【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com （责任编辑：刘静 HZ010） 21Shares策略师Matt Mena表示，比特币近期反弹表明，地缘政治紧张局势加剧正推动投资者转向 加密货币。他称，比特币正日益被视为一种"中立"储备资产，与黄金、白银等传统避险资产并驾齐驱。 比特币去年跌幅超6%，但从历史来看，其从未出现过连续两年下跌的情况，这为今年比特币上涨提供 了依据。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar is experiencing volatility as investors weigh ongoing geopolitical tensions against a weakening US economy [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The ISM manufacturing report released on Monday fell below expectations, raising concerns about slowing economic growth momentum [1] - Upcoming reports, including the ISM services report and job openings and labor turnover survey, are expected to provide further insights into the economic situation [1] - The non-farm payroll report scheduled for Friday will be crucial in shaping market expectations regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment - Market participants are cautious about any potential geopolitical developments, which could exacerbate the volatility of the US dollar [1] - There is a possibility that further weak economic data may increase market expectations for additional rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [1]

Group 1 - The stock of Graphene Electric Vehicle New Materials (06128) was transferred from USB Securities Hong Kong Limited to Changli Securities, with a market value of HKD 18.25 million, accounting for 9.1% [1] - The company announced an agreement where the seller, Happy Growth Group Limited, intends to grant a stock option to the buyer, M2i Global, Inc., for a cash consideration of USD 500,000 (approximately HKD 3.9 million) [1] - The buyer has the option to request the seller to sell 100% of the issued and outstanding limited liability units of the selling company for a total price of USD 100 million (approximately HKD 780 million), payable in cash and shares [1] Group 2 - The board anticipates significant challenges for future investments in the U.S. due to geopolitical tensions, including the Inflation Reduction Act and China's export restrictions on graphite products [2] - The board believes that the potential sale is the most favorable option for enhancing shareholder value and allows the company to focus on its expansion plans in China [2] - The company aims to leverage its existing team's capabilities and resources to provide essential design and technical support, making the terms of the potential sale beneficial for the company and its shareholders [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report by Jane Foley from Rabobank indicates that the US dollar may continue to benefit from safe-haven flows if geopolitical tensions persist, particularly following US military actions in Venezuela that led to the ousting of leader Maduro [1]. Group 1 - The US dollar strengthened after the US military action against Venezuela and the removal of Maduro [1]. - Prior to this, the dollar's decline last year was largely attributed to the unwinding of long positions in the currency [1]. - Foley suggests that the market is likely no longer holding long positions in the dollar, making it more responsive to escalating geopolitical tensions [1].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the significant increase in geopolitical tensions and market volatility risks due to the U.S. government's actions against Venezuela's president and plans to take over the country's oil industry [1] Group 1: Geopolitical Impact - The U.S. actions signal additional risk for countries investing in U.S. assets, as they indicate a willingness to take military action against neighboring countries deemed strategically important [1] - The situation has led to a rise in demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and silver, reflecting concerns over global stability [1]

宏观层面，美国特朗普政府于周六单方面对委内瑞拉发起军事行动，并抓捕该国总统马杜罗及其夫人， 此举加剧了地缘政治紧张局势。受此影响，贵金属强势上涨，并带动有色金属整体走高。节日期间，伦 铝强势突破3000美元/吨关口，节后沪铝高开补涨，铝合金价格亦随沪铝攀升，创上市以来新高。 基本面方面，废铝价格高企且供应趋紧，再生铝行业持续亏损，成本支撑效应显著。需求端，合金厂开 工率自高位回落，随着汽车行业进入淡季，合金需求预期走弱。不过，现货市场成交活跃度提升，铝合 金价格高位大涨，持货商惜售情绪浓厚，逢高出货意愿增强；下游在看涨预期推动下，刚需采购积极， 部分出现追涨补货行为，当日成交量显著增加。 上海期货价格走势：今日铸造铝合金主力月2603合约高开暴走，截止当日15：00收盘，铸造铝主力合约 报22520元，涨895元，涨幅4.14%，全天成交量11820手增加4516手；持仓量18299手增加1515手。 据长江有色金属网数据统计，1月5日长江现货数据显示，铸造铝合金锭(A356.2)报价24700-25100元/ 吨，均价报24900元/吨，涨900元；铸造铝合金锭(A380）报价24200-24400元/吨， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions and U.S. interest rate expectations on gold prices, with recent military actions in Venezuela and protests in Iran contributing to market dynamics [1][2] - Gold prices closed at $4,332.45 per ounce, up 0.43%, with a weekly high of $4,402.05 and a low of $4,309.62, indicating a volatile market influenced by external factors [1] - The U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, is expected to further escalate geopolitical tensions, potentially affecting global markets [1] Group 2 - The Iranian currency, the rial, has reached a historic low amid economic crises and nationwide protests, which have resulted in civilian casualties, indicating a deteriorating economic situation that could influence regional stability [2] - In the context of the Russia-Ukraine situation, changes in Russia's stance on peace negotiations may also affect market sentiment and geopolitical stability [2] - Following a period of low retail demand for gold in India and China due to high international prices, a recent decline in gold prices has led to a recovery in retail demand, suggesting a responsive market [2]

