在股市变化走势中，如何把握住起点掌握利润，以及如何把握住卖点锁定利润，对于每一个投资者来说 都至关重要。实战操盘时，分析判断能力和决策把握能力缺一不可，分析判断能力能让投资者正确判断 出股市趋势的变化，决策把握能力能让投资者准确把握住股价走势的变化。 俗话说"没有不赚钱的股票，只有赚不到钱的操作"。也就是说，任何股票在投资者的手里都可以赚到 钱，但并不是随便地操作就会赚到钱。这就要求投资者对买卖点的把握要准确，只有把买点和卖点的位 置判断清楚，才能将股市当做自己的取款机。 4、主升浪一旦形成且没有明显放量，果断介入，缩量上涨持股，缩量下跌趋势未破持股，放量下跌趋 势破快速减仓。 5、当个股趋势向上时，除了成交量，什么指标都不要看，缩量、平量就持有，巨量天量你就跑，量价 是灵魂，量是水，价是船。 6、炒股要炒龙头，只干龙头，不干杂毛，因为涨的时候龙头股涨的最猛，跌的时候最抗跌，不要不敢 上车，炒股很多时候是反人性的，不要因为跌的多而去买，不因涨的多而不买，越不敢买的越涨，越敢 买的越跌，强者恒强，炒龙头短线最重要的是高位买，更高位卖！ 7、拥抱趋势，顺势而为，股票买入的价格并不是越低越好，而是越合适越好，你不会 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the anxiety among investors in undervalued, high-dividend stocks due to continuous declines in stock prices, leading to doubts about the companies' fundamentals. This situation is contrasted with the rising technology stocks, indicating a significant capital migration towards tech, driven by macro narratives and profit effects, rendering individual fundamentals less relevant [3][4]. Group 1: Painful Roots - Investors adhering to traditional value investing are experiencing extreme discomfort as they watch AI and tech stocks soar while their stable, cash-flowing holdings underperform and even decline [4]. - The contrasting performance between tech stocks and traditional value stocks leads to feelings of loss and self-doubt among investors [4]. Group 2: Cognitive Stratification - The article outlines four cognitive levels of investors regarding market trends: 1. Those who cannot see the trend and remain immersed in value investing, potentially missing out on tech gains [8]. 2. Those who see the trend but are unwilling to act due to risk aversion or fear of high valuations, leading to missed opportunities [8]. 3. Early adopters who embrace the tech narrative and participate in the trend, becoming winners [8]. 4. Latecomers who, driven by fear of missing out, buy into tech stocks at high prices, often at the end of a rally [8]. Group 3: Key Decisions - The most dangerous strategy in the current market is hesitation, which can lead to poor investment choices [9]. - Investors must either embrace the trend early or choose not to participate based on their risk assessments, maintaining a calm mindset [10]. - Late adopters risk buying into a market that has already peaked, becoming the last buyers in a narrative that is losing momentum [11]. Group 4: Conclusion - The article emphasizes the importance of staying within one's cognitive circle and making clear investment choices, whether embracing trends or sticking to value investing [12][14]. - Investors should accept the potential for missing out on opportunities due to their cognitive boundaries while focusing on strategies that align with their understanding of the market [15].

