Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 26,438 points after reaching a high of 26,601 points, indicating a high open but a low close, which disappointed investors [1] - Technical signals suggest a "sell" with support levels at 25,860 points and 25,385 points, while resistance levels are at 26,642 points and 27,600 points [1] Group 2: Trip.com Group (09961.HK) - Trip.com Group's stock price has steadily increased over the past two weeks, rising by 4.09% to 597.5 HKD, although short-term technical signals indicate a "sell" [7] - Support levels are at 561 HKD and 520 HKD, while resistance is at 613 HKD [7] Group 3: Geely Automobile (00175.HK) - Geely's closing price is near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, but the overall technical signal is leaning towards "sell" [14] - Support levels are at 18.3 HKD and 17.9 HKD, with resistance at 19.8 HKD and 20.3 HKD [14] Group 4: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock price closed at 100.3 HKD, with technical signals indicating a "buy" [20] - Resistance levels are at 107.5 HKD and 117.7 HKD, while support levels are at 96 HKD and 91.7 HKD [20] Group 5: Lenovo Group (00992.HK) - Lenovo's stock closed at 11.7 HKD, close to the upper Bollinger Band, with a technical signal of "sell" [26] - Support levels are at 11.1 HKD and 10.9 HKD, while resistance levels are at 12.1 HKD and 12.5 HKD [26] Group 6: Bilibili-W (09626.HK) - Bilibili's stock reached a high of 220 HKD and closed at 212 HKD, with a technical signal of "sell" indicating potential adjustments after reaching high levels [32] - Short-term support levels are at 195 HKD and 181 HKD, with recommendations for longer expiration dates on options to mitigate time decay [32]

Group 1 - Xiaomi Group (01810) is showing a strong technical trend, with the stock price reaching a high of 57 HKD and currently at 56.6 HKD, reflecting an increase of 0.8% [1] - The stock has broken through the upper Bollinger Band at 56.8 HKD, indicating bullish momentum [1] - Technical indicators such as RSI at 63 suggest a healthy bullish zone, while moving averages (MA10 at 55.02 HKD, MA30 at 53.57 HKD, MA60 at 55.29 HKD) are converging, indicating a search for a clear direction in the short term [1][3] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Xiaomi, with a target price set at 65 HKD [1] - Despite the stochastic indicator showing overbought conditions, MACD and Bollinger Bands are signaling buy opportunities, supporting a bullish outlook [3] - Recent support levels are identified at 54.7 HKD and 53.1 HKD, with resistance at 57.2 HKD; a breakout above this level could target 59.7 HKD [3] Group 3 - Derivative products related to Xiaomi have performed well, with notable gains observed on September 11 when the stock rose by 2.84% [3] - Specific derivatives such as Morgan Stanley's bull certificates (53165) and UBS's bull certificates (57477) recorded increases of 21% and 23% respectively, indicating significant excess returns in a clear upward trend [3] - Investors optimistic about Xiaomi's future can consider specific call options like the Morgan Stanley call (16984) with a strike price of 60.65 HKD and a leverage of 7.8 times, or the UBS call (14816) with a strike price of 61.05 HKD and a leverage of 7.7 times [6] Group 4 - For bearish investors, options such as the Bank of China put (17904) or the Societe Generale put (17868) with strike prices around 54 HKD are recommended for short-term trading strategies [6] - In terms of bull and bear certificates, UBS's bull certificate (55351) with a redemption price of 53.5 HKD and a leverage of 15.6 times is highlighted for bullish strategies, while HSBC's bear certificate (59572) is suggested for bearish positions [8]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing high volatility, with prices fluctuating around $3,680 after reaching a peak of $3,703, as investors await the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points [1][2]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is ongoing, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the first reduction since November 2024 [2]. - The U.S. Census Bureau reported a 0.6% month-over-month increase in retail sales for August, indicating resilient consumer spending despite economic slowdowns and inflation [2]. Group 2: Geopolitical Tensions and Market Sentiment - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including attacks in Ukraine and military actions in Gaza, are providing safe-haven support for gold prices [2]. - Market caution due to these tensions is limiting further declines in gold prices [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators show signs of upward exhaustion for gold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 81, indicating overbought conditions [3]. - The current price is significantly above all moving averages, with the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at approximately $3,516, indicating strong bullish momentum [3]. - Short-term support is identified at $3,657, while momentum indicators are showing positive trends, although the RSI is around 70, suggesting a lack of clear direction [3]. Group 4: Price Levels - Key resistance levels for gold prices are identified at $3,700, $3,720, and $3,750, while support levels are at $3,660, $3,630, and $3,600 [4].

