开源证券本周观点(含个股)： 推荐组合：山西汾酒（600809）、贵州茅台（600519）、甘源食品（002991）、西麦食品（002956） (1)山西汾酒：汾酒短期面临需求压力，但中期成长确定性较高。汾牌产品结构升级同时杏花村、竹叶 青同时发力，全国化进程加快。(2)贵州茅台：公司将深化改革进程，以更加务实的姿态，强调未来可 持续发展。公司分红率提升，此轮周期后茅台可看得更为长远。(3)甘源食品：公司持续保持营收稳定 增长，出海战略初见成效，看好公司出海战略下的中长期发展。(4)西麦食品：燕麦主业稳健增长，线 下基本盘稳固，新渠道开拓快速推进。原材料成本迎来改善，预计盈利能力有望提升。 浙商证券本周建议(含个股)： 机构观点 食饮观点：当前内需配置价值彰显，关注财报较优且基本面势能延续的标的，新消费继续首推零食，传 统消费优选业绩见底有望向上标的。我们维持此前强调的"在内需避风港钓鱼"观点，并强调该阶段应该 重点布局行业龙头个股；白酒板块2025年或为新旧周期转换年，关注基本面业绩较好或公司改革有望见 成效的龙头标的；大众品短期关注零食公司或在山姆等会员店上架新品的投资机会，关注盐津铺子 （002847） ...

食品饮料：五一假期消费市场活 跃，带动餐饮市场恢复 2025 年 5 月 9 日 看好/维持 食品饮料 行业报告 根据商务部 5 日发布的数据显示，"五一"假期全国消费市场繁荣活跃。 据商务部商务大数据监测，假期全国重点零售和餐饮企业销售额同比增长 6.3%。其中餐饮文旅市场红火，假期全国重点监测餐饮企业销售额同比增长 8.7%，显示出较强的恢复趋势。 今年五一整体呈现文旅消费双旺的局面，根据去哪儿统计数据，"五一" 假期县城成为"反向旅游"最火目的地。平台上酒店预订遍布 1230 个县， 县城酒店预订量同比增长 30%。从客源地看，一线和新一线城市居民占比超 过六成。旅游消费的旺盛直接推动餐饮市场的恢复，根据商务部统计，假期 全国重点监测餐饮企业销售额同比增长 8.7%，较 2025 年春节全国重点零售 和餐饮企业销售额同比增长 4.1%的增速快 4.6 个百分点，显示出强劲的恢 复。 五一假期呈现的消费市场活跃，我们认为与各地落实中央促进消费内需 政策加大对内需的刺激力度有关，餐饮受到旅游带动呈现较好的恢复。我们 认为随着促内需政策的进一步落实，消费会有进一步的恢复。特别是跟旅游、 文化产业相关的餐饮行业 ...

食品饮料行业 2025 年 5 月 9 日 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：黄冬祎 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340523020001 电话：0769-22119410 邮箱： huangdongyi@dgzq.com.cn 超配 （维持） 内部分化，复苏在途 食品饮料行业 2024 年与 2025 年一季度业绩综述 食品饮料（申万）指数走势 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，同花顺 相关报告 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 业 绩 综 述 行 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 ◼ 食品饮料行业2024年业绩增速放缓，2025Q1业绩微增。2024年SW食品饮料 行业实现营业总收入10915.80亿元，同比增长3.92%，增速同比下降3.95个 百分点；实现归母净利润2171.12亿元，同比增长5.51%，增速同比下降 11.74个百分点。今年一季度，食品饮料行业整体 ...

