今天市场开启的第一步啊走得非常有意思，那朋友们在这里我觉得大家也不用过于的担忧，因为现在整 个指数还是多头趋势，5日线也一直在创新高，我们接下来就第一个耐心等待风格切换，只要成交量在 情绪就在，接下来市场我们还是可以期待的，而且大家不用过于担心，现在大盘也不会大跌，只不过最 近涨多了降降温，现在国债价格一直在跌，股债跷跷板国债也在给股市让路，所以说接下来下一周我们 就看风格切换能不能延续就可以了。 今天虽然说指数从高点回落了一个点，但是其实市场的情绪反而更好了，为啥？和讯投顾徐梦婧分析， 因为银行和权重释放了高位的资金，水往低处流，这些资金终于从权重板块里流到了机器人这些低位板 块。所以说今天就算上证回落，但是市场还在继续放量，而且创业板在这里红的还比较多。在今天上午 我们跟大家说市场其实没有风险，唯一的风险在什么？唯一的风险就是在金融股，结果今天下午金融真 的全部回落了。 那接下来的行情怎么看？首先我认为其实市场可能它不太认可3500点，他不是不认可，他是在7月份上 半旬不认可，因为现在美联储也没有降息，而且现在中美关于贸易层面也没有达成新的协定，但是对于 今年下半年，啊虽然今年市场回落，但是大家放宽心，今 ...

加拿大国债收益率在强劲就业数据公布后攀升至日内高点。 ...

Meeting Overview - The second meeting of the fourth board of directors of Jiangsu Huahai Chengke New Materials Co., Ltd. was held on July 11, 2025, with all six directors present [1] - The meeting was chaired by Chairman Han Jianglong and complied with relevant laws and regulations [1] Resolutions Passed - The board approved the draft report on issuing shares, convertible bonds, and cash for asset acquisition, along with the fundraising plan [2][3] - The board confirmed the pricing basis and fairness of the transaction [2] - The board approved the independence of the evaluation agency and the reasonableness of the evaluation assumptions [2] - The board approved the audit report and asset evaluation report related to the transaction [2] Transaction Details - The company plans to acquire 70% equity of Hengsu Huawai Electronics Co., Ltd. from 13 counterparties through issuing shares, convertible bonds, and cash [3][4] - The market value of the target company was assessed at 1.658 billion yuan, with an increase of 1.265086 billion yuan compared to the consolidated financial statements [4] - The total transaction price for the 70% equity is set at 1.12 billion yuan [4] Fundraising Plan - The company intends to raise funds through a private placement to no more than 35 specific investors, with the total amount not exceeding 100% of the asset purchase price [5][20] - The funds will be used for cash consideration, related taxes, intermediary fees, project construction, and to supplement the target company's working capital [20][22] - If the fundraising is insufficient, the company will cover the shortfall with self-raised funds [6][20] Issuance of Shares and Bonds - The shares issued will be ordinary shares with a par value of 1 yuan, listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [6][19] - The issuance price will be based on 80% of the average stock price over the 60 trading days prior to the pricing date [7][19] - The convertible bonds will have a face value of 100 yuan, with a maturity of four years and an interest rate of 0.01% per annum [10][12] Lock-up Period and Transfer Restrictions - Shares obtained through this transaction will be locked for 12 months post-issuance [9][14] - The convertible bonds will also have a lock-up period of 12 months from the issuance date [11][15] Validity of Resolutions - The resolutions related to this transaction will be valid for 12 months from the date of approval by the shareholders' meeting [18][22]

01 宏观 Macroeconomy 特朗普《大美丽法案》的内容及影响 中金点睛"本周精选"栏目将带您回顾本周深受读者欢迎的研究报告。 >>点击图片查看全文<< 2025年7月4日，特朗普正式签署《大美丽法案》[1]，基本兑现了其竞选期间提出的核心减税承 诺。该法案分为五大部分，涵盖企业减税、个人与家庭减税、削减清洁能源补贴、压缩医疗补助 （Medicaid）以及削减补充营养援助计划（SNAP）。整体来看，《大美丽法案》将在未来推升 财政赤字，但部分赤字可通过关税收入予以对冲。我们测算显示，法案对2026年实际GDP的拉动 在0.5个百分点以内，对通胀的推升作用不超过0.15个百分点；未来十年，关税+减税的组合将增 加净赤字约1.3万亿美元，赤字率将维持在6%左右。鉴于当前失业率低、通胀温和、私人部门资 产负债表健康，美国政府债务尚无迫切风险。中期来看，财政的约束将更多取决于通胀过高与财 政效率下降，但目前这两种情形尚未出现。在通胀可控的前提下，美国财政的空间可能比过去40 年来主流经济学所想的要更大。 2025.07.07 | 肖捷文 苏思雨等 02 策略 Strategy "大美丽"法案后的美债、美股与流 ...

