Workflow
阻力位
icon
Search documents
7月31日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、金山軟體、泡泡瑪特、中芯、金沙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-31 21:32
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a downward trend, with investors anticipating further declines, particularly around the 24600 level, while some see support at 24700 and are considering bullish options with a recovery price of 24200 [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, indicating a 50% probability of either rising or falling as it approaches the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - The stock price is nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands, with a strong buy signal indicated by 16 buy signals and 1 sell signal [3] - Resistance levels are identified at 81 and 87.1, while support is close to 69.7, aligning with investor expectations around 70 [3] Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) - The stock is showing resilience in a declining market, stabilizing above the recent low of 34.7, with a target range of 38-40 [6] - Technical signals suggest a buy, with resistance at 37.9 and support at 33.7 and 32.6 [7] Pop Mart International (09992.HK) - The stock closed at 246, with a sell signal indicated, and primary support identified at 236 [10] - Investors are holding put options with a strike price of 178.78, which may be too far from the current price, leading to lower price sensitivity [10] Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - The stock opened high but closed at 51.1 after reaching a peak of 52.95, with a recent volatility of 9.2% [13] - Technical signals indicate a buy with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, resistance levels at 54.2 and 56.8, and support at 47.2 and 45.2 [13][14] Sands China Ltd. (01928.HK) - The stock closed at 19.04, maintaining position above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [17] - A buy signal is indicated, with resistance at 19.6 and 20, and support at 18.3 and 17.3 [17][20]
7月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、泡泡瑪特、藥明、華虹、蔚來
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-24 11:37
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is perceived by bullish investors as entering a slow bull market, with all stocks reaching new highs, targeting levels between 25,700 and 26,000 [1] - Bearish investors anticipate a short-term correction to fill the gap below, with a recovery price of 25,900 for overnight bear certificates [1] - Technical analysis indicates a high of 25,735 points, with 15 buy signals and 4 sell signals, suggesting a bullish trend [1] Group 2 - Meituan (03690.HK) is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band at 134.6 HKD, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 137.7 HKD and 147.6 HKD [3] - The closing price is 134 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 178.98 HKD, indicating a potentially high entry point for investors [3] - Investors are advised to consider options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with high exercise prices [3] Group 3 - Pop Mart (09992.HK) shows a weak recent trend, with a closing price near the middle Bollinger Band at 255.8 HKD and a buy signal, though not a strong buy [5] - Resistance levels are identified at 263 HKD and 273 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 225 HKD providing a defensive position for investors [5] - Investors are encouraged to compare the terms of options when selecting products to manage risk effectively [5] Group 4 - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is viewed positively with a strong buy signal, facing a resistance level at 31.1 HKD and 33.3 HKD [8] - Investors are optimistic about the stock's potential to break through the 30 HKD level, with a target price of 46 HKD [8] Group 5 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is under observation for its structural stability, with a target price of 40.6 HKD [11] - The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal, indicating positive sentiment among investors [11] Group 6 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is experiencing a slight downward trend, with the stock price near the upper Bollinger Band at 38.99 HKD [14] - The stock maintains an overall upward trend with 14 buy signals and 6 sell signals, suggesting cautious optimism [14] - Resistance levels are set at 41.7 HKD and 47.3 HKD, while support levels are at 33.7 HKD and 29.9 HKD for put options [14]
7月15日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、嗶哩嗶哩、網易、舜宇、阿里健康
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-16 02:54
