Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is neutral, with a mixed outlook on buying and selling signals across different time frames [2][5] - The moving averages indicate a sell signal for short-term periods (MA5, MA10, MA20) while longer-term averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggest a buy signal [4][5] - Technical indicators show a sell signal from RSI and ADX, while MACD indicates a buy signal, reflecting volatility in the market [5][6] Group 2 - Support and resistance levels are identified, with classic pivot points at 24264.5 (S3) and 25223.0 (R3), indicating potential price movement boundaries [6] - The market is experiencing overbought conditions as indicated by the Stochastic oscillator, while the Williams %R suggests oversold conditions [5][6] - The average true range (ATR) indicates high volatility, which may impact trading strategies [5]

Group 1 - Foreign exchange investment is a significant investment method that attracts many investors, and mastering practical skills is crucial for seizing market opportunities and managing risks [1] - Macroeconomic data, such as economic growth, inflation, and interest rates, are key factors influencing foreign exchange rates, with strong economic growth typically leading to currency appreciation [1] - Political stability is also important, as it directly affects economic development and currency stability, necessitating close attention to economic data and political dynamics [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is essential, with various tools and chart patterns available, such as trend lines and moving averages, which help investors identify market trends and generate buy/sell signals [2] - Setting stop-loss and take-profit levels is critical for controlling risks and locking in profits, with these levels needing to be determined based on market volatility and individual risk tolerance [2] - Investors should continuously learn and accumulate experience in the complex foreign exchange market, utilizing both fundamental and technical analysis methods [3] Group 3 - Diversification is a key principle in foreign exchange investment, as spreading investments across multiple currencies can reduce risks associated with single currency fluctuations [3] - Engaging in trading across different time periods can help balance risks and opportunities in varying market environments [3] - The foreign exchange market requires ongoing attention to domestic and international economic conditions and political developments to effectively achieve investment goals [3]

以上是中期，且不考虑重大消息影响情况下的技术分析。就当前短期而言，我们需要考虑的是止跌反弹以及 上影线回补。周三黄金大跌66美元，昨天黄金反弹46美元后下跌，很明显短线黄金多空出现了分歧。今天美 国非农数据，并且是8月第一天，特朗普关税截止日期，当下连续下跌后，稍微的利多都会引发多头强势反 攻。 中期看跌黄金，短线我们关注反弹为主。首先3280以上上涨，上方短期阻力3300大关也是短期强弱界，重点 是昨日高点3315区域，然后周三高点3330-35区域！下方3280区域如不能支撑多头反攻，那么关注测试3270- 65区域再反弹；今天美国非农数据，白盘不好跌，根据最近公布的美国数据来看非农数据利空概率大，美盘 则关注冲高回落走扫荡。 操作上，短线白盘3280以上逢低多，失败则3265-70以上逢低多；空等拉高分别以昨日高点和周三搞点压制 布局，如果周三高点意外突破一切空单停止操作！参考制定交易策略，盘中我们及时跟进。 国际黄金，黄金月线连续四根上影线，上影联排，天线宝宝四胞胎，泰山压顶之势；最近几个月我们反复强 调黄金月线，目前而言空头优势明显，如果没有重大消息数据等持续性利多支撑多头的情况下，接下来几个 月注 ...

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is neutral, with mixed signals from various indicators [2][5] - The moving averages indicate a sell signal across short-term periods (MA5, MA10, MA20) while longer-term averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggest a buy signal [4][5] - Technical indicators show a mix of buy and sell signals, with the RSI indicating a neutral position and the Stochastic oscillator showing overbought conditions [5][7] Group 2 - The support and resistance levels are identified, with classic pivot points at 24193.9 (S3) and 25863.4 (R3) [7] - Fibonacci levels also provide additional support and resistance insights, with key levels at 24564.2 (S2) and 25677.2 (R2) [7] - The market is characterized by low volatility as indicated by the ATR value [5]

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment indicates a strong buy recommendation based on various technical indicators [2][8] - The moving averages suggest a consistent buy signal across different time frames, with MA5 at 14000.5 and MA10 at 13946.4 [4][5] - The RSI and MACD indicators also support a buy position, with RSI at 62.082 and MACD at 127.200 [7] Group 2 - The market is showing signs of being overbought, as indicated by the Stochastic oscillator reading of 95.693 [7] - The pivot points and Fibonacci levels suggest potential resistance and support levels, with key pivot point at 13993.0 [8] - The overall analysis reflects a strong bullish trend with multiple indicators signaling buy opportunities [2][8]

Summary - The article discusses the current market indicators and technical analysis for investment decisions, highlighting a general "buy" sentiment across various metrics [2][5][6]. Group 1: Market Sentiment - The overall recommendation is to "buy," with 8 indicators suggesting a buy and 4 indicating a sell [2]. - The moving average indicators show a mixed sentiment, with short-term averages suggesting a buy while longer-term averages indicate a sell [4][5]. Group 2: Technical Indicators - The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 56.667, indicating a buy signal [5]. - The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows a value of 379.100, also suggesting a buy [5]. - The ADX (Average Directional Index) is at 47.200, indicating a strong trend and a buy signal [5]. - The Stochastic indicator is at 97.587, indicating an overbought condition [5]. Group 3: Support and Resistance Levels - Key support and resistance levels are identified, with S1 at 24929.4 and R1 at 25230.4 [6]. - Fibonacci levels indicate potential price targets, with resistance at 25393.7 and support at 25092.7 [6].