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Beer announced the acquisition of 100% equity in Shandong Jimo Huangjiu Brewery for 665 million yuan, marking its first entry into the Huangjiu sector, aimed at diversifying its business and creating new growth points amid declining beer sales [1][2] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition price includes 6.65 billion yuan and the amount of profit and loss during the price adjustment period [1] - Jimo Huangjiu has a registered capital of 55 million yuan, with total assets of 908 million yuan and net assets of 203 million yuan as of the end of 2024 [1][3] - The acquisition is expected to complement Qingdao Beer's seasonal sales fluctuations, enhancing product diversity and market channels [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - Qingdao Beer reported a 5.30% decline in revenue in 2024, while net profit grew by 1.81%, indicating a slowdown in growth [1][2] - Jimo Huangjiu achieved revenue of 166 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 13.5%, with net profit of 30.47 million yuan, up 38% [3] Group 3: Market Context - The beer industry is facing a shift towards stock competition, with major players seeking new growth drivers due to declining sales [1][4] - The Huangjiu market is characterized by strong regional branding but has not seen significant growth compared to beer and other spirits [6][7] - The beverage industry is also experiencing intense competition, with packaging drinking water's market share dropping below 50% [7] Group 4: Strategic Implications - The acquisition reflects a broader trend among beverage giants exploring diversification in response to market saturation [4][5] - Qingdao Beer aims to leverage its extensive distribution network of 11,622 dealers to enhance the market presence of Jimo Huangjiu and other regional brands [3] - The effectiveness of this diversification strategy remains uncertain, as the integration of different alcoholic beverages poses management challenges [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Beer is taking a significant step in its diversification process by acquiring 100% equity of Shandong Jimo Yellow Wine Factory for 665 million RMB [1][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - On May 7, the company signed a share transfer agreement with Xinhua Jin Group and Shandong Lujin Import and Export Group to acquire the entire equity of Jimo Yellow Wine [3]. - The acquisition price is 665 million RMB, which includes the amount of profit and loss adjustments during the price adjustment period [3]. - After the completion of the transaction, Jimo Yellow Wine will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qingdao Beer and will be included in the company's consolidated financial statements [3]. Group 2: Company Background - Jimo Yellow Wine, established in 1949, is a significant representative of traditional Chinese yellow wine, known for its unique flavor and rich cultural heritage [3]. - The brand "Jimo" was awarded the title of "Chinese Time-Honored Brand" by the Ministry of Commerce in 2006, and its traditional brewing technique is recognized as a provincial intangible cultural heritage [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In 2024, Jimo Yellow Wine achieved a main business income of 166.41 million RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.5% [4]. - The net profit for the same year was 30.47 million RMB, showing a year-on-year increase of 38.0% [4]. - As of December 31, 2024, Jimo Yellow Wine had total assets of 908 million RMB and a net asset value of 203 million RMB [4]. Group 4: Strategic Rationale - The acquisition aligns with Qingdao Beer's strategy to drive high-quality development through innovation and expand its non-beer business for diversified growth [5]. - The complementary sales effect between "Jimo Yellow Wine" and Qingdao Beer products is expected to enhance market competitiveness and open new growth avenues [6]. - The overall performance of the yellow wine market has been stable, contrasting with the declining growth in the beer sector, where Qingdao Beer reported a revenue decrease of 5.3% in 2024 [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the strong performance of Shandong's capital market, with 307 out of 309 listed companies reporting their 2024 results, showcasing resilience in a complex economic environment [1] - Total operating revenue for Shandong listed companies exceeded 2.95 trillion yuan, maintaining a robust profit level, with 244 companies achieving positive profits, representing nearly 80% [1][3] - The number of companies with over 1 billion yuan in net profit increased, with 140 companies achieving this milestone, indicating effective transformation of old and new driving forces [1][3] Group 2 - The "thousand billion revenue" group expanded to 7 companies, contributing a total of 1.39 trillion yuan in revenue, accounting for 47.2% of the total revenue of Shandong listed companies [2] - Notable companies in this group include Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, and Wanhu Chemical, with two technology firms, Inspur Information and GoerTek, also joining the ranks [2] - The industry distribution of these companies reflects the effectiveness of Shandong's "Ten Strong Industries" strategy, with representation from high-end manufacturing, energy and chemicals, and information technology [2] Group 3 - The overall profit of Shandong listed companies reached 156.75 billion yuan in 2024, with four companies achieving over 10 billion yuan in net profit, including Haier Smart Home and Yanzhou Coal Mining [3] - Traditional companies like Qingdao Beer and Hualu Hengsheng have revitalized their operations through smart upgrades, with Qingdao Beer achieving over 20% of its revenue from high-end products [3] - Emerging companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Jereh Holdings have demonstrated strong profitability in niche sectors like optical modules and oil and gas equipment [3] Group 4 - Four cities in Shandong, including Jinan, Zaozhuang, Jining, and Weifang, have added new companies to the A-share market, showcasing a trend of "multi-point breakthroughs and distinct characteristics" [4] - New entrants include Zhongchuang Co., focusing on middleware for various industries, and Tengda Technology, specializing in stainless steel fasteners [4] - The expansion of A-share listings across all 16 cities in Shandong indicates a comprehensive coverage and a shift towards innovation-driven core competitiveness [4]

