有潤有化 2026 年 03 月 01 日 证券分析师 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 研究支持 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 联系人 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com ted hotel the see the see and the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen the seen and the 相关研究 申万宏源研究微信服务号 伊朗地缘冲突爆发，短期冲击 油、LPG 及甲醇等化工 石油化工行业周报(2026/2/23—2026/3/1) 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 28 To Hi Area Extra G NEEWE HE 风险提示： 地缘政治影响； 石油及化工品价格波动； 经济下行风险。 ...

行 业 及 产 业 石油石化 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 研究支持 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 联系人 丁莹 A0230125070005 dingying@swsresearch.com 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 邵靖宇 A0230524080001 shaojy@swsresearch.com 宋涛 A0230516070001 songtao@swsresearch.com 2026 年 03 月 01 日 伊朗地缘冲突爆发，短期冲击原 油、LPG 及甲醇等化工品 看好 ——石油化工行业周报(2026/2/23—2026/3/1) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - ⚫ 伊朗地缘冲突爆发，短期冲击原油、LPG 及甲醇等化工品。2026 年 2 月 28 日美以联合 打击伊朗，伊朗宣布关闭霍尔木兹海峡，这一地缘冲突预计将持续冲击全球化工供应 链。波斯湾地区能源和化工品产能 ...

基础化工行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 磷化工战略重要性受到市场认知 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 我们持续看好化工各子行业景气复苏机遇，如 MDI 龙头：万华化学(600309，买 入) ；PVC 行业，相关企业包括：中泰化学(002092，未评级)、新疆天业(600075， 未评级)、氯碱化工(600618，未评级)、天原股份(002386，未评级)。炼化行业我们 推荐相关龙头企业中国石化(600028，买入)、荣盛石化(002493，买入)、恒力石化 (600346，买入)。农化产业链我们看好技术服务为导向的龙头的增长机会，植调剂 龙头国光股份(002749，买入)；复合肥龙头，相关企业新洋丰(000902，买入)、史 丹利(002588，未评级)、云图控股(002539，未评级)；农药制剂出海龙头润丰股份 (301035，买入)。以及景气度持续性受储能高速增长拉动的磷化工中相关标的包 括：川恒股份(002895，未评级)、云天化(600096，未评级)等。草酸行业中，建议 关注：华鲁恒升(600426，买入)、华谊集团(600623，买入)、万凯新材(301216，买 入)。 风险提示 ⚫ 需求不及 ...

万凯新材（301216.SZ）2月27日在投资者互动平台表示，公司作为领投方之一参与灵心巧手（北京）科 技有限公司Pre-A轮融资，其经过多轮融资后，目前公司及子公司凯普奇合计持股比例约4.58%，并委派 董事参与其公司治理。公司控股孙公司轻镁智塑已与灵心巧手签署采购合同，主要向其提供人形机器人 手臂相关轻量化零部件、结构件产品及组装服务，具体情况详见公司于2025年12月21日披露的《关于与 关联方灵心巧手签署业务合同暨年度关联交易预计的公告》。孙公司的上述合作尚处于业务拓展阶段， 未来实际执行情况及业务规模可能受行业发展、客户需求变化等多种因素影响，存在一定不确定性。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：请问截至最近公司持有的灵心巧手股份还有多少，及 对公司机器人业务协同上有何规划？ ...

【DT新材料】 获悉， 全球灵巧手领军企业 灵心巧手 2月12日宣布， 公司完成近15亿元B轮融资， 融资将用于核心产品技术研发、进一步产能提升 和全栈基座能力打造。 灵巧手，真是太火爆，近期，本号多次发布相关文章，不仅灵巧手，就连灵巧手用的电子皮肤以及材料也正在吸引大量企业入局。 点击阅读 10 万套！人形机器人电子皮肤突破！哪些企业在布局？ 多家新材料龙头入局，机器人又一千亿细分赛道！ 据悉，此前，2025年， 灵心巧手 合计5轮累计融资金额已超数亿元， 成为灵巧手行业融资规模最大的企业之一。 其中，2025年4月，灵心巧手完成超亿元种子轮融资，由 红杉种子基金、万凯新材 领投。2025年8月，灵心巧手又完成数亿元天使轮融资，由 蚂蚁集 团领投，中金资本、上海半导体装备基金等跟投，红杉中国种子基金继续跟投。 2025年12月，公司完成由 红杉中国、创世伙伴创投（CCV）等联合投资 的 数亿元A++轮融资。 灵心巧手表示，在产业智能化浪潮的关键节点，作为具身智能的关键组成部分，灵巧手正承载着物理交互"最后一厘米"的核心使命，公司计划在2026 年实现5万—10万台的交付规模，以此驱动灵巧操作的技术变革。 灵 ...

