以下文章来源于e公司 ，作者证券时报 曾剑 e公司 . e公司，证券时报旗下专注上市公司新媒体产品，立志打造A股上市公司资讯第一平台。提供7x24小时上市公司标准化快讯，针对可能影响上市公司股价的 主题概念、行业事件及时采访二次解读，从投资者需求出发，直播上市公司有价值的活动、会议。 时值马年春节假期，A股股市正处于休市中，但证券时报·e公司记者注意到，不少券商分析师春节"不打烊"。 大年初一（2月17日），部分券商坚持发布投资"干货"。有券商提到，A股估值处于历史中低位，全球比较具性价比。 国金证券研究发布了一篇《驭势马年新动能 | AI应用篇》的文章。文章指出，AI应用产业趋势确立，2026年有望迎来"双击"。 其认为，部分公司AI订单/ 收入/ARR占到整体收入的比例达到10%及以上，冷启动时间已过。行业基本面于2025下半年确立拐点，利润弹性高、赔率显著。 针对AI应用产业角度，国金证券推荐四大方向。一是超级入口：大模型量收共振，作为流量与商业化双重枢纽的逻辑已实现。二是AI Infra：软件定义算 力，获取"卖铲子"的确定收益。软件基建决定了AI应用的成本曲线与能力天花板，且先于应用端兑现业绩。三是 ...

Group 1: AI Applications - The global AI competition is intensifying, with model iterations driving deeper application scenarios, and the focus is on whether significant capital expenditures by tech giants can lead to commercial applications [2][3] - The competitive landscape for AI applications is shifting from dominance by OpenAI to a more multipolar environment, with major players like Google and Meta integrating AI into their ecosystems [3] - In China, AI applications are experiencing a breakthrough, with major tech companies accelerating model iterations and application deployments, leading to a transformation from model landing to scenario monetization [5] Group 2: AI Computing Power - Overseas, major cloud service providers are maintaining high capital expenditures, with a projected increase of 67% in 2026, reflecting a strong demand for AI computing power [7][8] - In China, leading tech companies are increasing capital expenditures and accelerating the iteration of domestic large models, promoting the performance of domestic chips amid tightening supply from foreign sources [9] Group 3: Storage - The demand for storage is entering a new super cycle driven by AI training and inference needs, with AI servers consuming significantly more memory than traditional servers [11][16] - Supply constraints are expected to persist, leading to continued high prices for storage components, as major manufacturers shift production focus to advanced memory types [16] Group 4: Commercial Aerospace - Commercial aerospace is becoming a key battleground in US-China competition, with significant policy support and funding initiatives in both countries to accelerate industry development [19][21] - Domestic companies are achieving breakthroughs in satellite mass production and reusable rocket technologies, transitioning from technical validation to commercialization [22] Group 5: Humanoid Robots - Major overseas companies are ramping up production plans for humanoid robots, benefiting domestic component suppliers, with Tesla aiming for a production capacity of 500,000 units by 2026 [27][30] - Chinese manufacturers are leading in humanoid robot shipments, with significant contracts and production milestones achieved in 2025 [30] Group 6: Intelligent Driving - Domestic policies are expected to facilitate the commercialization of L3 autonomous driving in 2026, with several manufacturers preparing to launch L3 models [32][33] - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is setting the direction for autonomous driving, with significant advancements in AI capabilities [35] Group 7: Energy Storage - The expansion of AI computing power in North America is driving electricity demand, with domestic power equipment expected to accelerate exports [37][40] - China's "14th Five-Year Plan" includes significant investments in the power grid and energy storage, creating a favorable environment for industry growth [40][43] Group 8: Chemicals - The chemical industry is undergoing a transformation driven by policies aimed at supply-side reform, with a focus on optimizing supply structures and reducing excess capacity [44][47] - New economic sectors are boosting demand for chemical materials, particularly in AI, renewable energy, and robotics, leading to a favorable outlook for new materials [47][48]

Market Overview - U.S. stock index futures are all down ahead of the market opening, with the S&P 500 futures down 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.26%, and Dow futures down 0.10% [2] - Technology stocks are experiencing a pre-market decline, with AMD, Micron Technology, Google, and Intel each down approximately 1% [2] - Precious metals are seeing significant price drops, with silver falling about 5% and gold briefly dropping below $4900 per ounce [2] Commodity Performance - Crude oil futures are down, with WTI and ICE Brent crude both declining nearly 1%, while INE crude oil has dropped over 4% [3] - Gold and silver prices are also down, with COMEX gold down 1.42% and COMEX silver down 2.70% [4] Cryptocurrency Market - Major cryptocurrencies are experiencing declines, with Bitcoin down 1.32% and Ethereum down 0.75% [5] - The global market has seen approximately 85,000 liquidations [4] Geopolitical Context - Indirect negotiations between the U.S. and Iran have resumed in Geneva, coordinated by Oman, with significant disagreements remaining on core issues [5] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions are contributing to the upward trend in gold prices, according to analysts [5]