作者：管清友，如是金融研究院院长、首席经济学家，总裁读书会全国领读者联盟领读 非常荣幸再次参加总裁读书会活动，与大家分享《消费繁荣与中国未来》这本书。 一、从以下几个方面解读本书 这是一本内容比较宏大的书，我研究宏观经济多年，习惯将自己代入普通个体的视角去思考问题——假 如我只是社会中最普通的一员，面对这个主题会怎样思考？就拿当下迅猛发展的人工智能来说，若我的 工作被人工智能替代了怎么办？想立刻转行、切换赛道，谈何容易！这也让我意识到，在科技飞速发展 的浪潮中，我们要关注那些沉默的大多数，从他们的视角来看这个问题。 说到《消费繁荣与中国未来》，我从自身感受谈起。在我看来，消费至少有两个维度：一是微观层面， 是和我们日常生活紧密相关的消费；二是宏观层面，是从整体经济视角探讨的消费概念。这本书更多是 从宏观角度出发，探讨政策该如何调整，以及过去政策存在哪些观点，如今又该如何从投资拉动转向消 费拉动等内容。 1.从自身体会来谈 近几年，相信很多普通人都和我有同样的体会：挣钱难，花钱谨慎，就连出去旅游也会精打细算。那些 想买房子的人，思考的时间越来越长，心里都在琢磨：市场周期什么时候能回来？房价什么时候能止跌 回稳… ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Cuiwei Co., Ltd. (603123), is expected to report a net loss of between 220 million to 190 million yuan for the first half of 2025, primarily due to declining revenues in both its retail and payment service businesses [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 2.229 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 39.11%, with a net loss of 687 million yuan, indicating an expanded loss [1]. - The retail business generated revenue of 837 million yuan, down 22.07% year-on-year, while the third-party payment business saw revenue drop to 1.392 billion yuan, a decline of 46.18% [1]. Business Operations - The company's main operations include commercial retail and third-party payment services, with the latter primarily conducted through its subsidiary, Beijing Haike Rongtong Payment Service Co., Ltd. [1]. - The retail business has been adversely affected by market conditions and store adjustments, leading to a 12.77% year-on-year decrease in gross profit [1]. Cash Flow and Debt Situation - The net cash flow from operating activities has been negative since 2023, worsening to -317 million yuan in 2024, with the first quarter of 2025 showing a negative cash flow of 25.17 million yuan [2]. - As of the first quarter of 2025, the company's total assets were 6.361 billion yuan, while total liabilities reached 4.299 billion yuan, indicating a high debt level that poses challenges for business expansion and operational funding [2]. Market Activity - Despite the financial struggles, the stock price of Cuiwei Co., Ltd. has increased by over 80% since May, reaching 15.57 yuan per share as of July 11 [2].

Group 1: Market Recovery - The U.S. financial market has recovered significantly since April, with major indices like the Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 rising by 26%, 30%, and 40% respectively by July 11 [3] - Nvidia's stock surged by 90%, indicating strong performance in the tech sector [3] - The market sentiment shifted from panic to optimism, with a notable rebound in asset prices [3][4] Group 2: Economic Fundamentals - The U.S. economy is supported by a robust private sector balance sheet, with household net worth reaching $179.75 trillion and a low leverage ratio of 70.5% [4] - A significant wave of technological innovation, particularly in AI, is expected to drive investment returns in various sectors over the next 3-5 years [6] - The U.S. government is initiating a new round of infrastructure investment, addressing aging infrastructure and stimulating economic activity [6] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve is expected to enter a rate-cutting cycle, with a potential cumulative reduction of 50 basis points in the second half of the year [7] - The Fed's balance sheet has decreased from a peak of $6 trillion to $3.8 trillion, providing ample room for liquidity injection [7] - The anticipated rate cuts are likely to boost asset prices, including equities and bonds [15][18] Group 4: Trade Policies and Market Impact - The imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration has created uncertainty, but the worst-case scenarios are believed to have been priced in by the market [10][11] - The potential for trade agreements with several countries could mitigate the negative impact of tariffs on the market [10] - The market is expected to react positively to any favorable developments in trade negotiations [12] Group 5: Tax Policy and Economic Growth - The recently introduced tax reform is projected to stimulate the U.S. economy, with a long-term positive impact on growth despite concerns over increased deficits [13][14] - The tax plan is expected to generate significant revenue through tariffs, potentially offsetting some of the deficit concerns [13] - The market may have underestimated the positive effects of the tax reform on economic activity and asset prices [14] Group 6: Investment Strategies - U.S. Treasury bonds are viewed as a favorable investment opportunity, especially with the expected decline in yields as the Fed cuts rates [20][21] - The stock market is seen as a viable long-term investment, particularly in index ETFs and leading industry stocks [22][23] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a defensive strategy while also considering opportunities for capital appreciation in the equity market [21][24]