以下文章来源于仓都加满 ，作者仓都加满 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 作者：仓都加满 来源：雪球 最近看到一个消息很感慨，那就是《海龟交易法则》的作者柯蒂斯・费思（Curtis Faith），已经破产，无家可归，正在街头流浪。 从当年千万美金操盘的"天才海龟"，到如今流落街头、屡屡惹事，这个反差真的是让人感叹。曾经写下"系统交易、严格纪律"金句的人，如今却在 生活里失去了纪律，也许这就是人生的无常吧。 仓都加满 . 为人生更自由，做更好的投资者教育 01 什么是海龟交易法则 海龟交易法则是20世纪80年代非常有名的一套机械化交易系统，由大宗商品交易员理查德·丹尼斯（Richard Dennis）和他的伙伴威廉·埃克哈特 （William Eckhardt）提出。 核心背景是，丹尼斯想证明"交易可以教出来"，于是他在1983年招募了一批没有交易经验的人（后来被称为"海龟"），用严格的规则训练他们操作 期货市场，结果这些人确实赚到了大钱，成为经典案例。 海龟交易法则并不神秘，本质就是一套 机械化的趋势跟踪系统 。它把交易拆解为若干要素，并制定清晰的执行规则： | 交易要素 | 具体规则 | 核心逻辑 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of small and medium-sized private equity firms in the industry, highlighting the performance and strategies of Nanjing Chiying Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd, which has shown impressive returns in the 0-5 billion scale category [3][4]. Company Overview - Nanjing Chiying Private Equity Fund Management Co., Ltd was established in 2007 and is located in Nanjing, Jiangsu. The company focuses on the futures market, advocating rational investment and emphasizing risk control while aiming for long-term capital appreciation [3][4]. Performance Metrics - As of the end of July 2025, Chiying Private Equity's products ranked in the top 10 for subjective private equity returns, with an average return of ***% from January to July [3][4]. - The "Chiying Jingcheng A Class Share" product achieved a return of ***% from January to August 2025, ranking second among subjective CTA products [3][4]. Core Team - The core team members possess an average of nearly 20 years of professional experience, showcasing their deep expertise in the field [6]. Investment Philosophy - The core investment philosophy is to avoid letting losses grow, emphasizing timely stop-loss measures and maintaining light positions. The firm believes that there are always opportunities in the market and focuses on long-term compounding returns [8][12]. Strategy and Products - The main strategy employed is a subjective CTA trend-following approach, which aims to capture complete trends and gradually amplify returns [9][12]. - The firm has successfully managed 15 products, with 12 of them achieving positive returns, indicating a robust performance track record [13]. Market Insights - The firm believes that despite rising gold prices, its value remains underestimated, and anticipates that the allocation of gold assets will gain broader recognition over time due to ongoing global uncertainties [13][15]. - The firm maintains a commitment to trend-following strategies, asserting that significant returns are often realized by those who steadfastly follow market trends [14][15]. Risk Management - The firm prioritizes risk management, stating that it would rather miss opportunities than amplify risks, ensuring that client interests are paramount [16].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of balancing value investing with trend following, highlighting that investors often lose money during bull markets due to overconfidence and neglecting risk management [2][3]. Market Overview - The A-share market is currently experiencing wide fluctuations with clear structural characteristics, indicating that quality assets often present buying opportunities during corrections [7]. - The driving forces behind this year's structural market include continuous inflows of incremental capital, the relocation of household deposits, expanded financing balances, and foreign capital returning [7]. - Growth stocks, particularly in technology sectors like AI computing and semiconductors, remain favored in the current market environment [7]. Investment Philosophy - The "Four Good Principles" for stock selection include: - Good Industry: Focus on high-ceiling industries with clear business models and avoid sunset industries [10]. - Good Company: Select leading firms with strong competitive advantages and solid financial health [10]. - Good Price: Invest when the market undervalues a company, adhering to the principle of safety margin [10]. - Good Patience: Maintain a long-term perspective and avoid reacting to short-term market noise [11]. Investment Strategy - The "Duojin Duoyu Combination" service product has achieved a relative return of 114.37% compared to the CSI 500 index over its first year [13]. - The strategy combines deep fundamental research with trend-following tactics, focusing on both long-term value and short-term growth opportunities [13]. Trend Analysis - True Trends (Fundamental Trends): Focus on industries aligned with national policies and societal changes, selecting sectors expected to thrive in the next 3-5 years [14]. - Market Trends: Identify stocks in upward price channels through technical indicators and gauge market sentiment to capture thematic investment opportunities [16]. Positioning Strategy - Core Position (50%-70%): Invest in high-quality companies for long-term growth, making adjustments only for significant fundamental changes [17]. - Swing Position (30%-50%): Target stocks with both strong fundamentals and market momentum for capturing mid-term investment opportunities [17]. Buying and Selling Strategies - Buying Strategy: - Core Position: Use a pyramid buying approach, adding to positions as prices decline [18]. - Swing Position: Enter when stocks break through key resistance levels [18]. - Selling Strategy: - Core Position: Sell if fundamental logic is broken or if valuations reach historical highs [19]. - Swing Position: Sell upon reaching target returns or if technical trends deteriorate [20]. Risk Management - Maintain strict risk control measures, including limiting exposure to any single industry and individual stock [20]. - Regularly reassess portfolio allocations based on market conditions and overall valuation levels [21]. Insights - The article concludes with the importance of maintaining rationality, adhering to established strategies, and having patience in the investment journey [23].