Group 1 - Dashi Intelligent signed a smart hospital project contract worth 58.12 million yuan with the First Affiliated Hospital of Bengbu Medical College and Bengbu Urban Construction Investment Development Co., Ltd. [1] - The project aims to create a comprehensive tumor specialty hospital integrating medical care, research, teaching, preventive health care, and rehabilitation, which is expected to positively impact the company's future performance [1] Group 2 - Huahong Company reported a net profit of 22.76 million yuan for Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 89.73%, despite a revenue increase of 18.66% to 3.913 billion yuan [2] - The company specializes in the development and application of embedded/non-volatile memory, power devices, and other semiconductor technologies [2] Group 3 - Jindi Group announced a signed area of 214,000 square meters in April, a year-on-year decrease of 55.14%, with a signed amount of 2.78 billion yuan, down 55.45% [3] - The company focuses on real estate development and sales, commercial real estate, and property management [3] Group 4 - Jinlong Automobile reported a bus production of 4,361 units in April, a year-on-year decrease of 5.79%, with sales of 3,611 units, down 3.91% [4][5] - The company is engaged in the production and sales of bus products [5] Group 5 - Sanyou Medical established a joint venture with CGBio Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 60 million yuan, focusing on innovative cell biological materials and regenerative medicine [6][7] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of orthopedic implant consumables [7] Group 6 - Jinzhi Technology won a bid for projects related to the State Grid with a total amount of 90.73 million yuan, accounting for 5.12% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [9][10] - The company focuses on smart energy and smart city businesses [10] Group 7 - Pinggao Electric won multiple procurement projects from the State Grid, totaling approximately 1.751 billion yuan, which is 14.12% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [10] - The company specializes in high-voltage switchgear and power engineering contracting [10] Group 8 - Luantang Pharmaceutical received approval for the raw material drug Celecoxib, which is a selective COX-2 inhibitor with fewer gastrointestinal side effects compared to traditional NSAIDs [11][12] - The company is involved in the research, production, and sales of pharmaceutical products [12] Group 9 - Dongjie Intelligent obtained seven patent certificates related to AGV and conveyor system technologies [13][14] - The company specializes in the research, design, manufacturing, installation, and debugging of intelligent logistics systems [14] Group 10 - XJH Holdings received a government subsidy of 8.69 million yuan, which accounts for 38.67% of the company's projected net profit for 2024 [15][16] - The company focuses on the recycling and dismantling of waste electrical products [16] Group 11 - Huaihua Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the clinical trial of HZ-J001 ointment for treating non-segmental vitiligo [17][19] - The company is engaged in the research, production, and sales of pharmaceutical products [19] Group 12 - ST Aonong reported a pig sales volume of 132,800 heads in April, a year-on-year decrease of 14.42%, while the stock of pigs increased by 15.06% [22][23] - The company is involved in feed, pig farming, food, and trade [23] Group 13 - Beibu Gulf Port reported a cargo throughput of 31.75 million tons in April, a year-on-year increase of 20.32% [24][25] - The company specializes in port loading, storage, and related services [25] Group 14 - Dongfang Iron Tower won a bid for State Grid projects totaling approximately 100 million yuan, which is 2.39% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [26] - The company focuses on steel structures and related businesses [26] Group 15 - Huanxu Electronics reported a consolidated revenue of 4.641 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year increase of 0.72% [27] - The company provides design, manufacturing, and related services for brand customers [27] Group 16 - Jincheng Co. announced that part of its bank accounts has been frozen, involving approximately 32.97 million yuan due to contract disputes [28][29] - The company specializes in high-end intelligent equipment for photovoltaic and smart port sectors [29] Group 17 - NAIKE Equipment announced the departure of core technical personnel Wang Xiangguo [30][31] - The company focuses on semiconductor packaging equipment and related products [31] Group 18 - Jiaojian Co. won a construction project in Hefei with a bid amount of approximately 704 million yuan, covering residential buildings and related infrastructure [32][33] - The company specializes in infrastructure construction and related services [33] Group 19 - Hongyuan Green Energy plans to transfer a 27.07% stake in Inner Mongolia Xinyuan Silicon Material Technology Co., Ltd. for 1.245 billion yuan [34][35] - The company focuses on the research, production, and sales of aviation electromechanical products [35] Group 20 - Poly Development reported a signed amount of 24.622 billion yuan in April, a year-on-year decrease of 25.44% [46][48] - The company specializes in real estate development and sales [48]

