2025.11.07 本 文字数：2337，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 刘晓洁 OpenAI高管一句"需要政府为AI投资担保"，在美股市场掀起巨浪。当地时间周四，美国科技股集体重 挫，六大科技巨头及多家与OpenAI合作的算力厂商总市值一夜蒸发近5000亿美元。 11月7日凌晨，OpenAI CEO奥尔特曼（Sam Altman）发布近2000字长文回应，不仅澄清"不需要也不想 要美国政府担保"，还首度披露公司收入预期——预计今年年化收入将超200亿美元，2030年将达数千亿 美元，试图以此挽回市场信心。 尽管美股盘后部分科技股出现小幅反弹，例如英伟达盘后上涨约0.85%，微软盘后上涨0.12%，但相比 一夜蒸发的巨额市值，这样的反弹无异于杯水车薪。 美股今年一路上涨，自4月低点以来涨幅超过30%，但市场从未打消对科技圈AI泡沫的疑虑，也担忧上 世纪90年代末的互联网泡沫再现，而众多华尔街机构的态度和行动也印证了这一点，这也是这次言论能 引发美股巨震的根本原因。 一夜蒸发近5000亿美元 这场风暴的起点，是OpenAI首席财务官萨拉·弗里尔（Sarah Friar）在一场公开活动中的发言。她提到， ...

