人民币国际化
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央行最新发声!
券商中国· 2025-10-17 09:44
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) aims to create a favorable environment for domestic and foreign entities to hold and use the Renminbi, focusing on enhancing services for the real economy, deepening the currency's financing functions, and promoting high-level financial market openness [1][2]. Group 1: Enhancing Services for the Real Economy - The PBOC plans to better serve the real economy by facilitating trade and investment, optimizing cross-border trade policies, and improving the management of funds for companies listed abroad [1]. - There will be an emphasis on enhancing the cross-border financial service capabilities of commercial banks, including streamlining processes and improving the efficiency of Renminbi fund transactions [1]. Group 2: Deepening Renminbi Financing Functions - The PBOC will continue to refine Renminbi financing support policies and tools, leveraging the central bank's currency swap mechanisms to support cross-border use of the Renminbi [1]. - Encouragement will be given to more eligible foreign institutions to issue Panda bonds in China, enhancing the currency's international financing capabilities [1]. Group 3: Promoting High-Level Financial Market Openness - The PBOC aims to enhance the transparency, regulatory framework, and predictability of financial markets to improve trading efficiency and liquidity [1]. - There will be efforts to attract more foreign institutions to invest in domestic markets, supporting the development of Shanghai as an international financial center and a hub for Renminbi asset allocation and risk management [1]. Group 4: Supporting Offshore Renminbi Market Development - The PBOC will improve cross-border Renminbi liquidity arrangements and optimize the layout of clearing banks, providing ongoing support for liquidity policies [2]. - There will be a focus on supporting various institutions to issue and trade Renminbi assets abroad, including regular issuance of central bank bills to enhance liquidity management and risk management tools [2].
数字人民币迎来关键进展 | 金融与科技
清华金融评论· 2025-10-17 09:11
Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Digital Renminbi International Operation Center in Shanghai marks a significant step towards enhancing the internationalization of the digital renminbi, aiming to improve its global circulation and acceptance in international markets [3][12]. Group 1: Digital Renminbi International Operation Center - The Digital Renminbi International Operation Center has officially commenced operations, following the plan announced by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) during the Lujiazui Forum in June [3][4]. - The center features three main platforms: cross-border payment, blockchain infrastructure, and digital asset services, which are designed to enhance the operational capabilities of the digital renminbi in international markets [4][12]. Group 2: Cross-Border Payment Platform - The cross-border payment platform aims to address pain points in traditional cross-border payment models, focusing on technological integration, ecosystem reconstruction, and regulatory innovation [6]. - The goal is to create a secure, efficient, and inclusive global payment network, providing a "China solution" for a new ecosystem of cross-border payments that is "lossless, interoperable, and compliant" [6]. Group 3: Blockchain Service Platform - The blockchain service platform serves as a key hub for on-chain digital renminbi payment services and standardized blockchain transaction information transfer [8]. - It aims to enhance interoperability and transaction efficiency across various industry blockchain networks, reducing integration costs for participants [8]. Group 4: Digital Asset Platform - The digital asset platform focuses on the compliant operation of assets on the blockchain, supporting various asset types such as bonds, bills, electronic vouchers, and carbon credits [9]. - It aims to digitize the entire process of issuance, registration, custody, and trading while ensuring compliance and preventing financial risks like fictitious transactions and double pledges [9]. Group 5: Global Payment System Improvement - The PBOC is actively promoting improvements in the global cross-border payment system, adhering to the principles of "lossless, compliant, and interoperable" as foundational guidelines for the construction of cross-border infrastructure for legal digital currencies [11]. - The center is expected to play a crucial role in forming global central bank digital currency standards, addressing potential fragmentation in digital currency development [11]. Group 6: Internationalization Strategy - The core value of the Digital Renminbi International Operation Center lies in significantly expanding the network effect of the digital renminbi, enhancing its global liquidity and acceptance [13]. - The strategic focus has shifted from domestic retail testing to exploring applications in cross-border trade and international financial services, aiming to increase the global market share and competitiveness of the digital renminbi [13].