Group 1: Yuanjie Technology - In the first half of 2025, Yuanjie Technology experienced significant revenue growth in the data communication sector, particularly driven by the demand for 400G/800G optical modules, showing a quarter-on-quarter upward trend [1] - The company expects substantial growth in the second half of 2025, with successful customer validation and testing of its 100mW products, and the 100G PM4 EML passing customer validation [1] - Yuanjie Technology has achieved core technological breakthroughs in high-power CW light sources and high-speed EML, while its U.S. factory is undergoing renovations, equipment procurement, and team building [1] Group 2: KEBOD - In the first half of 2025, KEBOD reported stable operations with revenue of 3.047 billion yuan, an increase of 11.10% year-on-year, and a net profit of 451 million yuan, up 21.34% year-on-year [2] - The main business revenue was 2.948 billion yuan, with domestic sales contributing 1.801 billion yuan and international sales 1.148 billion yuan; the top five customers accounted for 63.95% of revenue, with Volkswagen Group at 46.39% and Li Auto exceeding 10% [2] - KEBOD secured new projects with a lifecycle sales value exceeding 7 billion yuan and has been designated for central domain control products by an internationally renowned automotive manufacturer [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown significant improvement in market sentiment and risk appetite, with the total public fund management scale reaching 34.05 trillion yuan by the end of Q2, an increase of 2.24 trillion yuan or 7% from the end of Q1 [1] - The performance of actively managed equity funds has rebounded, driven by the ability to generate excess returns, exemplified by the outstanding performance of Dongfanghong New Power Mixed A fund, which achieved a cumulative net value growth rate of 412.39% since its inception [1][2] - Zhou Yun, the fund manager, emphasizes a value-oriented and moderately contrarian investment strategy, focusing on high-quality companies with reasonable valuations [2][3] Group 2 - Zhou Yun's contrarian investment approach is based on deep research and value judgment, avoiding the pitfalls of blindly following market consensus [3] - The investment strategy involves recognizing market trends while maintaining a focus on value, as demonstrated during the structural bull market from 2019 to 2020, where Zhou Yun chose to avoid overpriced core assets despite facing performance pressure [3][4] - Zhou Yun's understanding of corporate value and market cycles has led to tangible returns, highlighting the importance of adapting strategies in response to significant market changes [5][6] Group 3 - The essence of successful investing lies in balancing the recognition of trends with value preservation, requiring investors to be both contrarian and trend-sensitive [6] - Zhou Yun advocates for a systematic review of investment processes, emphasizing the importance of learning from past experiences to refine investment methodologies [9] - The performance of Zhou Yun's managed funds, such as Dongfanghong New Power Mixed A and Dongfanghong JD Big Data Mixed A, showcases strong cumulative returns, outperforming their respective benchmarks [9][11]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significance of small and medium-sized private equity firms in the investment landscape, particularly focusing on Wan Tai Hua Rui Investment Management Co., Ltd., which combines value and trend investing strategies to achieve sustainable returns for investors [3][4]. Company Overview - Wan Tai Hua Rui Investment was established in March 2009 in Changsha, Hunan, with a registered capital of 10 million yuan and currently manages over 1.4 billion yuan [4]. - The firm has a strong commitment to value and trend investing, with over 90% of its clients achieving positive returns [4][13]. Development History - The company launched its first trust asset management product in 2009 and became a member of the China Securities Association in 2013 [5]. - It obtained private securities fund management qualifications in 2014 and became a member of the Asset Management Association of China in 2017 [5][6]. Core Team - The core team consists of members with over 16 years of experience from leading firms like CICC, GF Securities, and Zhuque Fund, specializing in sectors such as technology, pharmaceuticals, and