Group 1 - Gold mining stocks declined due to softening gold prices, with Newmont down 3%, Sibanye Stillwater down 5.8%, Barrick Gold down 2.4%, and Harmony Gold down 4.2% [1] - Silver mining stocks also fell, with Hecla Mining down 3.3%, Coeur Mining down 3.3%, Silvercorp Metals down 3.1%, and Endeavour Silver down 3.8% [1] Group 2 - Popular Chinese concept stocks mostly rose, with Hesai up nearly 4%, Kingsoft Cloud up over 3%, and Baidu up over 1% [1] - AI application stocks experienced declines, with SAP SE down nearly 3%, Applovin down nearly 2%, and both Palantir and Snowflake down over 1% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of popular Chinese concept stocks, with most showing an upward trend in pre-market trading [1] - Hesai Technologies saw an increase of nearly 4% [1] - Kingsoft Cloud experienced a rise of over 3% [1] - Baidu's stock price increased by more than 1% [1] Group 2 - In contrast, AI application stocks faced declines, with SAP SE dropping nearly 3% [1] - Applovin fell by nearly 2% [1] - Both Palantir and Snowflake saw declines of over 1% [1]

骏马追风，万象更新，值此马年新春来临之际，我谨代表上银基金全体员工向长期以来信任与支持我们 的广大投资者、精诚合作的伙伴们、关注陪伴上银基金的朋友们，致以最诚挚的问候和最美好的新春祝 福！ 2025年是"十四五"规划收官之年。回首旧岁，上银基金紧跟国家发展步伐，深入贯彻党的二十届四中全 会关于加快建设金融强国、推动资本市场高质量发展作的战略部署，积极落实《推动公募基金高质量发 展行动方案》，在强化投研能力、优化产品布局、深化投资者服务等方面不断提升，全体员工凝心聚 力，书写了发展道路上坚实而奋进的篇章。 一、步履坚实：深化布局，持续夯实投研实力 回望2025年，我国经济向新向优，资本市场在改革中坚韧前行。上银基金立足行业发展大势，在主动识 变、应变中精准把握股债市场的新机遇，持续锻造核心竞争力。截至2025年末，公司总资产管理规模 2894亿元，其中公募资产管理规模2516亿元。 二是践行资管机构服务人民的初心与社会责任，精心打造追求长期稳健回报的产品。上银新兴价值成长 混合A与上银鑫达灵活配置混合A均以中长期视角构建组合，以价值投资和均衡策略为核心、注重风险 收益比与回撤控制，成立以来分别超越业绩比较基准1 ...

变局当头，最要紧是清醒；挑战面前，最难得是奔赴。在布满不确定性的地表之上，东方大国正以自己的担当和行动，构建着一道独特的风景。 思瑞投资是周期的拥趸，更是国运的坚定信徒，人类几千年的文明，虽有周期变化，但总是曲折向前，离不开的是一群眼里有热，心中有光，近 爱烟火，远逐星光的你我，这就是国运的基础。 2025年，是国家"十五五"开局之年，是科技突破之年，是应用爆发之年，是经济回暖之年，更是国运兴隆之年。新年第一年里，我们继续看好新 质生产力的突破，并密切关注AI应用的爆发。同时，我们相信今年通胀可以回正，消费可以回暖，房地产逐步企稳，权益市场大有可为。同时， 2026年地缘政治缓和的概率较高，中美元首互访，中美财政和货币周期同步宽松，宏观环境有利于风险资产。 新的一年，思瑞投资会紧跟国运，围绕"中国的千禧年"模式，吸引和培养有天赋的基金管理人，以专业和合规为双轮驱动，打造国内一流的多策 略、多资产平台，牢牢把握科技、消费、金融等重点行业和主题的投资机会，提供高夏普比率的产品，为机构和个人投资人提供穿越周期的基金 产品。 莫问时光似流水，人生有梦不觉寒。浩瀚天地，唯勃勃生机不可阻挡。趁国运周期蓬勃，努力追寻正能量 ...