灵心巧手表示，在产业智能化浪潮的关键节点，作为具身智能的关键组成部分，灵巧手正承载着物理交 互"最后一厘米"的核心使命，公司计划在2026年实现5万—10万台的交付规模，以此驱动灵巧操作的技 术变革。 灵心巧手成立于2023年7月，公司旗下Linker Hand系列灵巧手全面覆盖各类垂直和细分场景，并对腱 绳、直驱、连杆等技术路线实现全覆盖，以高性能、高耐用性、高可靠性表现领先全行业，现已成为全 球唯一月产千台高自由度灵巧手的公司，占全球高自由度灵巧手市场份额的80%以上。 2025年12月，在紫荆文化集团主办的首届香港国际AI艺术节期间，灵心巧手联合创始人苏洋在接受中 国基金报记者专访时表示，三年内灵巧手价格将降至500元以下。 据其介绍，在国外，一只灵巧手要卖到110万元—160万元，但现在灵心巧手同类型同参数的灵巧手价格 只要5万元。 "如果灵巧手的价格不降到足够低，机器人就将永远活在科研领域。因此，一定要走到更大规模的应用 场景。中国制造业上下游都很齐备，我们一定要利用这个优势，通过更好的场景去补充生产力，把整个 产品的可靠性、应用性及更低的价格做出来。"苏洋当时表示。 【导读】灵心巧手完成近15亿元 ...