2025.11. 07 本文字数：2337，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 刘晓洁 OpenAI高管一句"需要政府为AI投资担保"，在美股市场掀起巨浪。当地时间周四，美国科技股集体 重挫，六大科技巨头及多家与OpenAI合作的算力厂商总市值一夜蒸发近5000亿美元。 11月7日凌晨，OpenAI CEO奥尔特曼（Sam Altman）发布近2000字长文回应，不仅澄清"不需要 也不想要美国政府担保"，还首度披露公司收入预期——预计今年年化收入将超200亿美元，2030年 将达数千亿美元，试图以此挽回市场信心。 11月7日收盘，美股三大指数集体下跌，科技股成为重灾区。万得美国科技七巨头指数跌1.91%。具 体来看，英伟达跌3.65%，特斯拉跌3.5%，亚马逊跌2.86%，Meta跌2.67%，领跌七巨头。另外微 软已连续七个交易日下跌，昨夜跌1.98%，创2022年以来最长连跌天数，苹果微跌0.14%。七巨头 中仅谷歌微涨0.21%。 尽管美股盘后部分科技股出现小幅反弹，例如英伟达盘后上涨约0.85%，微软盘后上涨0.12%，但相 比一夜蒸发的巨额市值，这样的反弹无异于杯水车薪。 美股今年一路上涨，自4 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market failed to maintain its strong performance from the previous day, with all three major indices closing lower. The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.92% or 244.07 points, closing at 26,241.83 points, with a total trading volume of HKD 2,096.44 million. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 0.94% to 9,267.56 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.8% to 5,837.36 points. For the week, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.29%, while the China Enterprises Index increased by 1.08%, and the Tech Index fell by 1.2% [1] Blue Chip Performance - Xinyi Solar (00968) led the blue-chip stocks, rising by 7.86% to HKD 3.98, contributing 2.08 points to the Hang Seng Index. Industrial Securities noted that the trend of reduced losses in the photovoltaic main chain for Q3 is becoming an industry trend, suggesting a positive outlook for the photovoltaic sector [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances included Henderson Land (00012) up 3.97% to HKD 29.36, contributing 2.52 points, and Zijin Mining (02899) up 1.81% to HKD 32.64, contributing 5.17 points. Conversely, New Oriental (09901) fell by 4.95% to HKD 41.86, dragging down the index by 2.62 points, and Alibaba (09988) decreased by 2.97% to HKD 160.1, impacting the index by 74.15 points [2] Sector Highlights - The large technology stocks faced pressure, with Alibaba down nearly 3% and Tencent down over 1%. In contrast, photovoltaic stocks rose against the market trend, with Flat Glass (06865) up 9% and Xinyi Solar (00968) up 7.86% [3] - A consortium of leading polysilicon companies is planning to establish a fund of approximately HKD 70 billion to facilitate acquisitions, with discussions ongoing regarding the specifics of the acquisition plan. This initiative is expected to drive price increases in the photovoltaic sector [4] - The lithium battery sector showed strong performance, with Longpan Technology (02465) up 8.05% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) up 7.51% [4][5] AI Sector Concerns - There is growing concern regarding the high valuations of AI-related companies, particularly following comments from OpenAI's CFO about seeking financial backing from banks and private equity to support significant chip investments. This has intensified discussions about a potential "AI bubble" [6] - Huatai Securities highlighted that while the AI revolution is expected to significantly enhance productivity, recent discussions about an AI bubble, combined with high valuations of overseas tech stocks, may lead to increased short-term volatility [7] Notable Stock Movements - Dongyue Group (00189) saw a significant increase, closing up 7.85% at HKD 10.71, driven by the organic silicon concept's surge in the A-share market [8] - Gushengtang (02273) also performed well, rising 7.27% to HKD 29.8, following the board's decision to repurchase shares to enhance shareholder value [9] - China Duty Free Group (01880) continued its upward trend, closing up 4.35% at HKD 70.75, with expectations of growth in the duty-free market following the upcoming launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port [10] - XPeng Motors (09868) was active, rising 1.68% to HKD 90.9, as it announced the pre-sale of its new model [11] - Xiaomi Group (01810) faced pressure, dropping 2.76% to HKD 42.24, with hedge funds increasing short positions amid concerns over its growth prospects [12]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market failed to maintain its strong performance from the previous day, with all three major indices declining throughout the day. The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.92% or 244.07 points, closing at 26,241.83 points, with a total trading volume of HKD 2,096.44 million [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index experienced the largest drop, down 1.8% to 5,837.36 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 0.94% to 9,267.56 points. For the week, the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.29%, while the China Enterprises Index increased by 1.08%, and the Tech Index fell by 1.2% [1] Blue Chip Performance - Xinyi Solar (00968) led the blue-chip stocks, rising by 7.86% to HKD 3.98, contributing 2.08 points to the Hang Seng Index. Industrial Securities noted that the photovoltaic industry is expected to see a reduction in losses in Q3, indicating a trend of improvement [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances included Henderson Land (00012) up 3.97% to HKD 29.36, contributing 2.52 points, and Zijin Mining (02899) up 1.81% to HKD 32.64, contributing 5.17 points. Conversely, Alibaba (09988) fell by 2.97%, dragging the index down by 74.15 points [2] Sector Highlights - The technology sector faced pressure, with Alibaba down nearly 3% and Tencent down over 1%. In contrast, the photovoltaic sector saw gains, with major players like Fuyao Glass (06865) up 9% and Xinyi Solar (00968) up 7.86% [3] - The lithium battery sector also performed well, with Longpan Technology (02465) rising over 8% and Tianqi Lithium (09696) up 7.51% [4][5] AI Sector Concerns - There is growing concern regarding the high valuations of AI-related companies, exacerbated by comments from OpenAI's CFO about seeking financial backing from banks and private equity to support significant chip investments. This has led to discussions about a potential "AI bubble" [6][7] - Despite the concerns, major tech companies continue to invest in AI, with analysts noting that the impact of AI on advertising and cloud computing remains significant [7] Notable Stock Movements - Dongyue Group (00189) saw a significant increase, closing up 7.85% at HKD 10.71, driven by developments in the organic silicon sector [8] - Gushengtang (02273) also performed well, rising 7.27% to HKD 29.8, following a decision to repurchase shares to enhance shareholder value [9] - China Duty Free Group (01880) continued its upward trend, closing up 4.35% at HKD 70.75, with expectations of growth in the duty-free market following the launch of the Hainan Free Trade Port [10] - XPeng Motors (09868) was active, rising 1.68% to HKD 90.9, as it announced the pre-sale of its new model [11] - Xiaomi Group (01810) faced pressure, down 2.76% to HKD 42.24, with hedge funds increasing short positions amid concerns over its growth prospects [12]