manufacturing [6][12]. - The investment and research teams work closely together, ensuring efficient transformation of research into actionable investment strategies [6][10]. Investment Philosophy & Strategies - The firm prioritizes risk control, focusing on macroeconomic and policy analysis to identify growth sectors while maintaining a balanced approach to investment [9][10]. - Investment strategies include a focus on growth trajectories, deep valuation analysis, and a combination of asset allocation to mitigate systemic risks [9][10]. Market Outlook - The firm is optimistic about a slow bull market, driven by declining risk-free rates and favorable macroeconomic conditions, including potential capital inflows due to U.S. interest rate cuts [12][14]. - Key sectors of interest include AI technology, innovative pharmaceuticals, and industries with strong cash flow and market positions [16][17][18][19].

Core Insights - Hongdao Investment recently conducted research on a listed company, Xinzhou Bang, revealing significant growth in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025 [1] Company Performance - Xinzhou Bang achieved operating revenue of 4.248 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.58% [1] - The net profit reached 484 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.36% [1] - Revenue from battery chemicals was 2.815 billion yuan, up 22.77% year-on-year [1] - Organic fluorine chemicals revenue was 722 million yuan, with a modest growth of 1.37% [1] - Electronic information chemicals revenue was 679 million yuan, showing a robust increase of 25.18% [1] Market Opportunities - The company is capitalizing on market opportunities due to the shutdown of international mainstream manufacturers in the fluorine liquid business, with capacity reserves completed in hydrogen fluoride ether and perfluoropolyether [1] - The capacity utilization rate of the Poland electrolyte factory is stable at 50%-70%, adequately covering overseas customer demand [1] - The lithium hexafluorophosphate products from Shilei Fluorine Materials are fully produced and sold, with expectations for improved profitability in the second half of the year [1] Market Dynamics - The domestic electrolyte market has low gross margins, while the European market offers higher margins [1] - The Haidefu and Haisefu projects are expected to commence production by the end of 2026 and 2027, respectively [1] - The perfluoroisobutylene product has achieved large-scale sales, with market potential estimated in the tens of billions [1] - The capacitor chemicals business has seen double-digit growth in revenue and profit, driven by rapid demand for solid-state capacitors and supercapacitors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The sustainability of a trend is crucial for successful short-term investing, and confirming fundamental factors is essential to maintain momentum in stocks [1][2]. Group 1: Trend Analysis - Timing entries into a trend significantly impacts investment success, as trends can reverse before exiting a trade, leading to potential losses [1][2]. - A predefined screening strategy, "Recent Price Strength," helps identify stocks with strong fundamentals that can sustain their upward momentum [3]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Astronics Corporation (ATRO) has shown a solid price increase of 16.1% over the past 12 weeks, indicating investor confidence in its potential upside [4]. - The stock has also maintained a price increase of 1.3% over the last four weeks, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [5]. - ATRO is currently trading at 90.2% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating it may be on the verge of a breakout [5]. Group 3: Fundamental Strength - ATRO holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises [6]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [7]. - The Zacks Rank system has a strong historical performance, with Rank 1 stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 1988 [7]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - In addition to ATRO, there are several other stocks that meet the criteria of the "Recent Price Strength" screen, providing additional investment opportunities [8]. - The Zacks Premium Screens offer over 45 strategically created options to help investors find winning stock picks based on their personal investing styles [8].