, with major positions in Zijin Mining and China Aluminum, highlighting a clear focus on commodities and related industries [3][4]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Strategic Adjustments - Foreign institutions are optimistic about the medium to long-term opportunities in resource sectors while making structural adjustments in technology investments, believing in the ongoing value reassessment of Chinese stocks amid economic transformation [6]. - Robeco Resource Select's manager expressed confidence in the resource sector, anticipating further market expansion in 2026, which will provide more options for portfolio allocation [6]. - Schroders China Power's managers indicated a strategy shift from high-expectation technology sectors to undervalued non-bank financials and chemicals, reflecting a rebalancing of their investment approach [6]. Group 4: Focus on Technology and Future Expectations - The AI sector's profit expectations have been revised upward, but stock performance remains subdued, leading to a cautious approach towards further investments in AI hardware while increasing exposure to application sectors and related supply chains [7]. - Allianz China Select's manager highlighted a sustained high equity position, focusing on quality technology assets as key drivers of value reassessment in Chinese stocks, with expectations for continued excess returns in 2026 [7].