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牛市旗手——券商,到底值不值得投资?
雪球· 2025-08-24 01:51
以下文章来源于懒人养基 ,作者懒人养基 懒人养基 . 雪球21年度十大新锐用户、22年度基金影响力用户,私企业主,经济学硕士,《基金投资全攻略》作者。早期靠创业获取主动收入,从17年开始,逐步将 经营产生的余钱、闲钱,几乎全部逢低买入权益基金,从赚取主动收入慢慢向赚取被动收入过渡。价值投资践行者 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:懒人养基 来源:雪球 " 券商是牛市旗手 " , 几乎成了 A 股投资者的第一信条 。 每当市场成交量放大 、 指数拉出长阳 , 资金总会条件反射般扑向券商板块 。 然而 , 把镜头拉长 , " 旗手 " 似乎并未把投资者带到价值高地 : 中证全指证券公司指数 ( 399975 ) 基日以来用 18 年时间从 1000 点跌至 915 点 , 累计回报-8.50% 跑输上证指数同期-5.66%水平 , 投资者不得不思考 : 券商的投资价值 , 究竟该如何衡量 ? 01 牛市旗手的双面镜像 : 周期性暴利与长期价值侵蚀 150%左右的同期涨幅 。 这种爆发力源于券商业务与行情的强绑定 : 牛 ...
牛市旗手,券商 到底值不值得投资?
雪球· 2025-08-21 08:10
雪球21年度十大新锐用户、22年度基金影响力用户,私企业主,经济学硕士,《基金投资全攻略》作者。早期靠创业获取主动收入,从17年开始,逐步将 经营产生的余钱、闲钱,几乎全部逢低买入权益基金,从赚取主动收入慢慢向赚取被动收入过渡。价值投资践行者 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 以下文章来源于懒人养基 ,作者懒人养基 懒人养基 . 作者: 懒人养基 来源:雪球 " 券商是牛市旗手 " , 几乎成了 A 股投资者的第一信条 。 每当市场成交量放大 、 指数拉出长阳 , 资金总会条件反射般扑向券商板块 。 然而 , 把镜头拉长 , " 旗手 " 似乎并未把投资者带到价值高地 : 中证全指证券公司指数 ( 399975 ) 基日以来用 18 年时间从 1000 点跌至 915 点 , 累计回报-8.50% 跑输上证指数同期-5.66%水平 , 投资者不得不思考 : 券商的投资价值 , 究竟该如何衡量 ? 01 牛市旗手的双面镜像 : 周期性暴利与长期价值侵蚀 券商的 " 双面性 " , 在牛熊周期中展现得淋漓尽致 。 牛市来临时 ...
股票策略领跑业绩榜 私募继续看好结构性机会
Core Insights - The private equity securities fund industry has shown strong performance in the first seven months of 2025, with an average return of 11.94% across 11,880 monitored private products, and 86.97% of these products achieving positive returns [1] - The stock strategy has led the five major private equity strategies with an average return of 14.50%, benefiting from the significant rise in small and mid-cap indices and various market drivers [1][2] - High enthusiasm for equity asset allocation persists among private equity institutions, with an average position level of 74.22% as of August 8, 2025, indicating a medium to high level of investment [3] Private Equity Performance - The stock strategy has emerged as the performance benchmark among private equity strategies, with 7,760 stock strategy products achieving an average return of 14.50% [1][2] - The top 5% of stock strategy products reported an impressive average return of 42.44% in the same period, highlighting the absolute return capability of leading products [1] Market Trends and Strategies - Private equity institutions are focusing on structural opportunities in the market, particularly in technology growth, consumer recovery, and policy-benefiting sectors [1][4] - The average position of large private equity firms is notably higher than the industry average, with 74.13% as of August 8, 2025, indicating strong confidence in market conditions [3] Sector Focus - Public equity funds also maintain high position levels, with an overall equity fund position of 93.21%, reflecting a focus on sectors such as electronics, pharmaceuticals, and automotive [3] - Investment strategies are shifting towards sectors with structural opportunities, including robotics, domestic computing power, AI applications, and industries benefiting from "anti-involution" policies [4]
金融工程周报:继续通过中盘股指数参与流动性行情-20250817
Huaxin Securities· 2025-08-17 12:34
2025 年 08 月 17 日 继续通过中盘股指数参与流动性行情 分析师:吕思江 S1050522030001 lvsj@cfsc.com.cn 分析师:马晨 S1050522050001 machen@cfsc.com.cn 相关研究 3、《全天候连续六周新高, 固收+港股 ETF 组合上线》 2025-08-04 投资要点 ▌本周建议一览 核心观点: 综合外盘和国内市场情绪,我们认为自四月开始的风险偏 好改善和流动性提升,会推动指数高位震荡至九月,并有 望在八月下旬见到多资产波动率的提升。 我们希望在主要持仓上回归资产基本面,适当参与流动性 溢价,同时避免成为其他投资者的溢价来源。在全球复苏 Goldilocks 和再通胀逻辑未证伪前,利用波动增加成长股 暴露。大类资产配置上继续保持一定的"反脆弱"资产, 对冲美元可能走强带来的 Risk Off。本轮行情轮动速度 快,大盘股指数基本修复至前高,流动性外溢下我们更多 看好相应的中小盘股指数机会,包括恒生中型股 LOF、科 创 200ETF、创业板 200ETF、中证 1000 和 2000 增强 ETF 等标的。 美股:较低仓位,如果有快速调整建议增配 ...
Is OppFi (OPFI) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 17:46
Growth stocks are attractive to many investors, as above-average financial growth helps these stocks easily grab the market's attention and produce exceptional returns. But finding a growth stock that can live up to its true potential can be a tough task.In addition to volatility, these stocks carry above-average risk by their very nature. Also, one could end up losing from a stock whose growth story is actually over or nearing its end.However, it's pretty easy to find cutting-edge growth stocks with the he ...
