【文/观察者网 陶立烽】 "十五五"开局在即，中国式现代化新征程号角吹响，31省份下一个五年规划基本落定！ 从能源转型到产业升级，从基建加码到新兴赛道突围，各地纷纷祭出大招：北京加码绿电输入，老工业 大省辽宁举全省之力冲AI，湖北剑指"世界存储之都"，刚拿下汽车第一城的重庆继续猛攻智能网联新能 源汽车，中部省份江西、湖南、安徽、河南等积极布局内河水运，还有浙江低空基建、吉林避暑经济、 青海高原康养、新疆亚欧黄金通道，亮点频频。 各地顺着资源禀赋踩准国家战略节奏，既有硬核产业升级，又有接地气的民生布局，这波未来五年 的"攻略"直接拉满发展期待值！ 北京：扩大绿电进京规模 北京十五五规划建议指出，优化能源结构，严控化石能源规模，加强光伏、地热等本地可再生能源开发 利用，积极发展氢能等清洁能源，扩大绿电进京规模，提高终端用能电气化和能源消费绿色化低碳化水 平。 尽管华北地区化石能源丰富，但是扩大绿电规模是统筹能源安全、空气质量、产业升级的重要抓手。 2025年北京外调绿电首次超过400亿千瓦时，较"十三五"末增长超过2倍。目前绿电占北京全社会用电量 近三成。 扩大绿电进京，还能推动华北西北地区的绿电消纳，形成"资源 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 China Wealth Management Forum emphasizes the importance of achieving breakthroughs in five strategic tasks during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period to build a financial power [1] Economic Growth - Maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range is the top priority for the "14th Five-Year Plan," crucial for achieving significant progress in socialist modernization [3][12] - The target for reasonable growth is approximately 4.5% for both actual and nominal GDP, aligning with the goal of reaching the per capita GDP of a moderately developed country by 2035 [3][12] - The nominal growth is projected to be lower than actual growth in 2023, 2024, and 2025, leading to weaker growth in urban residents' income, corporate profits, and fiscal revenue, exacerbating insufficient domestic demand [3][12] Macro Control - The focus of macroeconomic control during the early phase of the "14th Five-Year Plan" must shift to promoting price recovery, as opposed to merely preventing price increases [4][13] - The overall tone of macroeconomic policy is to promote stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery, with monetary policy aimed at supporting this recovery [4][13] Development of New Productive Forces - The development of new productive forces is essential for the advancement of China's modern industrial system and is key to winning in the context of global changes and technological revolutions [5][14] - The focus during the "14th Five-Year Plan" should be on digitalization and low-carbon technologies, aiming for breakthroughs in critical and frontier technologies [5][14] Modern Industrial System - A modern industrial system must maintain a reasonable proportion of manufacturing, ensuring that the manufacturing sector's share of GDP remains stable and does not decline too rapidly [6][15] - Lessons from early industrialized countries indicate that a decline in manufacturing share can lead to vulnerabilities, such as falling into the middle-income trap [6][15] Consumer Spending - Increasing the resident consumption rate is identified as a core driver for economic growth, with a need to generate an additional 35 trillion yuan in total demand during the "14th Five-Year Plan" if growth is to be maintained at 4.5% [8][17] - The contribution of imports and exports to economic growth is expected to decline, necessitating a shift towards expanding domestic demand [8][17] Distribution Structure - Optimizing the distribution system is crucial for promoting common prosperity and increasing the consumption rate, which is vital for maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range [9][18] - Policies should focus on improving income distribution, raising minimum wage standards, and enhancing the income of low-income groups to ensure that disposable income grows faster than economic growth [9][18]

Core Viewpoint - The key issue in resolving the contradiction between strong supply and weak demand during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period lies in distribution, necessitating significant breakthroughs in optimizing the distribution structure [2] Group 1: Distribution and Economic Growth - The supply structure is a function of the demand structure, which in turn is a function of the income structure; a low proportion of resident income in national income leads to low consumption rates [2] - Optimizing the distribution structure is crucial for comprehensive development and common prosperity, as well as for increasing the resident consumption rate and maintaining economic growth within a reasonable range [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests implementing a plan to increase income for urban and rural residents, effectively raising the income of low-income groups and steadily expanding the middle-income group [3] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - Policies should gradually shift from stimulating consumption to adjusting income distribution, including raising minimum wage standards and increasing ordinary employees' wages [3] - The focus of redistribution should be on enhancing the income of low-income groups through increased taxation, social security, and transfer payments, aiming for a faster growth rate of per capita disposable income than economic growth [3] Group 3: Economic Growth Targets - Economic growth should maintain an average annual growth rate of 4.17% from 2025 to 2035, with a target of achieving per capita GDP at the level of moderately developed countries by 2035 [3] - The expected growth rate for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period is around 4.5%, while the "15th Five-Year Plan" period is projected at 4%, leading to an average of approximately 4.2% over the decade [4] Group 4: Challenges and Considerations - The nominal growth rate must remain above 4.5%, as nominal growth has been lower than actual growth since 2023, with a negative GDP deflator index [4] - The growth of urban resident income, corporate profits, and fiscal revenue has been lower than economic growth, exacerbating the issue of insufficient domestic demand [4] - The macroeconomic regulation during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period must prioritize promoting price recovery as a key objective [4]