终结美元垄断?澳矿企低头,对华用人民币结算,20年博弈中国赢了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 08:52
Core Viewpoint - The announcement by BHP to allow iron ore transactions with China to be settled in RMB marks a significant shift in the power dynamics of the iron ore market, giving China more control after two decades of being at a disadvantage [2][21][30]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - China accounts for 70% of global iron ore purchases, yet historically, it has been at a disadvantage in negotiations, often paying inflated prices due to a lack of pricing power [5][19]. - The pricing system, primarily based on the Platts index, has been criticized for being manipulated by major financial institutions that also hold stakes in BHP, leading to unfair pricing practices [7][11]. - The reliance on USD for transactions has subjected Chinese companies to currency fluctuations, resulting in additional financial burdens [9][19]. Group 2: Strategic Developments - China has been strategically restructuring its approach to iron ore procurement by consolidating purchasing power through the establishment of the China Mineral Resources Group, which unifies the demands of steel mills [13][19]. - New sources of iron ore, such as the Simandou project in Guinea, are set to significantly reduce dependence on Australian iron ore, with production expected to reach 12 million tons annually [15][19]. - The market share of Australian iron ore in China has decreased from 65% to 52%, indicating a diversification of supply sources [15][19]. Group 3: Future Implications - The shift to RMB settlements is expected to create a closed-loop system where Australian companies can use RMB to purchase Chinese goods, enhancing the international use of the currency [23][25]. - The establishment of a new pricing index based on real transaction prices in China is anticipated to restore pricing power to Chinese buyers [26][30]. - This development could serve as a template for other commodities, potentially leading to a broader shift away from USD dominance in global trade [28][30].
金融改革开放持续深化 人民币国际地位稳步提升——《金融时报》访中国人民银行宏观审慎管理局负责人
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-10-17 08:35
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is advancing the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) during the 14th Five-Year Plan, enhancing its quality and level of use in cross-border transactions, thereby increasing its global status and influence [1] Group 1: Achievements in RMB Internationalization - The RMB has become the largest currency for China's foreign exchange settlements, the second-largest for trade financing globally, and the third-largest payment currency, with a weight of 12.28% in the IMF's Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket [1][2] - In the first half of 2025, RMB cross-border payments totaled 35 trillion yuan, a 14% year-on-year increase, with goods trade payments reaching 6.4 trillion yuan, accounting for 28% of total cross-border payments, marking historical highs [2][3] - The offshore RMB market is developing healthily, with over 10 trillion yuan in RMB financial assets held by foreign entities, and more than 80 countries have included RMB in their foreign exchange reserves [2][3] Group 2: Development of RMB Payment and Clearing Network - The PBOC has established a comprehensive RMB cross-border payment and clearing network, including the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), which connects 1,729 participants across 189 countries and regions [3] - The efficiency of cross-border payments is improving, with ongoing advancements in digital RMB transactions and interconnectivity of payment systems [3] Group 3: International Monetary Cooperation - The RMB's inclusion in the SDR basket and its role in regional financial safety nets through currency swap agreements with 32 countries, totaling approximately 4.5 trillion yuan, highlight its importance in global financial stability [4][5] - Currency swaps facilitate liquidity provision in financial markets and support bilateral trade and investment, reducing exchange rate risks for enterprises [5] Group 4: Future Directions for RMB Usage - The PBOC aims to enhance the environment for RMB usage by improving policies for cross-border trade and investment, optimizing management of overseas listing funds, and enhancing the capabilities of commercial banks in cross-border financial services [6][7] - Plans include further opening of financial markets, increasing transparency, and supporting the development of offshore RMB markets, particularly in Hong Kong [7]
警报拉响!为防被被冻,中国须尽快置换美元资产
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 07:48
Core Viewpoint - The intense financial confrontation between China and the U.S. necessitates strategic planning to "reset and replace" the vast dollar assets held by China, including foreign exchange reserves and other hidden dollar assets [1][3]. Group 1: Strategic Asset Management - China must take necessary actions to strategically and systematically reset and replace its dollar assets to ensure financial security and enhance its influence in the global financial system [3][4]. - The goal is not to aggressively "liquidate" dollar assets but to optimize asset structure and hedge risks through sophisticated designs, transforming potential risks into solid leverage for future negotiations [3][4]. Group 2: Gold as a Strategic Anchor - The strategic value of gold needs to be reassessed, especially as the credibility of the dollar is increasingly questioned; gold's ultimate currency attributes are returning [4][6]. - China aims to establish a new international gold flow and credit center by encouraging countries to purchase gold at the Shanghai Gold Exchange and store it in Hong Kong, challenging the long-standing dominance of London and New York in global gold pricing and custody [4][7]. Group 3: Renminbi Expansion in Commodity Settlements - To reduce dependence on the dollar, China must expand the use of the renminbi in commodity settlements, particularly in oil, gas, and agricultural products [8][10]. - The strategy involves systematic promotion of renminbi settlements in diverse trade, leveraging China's position as the largest importer to negotiate long-term contracts priced in renminbi [10][11]. Group 4: Debt Replacement Strategy - A "renminbi debt replacement for dollar debt" plan is proposed to assist countries facing high dollar debt pressures, positioning China as a stabilizing force in regional finance [16][19]. - This plan allows countries to convert their dollar debts into renminbi debts, providing them with a lifeline while simultaneously promoting the internationalization of the renminbi [19][21]. Group 5: Comprehensive Strategic Framework - The three proposed strategies—gold collateral systems, expanding renminbi settlements, and debt replacement—form a cohesive strategic framework aimed at enhancing China's financial security and international influence [22][24]. - The timing is critical for proactive planning and implementation to secure a favorable position in the evolving global financial landscape [24].
