险资入市脚步不停。 1月7日，平安人寿披露公告称，平安资管受托该公司资金，投资于农业银行H股股票，于2025年12月30 日达到农业银行H股股本的20%。根据香港市场规则，触发举牌。 这只是2025年险资举牌热情高涨的一个缩影。 记者据中国保险行业协会官网公告统计，2025年全年险资共举牌35次，创下2016年以来新高。那么， 2026年险资举牌是否会延续高频率？ 银行股成"香饽饽" 保险公司举牌上市公司股票，是指保险公司持有或者与其关联方及一致行动人共同持有一家上市公司已 发行股份的5%，以及之后每增持5%时，按照相关法律法规规定，在3日内通知该上市公司并予以公告 的行为。 值得一提的是，这已经是平安人寿第四次举牌农业银行H股。2025年2月、5月、8月，平安人寿曾先后 增持农业银行H股，持有该行H股的比例分别突破5%、10%、15%。 在刚刚过去的2025年，平安人寿是当之无愧的"举牌大户"，其中当属银行股最受青睐。除农业银行H股 外，平安人寿还于2025年1月8日买入716.9万股邮储银行H股，持股比例升至5.01%，构成2025年首例险 资举牌。随后，平安人寿在5月、8月再度增持邮储银行H股，总持股数 ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is undergoing significant transformation, necessitating timely adjustments in operational strategies due to new accounting and financial instrument standards that will reshape revenue, profit, and net asset measurement logic [1][9]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The industry faces challenges such as team attrition, shrinking intermediaries, and the rise of bank insurance, which are fundamentally linked to the difficulties in asset-liability management [3][11]. - External economic conditions, including a downward trend in interest rates and complex rate environments, pose risks of long-term interest spread losses and current operational difficulties [3][11]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory policies have been introduced, including adjustments to preset interest rates, unified reporting, restrictions on dividends, and limits on scale not exceeding five times net assets [3][11]. - The upcoming new insurance contract accounting standards and financial instrument standards will require companies to adapt their operational strategies accordingly [1][9]. Group 3: Product Strategy - Product strategy is crucial as it reflects the impact of regulatory policies and is closely tied to external economic conditions and the specific circumstances of different companies [3][11]. - A differentiated product strategy is essential, with companies like Huagu Life implementing such strategies effectively, including limiting certain products and focusing on traditional insurance [4][12]. Group 4: Financial Performance - Huagu Life has reported positive growth rates in premium income, revenue, total assets, net assets, internal value, new business value, and profit, with stable solvency ratios [5][12]. - The upcoming new standards set to be implemented in 2026 will lead to a marketing push for dividend insurance, which is expected to become a mainstream product [5][12]. Group 5: Product Selection Considerations - Companies must consider their existing business costs and structures, as well as current assessment criteria when deciding on product strategies between dividend and traditional insurance [13][14]. - The contribution of low-cost and high-cost business models to profit sources varies, necessitating different product strategies for companies based on their cost structures [13][14]. Group 6: Customer Needs - Meeting diverse customer needs is paramount, with high-net-worth clients seeking wealth management solutions and traditional fixed-income products appealing to mass-market clients [15]. - A diversified product strategy that balances stable low returns with high-risk floating returns can effectively cater to different customer segments [15].