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market saw collective gains on the eve of the Lunar New Year, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.523% to close at 26,705.939 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 0.132%, and the National Enterprises Index up by 0.416% [1] - Mixed performance was observed in tech stocks, with Tencent, Baidu, and NetEase rising, while Alibaba, Meituan, and JD.com experienced slight declines [3] Sector Highlights - AI application stocks showed significant gains, with MINIMAX-WP surging by 24% and Zhihui rising by 4% [3] - Gold stocks performed strongly, with Lao Pu Gold rising over 6%, and Zijin Mining and Lingbao Gold both increasing by over 4% [3] - The semiconductor sector also saw robust performance, with Lanke Technology rising by over 14% and Zhaoyi Innovation increasing by over 9% [3] Stock Specifics - Xiaomi Group saw a slight decline of 0.489% with a trading volume of 1.45 billion [4] - Alibaba's stock decreased by 0.450% with a trading volume of 4.461 billion [4] - Tencent Holdings increased by 0.188% with a trading volume of 3.839 billion [4] - Meituan's stock fell by 0.122% with a trading volume of 1.917 billion [4] - Zijin Mining rose by 4.666% with a trading volume of 1.299 billion [4] - Zhaoyi Innovation increased by 9.784% with a trading volume of 0.323 billion [4] Gold Price Movement - International gold prices experienced a sudden drop, falling below $5,000, with a daily decline exceeding 1% [5] Market Outlook - According to China Merchants Securities, the recent significant decline in the Hang Seng Tech Index presents substantial allocation value. The firm suggests that the current market volatility is primarily due to liquidity shocks and that favorable factors are accumulating, recommending buying on dips and holding stocks through the holiday [7]

Core Viewpoint - The company expresses confidence in the Chinese economy and capital markets for 2026, highlighting a commitment to high-quality development and investment opportunities [5][20]. Economic Outlook - China's GDP growth target of 5.0% for 2025 was successfully achieved despite multiple challenges, showcasing economic resilience [5][18]. - The central economic work conference has set the tone for 2026, emphasizing "stability while seeking progress, improving quality and efficiency," along with a continuation of proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies [7][20]. Market Insights - The capital market in 2026 is expected to exhibit reduced volatility and structural differentiation, with regulatory guidance helping to stabilize the market [8][21]. - There is an anticipated concentration of funds towards high-quality assets, with core competitive enterprises and high-growth sectors likely to attract market interest [8][21]. - Key investment themes for 2026 include technology growth, particularly in AI applications and semiconductors, as well as opportunities in cyclical recovery and service consumption driven by economic growth [8][21]. Strategic Focus - The company aims to adhere to a "premium, professional, and differentiated" development strategy, focusing on research and investment, product layout, and risk management [9][22]. - Plans include strengthening the research talent pool and enhancing research depth in core areas such as technology, pharmaceuticals, and new energy [10][23]. - The company will diversify its product offerings, emphasizing "fixed income+" and quantitative "index+" strategies to cater to varying risk preferences and investment needs [11][24]. - A comprehensive risk management system will be established to ensure strict adherence to risk budgets and investment styles, while enhancing client advisory services [12][25]. Conclusion - The company is committed to prioritizing investor interests and maintaining a professional research-driven approach to navigate investment opportunities in 2026 [13][26].

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index increased by over 30% throughout the year, closing with a rise of 0.52% on the last trading day before the Lunar New Year [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index also showed a slight increase of 0.13% on the same day [1] - AI application concepts saw significant gains, with MINIMAX-WP rising by 24% and other companies in the sector, such as Zhiyuan and semiconductor firms, also experiencing notable increases [3] Group 2 - ByteDance announced the launch of the Doubao-Seed-2.0 model, optimized for large-scale production environments, enhancing capabilities in time series and motion perception [3] - Zhiyuan is planning a secondary listing on the STAR Market, with recent updates indicating a change in its IPO advisory firms [3] - Southbound funds have seen continuous net inflows for six weeks, with cross-border ETFs experiencing significant growth, totaling a net inflow of 313.87 billion yuan in February alone [3] Group 3 - GF Securities noted that the recent breakthrough of the Hang Seng Technology Index above the annual line indicates a release of emotional suppression, suggesting potential for market recovery [4] - The firm recommends gradual investments in technology leaders benefiting from the AI industry trend, while also highlighting the importance of monitoring the upcoming lock-up period for shares, which could involve nearly 100 billion yuan [4] - The market may find a temporary bottom if it adjusts to absorb selling pressure before the lock-up expiration [4]