5月7日晚间，啤酒行业龙头青岛啤酒发布公告称，将收购即墨黄酒100%股权。啤酒龙头涉足黄酒赛道 的原因是什么，是否意味着沉寂多年的黄酒品类要起势？ 公告显示，青岛啤酒拟与新华锦集团有限公司、山东鲁锦进出口集团有限公司及山东即墨黄酒厂有限公 司签署《股权转让协议》，拟以6.65亿元及价格调整期损益金额之和的对价，收购新华锦集团与鲁锦集 团合计持有的即墨黄酒100%股权。交易完成后，即墨黄酒将成为青岛啤酒的全资子公司，标志着这家 啤酒龙头企业跨入黄酒赛道。 来源：中国商报 青岛啤酒此举是否标志着黄酒要起势？对此，一位酒行业观察人士认为，早在几年前，黄酒就被认为要 迎来风口期，但实际发展并不理想。在他看来，黄酒的受众群体很小、门槛很低，目前很难实现大的发 展。青岛啤酒此举只是小规模探索。 "青岛啤酒涉足黄酒类似茅台涉足葡萄酒业务，茅台葡萄酒上市之前曾被很多人看好，但上市后实际销 售情况一般，只是作为礼赠产品较受市场欢迎。"上述分析人士认为。 不久前，青岛啤酒刚发布了2025年一季报。财报数据显示，今年一季度，青岛啤酒实现营收104.46亿 元，同比增长2.91%；实现净利润17.1亿元，同比增长7.08%；销量为2 ...

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Beer has announced the acquisition of 100% equity in Shandong Jimo Huangjiu Factory from Xinhua Jin Group and Lujin Group for a total consideration of RMB 665 million, marking the highest merger and acquisition amount in the domestic Huangjiu industry in the past five years, and signifies the company's entry into the Huangjiu market [1] Group 1: Market Environment - The Chinese beer industry has faced a challenging market environment, with production declining from 38.12 million kiloliters in 2018 to 35.90 million kiloliters in 2023, and a projected further decline of 0.6% in 2024 [1] - Qingdao Beer's revenue for 2024 is reported at RMB 32.138 billion, a decrease of 5.3% year-on-year, although net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 1.81% [1] Group 2: Strategic Diversification - The acquisition of Jimo Huangjiu is a significant step in Qingdao Beer's diversification strategy, aimed at enriching its product line and expanding market channels to offer more diverse choices to consumers [2] - The seasonal sales patterns of beer and Huangjiu create a complementary effect, with Qingdao Beer’s revenue heavily concentrated in the second and third quarters, while Jimo Huangjiu's peak sales occur in the fall and winter [4] Group 3: Huangjiu Market Dynamics - The Huangjiu market is characterized by small and fragmented segments, with total sales revenue of RMB 21 billion in 2023, accounting for only 2% of the overall liquor market [5] - Jimo Huangjiu, while recognized as a leading brand in Northern China, has struggled with market penetration, achieving only 15% of its revenue from Northern markets in 2024 [5] Group 4: Growth Potential - Jimo Huangjiu has shown growth potential, with a reported revenue of RMB 166 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.5%, and a net profit of RMB 30.47 million, up 38% [5] - The acquisition is expected to enhance Jimo Huangjiu's market penetration in Northern China, leveraging Qingdao Beer's extensive distribution network of 1.2 million retail outlets [7]

Core Viewpoint - Qingdao Beer is expanding its business by acquiring a 100% stake in Jimo Huangjiu for 665 million yuan, aiming to diversify its operations beyond beer and tap into the Huangjiu market, which is expected to provide new growth opportunities [2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - Qingdao Beer announced the acquisition of Jimo Huangjiu for 665 million yuan, which includes the profit and loss adjustments during the price adjustment period [2]. - Jimo Huangjiu, established in 1980, reported a revenue of 170 million yuan in 2024, marking a 13.5% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 30.47 million yuan, up 38% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Strategic Intent - The acquisition is part of Qingdao Beer's strategy to expand its non-beer business and promote diversified development, which is expected to bring new growth opportunities [2]. - The company believes that both Huangjiu and beer are fermented beverages, which can enhance product lines and create market and resource synergies [2]. Group 3: Market Context - The beer industry is experiencing a shift in growth patterns, with overall volume declining, and growth now driven by structural upgrades and new product categories [4]. - The domestic alcohol industry, including beer, faces challenges such as premiumization, personalization, cost-effectiveness, and youth-oriented marketing [4]. - Cross-category combinations are becoming a strategy for beer companies to offer more choices to consumers and enhance brand loyalty, as seen with other companies like Yanjing Beer and China Resources Beer [4].