"我们也要清醒认识到，'十五五'时期金融发展仍将面临一些结构性和机制性挑战。"他认为，比如，社 会资金配置结构不平衡问题仍有待解决，低利率、低息差时代到来也增大了资产配置难度，传统的融资 和风控模式与新经济新业态的现实需求不够适配，民营、小微企业融资难、融资贵仍不同程度存在；直 接融资占比有待提高，资本市场投资和融资功能的协调性有待进一步增强，基础性制度仍需完善；高水 平双向开放要求更高，跨境风险传染渠道更加多元、更加复杂；金融科技的新业态、新技术带来的新型 风险对金融监管提出更高要求。这些问题是"十五五"时期金融改革发展的重点，也是建设金融强国必须 攻克的难关。 尚福林表示，迈向"十五五"，加快建设金融强国，是质的有效提升和量的合理增长有机统一，是综合 性、系统性、引领性的跃升。"十五五"规划建议阐明了其核心内涵：第一，更加聚焦金融服务实体经济 的根本宗旨，努力做好金融"五篇大文章"；第二，持续深化金融体制改革，加快完善中国特色现代金融 体系；第三，更好统筹发展和安全，筑牢金融稳定防线；第四，稳步推进高水平开放，提升全球金融治 理话语权。 12月27日，中国财富管理50人论坛2025年会在京举办。中国财富管 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that resolving the supply-demand imbalance during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period hinges on optimizing the distribution structure, which is crucial for enhancing residents' disposable income and sustaining economic growth within a reasonable range [2][4] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" suggests implementing a rural and urban resident income increase plan aimed at effectively raising the income of low-income groups and steadily expanding the middle-income group, while also addressing excessive incomes and illegal earnings to promote an olive-shaped distribution pattern [2][4] - The article highlights that policies should not only focus on expanding demand and optimizing supply but also on improving distribution, creating a cohesive system of supply, demand, and distribution policies to foster a consumption-driven economic development model [2][3] Group 2 - It is proposed that consumption-stimulating policies should gradually shift towards income distribution adjustment policies, including raising minimum wage standards and enhancing ordinary employees' wages, while increasing the intensity of tax, social security, and transfer payments to boost low-income groups' income [3][4] - Economic growth is expected to maintain an average annual growth rate of 4.17% from 2025 to 2035, with a target of 4.5% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period and 4% during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, leading to an average of approximately 4.2% over the decade [5][6] - The article stresses the importance of nominal growth remaining above 4.5%, as since 2023, nominal growth in China has been lower than actual growth, which has exacerbated the imbalance between supply and demand and contributed to insufficient domestic demand [5][6]