美元要变废纸?美联储深夜官宣印钞救市,但打败它的不是人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 07:12
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is signaling a shift from a hawkish to a dovish stance, indicating that the asset reduction process is nearing its end and may soon resume quantitative easing [1][3] - Since the onset of super inflation in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has implemented quantitative tightening, reducing assets by a total of $6 trillion [3] - Concerns are rising that the current liquidity in the banking system is approaching a "safe bottom," and without further monetary injection, a sell-off on Wall Street could trigger a systemic financial crisis [3] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's actions are seen as a desperate measure to maintain financial stability, but this could undermine the credibility of the U.S. dollar [5] - Following Powell's speech, the Dow Jones index managed to close slightly positive, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq still ended lower, indicating ongoing market volatility [5] - Major investors, including figures like Soros, are reportedly selling off dollar-denominated assets and accumulating gold as a hedge against potential risks [7] Group 3 - The market's primary concern is not a lack of liquidity but rather the declining purchasing power and credibility of the U.S. dollar, with even U.S. Treasury bonds losing their status as a safe investment [8] - The offshore RMB exchange rate surged after the opening of the Chinese market on October 15, reflecting a global shift towards RMB assets to hedge against dollar depreciation [8] Group 4 - The goal of RMB internationalization is not to replace the dollar as a new hegemon but to challenge the dominance of a single currency and establish fairer international monetary rules [10] - Despite a significant drop in exports to the U.S., China's overall export scale remains high, indicating the ineffectiveness of the trade war initiated by the U.S. [10] Group 5 - China has gained international pricing power over iron ore, undermining the dollar's pricing system, and even U.S. soybean farmers are seeking to settle trades in RMB [12] - The U.S. has resorted to gradual sanctions against Chinese companies, fearing a strong retaliation from China, which is strategically building its own global trade settlement system [14] Group 6 - The Federal Reserve's late-night money printing is a reflection of the decline of dollar hegemony, while China's aim is not to defeat the dollar but to disrupt the old order of U.S.-dominated rule-making [16] - As the RMB establishes fairer rules in trade, technology, and transportation, it could emerge as a new trusted global currency without needing to directly replace the dollar [16]
外贸订单里,“人民币结算”正升温
经济观察报· 2025-10-17 03:22
Core Viewpoint - The reliance of emerging market countries on the US dollar in international transactions is decreasing due to geopolitical changes, rising tariff barriers, and fluctuations in the US interest rate cycle, leading to an increase in the use of the Renminbi (RMB) in cross-border transactions [1][2]. Group 1: RMB Internationalization - The 138th China Import and Export Fair (Canton Fair) has seen an increase in the use of RMB as a trade settlement currency among exporters [2]. - Reports from institutions like China Construction Bank and CICC indicate significant growth in the use of RMB for cross-border trade settlement and financing from 2024 to 2025 [2]. - The RMB's acceptance as a trade settlement currency is particularly notable in "Global South" economies, including Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia [3]. Group 2: Company Experiences - Suzhou Grun德 Electric Co., Ltd. has seen an increase in RMB trade settlements initiated by European clients, with RMB transactions now accounting for a growing portion of their business [6]. - Similar trends are observed at CaiXun Industrial (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd., where the proportion of RMB settlements has risen from 0% to approximately 40% for Russian clients [7]. - Jiangsu Jinpeng Group has reported a significant increase in African clients opting for RMB settlements, with the number of such clients doubling from last year [7]. Group 3: Cross-Border RMB Settlement Data - In June, the Bank of China reported that the cross-border RMB settlement volume exceeded 43 trillion yuan, a 31% year-on-year increase, while the cross-border RMB clearing volume reached 131.4 trillion yuan, up 49% [8]. - The CICC report highlighted the weakening credibility of the US dollar due to its misuse and the imposition of tariffs, suggesting a shift towards a more fragmented and diversified global monetary system [8]. Group 4: Challenges and Outlook - Despite the positive trends, companies face challenges in using RMB for international transactions, including low liquidity and high financial costs associated with offshore RMB [11]. - A survey indicated that 60% of companies cited low liquidity and high costs as major barriers to using RMB, while 50% reported that counterparties were unwilling to use RMB [11]. - Optimism remains, with 57% of domestic companies and 69% of foreign companies expecting to increase their use of RMB in cross-border trade settlements by 2025 [12].