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：环球老虎财经app 两年举牌12家公司，长城人寿为何在关键红线前"忘记"停步？其频繁举牌的背后，一方面是出于新会计 准则匹配高分红资产的需求；另一方面则是在"资产荒"与低利率的倒逼下，试图以权益投资缓解负债端 压力。 即使是举牌经验丰富的老手，有时也会难免出现失误。 12月9日，河北证监局发布公告，对长城人寿采取出具警示函的监管措施。原因在于，长城人寿在持有 新天绿能股份达到5%时，未按规定停止交易并履行信息披露义务。 然而，长城人寿在触及5%这一关键比例时，并未停下买入操作，构成了程序违规。 回溯其投资路径，长城人寿对新天绿能的布局早已开始。从港股披露易平台的数据可见，早在今年2月 12日，长城人寿便增持新天绿能H股246.20万股，持有港股股本比例达到5%。 近年来，险资举牌热度持续攀升，其中，长城人寿更是被称为股市"扫货王"。自2023年6月以来，长城 人寿已举牌12家A股及H股上市公司，包括浙江交科、中原高速、无锡银行、江南水务、上海能源等公 司。 长城人寿如此频繁举牌的背 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The insurance fund utilization balance reached 37.46 trillion, with investments primarily in deposits, bonds, stocks, funds, and long-term equity investments. The proportion of non-standard investments has significantly decreased and is expected to continue declining [1][2] Core Insights and Arguments - In Q3, bond investments increased by 310 billion, but the growth rate slowed compared to the 1.94 trillion increase in the first half of the year, influenced by the switch in new financial instrument regulations and a reduction in deposit rates [1][3] - The balance of bank deposits has decreased, currently estimated at about 8% of total investments, with an absolute balance close to 2 trillion [1][4] - Stock investments increased by over 550 billion, primarily due to an 18% rise in the CSI 300 index, rather than active increases in stock holdings. Long-term equity investments rose by 919 billion, reflecting a slowdown in investment momentum after the stock market rally [1][5] - Bank wealth management has seen a seasonal growth exceeding 1.5 trillion in October, with an expected annual increase of over 3 trillion, although it faces performance pressure [1][6] - Insurance companies prefer higher-yield local government bonds, but their yields are closely related to government bonds. A reduction in insurance preset rates may temporarily affect premiums, but long-term clients are expected to accept lower rates, improving premium income [1][9] Additional Important Insights - The punitive redemption fee rule has not yet been implemented, leading to a decline in the scale of actively managed pure bond funds by 743.3 billion in Q3, affecting market sentiment. If the rule is implemented, it could restore market confidence [1][11] - The Chinese economy faces downward pressure, with factors such as a real estate crisis, negative investment growth, increased export pressure, and weak domestic demand contributing to a decline in consumption growth. The central bank is expected to lower interest rates to address these challenges [1][10] - Predictions indicate that the yield on 10-year government bonds may gradually decline to 1.5% by the end of 2026, with policy rate adjustments expected in mid-December or early January [1][12]

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new accounting standards in the insurance industry, particularly the FVOCI category, is significantly impacting the asset allocation strategies of insurance companies [1][2][4]. Group 1: Accounting Standards and Implementation - The FVOCI (Fair Value Through Other Comprehensive Income) category will be fully implemented by January 1, 2026, replacing the previous four-category model with a three-category system [2][4]. - The new classification system includes FVOCI, FVTPL (Fair Value Through Profit or Loss), and AC (Amortized Cost) [2][4]. - Non-listed insurance companies must implement the new standards by the specified date, while some companies like China Ping An have already adopted them since 2018 [4]. Group 2: Impact on Profitability - Investment income is crucial for insurance companies, with total investment income contributing significantly to net profit for major players like China Life and China Ping An, with ratios reaching 192% and 194% respectively in the first half of 2025 [8]. - The choice between FVOCI and FVTPL for equity assets can greatly influence profit volatility, with FVOCI potentially offering a more stable profit profile for companies with long-term liabilities [11]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Trends - As of mid-2025, the proportion of equity assets classified under FVOCI has increased for major insurance companies, with China Life's FVOCI equity assets rising by 10.6 percentage points to 22.6% [12]. - The increase in FVOCI equity allocation is attributed to a low-interest-rate environment and a shortage of alternative investments, making FVOCI stocks a short-term substitute for bonds [15]. - In the bond category, the FVOCI proportion has also seen increases, with China Life's bond assets under FVOCI rising by 1.8 percentage points to 87.3% [16]. Group 4: Strategic Considerations - Different insurance companies have varying requirements regarding profit volatility, leading some to prefer a higher allocation to FVOCI assets while others may favor FVTPL for potential higher returns [17]. - The classification of assets is not standardized across the industry, allowing companies to tailor their strategies based on their specific operational needs and investment capabilities [17].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Insights - The company reported significant growth in investment income and new business value (NBV), driven by strong performance in the investment sector and a strategic shift in product structure [1][2][3] - The total revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 537.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.9%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 167.8 billion yuan, up 60.5% year-on-year [1][7] - The company has successfully increased its equity investments, resulting in a substantial rise in investment income, which grew by 453.4% year-on-year to 137.1 billion yuan [3][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 298.7 billion yuan, a 54.