Core Viewpoint - SMIC (00981) is exhibiting a strong technical trend with a clear bullish pattern in its stock price, currently at 63.1 HKD, having reached a high of 65 HKD during the day but is now down 0.47% [1] Technical Analysis - The RSI reading for SMIC is at 69, nearing the overbought zone, while moving averages are in a bullish arrangement with MA10 at 60.17 HKD, MA30 at 55.68 HKD, and MA60 at 51.06 HKD, indicating strong support [1] - Both MACD and Bollinger Bands are signaling buy opportunities, although multiple moving average signals suggest a "strong sell" [1] - Recent support levels are identified at 58.1 HKD and 53.7 HKD, with resistance at 67 HKD; a breakthrough could target 68.9 HKD [3] Volatility and Trading Opportunities - The stock has shown a 5-day volatility of 14.4%, indicating high potential for short-term trading opportunities [3] - On September 8, when SMIC's stock rose by 3.78%, related derivatives performed well, with HSBC's bull certificate (65625) and UBS's bull certificate (68668) achieving a 22% increase [3] Derivative Products - Investors bullish on SMIC may consider the UBS call option (15022) with a strike price of 66.93 HKD and a leverage of 4.8x, or the Societe Generale call option (19953) with a leverage of 4.6x [5] - For bearish investors, UBS's put option (20320) and HSBC's put option (20114) with a strike price of 52.45 HKD and approximately 2.5x leverage are recommended [5] - In terms of bull and bear certificates, UBS's bull certificate (69405) with a buyback price of 55 HKD and a leverage of 6.8x is favorable, while Societe Generale's bear certificate (58427) and UBS's bear certificate (59447) have a buyback price of 70 HKD and leverage around 9x [5]

Group 1 - Dogecoin (DOGE) has regained market attention as Bitcoin rises above $114,000, leading to a new wave of growth in the cryptocurrency market. DOGE reached $0.251, with a 24-hour increase of 4.2% and a weekly surge of 16.3% [2] - Factors driving this surge include the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in the coming weeks, with an inflation report showing stability in August and a 92% probability of a 25 basis point cut, which may boost the cryptocurrency market [2] - Cleancore holds over 500 million DOGE and plans to buy an additional 1 billion within 30 days, increasing market confidence despite ongoing debates about the future of a DOGE ETF [3] Group 2 - Bullish investors believe the current market atmosphere resembles that of 2021, where DOGE surged by 1500% from $0.04 to its peak, leading to significant profits for investors [5] - Conversely, bearish investors argue that current market valuations are too high, with DOGE's value not aligning with its actual utility, and caution against potential bubble risks in financing rates [5] - Market predictions suggest DOGE could rise to $0.321 by October 6, 2025, representing a potential increase of approximately 27.89%, although a pullback may follow [6] Group 3 - The current 30-day financing rate for DOGE is -0.68%, lower than Bitcoin, indicating cautious trading behavior. Open interest (OI) has reached $4.6 billion, a three-month high, with a $1 billion increase in one week, suggesting a surge in market positions [7] - Despite this, DOGE has not experienced excessive expansion, with an RSI below 70 and an NVT of 14, significantly lower than the peak levels of 25+, indicating that network activity still supports the price and reduces the risk of a long squeeze [7] Group 4 - Trading volume exceeded 1.1 billion during the breakout, approximately three times the average level, indicating significant institutional inflows ahead of the ETF launch. Momentum signals show a triangular flag breakout with higher lows and volume confirmation, suggesting that the late-session decline is more of an adjustment than a trend reversal [10] - Overall, DOGE is at a critical juncture, supported by institutional actions, macroeconomic benefits, and ETF expectations. If it can effectively hold above the key resistance level of $0.25, a new upward trend may commence [10] Group 5 - Technical analysis indicates support levels for DOGE at $0.245-$0.246, with