隔夜美股再次出现暴跌，主要引发因素是OpenAI的一位高管提出，希望通过联邦政府提供融资担保， 为AI芯片的大额融资提供支持。这番言论让许多投资者担心美国科技股，尤其是AI泡沫是否已大到即 将破裂。实际上，近期美股科技股多次出现大跌，部分龙头个股日跌幅一度超过3%。美股科技股的泡 沫如今已引发越来越多华尔街投资大佬的警告，包括因电影《大空头》成名的著名投资人，也在加大力 度做空英伟达等科技股，引发了众多投资者的担忧。这一轮美股科技股的行情已经持续了十几年，英伟 达的市值更是突破5万亿美元，创下人类历史纪录。5万亿美元相当于36万亿元人民币左右，我国一年的 GDP约为140万亿元，而英伟达一只股票的市值就高达36万亿元，因此其估值泡沫之大已无太大分歧， 核心争议在于泡沫何时破裂。股神巴菲特总能在美股泡沫破裂前成功出逃，从过去五次巴菲特大幅减仓 美股的情况来看，在他减仓后的一年半到两年内，美股均出现见底回落，这一次或许也不例外。近期披 露的伯克希尔·哈撒韦三季报显示，公司在三季度继续大幅减仓美股，账上现金已达到创纪录的3800亿 美元，这一金额逼近3万亿元人民币。这些资金均用于购买美国国债而非股票，这也体现出股神 ...

Core Viewpoint - OpenAI CEO Sam Altman refuted claims that the company is seeking federal guarantees to mitigate risks associated with large-scale investments in AI infrastructure, emphasizing that taxpayers should not bail out companies for poor business decisions or market failures [1] Group 1: Company Statements - Altman stated that OpenAI's data centers do not require government guarantees and that discussions regarding loan guarantees were only in the context of building semiconductor manufacturing plants in the U.S. [1] - OpenAI has committed to investing $1.4 trillion in data centers and chips to develop advanced AI systems and promote widespread technology adoption [1] Group 2: Government Involvement - The U.S. CHIPS Act provides $39 billion in grants, $75 billion in loans and loan guarantees, and a 25% tax credit for investments in semiconductor manufacturing [1] - Altman clarified that OpenAI has not formally applied for any government assistance related to these investments [1] Group 3: Market Concerns - The significant financial commitment from OpenAI has raised concerns about a potential AI bubble, especially given that the company remains unprofitable [1]

市场从未打消对科技圈AI泡沫的疑虑。 OpenAI高管一句"需要政府为AI投资担保"，在美股市场掀起巨浪。当地时间周四，美国科技股集体重挫，六大科技巨头及多家与OpenAI合作的算力厂商总 市值一夜蒸发近5000亿美元。 11月7日凌晨，OpenAI CEO奥尔特曼（Sam Altman）发布近2000字长文回应，不仅澄清"不需要也不想要美国政府担保"，还首度披露公司收入预期——预计 今年年化收入将超200亿美元，2030年将达数千亿美元，试图以此挽回市场信心。 $$\mathbf{X}_{\circ}\mathbf{C}\mathbf{0}$$ 尽管美股盘后部分科技股出现小幅反弹，例如英伟达盘后上涨约0.85%，微软盘后上涨0.12%，但相比一夜蒸发的巨额市值，这样的反弹无异于杯水车薪。 美股今年一路上涨，自4月低点以来涨幅超过30%，但市场从未打消对科技圈AI泡沫的疑虑，也担忧上世纪90年代末的互联网泡沫再现，而众多华尔街机构 的态度和行动也印证了这一点，这也是这次言论能引发美股巨震的根本原因。 一夜蒸发近5000亿美元 这场风暴的起点，是OpenAI首席财务官萨拉·弗里尔（Sarah Friar）在一场 ...