广发基金段涛:深挖具备进化能力的成长股
Group 1 - The core concept of the article revolves around the identification and investment in "super strong stocks" that possess evolutionary capabilities and long-term growth potential, as emphasized by Kenneth Fisher's idea of "super strong stocks" [1][2] - The manager, Duan Tao, has significantly increased the allocation to Hong Kong stocks in his fund, particularly focusing on innovative pharmaceutical companies, indicating a keen awareness of market trends [2][3] - The performance of the fund, particularly in the innovative pharmaceutical sector, has been outstanding, with a reported annual return of 76.19% as of August 5, significantly outperforming the benchmark [1][2] Group 2 - Duan Tao's investment strategy is characterized by a bottom-up approach, focusing on small and mid-cap growth stocks, which he has been researching since entering the public fund industry in 2015 [4][5] - The fund's portfolio is diversified across various sectors, with a notable focus on the healthcare industry, including medical devices and services, which are seen as having substantial growth potential [3][4] - The selection methodology employed by Duan Tao includes evaluating companies based on four dimensions: good business, good company, good price, and catalysts, which helps in identifying strong investment opportunities [7][8]
高股息和成长两手抓哑铃配置策略获资金青睐
Group 1 - The "barbell allocation strategy" is gaining popularity among funds, focusing on both high-dividend defensive assets and high-growth sectors, showcasing resilience in the current market environment [2][3] - Over the past decade, the A-share market has experienced multiple barbell allocation trends, characterized by a focus on high dividends and low volatility on one end, and high growth on the other, adapting to economic cycles and industry trends [2] - In 2024, the barbell strategy is showing a new feature of "contraction at both ends," with the banking sector outperforming as a defensive anchor and a shift towards smaller tech stocks in the growth segment [2] Group 2 - In Q2 of this year, actively managed equity funds have also adopted a barbell structure, with a shift towards theme-based growth and large-cap value stocks [3] - The barbell allocation strategy remains favored by many institutions, recommending a mix of low-valuation, high-dividend blue-chip stocks for stability and high-growth sectors like AI and robotics for capturing structural opportunities [3] - Four investment opportunities are highlighted: stable cash flow and high-dividend sectors like telecommunications and finance, AI commercialization in the internet sector, growth in the biopharmaceutical industry, and potential recovery in the real estate chain [4]
哑铃策略火了!价值股+成长股双端布局,助投资者稳健应对市场轮动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-09 22:02
Core Viewpoint - The "barbell strategy" in capital markets attracts investors due to its risk diversification and balanced return characteristics, focusing on the simultaneous allocation of value stocks and growth stocks to leverage the strengths of both asset styles [1] Group 1: Complementary Role of Value and Growth Stocks - Value stocks are typically stable companies in mature industries with low price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios, providing steady cash flow and strong defensive attributes, especially during market downturns [3] - Growth stocks are often in high-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and biomedicine, offering significant capital appreciation potential once earnings growth materializes, thus providing additional return elasticity in structural market conditions [3] - The barbell strategy requires investors to maintain a balanced weight between both ends to prevent returns from concentrating in a single direction during market style shifts, enhancing overall portfolio stability [3][4] Group 2: Implementation of a Steady Return Strategy - Effective implementation of the barbell strategy hinges on managing the allocation ratio between value and growth stocks based on market cycles, industry conditions, and individual risk tolerance [4] - In stable macro environments, increasing the weight of growth stocks can capture high-elasticity opportunities, while in risk-averse markets, increasing value stock allocation can limit portfolio drawdowns [4] - The selection of industries and individual stocks involves assessing the financial stability and cash flow sustainability of value stocks, while growth stocks require a focus on the realizability of growth logic, industry growth potential, and competitive landscape [4]