文章来源：公众号喵姐交易日记 今天开始美国宏观重磅消息陆续发布，本周不仅会有PCE，失业率，大非农等重要的数据，还有美股财报，周四还有白宫数字资产报告。 当然最备受关注的还是周四凌晨2点的美联储议息会议和鲍威尔的讲话，将给市场信心和预期产生重大影响，大家都盼着好消息早点到来！ 另外以太坊基金会前天又砸盘了，以太坊十周年大会还跌吗？ 以上全部是可以影响行情走向的关键事件，因此这个超级宏观周的行情走势就变得尤其重要，最近比特币一直处于高位横盘震荡位置，也在等待 一个方向出来，这也决定了以太山寨是三浪继续上涨，还是要迎来四浪的深度回调？ 7月29日，数字货币市场继续高位震荡。比特币全天在116，900-119，224美元之间窄幅波动，最终收于117，886美元，日线形成十字星形态。以 太坊同样走出冲高回落行情，盘中最高触及3885美元后回落至3792美元收盘，日线连续两日回调。 这种走势背后暗藏玄机——比特币连续5个交易日未能有效突破119，200美元阻力位，在日线图上形成连续的更低高点，同时被红色Supertrend动 态阻力位（119，792美元）牢牢压制。 比特币 凌晨比特币短暂跌破117，000美元关口，最 ...

Core Insights - Stock index futures trading serves as both a risk management tool and a wealth accelerator, allowing investors to profit from market fluctuations regardless of upward or downward trends [1][2] - The dual trading mechanism of stock index futures provides flexibility but requires investors to possess keen market insight and precise judgment [1] - Successful traders maintain a calm demeanor amidst market volatility, overcoming emotions like greed and fear to make rational decisions [1][2] Market Dynamics - Stock index futures act as a "weather forecast" for financial markets, enabling investors to predict future market movements and generate returns [1] - Time is critical in stock index futures trading, where every market fluctuation can lead to significant gains or losses [1] - Technical analysis tools such as candlestick charts, moving averages, and trading volume are essential for traders to interpret market signals [1] Investor Characteristics - Long-term survival and profitability in stock index futures trading depend on the ability to grasp market rhythms, manage risks effectively, and continuously adapt to market changes [2] - The trading environment is described as a high-stakes game that rewards those who are willing to take risks and think critically [2] - Each trade represents a risk, and every decision has the potential to alter an investor's financial trajectory [2]

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group's stock price is currently experiencing a volatile consolidation pattern, trading at 56.65 HKD, down 1.31% as of 13:46 [1] - The stock is below the 10-day moving average (57.49 HKD) but above the 30-day (56.96 HKD) and 60-day (54.55 HKD) moving averages, indicating short-term adjustment pressure while the medium-term trend remains intact [1] - Technical indicators show divergence, with multiple moving averages signaling "sell," while MACD and Bollinger Bands also indicate selling pressure; however, RSI at 54 is in a neutral zone, suggesting a lack of consensus in market direction [1] Group 2 - Key support levels for Xiaomi are at 55.2 HKD (Support 1) and 53.6 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 58.4 HKD (Resistance 1) and 60.3 HKD (Resistance 2) [1] - If the stock can regain 57.5 HKD, it may challenge the 58.4 HKD resistance; conversely, a drop below 55.2 HKD could lead to a decline towards 53.6 HKD [1] Group 3 - On July 24, when Xiaomi's stock fell by 2.82%, related derivative products performed well, with Societe Generale's bear certificate (57008) rising by 16% and JPMorgan's bear certificate (56964) soaring by 30% [3] - Put options from JPMorgan (16863) and UBS (17706) recorded gains of 10% and 11%, respectively, showcasing the leverage effect of derivative instruments in trending markets [3] Group 4 - Various derivative options are available for bullish investors, including HSBC's call options (14677) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD, offering 5.9x leverage and the lowest implied volatility, or another call option (18005) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and the lowest premium [6] - For bearish investors, JPMorgan's put option (16863) has a strike price of 53.99 HKD and 4.8x leverage, while other options like UBS's put (17904) and Societe Generale's bear certificate (54560) offer varying leverage and strike prices [10]

1、恆指:市場看多氣氛比較強，投資者認為明日期結，上至25800-26000，轉牛證，收回價24900。也有看空投資者，認為25400變阻力，繼續熊證，收回價 在25688點。 Simon:指數橫盤格局。信號總結為"買入"，偏向好一些。阻力位在25760點和26600點。而下方支持位在24700左右。而投資者選擇牛證收回價在24900，相對 危險一些，建議選擇逼近第二個支持位24200的產品會比較安全。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 賞 | O | 11 | 2、京東集團-SW (09618.HK)：是否這周回踩120元？投資者持有認沽證，行使價116.8元 Simon:從日線圖看股價比較跳躍，每日波幅比較大。目前信號總結為"買入"。當前支持位126.1元，第二支持位120.7，與投資者的目標價比較接近。 | | | 3、京東健康 (06618.HK)： 守住48元，能站穩50元嗎？ Simon:收市價49.95元，接近全日高位50元，股價繼續向上走。技術信號總結為"買出"。阻力位在50.8元，剛好企穩在50元之上。根據目前分析，50元是比 ...