Group 1 - AI concept stocks have declined, with Alibaba-W down 3.58% to HKD 159.1, Shengye down 3.51% to HKD 10.71, Kingsoft down 2.57% to HKD 31.84, and Tencent down 2.33% to HKD 629 [1] - Concerns over high valuations of AI-related companies have intensified, particularly after OpenAI's CFO indicated the need for a financial ecosystem involving banks, private equity, and federal government support for substantial chip investments [1] - This statement has reignited discussions about an "AI bubble," leading to worries about the rationality of valuations in the AI sector [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities emphasizes that the AI revolution will significantly enhance productivity and alter production relationships, marking it as a core market theme over the past three years [2] - Discussions regarding an AI bubble have increased, compounded by high valuations of overseas tech stocks and potential risks from the U.S. government shutdown [2] - Guosen Securities notes that as major U.S. companies release their Q3 reports, the impact of AI on advertising, cloud computing, and corporate efficiency remains evident, with companies maintaining strong investment levels [2] - Domestic companies face less capital expenditure pressure compared to overseas counterparts, and AI is expected to drive significant business improvements, particularly in operational efficiency for Tencent, Tencent Music, and Kuaishou [2]

11月7日软银集团股价大跌，截至发稿，跌幅为9.64%，目前总市值30万亿日元(约合人民币1.4万亿元)。 11月7日，日韩股市走低。 日经225指数跌破50000点关口，截至发稿，跌幅超2%。 韩国KOSPI指数一度翻红，随后快速跳水，现跌2.78%。 美东时间周四，美股科技股也集体下跌，超威半导体跌超7%，英伟达市值一夜蒸发1733亿美元，微软7 连跌，特斯拉、高通跌逾3%。 市场越来越担心泡沫随时破裂。在次贷危机前精准做空了美国房地产市场的"大空头"Michael Burry正在 部署做空美国的AI泡沫。他暗示称，当前支出过度且回报过低将使得AI热潮中许多领先公司最终崩 溃。 据21世纪经济报道，近日，高盛与摩根士丹利认为全球(美国)股市由于科技股泡沫，在未来1~2年内可 能出现10%到20%的回调，但他们看好中国股市，特别是中国的人工智能、电动汽车和生物技术等领 域。 渣打中国财富管理部首席投资策略师王昕杰表示，市场一旦出现恐慌性的抛售行为，大概率是会从估值 过高、累积较多涨幅的板块开始抛售。虽然AI板块的估值较高，但这一板块很大程度仍有美联储降息 和企业盈利支撑。王昕杰认为，市场对于科技股的担忧，是 ...

Group 1 - AI concept stocks have declined, with Alibaba-W down 3.58% to HKD 159.1, Shengye down 3.51% to HKD 10.71, Kingsoft down 2.57% to HKD 31.84, and Tencent down 2.33% to HKD 629 [1] - Concerns over high valuations of AI-related companies have intensified, particularly following comments from OpenAI's CFO about seeking a financing ecosystem involving banks, private equity, and the federal government to support massive chip investments [1] - The discussion around an "AI bubble" has gained traction, with interpretations suggesting that the U.S. government may need to intervene to support AI giants, raising worries about the rationality of AI industry valuations [1] Group 2 - The AI revolution is expected to significantly enhance productivity and alter production relationships, which has been a core market theme over the past three years [2] - Increased discussions about an AI bubble, combined with high valuations of overseas tech stocks and potential U.S. government shutdown, may lead to heightened short-term volatility risks [2] - Major domestic companies face less capital expenditure pressure compared to overseas counterparts, and AI is expected to positively impact their related businesses, with notable efficiency improvements anticipated for Tencent, Tencent Music, and Kuaishou [2]