Group 1 - Precious metals continue to strengthen on the first trading day of the new year, building on a significant rise in 2025, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S. [1] - As of Friday's close, spot gold rose by 0.33% to $4,332.88, with a historical high of $4,549.95 per ounce reached on December 26, 2025, marking a cumulative increase of 64% for the year [1] - Market discussions are ongoing regarding potential interest rate cuts in March and further cuts within the year, alongside uncertainties from tariff risks and U.S. debt issues, which are collectively pushing up prices of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium [1] Group 2 - In the physical market, spot gold prices in India and China have shown premiums for the first time in two months, indicating a recovery in end-user demand [2] - Other precious metals have performed even better, with spot silver rising by 1.66% to $72.8 per ounce, and platinum surging by 3.5% to $2,125.80, both reaching historical highs [2] - In 2025, silver and platinum outperformed gold, with silver's annual increase exceeding 147% due to its classification as a critical U.S. mineral, supply tightness, and a combination of industrial and investment demand; platinum rose by 127% [2]

1月2日美股开盘，道指盘中一度跳水，纳指拉涨。中概股则全线大涨，黄金有所回落。 晚间，美股集体高开后道指盘中一度跳水，纳指涨约1%。 个股方面，特斯拉微涨。 特斯拉最新公布的2025年第四季度交付量418227辆，同比减少16%；第四季度汽车产量434358辆，同比 减少5.5%。特斯拉全年交付量164万辆，同比减少8.6%。 值得注意的是，纳斯达克中国金龙指数暴涨，截至发稿大涨超4%。个股方面，百度暴涨超10%，公司 建议分拆昆仑芯于港交所主板独立上市，昆仑芯已提交上市申请。 此外，万国数据涨逾8%，叮咚买菜涨逾7%。 中概股全线大涨或受港股暴涨影响，港股截至收盘，恒生指数涨逾2.7%，恒生科技指数涨4%。 此外，韩国、新加坡、菲律宾等亚太股市均集体拉涨。 此外，人民币也在最近不断拉涨也是中国资产上涨的原因之一，截至发稿，美元兑离岸人民币升破 6.97。 黄金方面，截至发稿，现货黄金突然回落，不过仍保持在4340美元上方，今日曾一度突破4400美元。此 外，现货白银也回落至74美元下方。 2026年美联储的降息预期以及持续发酵的地缘政治紧张局势，成为推动本轮黄金价格走高的两大核心因 素。 芝加哥商品交易所集 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's potential for further easing of interest rates is sustaining demand for non-yielding assets like gold, despite geopolitical risks and market caution [1][2]. Group 1: Interest Rates and Demand - The FOMC meeting indicated that most policymakers believe there is room for further easing if inflation slows, leading to lower interest rates [1]. - Lower interest rates reduce the cost of holding non-yielding assets, maintaining demand for gold [1]. Group 2: Geopolitical Risks and Market Sentiment - Ongoing geopolitical conflicts have increased uncertainty, prompting investors to favor safe-haven assets such as gold [2]. - The sustainability of gold's price at record levels is questioned, especially in light of potential profit-taking and selling pressure [2][3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Forecast - The CME Group's increase in margin requirements for gold may dampen speculative demand, adding to selling pressure [3]. - Gold is expected to remain supported as long as rate-cut expectations and geopolitical tensions persist [4]. - Short-term forecasts suggest gold may consolidate between $4,350 and $4,450, with buying interest above $4,300 and potential upward movement if it breaks above $4,400 [5].