additional support at $0.260 during late-session pullbacks. Resistance is noted at $0.264, with future targets set at $0.29 and $0.50 [11]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) shows a stable technical trend with a slight pullback, indicating potential investment opportunities for conservative investors [1][3]. Technical Analysis - As of 10:17 AM, HKEX's stock price is at 442 HKD, down 0.58% [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55, indicating a healthy bullish zone [1]. - Moving averages (MA10 at 442.32 HKD, MA30 at 438.29 HKD, MA60 at 430.08 HKD) are in a bullish arrangement, providing strong support [1]. - Despite a "sell" signal from technical indicators, multiple oscillators show a neutral pattern, with MACD issuing a buy signal [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 435 HKD and 423 HKD, while resistance levels are at 457 HKD and a potential target of 466 HKD if broken [1]. Derivative Products Performance - On September 8, when HKEX's stock price rose by 1.93%, related derivative products performed well, with notable returns: 29% for the BNP Paribas call option (16781) and 26% for the UBS call option (16698) [3]. - HSBC's bull certificate (53124) and UBS's bull certificate (62570) achieved returns of 22% and 21%, respectively, demonstrating significant excess returns even in a moderate upward trend [3]. Investment Options - Investors are advised to focus on two quality call options: UBS call option (16698) with a strike price of 484.08 HKD offering 14x leverage and HSBC call option (17539) with the same strike price but 14.6x leverage, appealing to bullish investors [6]. - For bearish investors, UBS put option (18808) and Bank of China put option (18983) with a strike price of 368.48 HKD provide approximately 9x leverage, suitable for short positions [6]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Bull certificates from HSBC (65210) and UBS (55128) have a redemption price of 422 HKD, maintaining a safe distance from current prices, with actual leverage of 15.9x and 16.2x, respectively, making them attractive for low-cost leveraged investments [8]. - Bear certificates from UBS (60541) and Societe Generale (60816) have a redemption price of 470 HKD, offering leverage exceeding 16x, but investors are cautioned to manage positions carefully due to potential risks [8].

Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently showing bullish sentiment, with investors expecting it to reach 26,600 points, while bearish investors believe it has peaked at 26,300 points [1] - The index has broken through the Bollinger Band upper limit, closing at 26,200 points, with resistance levels at 26,554 and 27,100 points [1] - Technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, suggesting a potential for a technical adjustment despite the upward trend [1] Group 2: Bilibili (09626.HK) - Bilibili's stock price is approaching 200 HKD, closing at 198.9 HKD, with a technical signal summary indicating a "sell" [7] - The stock has a recent volatility of 13.9%, and the next resistance level is at 205 HKD, while 220 HKD may take more time to reach [7] Group 3: Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) - Tencent's stock price reached a high of 639 HKD, maintaining an upward trend, but short-term technical signals suggest a "sell" [9] - Resistance levels are identified at 646 HKD and 667 HKD, with a significant distance to the previous high of 700 HKD [9] - Investors holding options with a strike price of 730 HKD face a 15% out-of-the-money situation, which could become problematic if the stock price declines [9] Group 4: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) - The stock closed at 444.6 HKD, with resistance levels at 457 HKD and 467 HKD [15] - Investors holding bull certificates with a redemption price of 420 HKD are considered relatively safe, as it is below the identified support levels of 435 HKD and 424 HKD [15] Group 5: BYD Company (01211.HK) - BYD's stock price is currently stable, closing at 105.6 HKD, with a downward trend anticipated [20] - The support level is at 101.7 HKD, and if it falls below 100 HKD, the next support