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 126.9 billion yuan, up 91.5% year-on-year [1] - The new business value (NBV) for the first three quarters increased by 41.8% compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting effective business development and product optimization [2] - Total premium income rose by 10.1% to 669.645 billion yuan, with both new and renewal premiums showing double-digit growth [2] Investment Strategy - The company realized total investment income of 368.55 billion yuan, a 41.0% increase year-on-year, with an investment return rate of 6.42%, up 104 basis points [3] - The company maintained a high proportion of trading financial assets (TPL) to enhance flexibility and has adopted a high-dividend strategy to stabilize net investment income [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 6.33, 6.51, and 6.71 yuan, respectively, with an upward revision from previous estimates [3][4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-embedded value (P/EV) of 0.84, 0.77, and 0.71 for 2025 to 2027 [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital has entered a "buying" mode in equity investments, significantly increasing their holdings in A-shares as evidenced by the third-quarter reports of listed companies [1][3]. Group 1: Insurance Capital Investment Trends - As of the end of the third quarter, the number of A-shares held by insurance institutions increased by 19% compared to the end of the previous year, with the market value of these holdings rising by 18% [1][3]. - In the third quarter alone, the number of A-shares held by insurance capital grew by 14% compared to the previous quarter, with a total market value exceeding 650 billion yuan [3][6]. - Financial stocks remain a cornerstone of insurance capital investments, with their market value exceeding 300 billion yuan, accounting for nearly 50% of total holdings [3][4]. Group 2: New Investments and Sector Focus - Over 300 new stocks were added to the insurance capital's heavy holdings in the third quarter, with a total market value of over 100 billion yuan [5][6]. - The manufacturing sector accounted for the highest proportion of new investments, with over 200 new stocks and a market value exceeding 45 billion yuan [6]. - Significant new investments were also made in strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing, including sectors like semiconductors and medical devices [6]. Group 3: Performance and Returns - The increase in equity investments has led to substantial returns, contributing to record-high profits for several insurance companies in the third quarter [7][8]. - For instance, China Life reported a net profit of 167.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 60.5%, driven by a total investment income of 368.6 billion yuan [8]. - New China Life also saw a net profit increase of 58.9%, with a total investment income reflecting a significant growth trend in the capital market [8].

Core Insights - The five major A-share listed insurance companies in China achieved a record net profit of 426.04 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of over 100 billion yuan and a growth rate of 33.5% [1][3] - The net profit for the third quarter alone saw a remarkable year-on-year growth of 68.3% [1][3] Financial Performance - China Life reported a net profit of 167.80 billion yuan for the first three quarters, up 60.5% year-on-year, with a third-quarter profit of 126.87 billion yuan, reflecting a 91.5% increase [3][4] - Ping An's net profit for the first three quarters was 132.86 billion yuan, a growth of 11.5%, with a third-quarter profit of 64.81 billion yuan, up 45.4% [3][4] - China Pacific Insurance achieved a net profit of 45.70 billion yuan, growing 19.3% year-on-year, with a third-quarter profit of 17.82 billion yuan, up 35.2% [3][4] - New China Life reported a net profit of 32.86 billion yuan, a 58.9% increase, with a third-quarter profit of 18.06 billion yuan, reflecting an 88.2% growth [3][4] - China Property & Casualty Insurance's net profit was 46.82 billion yuan, up 28.9%, with a third-quarter profit of 20.29 billion yuan, a 48.7% increase [3][4] Investment Performance - The significant increase in profits is attributed to a surge in investment income, with China Life reporting total investment income of 368.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.0% [5][6] - Ping An's investment portfolio achieved a non-annualized comprehensive investment return of 5.4%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [6][7] - China Property & Casualty Insurance reported total investment income of 86.25 billion yuan, a 35.3% increase [6][7] - New China Life's annualized total investment return was 8.6%, with a comprehensive investment return of 6.7% [7] Premium Growth - China Life's total premium income reached 669.65 billion yuan, a 10.1% increase, with all premium categories showing double-digit growth [8] - Ping An's new business value in life and health insurance was 35.72 billion yuan, up 46.2% year-on-year [8] - China Pacific Insurance's total premium income was 263.86 billion yuan, a 14.2% increase, with new business value growing by 7.7% [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF (513750.SH) [1] Core Insights - The insurance sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, driven by strong performance in Q3 2025, with major companies like China Life, New China Life, and China Property & Casualty reporting net profit growth rates of 106%, 101%, and 122% respectively [11][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of the PEV (Price of Embedded Value) valuation system for insurance companies, which reflects long-term profitability potential more accurately than traditional PE or PB metrics [20][22] - The report highlights the low valuation levels of the insurance sector, with average PEV ratios for A/H shares at 0.72x and 0.51x, indicating a significant margin of safety and potential for value appreciation [34][37] - The Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank Index focuses heavily on the insurance sector, providing a unique investment opportunity with a high concentration of insurance assets [41][47] Summary by Sections 1. Q3 Performance and Investment Value of Insurance Stocks - The report notes that listed insurance companies achieved high net profit growth in Q3 2025, exceeding expectations despite a high base from the previous year [11][12] - The increase in investment income from equity investments is identified as a key driver of this growth, with insurance funds significantly increasing their equity allocations [13][17] - The high proportion of FVTPL (Fair Value Through Profit or Loss) assets among insurance companies enhances profit elasticity, allowing for direct reflection of market gains in profit figures [17][19] 2. Guangfa CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Non-Bank ETF (513750.SH) Overview - The ETF is noted for its unique focus on insurance, with a significant portion of its holdings in major insurance companies, making it a rare investment vehicle in the market [41][47] - The ETF has shown strong liquidity and growth, with an average daily trading volume of 1.818 billion yuan and a fund size of 21.214 billion yuan as of October 24, 2025 [5][41] - The ETF's performance is highlighted, with a cumulative return of 66.68% and an annualized return of 36.83%, positioning it favorably compared to other financial sector ETFs [5][41]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The adjustment of Tier 2 and Perpetual (Two - Yong) bonds may not be over, and they still face risks of callback and repricing. However, they still have certain cost - effectiveness, especially 5 - year high - rating varieties [5][6]. - In the fourth quarter, the bond market is likely to fluctuate and decline, and there are still concerns about the decline in spreads. It is difficult to reproduce the unilateral downward trend in April [5]. - After the official release of the new public offering sales regulations, the spread center of Two - Yong bonds and their yield may rise slightly [5]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Two - Yong Bonds' Cost - Effectiveness is Prominent - In September, affected by market risk appetite and rising interest rates, the bond market continued to adjust. After the China Securities Regulatory Commission solicited opinions on the new public offering sales regulations on September 5, the bond market faced redemption pressure. Two - Yong bonds, as heavily - held by public funds, had significant declines, and the yields of 5Y and above Two - Yong bonds reached new highs for the year [5][12]. - In October, the stock market pulled back, the 10Y Treasury bond interest rate declined slightly, and the yields of urban investment bonds and Two - Yong bonds decreased. The Two - Yong bonds with larger previous declines had more obvious recoveries. As of now, the yields and credit spreads of 5Y credit assets are still at relatively high historical percentile levels for the year, and the decline may be limited [5][14]. 3.2 What to Focus on in Two - Yong Bonds - From a macro - fundamental perspective, Sino - US games and a weak economy support the bond market. However, the stock market rebound in October and concerns about the new public offering sales regulations still pose concerns about the decline in yields of quasi - interest - rate varieties [20]. - In terms of supply structure, the redemption of Two - Yong bonds reached a new high in September, the net financing gap widened, and banks faced capital replenishment pressure. In the fourth quarter, the supply of Two - Yong bonds may not be weak due to "redeeming old and issuing new" [5][23]. - From the perspective of institutional behavior, the spread trend of Two - Yong bonds is more related to the net purchases of funds, wealth management products, and securities firms. Currently, the liquidity of Two - Yong bonds is okay, but the buying power of funds is not strong. The impact of the official release of the new public offering sales regulations remains to be observed [27]. - Historically, the bond market in the fourth quarter is likely to show a pattern of fluctuating recovery, and it mostly moves sideways in October. Currently, the trading volume and turnover rate of Two - Yong bonds have rebounded, and the decline space is limited. Attention can be paid to the effect of the interest - rate amplifier of Two - Yong bonds on increasing returns when interest rates decline [47]. 3.3 Which Two - Yong Bonds Still Have Cost - Effectiveness - From the perspective of asset comparison, except for 3Y - AA+ Tier 2 capital bonds, the historical percentiles of the yields of other Two - Yong bonds are higher than those of other varieties with the same maturity, still having certain cost - effectiveness. The yields of 3Y implied AAA - and AA+ perpetual bonds are higher than those of medium - short - term notes and Tier 2 capital bonds of the same maturity, at 76% and 18% historical percentile levels for the year respectively. The yields of 5 - year Tier 2 capital bonds and perpetual bonds are higher than those of other credit assets, and the yields are all at more than 16% historical percentile levels for the year [53]. - From the perspective of credit spreads, high - implied - rating Two - Yong bonds have relatively higher cost - effectiveness, especially 5Y Tier 2 capital bonds. The 3Y implied AAA - perpetual bonds have relatively large spread compression space compared with Tier 2 capital bonds of the same rating and maturity, at the 50% historical percentile level for the year. The spreads of 5 - year high - implied - rating Two - Yong bonds compared with general credit bonds are more sufficient, and the 5Y implied AAA - perpetual bonds are worthy of attention, with a credit spread of 66bp, at the 59% historical percentile level for the year [58].