2月12日，万凯新材大宗交易成交274.4万股，成交额4999.57万元，占当日总成交额的20.92%，成交价 18.22元，较市场收盘价22.03元折价17.29%。 | 权益类证券大宗交易(协议交易) | | | | | | | 团 下载 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 (元) | 成交量 (万股/万份) | 成交金额 (万元) | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | 2026-02-12 | 301216 | 万凯新材 | 18.22 | 274.40 | | 4,999.5P信证券股份有限 | 中国中金财富证券 | | | | | | | | 公司北京建国门证 | 有限公司上海黄浦 | | | | | | | | 劳营业部 | 区中山东二路证券 | | | | | | | | | 营业部 | ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential of Luckin Coffee, projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25% for net profit from 2025 to 2027, driven by an increase in store count and market penetration [9][11] - The report also emphasizes the strategic positioning of Juchip Technology in the low-power AIoT chip design sector, with expectations of significant revenue growth and a favorable valuation compared to peers [3][12] - The oil and petrochemical industry is anticipated to experience a decline in oil prices, impacting upstream performance while downstream sectors may see a mixed outlook, with polyester margins expected to improve by Q4 2025 [13][14] Luckin Coffee Analysis - Luckin Coffee, established in 2017, utilizes a new retail model leveraging mobile internet and big data to provide high-quality coffee at competitive prices, achieving a market share of approximately 21.8% in China's fresh coffee sector by 2023 [9][10] - The company has a robust R&D system with 85 employees, continuously innovating and winning multiple international awards, including the IIAC International Coffee Tasting Competition [10] - The marketing strategy focuses on a youthful image and efficient private domain operations, resulting in a record of over 1 billion transactions by 2024 [10][11] - The store count reached 29,214 by Q3 2025, with a mix of direct and franchise models tailored to different market segments [10][11] - The target price for Luckin Coffee is set at $49, based on a 2026 PE valuation of 19 times, reflecting a discount compared to competitors like Starbucks [11] Juchip Technology Insights - Juchip Technology is recognized as a leading low-power AIoT chip designer, expanding its offerings from mid-to-high-end audio to edge AI applications [3][12] - The company has developed a proprietary protocol stack that enhances wireless audio capabilities, demonstrating its competitive edge in high-interference environments [3][12] - Revenue projections for Juchip Technology indicate a net profit of 2.04 billion, 2.89 billion, and 3.77 billion from 2025 to 2027, with a target PE of 38 times, suggesting a 21% upside potential [3][12] Oil and Petrochemical Industry Overview - The report forecasts a decrease in crude oil prices, with Brent crude expected to average $63.1 per barrel in Q4 2025, reflecting a 7.4% decline from the previous quarter [13][14] - Price differentials for various petrochemical products are expected to widen, with certain margins improving while others face compression [13][14] - Key companies in the sector are projected to experience varied performance, with some like China National Offshore Oil Corporation expected to see profit growth, while others like China Petroleum may face significant declines [13][14] - Investment recommendations include focusing on high-quality polyester companies and major refining firms, anticipating improved competitiveness due to cost reductions and market dynamics [13][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral outlook on the oil and petrochemical industry, indicating that the industry is expected to perform in line with the overall market [3][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in crude oil prices in Q4 2025, with Brent crude averaging $63.1 per barrel, down 7.4% quarter-on-quarter and 14.7% year-on-year [3][4]. - The petrochemical sector is experiencing a mixed performance, with upstream operations facing pressure while downstream profitability is showing signs of improvement [3]. - The report forecasts a tightening supply-demand balance in the polyester sector, suggesting potential for improved market conditions [3]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - In Q4 2025, Brent crude oil prices averaged $63.1 per barrel, with a range of $59-66 per barrel. Gasoline and diesel prices were adjusted downwards by 325 CNY/ton and 340 CNY/ton respectively [3][4]. - Key petrochemical products showed varied price movements, with notable declines in prices for polyethylene and polypropylene, down 16% and 14.2% year-on-year respectively [4]. Price Differentials - The report notes that the price differential for crude oil catalytic cracking increased to 1374 CNY/ton, up 12.5% quarter-on-quarter, while the differential for ethylene from naphtha decreased by 20.1% [5][6]. - The price differential for PX and PTA expanded, indicating improved margins in the polyester chain [5][6]. Company Performance Forecasts - The report provides earnings forecasts for key companies in the sector, predicting a net profit of 27 billion CNY for China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), down 16% year-on-year, while China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) is expected to see a profit of 30 billion CNY, up 41% year-on-year [3][7]. - Other companies such as Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical are also highlighted, with expected profits of 1.7 billion CNY and 250 million CNY respectively [3][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co. and Wan Kai New Materials, as well as large refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical due to expected improvements in cost structures [3]. - It also suggests maintaining a positive outlook on offshore oil service companies like CNOOC and Haiyou Engineering, anticipating continued high demand in offshore capital expenditures [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the petrochemical industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a decline in crude oil prices in Q4 2025, with Brent crude averaging $63.1 per barrel, down 7.4% quarter-on-quarter and 14.7% year-on-year [3]. - The report anticipates a mixed performance across the petrochemical sector, with upstream performance under pressure while downstream sectors show signs of improvement [3]. - Key companies in the industry are expected to experience varied profit margins, with some facing significant declines while others show resilience [3]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - Brent crude oil price in Q4 2025 was $63.1 per barrel, down 7.5% from Q3 and 14.8% year-on-year [4]. - Key petrochemical products such as methanol and polypropylene saw price declines of 8.2% and 8.3% respectively in Q4 2025 compared to Q3 [4]. Price Differentials - The report notes that the price differential for crude oil catalytic cracking increased by 12.5% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 1374 RMB/ton [5]. - The price differential for PX-Nafta increased by 7.6% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a positive trend for certain segments [6]. Company Performance Forecasts - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) is projected to have a net profit of 27 billion RMB in Q4 2025, a decrease of 16% year-on-year [3]. - Sinopec is expected to face significant impairment pressures, with a projected net profit of only 500 million RMB, down 92% year-on-year [3]. - The report forecasts a net profit of 14 billion RMB for Satellite Chemical, reflecting a 41% decline year-on-year but a 38% increase quarter-on-quarter [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality companies in the polyester sector, such as Tongkun Co., and bottle-grade PET producers like Wankai New Materials [3]. - It suggests monitoring large refining companies like Hengli Petrochemical and Rongsheng Petrochemical due to expected improvements in cost structures [3]. - The report also highlights the potential of offshore oil service companies, recommending firms like CNOOC Services and Offshore Oil Engineering for their strong performance outlook [3].