7月10日，《北京市深化改革提振消费专项行动方案》发布。其中，在优化住房消费新供给方面提出， 进一步发挥住房公积金促进作用，支持缴存人在提取公积金支付购房首付款的同时申请住房公积金个人 住房贷款。研究制定住房公积金个人住房贷款"带押过户"政策，并开展相关业务。 NO.4 龙光集团近220亿元境内债重组方案获批 点评：这是积极响应国家扩大公积金使用范围的举措。这将降低购房门槛，减轻资金压力，刺激住房消 费，且为二手房交易带来便利，也为其他城市公积金政策优化提供示范。 NO.2 招商蛇口将发放2024年度分红17.5亿元 7月10日，招商蛇口发布2024年度利润分配方案实施公告。以特定基数，向全体股东每10股派现1.9353 元（含税），不转增股本。若享有分配权股数变动，将按总额不变原则调整每股分红。股权登记日为7 月16日，除息及发放日为17日，实际分红17.5亿元。 点评：近年来，招商蛇口通过股份回购、现金分红回馈股东，体现出对股东回报的重视。此次分红展现 其财务稳健，有利于提升投资者信心。 NO.3 苏州出让三宗宅地均底价成交 7月9日，苏州本级出让3宗宅地，总建筑面积16.10万平方米，起始价15.48亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - Sanofi Biosensor Co., Ltd. announced an adjustment in the conversion price of its convertible bonds, increasing it from 34.39 CNY/share to 34.46 CNY/share, effective from July 14, 2025 [1][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Conversion Price Adjustment Basis - The adjustment is based on the approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission for the issuance of convertible bonds, which were initially priced at 35.35 CNY/share [2]. - The conversion price must be adjusted in response to events such as stock dividends, capital increases, or share buybacks that affect the company's equity structure [2]. Historical Adjustment of Conversion Price - The conversion price has undergone several adjustments since its initial issuance: - June 11, 2021: Adjusted from 35.35 CNY/share to 35.15 CNY/share due to a cash dividend of 2 CNY per 10 shares [3]. - August 20, 2021: Adjusted to 35.18 CNY/share following the buyback of restricted stock [3]. - May 25, 2022: Adjusted to 34.98 CNY/share due to another cash dividend [3]. - September 28, 2022: Adjusted to 35.01 CNY/share after further stock buybacks [3]. - May 26, 2023: Adjusted to 34.81 CNY/share due to a cash dividend [3]. - June 17, 2024: Adjusted to 34.61 CNY/share following another cash dividend [3]. - June 13, 2025: Adjusted to 34.39 CNY/share due to a cash dividend of 2.20 CNY per 10 shares [3]. Details of the Current Adjustment - The company held board and shareholder meetings to approve the cancellation of 3,999,287 shares, which is 0.71% of the total shares before cancellation [4]. - Following the cancellation, the total share capital decreased from 564,265,375 shares to 560,266,088 shares, leading to the new conversion price of 34.46 CNY/share [4].

Group 1 - Guangdong Province has issued a guideline prohibiting the registration of "small property houses" and other illegal constructions, effective from August 4, 2025, which aims to promote the purchase of legitimate properties and regulate the real estate market [1] - Shandong Binzhou is collecting existing commercial housing to convert into affordable housing, which is expected to optimize the supply-demand structure in the real estate market and help companies reduce inventory [2] - Vanke has pledged 117 million shares of its subsidiary, Wanwu Cloud, to Shenzhen Metro Group as collateral for a loan, reflecting the company's strategy to stabilize its cash flow amid current market conditions [3] Group 2 - Times China has disclosed a debt restructuring plan involving approximately $2.9 billion, with over 85.67% of creditors agreeing to the plan, which could alleviate financial pressure and serve as a model for other distressed real estate companies [4] - The CEO of Zhuhai Wanda Commercial Management, Xiao Guangrui, has resigned, and the company has appointed new leadership, indicating a potential shift in strategic direction following recent management changes [5]