“3600点A股攻守道”系列报道之成长赛道篇 | 成长股多头逻辑未改 机构建议布局低估值成长领域
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose above 3600 points on August 5, indicating a recovery in market sentiment, with institutions believing that recent adjustments are a phase of consolidation rather than a trend reversal [1][2] - The growth style has been active since June, with the ChiNext Index up over 20% and the STAR 50 Index up nearly 10% as of July 29 [2] Policy and Funding Support - The Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30 emphasized enhancing the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market, which is expected to support the growth stock trend [2] - There is a significant flow of funds into the market, with net inflows into several growth-themed ETFs, including over 4.1 billion yuan into the Huaxia Growth ETF [3] Sector Focus - Institutions are focusing on low-valuation growth sectors, particularly military industry, AI applications, and wind power, as potential investment opportunities [5][6] - The innovation drug index has seen a cumulative increase of nearly 30% since June, while AI and humanoid robot indices have risen over 15% [5] AI and Technology Trends - AI remains a key focus, with expectations for continued acceleration in core technology innovations and applications in various high-value scenarios [8] - The AI application sector is viewed as having room for growth, with recent performance indicating it has not yet reached overheating levels [6] Future Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a bullish trend in the medium term, with technology growth remaining the primary focus for investment [7] - Analysts predict that the market will see improved conditions by the fourth quarter of 2025, with a potential for earlier profit realization in the first half of 2026 [7]
成长股多头逻辑未改 机构建议布局低估值成长领域
Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing the 3600-point mark, indicating a rebound in market sentiment [2][3] - Institutions believe that the recent market adjustment is a phase of consolidation rather than a trend reversal, with a continued focus on growth sectors such as AI, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1][2] - The growth style has been active since June, with the ChiNext Index rising over 20% and the Sci-Tech 50 Index increasing nearly 10% by the end of July [2][5] Group 2 - The policy environment remains supportive of technology innovation, with the Central Political Bureau meeting emphasizing the need to enhance the attractiveness and inclusiveness of the domestic capital market [2][4] - There has been significant net inflow into growth-themed ETFs, with notable amounts in various funds, indicating strong investor interest in growth sectors [3][5] - The industrial sector is witnessing new momentum, particularly in humanoid and industrial robots, with production growth rates of 35.6% and 25.5% respectively [3][4] Group 3 - Institutions are focusing on undervalued growth sectors, with military industry and AI applications being highlighted as key areas for investment [6][8] - The AI application sector is expected to see further growth, driven by new model releases and the ongoing commercialization of AI technologies [6][9] - The macroeconomic backdrop, including a weak dollar and domestic growth policies, is seen as favorable for growth stocks, which are expected to benefit from improved liquidity and valuation [7][8] Group 4 - The technology growth trend is expected to continue, with a positive outlook for the market into 2025 and beyond, as structural improvements and capital inflows are anticipated [8][9] - AI remains a focal point within the growth sector, with expectations for accelerated innovation and expanded applications in various high-value scenarios [9]