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) shows a significant rebound, with bullish investors expecting it to rise to 25,000, supported by a recovery price of 24,020 for overnight bull certificates [1] - Alibaba (09988.HK) has potential upward movement, with bullish investors targeting a price of 130 HKD, while the stock closed at 113.5 HKD, reflecting a 6.97% increase [3] - Bilibili-W (09626.HK) has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 182 HKD, closing at 184.9 HKD, indicating a "buy" signal with resistance levels at 194.5 HKD and 200 HKD [6] Group 2 - NetEase-S (09999.HK) shows signs of a rebound, with a "buy" signal and resistance levels at 216 HKD and 224 HKD, suggesting that options with a strike price around 220 HKD may be more favorable [9] - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) is experiencing upward momentum, closing near the upper Bollinger Band at 76.4 HKD, with a strong buy signal and resistance levels at 78.4 HKD and 82.3 HKD [12] - Alibaba Health (00241.HK) has risen for six consecutive days, with resistance levels at 4.8 HKD and 5.13 HKD, and options with a strike price of 4.51 HKD are considered reasonable [15]
攜程短線策略:支撐位與阻力位的攻防戰
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-14 10:21
Group 1 - Ctrip's stock price has shown a strong trend, currently at 485.6 HKD, with a recent drop of 0.7% and a 5-day volatility of 7.6%, indicating robust market momentum [1] - The stock has surpassed key moving averages (MA10 at 470.64, MA30 at 472.79, and MA60 at 475.69), with multiple moving averages signaling a "strong buy" [1] - The RSI indicator is at 58, nearing the overbought zone, while MACD and Bollinger Bands continue to provide buy signals, although short-term overbought correction signals are present [1] Group 2 - Recent data indicates support levels at 466 HKD (previous neckline) and 448 HKD (medium-term uptrend line), with potential for capital inflow if the stock retraces to these levels [2] - The primary resistance level is at 503 HKD, and breaking this level could open up a path to 529 HKD, with a 54% probability of upward movement reflecting a slight bullish advantage [2] Group 3 - Ctrip's stock performance has led to significant gains in related leveraged products, with a 2.01% increase in the stock price resulting in a 13% rise in the Morgan Stanley bull certificate and a 12% rise in the UBS bull certificate over two trading days [4] - The stock's strong performance has attracted attention to various call and put options, with notable leverage ratios and strike prices indicating potential trading strategies [7][10] Group 4 - The market is currently observing a bullish sentiment towards Ctrip, with discussions on whether the stock can break through the 503 HKD level during the summer travel peak or if it will consolidate within the 466-503 HKD range [14]
多空激戰121元關口!京東技術指標釋放這些重要信號
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-14 10:16
Core Viewpoint - JD Group's stock price is currently fluctuating around HKD 121.6, showing a decline of 1.38%, with significant market divergence observed [2][5]. Technical Analysis - The stock is trading below key moving averages: MA10 at HKD 126.04, MA30 at HKD 128.3, and MA60 at HKD 130.6, indicating a prevailing "sell" signal [2]. - The technical strength index is low at 14, suggesting dominant downward pressure, while the RSI is at 41, nearing the oversold zone [2]. - Key support levels are identified at HKD 119.4 and HKD 115.2, with resistance at HKD 128 and potential further resistance at HKD 133.4 [5]. Market Sentiment - Recent trading activity shows a significant increase in bearish derivative products, with notable gains in put options as JD's stock price fell [5]. - The trading volume for JD's stock was reported at HKD 2.099 billion, indicating that capital has not significantly exited the market [5]. Derivative Products - Active trading in JD's warrants suggests potential short-term rebounds, with specific warrants offering leverage of 4.7 to 6.1 times [8]. - Investors looking for bearish positions can consider high-leverage put options, which have shown competitive pricing and volatility [8]. Bull and Bear Certificates - For aggressive investors, a bull certificate with a recovery price of HKD 118 offers a high leverage of 14.5 times, while a more conservative option has a recovery price of HKD 115 with 9.9 times leverage [10]. - Bear certificates are also available for those anticipating a rebound followed by a decline, with both options providing around 6.3 times leverage [10].
受最新关税升级影响,黄金价格在亚盘一度上冲,随后回撤至3325美元后寻得支撑,并再次测试日内高点。VIP盯盘神器显示,黄金多空订单比呈现中性偏空,情绪转折点可能在3340美元左右。支撑位:15分钟的实盘订单流数据显示,3326的位置存在大量买盘,构成短期较强支撑。阻力位:指标共振点(15分钟)显示,下方最强支撑位在3321,结合上方的大量买盘,此处不破有望进一步上攻。具体见“VIP专区-盯盘神器”。
news flash· 2025-07-11 03:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that gold prices are experiencing fluctuations due to the latest tariff escalations, with a notable test of intraday highs [1] - Gold prices initially surged but then retreated to $3325, where support was found before testing intraday highs again [1] - The VIP monitoring tool shows a neutral to bearish order ratio for gold, suggesting a potential turning point around $3340 [1] Group 2 - Support levels are identified, with significant buying interest at $3326, indicating strong short-term support [1] - Resistance levels are highlighted, with the strongest support at $3321, suggesting that if this level holds, further upward movement is possible [1]
在延续了周三的反弹后,当前现货黄金即将遭遇最强阻力压制。盯盘神器显示,黄金市场此处偏空,做空比例更高。同时资金炸弹提示,当前有大量资金出场。支撑位:15分钟的实盘订单流数据显示,3316的位置存在大量买盘,构成短期较强支撑。阻力位:指标共振点(1小时)显示,上方最强阻力位在3328,若未能上破此处,短线或存在回调可能。具体见“VIP专区-盯盘神器”。
news flash· 2025-07-10 08:20