【学习贯彻省委十四届九次全会精神】 确保"十五五"开好局起好步 ——论学习贯彻省委十四届九次全会精神 甘肃日报评论员 "十五五"时期是我国基本实现社会主义现代化夯实基础、全面发力的关键时期，也是甘肃发展追赶进位 的关键阶段。省委经济工作会议深入分析当前形势，对做好明年经济工作提出明确要求。全省上下要牢 牢把握高质量发展这个首要任务，着眼扩大内需、优化供给、做优增量、盘活存量，着眼防范化解重点 领域风险，着眼稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，深入实施"五强"行动，加快推进新型工业化、新型 城镇化、农业农村现代化，加速推进数字经济和实体经济深度融合，加力打造"七地一屏一通道"，因地 制宜发展新质生产力，推动经济实现质的有效提升和量的合理增长，更好统筹发展和安全，保持社会和 谐稳定，实现"十五五"良好开局。 经济工作千头万绪，必须抓住关键，明确主攻方向，做到纲举目张。要加力培育壮大产业，以科技创新 引领产业创新，扎实推进传统产业转型升级、新兴产业发展壮大、未来产业前瞻布局，大力发展现代寒 旱特色农业，加快推动服务业扩能提质。要加力强化内需拉动，抢抓政策机遇扩大投资，深入挖掘服务 消费、数字消费、文旅消费等潜力，开展平 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development blueprint for Fengtai District in Beijing, emphasizing the "Five Transformations" and the focus on "rural urbanization, urban modernization, and all-domain scenario innovation" as key directions for the next five years [1][2]. Group 1: Five Transformations - Fengtai's development is characterized by five transformations: from basic security to taking on responsibilities, from a transportation hub to a value hub, from distinct sectors to integrated urban-rural development, from localized focus to overall collaboration, and from implementation to innovation leadership [2][3]. Group 2: Development Paths - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes three major development paths: - Rural urbanization aims to address development imbalances and promote comprehensive rural revitalization [2]. - Urban modernization focuses on enhancing urban functions and integrating industry with urban development [2]. - All-domain scenario innovation seeks to create a comprehensive innovation ecosystem to support the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region's modernization [2]. Group 3: Construction of Five Key Areas - The plan outlines the construction of five key areas: - Capital Function Expansion Area, focusing on enhancing the capital's core functions [3]. - Regional Collaboration Pioneer Area, leveraging transportation advantages to drive economic growth [3]. - Industry-City Integration Innovation Area, promoting a modern industrial system [3]. - Garden City Characteristic Area, emphasizing ecological harmony and urban quality [3]. - All-Age Friendly Vitality Area, aimed at enhancing public welfare and community well-being [3]. Group 4: Key Initiatives - Fengtai District will focus on eight key initiatives, including: - Integrating urban functions with industrial layout [4]. - Deepening the fusion of technological and industrial innovation [4]. - Stimulating effective investment and consumption [4]. - Expanding access to education, healthcare, and elder care services [5]. - Creating an international business environment [5]. - Promoting urban renewal alongside rural revitalization [5]. - Enhancing ecological protection while showcasing cultural heritage [5]. - Strengthening collaborative governance for safety and stability [5].

格隆汇12月27日｜据四川日报，12月25日至26日，四川省委书记、省人大常委会主任王晓晖前往内江 市、资阳市调研。王晓晖指出，内江和资阳西连成都、东接重庆，区位优势独特，要抢抓"十五五"时期 国家重大战略和省委发展战略实施机遇，用好加快成渝地区中部崛起的支持政策，在服务融入成渝"双 核"、培育发展特色产业上下更大功夫，进一步做大经济总量、提升发展质量，努力为全省发展大局多 作贡献。 ...

Group 1 - The provincial CPPCC system is focusing on deepening reforms and enhancing the reflection of public opinion to better serve the construction of a modernized new Qinghai during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][2] - The meeting emphasized the importance of implementing the spirit of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party and the 14th Provincial Committee of Qinghai, aiming to contribute to the overall development of the province [2] - The provincial CPPCC has made significant contributions to the completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and the successful initiation of the 15th Five-Year Plan, highlighting the importance of unity and the people's role in governance [1][2] Group 2 - The provincial CPPCC is tasked with focusing on the implementation of the 15th Five-Year Plan and contributing ideas for the advancement of Chinese-style modernization [2] - There is a commitment to reform and innovation to address development challenges, with an emphasis on institutionalizing and standardizing CPPCC work [2] - The CPPCC aims to enhance communication with the public and improve the collection of social sentiment and public opinion information [2]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the National Venture Capital Guidance Fund marks a strategic initiative to support the construction of a modern industrial system and foster an autonomous innovation capital chain amid increasing international technological competition [1][2]. Group 1: Strategic Significance - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund aims to inject confidence into the market by signaling long-term governmental support for innovation and entrepreneurship [2]. - It addresses market failures by providing initial funding for high-risk, long-cycle original technology projects, filling the gap left by market capital [2]. - The fund is designed to create an innovation network that promotes collaboration among various market entities, facilitating the flow of capital, knowledge, and management experience [2]. Group 2: Regional Fund Structure - The simultaneous establishment of three regional funds in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the Yangtze River Delta, and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area represents a strategic allocation of resources based on national priorities [2][3]. - Each region specializes in different aspects of innovation: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei focuses on original innovation, the Yangtze River Delta excels in engineering and industrialization, and the Greater Bay Area is known for application and business model innovation [3]. - This structured approach aims to shorten the time it takes for technological achievements to transition from laboratories to market applications, contributing to the establishment of a unified national market [3]. Group 3: Long-term Investment and Risk Sharing - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasizes the importance of building a modern industrial system and outlines strategic areas for future investment, including quantum technology and biomanufacturing, which require long-term funding and risk-sharing mechanisms [4][5]. - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund is positioned as a key vehicle for this risk-sharing mechanism, particularly in critical technology sectors facing external pressures [5]. - The fund seeks to explore innovative institutional reforms to balance the acceptance of failure with the prevention of moral hazards, ensuring that investment decisions respect professional judgments while meeting policy objectives [5].