level to watch is 95.2 HKD [20] Group 6: China Unicom (00762.HK) - China Unicom's stock closed at 9.84 HKD, with an intraday high of 10.8 HKD, indicating significant volatility [26] - Resistance levels are at 10.43 HKD and 10.73 HKD, with options at a strike price of 11 HKD being slightly out-of-the-money [26]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the spot gold price is continuing its upward trend supported by the EMA50 moving average on the 4-hour chart [1] - The RSI indicator shows a positive trend, reinforcing the possibility of further increases in gold prices [1] - It is expected that the combination of technical momentum and dynamic support will drive gold prices to challenge new highs in the future [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance of AAC Technologies (瑞声科技), with its stock price showing signs of recovery after hitting a low near the Bollinger Band's lower limit [1] - Technical analysis indicates that the current support levels for AAC Technologies are at 40 HKD (Support 1) and 36.3 HKD (Support 2), while resistance levels are at 45.5 HKD (Resistance 1) and 48.2 HKD (Resistance 2) [1] - The stock is currently trading slightly below the 10-day moving average of 43.84 HKD and is stable above the 60-day moving average of 41.92 HKD, suggesting a potential for upward movement [1] Group 2 - According to Huatai Securities, AAC Technologies' acoustic gross margin has come under pressure, while optical gross margin has improved, leading to a downward revision of net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 1%, 5%, and 4% respectively [3] - The target price for AAC Technologies has been reduced from 62.2 HKD to 60.3 HKD, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [3] - Recent performance of related derivatives has been strong, with specific put options showing a 6% increase despite the underlying stock declining by 3.27%, indicating effective hedging opportunities [3] Group 3 - For investors optimistic about the market, it is suggested to consider call options with strike prices around 50 HKD and a remaining term of over three months to balance risk and return [6] - Specific call options such as UBS call option 13898 (strike price 52.38 HKD, leverage 4.35x, premium 29.86%) and a close-to-the-money product with strike price 45 HKD are highlighted [6] - For those bearish on short-term trends, put options like UBS put option 19352 (strike price 40.86 HKD, leverage 1.8x) are recommended due to their high leverage and low premium [6]

Core Viewpoint - The overall macro analysis indicates a bullish outlook for equity and bond assets, while industrial products are viewed negatively. Gold assets are also favored due to positive macro conditions [1][7]. Macro Analysis - Equity assets are supported by favorable macro conditions, with a positive trend and moderate valuation, indicating capital inflow [2][23]. - Bond assets are also favored on the macro level, although they show a downward trend [2][23]. - Industrial products face negative macro conditions, despite a rising price trend [2][23]. - Gold assets benefit from positive macro conditions and an upward price trend [2][23]. Technical Analysis - The latest trend indicators show upward trends for equity, industrial products, and gold, while bond prices are trending down [12][13]. - The equity risk premium (ERP) is at 52.65%, indicating a moderate valuation level for equity assets [16][17]. Asset Performance Tracking - The fixed ratio combined with macro and technical indicators yielded a return of 2.64% as of August 2025, with an annualized return of 11.96% since April 2006 [3][28]. - The volatility-controlled and risk parity combinations achieved returns of 3.50% and 0.79%, respectively, with annualized returns of 9.50% and 9.63% since April 2006 [30][29]. Summary of Indicators - The macro and technical indicators for various asset classes show a low correlation, averaging around 0.17, suggesting that both should be considered in asset evaluation [21][22]. - The total scores for asset classes indicate a bullish stance on equities and gold, while industrial products are viewed negatively [22][23].