弃用美元,改用人民币结算,欠债30多万亿的美元霸权还能撑多久?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:53
Group 1 - The core economic interaction between China and the US has been beneficial for both, with China achieving unprecedented industrialization and the US benefiting from a strong consumer market and wealth accumulation [2][4] - China's industrial capacity has surpassed that of post-war America, contributing to its national strength and wealth accumulation, while living standards have significantly improved across various social strata [2][4] - The US has seen wealth accumulation through monetary expansion, with major financial and tech companies leveraging China's production capabilities to increase their market valuations [2][4] Group 2 - The economic interaction model has negative impacts, including China's pressure from increased dollar reserves and the US facing industrial hollowing, particularly in its Midwest regions [4][9] - The dollar's dominance in global trade is based on its irreplaceability and trust in the US's responsible use of monetary power, but these foundations are now being challenged [5][7] - The US's recent actions, such as asset freezes and sanctions, have highlighted the "weaponization" of the dollar, which is causing a gradual decrease in global reliance on the dollar [7][9] Group 3 - China is pursuing the internationalization of the renminbi, supported by its economic and military strength, which poses a challenge to the dollar's dominance [7][10] - The US aims for re-industrialization to address trade deficits, but faces significant challenges due to entrenched financial interests and a lack of political will [9][10] - China's goal is to ensure economic security and maintain its industrial base while navigating the complexities of international relations and potential financial risks [10][11] Group 4 - The future of US-China relations will be determined through negotiation and power dynamics, with time favoring China as it continues to strengthen its position [11] - The US must shift from a confrontational stance to one of equal negotiation to achieve cooperation from China, which possesses significant countermeasures [10][11] - China faces the dual challenge of managing the risks of financial overexpansion and ensuring a balance between short-term gains and long-term responsibilities in global governance [11]
外贸订单里,“人民币结算”正升温
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing trend of using the Renminbi (RMB) as a trade settlement currency among various companies, particularly in the context of cross-border trade and investment [2][3][4] - Reports from institutions like China Construction Bank and CICC indicate a significant growth in the use of RMB for cross-border trade settlements and financing from 2024 to 2025, driven by geopolitical changes and reduced reliance on the US dollar [3][6] - Companies such as Suzhou Grun德 Electric and Jiangsu Jinpeng Group report a noticeable increase in clients opting for RMB settlements, with specific examples showing a shift from USD to RMB in their transactions [5][6] Group 2 - The trend of RMB usage is particularly pronounced in emerging markets, with Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia increasingly accepting RMB for trade settlements [4][6] - Data from the Bank of China indicates that the cross-border RMB settlement volume is expected to exceed 43 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31% [6][7] - Companies are expanding their international presence, with significant investments in regions like ASEAN, which saw a 12.6% increase in investment from China [7][8] Group 3 - Despite the positive outlook, challenges remain for companies using RMB in international markets, including low liquidity and high financial costs associated with offshore RMB usage [8][9] - A survey indicates that 60% of companies face challenges due to low liquidity and high costs, while nearly half report difficulties with counterparties unwilling to use RMB [8][9] - Optimism persists among surveyed companies, with 57% of domestic firms and 69% of foreign firms expecting to increase their use of RMB in cross-border trade settlements by 2025 [9][10]
上海清算所董事长马贱阳会见中信证券总经理邹迎光一行
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 02:20
Core Viewpoint - The meeting between Shanghai Clearing House and CITIC Securities focused on enhancing the interbank market, promoting RMB internationalization, and exploring specific cooperation scenarios to strengthen financial services and risk management [1] Group 1: Meeting Outcomes - Both parties discussed the importance of enriching various types of centralized clearing participants and the comprehensive use of interest rate derivatives to manage market risks [1] - There was a consensus on the need to anchor the goal of building a strong financial nation and to enhance innovation in issuance, registration, custody, and centralized clearing services [1] Group 2: Future Collaboration - The collaboration aims to support high-level financial openness and the high-quality development of financial markets through joint efforts [1] - The discussion included exploring the enhancement of the Yulan bond mechanism's functionality as part of their cooperative efforts [1]