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the gold market is facing strong resistance, making upward movement difficult [1] - Current market sentiment is bearish, with a higher ratio of short positions in the gold market [1] - Significant capital is exiting the market, as indicated by the "fund bomb" alert [1] Group 2 - The support level is identified at 3316, where there is substantial buying interest, providing short-term support [1] - The strongest resistance level is at 3328, and failure to break above this level may lead to a potential pullback [1]
騰訊短線攻略:關鍵位501.5元爭奪戰!牛熊證邊隻最值博?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-02 18:40
Core Viewpoint - The analysis of Tencent Holdings (00700) indicates a bearish sentiment in the market, with technical signals suggesting potential price declines and key support levels identified for investors to consider entry points [1][2]. Technical Analysis - As of July 2, Tencent's stock price was reported at 503 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.1%. The stock is at a critical decision point, with short-term support at 486 HKD and mid-term support at 469 HKD. Resistance levels are identified at 517 HKD and 534 HKD [2]. - The RSI indicator is at 48, indicating a neutral to weak sentiment, while multiple moving averages are entangled, suggesting indecision in the market. The 10-day moving average at 506.8 HKD is acting as short-term pressure [2]. - The MACD and Bollinger Bands are signaling a sell, reinforcing the notion that the market is in a corrective phase [2]. Derivative Products - In the derivatives market, Tencent's stock decline of 2.24% on June 27 led to significant performance in bear certificates, with Morgan Stanley's bear certificate (58426) rising by 26% and UBS's bear certificate (58470) increasing by 24% in the following two trading days, showcasing the leverage effect of these instruments in a downward market [2]. - For call options, Bank of China offers two products: one with a strike price of 563.5 HKD providing a leverage of 15.8 times, suitable for aggressive investors, and another with a slightly lower leverage of 13.8 times but with the lowest premium and implied volatility in the market [4]. - In the put options category, UBS's put option (16669) leads with a leverage of 14.3 times, maintaining a safe margin with a strike price of 443.13 HKD, while Bank of China's option (17569) offers a more conservative hedge with a leverage of 12.2 times [4]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Among bull certificates, UBS's product (69944) offers a high leverage of 19.4 times with a redemption price of 484 HKD, making it a preferred choice for aggressive strategies. Another product (54536) has a slightly lower leverage of 17.7 times but attracts conservative funds due to its lowest premium characteristics [6]. - For bear certificates, Société Générale's (60438) and UBS's (61324) products both provide impressive leverage of 28.8 times, with reasonable redemption prices of 522 HKD and 520 HKD, respectively, suitable for capturing potential technical pullbacks [6]. Market Sentiment - The 60-day moving average at 495 HKD is still on an upward trend, raising questions about whether a stronger rebound may follow the current technical consolidation. Investors are encouraged to consider their strategies, whether to use bull certificates for bottom-fishing or bear certificates for shorting [9].
现货黄金持续攀升,短线已企稳于3350上方。盯盘神器显示,黄金市场情绪偏多,实盘多空订单比出现失衡,做多比例更高。支撑位:15分钟的实盘订单流数据显示,3353的位置存在大量买盘,有望构成短线关键支撑位。在其下方,则指标共振点显示的较强支撑位3346.61。阻力位:指标共振点(15分钟)显示,上方最强阻力位在3361.58,若未能上破此处,短线或存在回调可能。此处空头挂单也较为丰富,或限制金价进一步上行。具体见“VIP专区-盯盘神器”。
news flash· 2025-07-01 13:08
Core Viewpoint - The current sentiment in the gold market is bullish, with a significant imbalance in long and short orders, favoring long positions. The price of spot gold has stabilized above 3350, indicating potential upward movement, but resistance levels may limit further gains [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Support Level: The 15-minute order flow indicates a strong buying presence at the price level of 3353, which is expected to act as a key short-term support level. Below this, a strong support level is identified at 3346.61 based on indicator convergence [1]. - Resistance Level: The strongest resistance level is noted at 3361.58, where a failure to break above this level may lead to a potential pullback. There is a significant amount of short orders at this level, which could restrict further upward movement in gold prices [1].
现货黄金盘中持续承压,目前短线再次刷新日低,一度回落至3280美元之下。盯盘神器显示黄金日内波动已达到过去两周平均水平,需要警惕一定的超跌风险。不过1H指标共振点显示,最强阻力位已下移至3306.91-3310.52,此处无法收复或仍有下行风险,下方焦点依然是最强支撑位的3267.23。具体见“VIP专区-盯盘神器”。
news flash· 2025-06-27 11:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that spot gold is under pressure, having dropped below $3280, and there is a need to be cautious of potential overselling risks [1] - The average daily volatility of gold has reached the level seen over the past two weeks, suggesting increased market activity [1] - The strongest resistance level has shifted down to the range of $3306.91 to $3310.52, and if this level cannot be reclaimed, there remains a risk of further declines [1] Group 2 - The key support level to watch is at $3267.23, which is critical for determining the next price movements [1]