长期投资
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【西街观察】重返4000点,A股“慢牛”人设立住
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-05 13:29
从大涨大跌到稳扎稳打,A股的慢牛行情来之不易。近年来,随着注册制改革全面深化、退市机制常态 化运行、机构投资者比重稳步提升,A股市场的生态环境发生了深刻变化。市场不再简单地以融资为导 向,而是更加注重投资端的获得感;不再追捧"炒小炒差"的投机游戏,而是逐渐树立起"价值投资、长 期投资"的理念。 监管层在保持市场活跃度的同时,也在持续完善交易监管,严厉打击市场操纵、内幕交易等违法违规行 为,维护公平交易环境,为A股的慢牛行情提供了重要保障。 A股市场最可喜的变化不仅是主要指数的稳步上行,还有上市公司整体质量的显著提升。IPO严把入口 关,强化持续监管,引导上市公司加大分红回购力度,一系列的政策组合拳,让A股上市公司在有序扩 容的同时,整体提质。 研发投入持续加大,分红比例逐年提高,上市公司质量稳步提升,投资者的信心自然更足。无论是业绩 稳健的传统蓝筹股,还是人工智能、芯片、创新药等硬科技成长股,市场的价值认可度都在逐步提升, 随之而来的是优质公司股价的稳步上涨,它们奠定了慢牛行情的业绩基础。 "牛短熊长"正在成为历史,"慢牛"之下的A股"稳"字当头。与以往的快牛时期成交量显著放大、熊市时 快速萎缩大不相同,现在 ...
《巴菲特致股东的信》:在别人贪婪的时候恐惧,在别人恐惧的时候贪婪
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 08:00
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the psychological barriers of ignorance and greed that hinder effective investment decisions, leading to poor financial outcomes for many individuals [1][2][6][19]. Group 1: Investment Psychology - Many individuals experience anxiety when it comes to financial management and investment, often resulting in either inaction or impulsive decisions driven by market trends and rumors [1][2]. - The tendency to follow expert opinions or market trends without understanding the underlying value can lead to significant losses, as investors often buy high and sell low [3][4]. - The article references Warren Buffett's famous quote about being greedy when others are fearful and vice versa, highlighting the importance of contrarian thinking in investment strategies [6][7][8]. Group 2: Long-term Investment Philosophy - Buffett's investment philosophy advocates for a long-term perspective, suggesting that if an investor is not willing to hold a stock for ten years, they should not consider owning it for even ten minutes [16][18]. - The article illustrates this with Buffett's investment in BYD, where he recognized the company's potential in the electric vehicle market and held onto his shares despite market fluctuations, resulting in substantial returns [18]. Group 3: Understanding Risk - The article stresses that investment risk is closely tied to the investor's understanding of the investment itself; lack of knowledge can lead to significant risks [19][20]. - Buffett's approach involves investing only in businesses that he understands, avoiding sectors where he lacks insight, such as technology in his early career [21][22][23]. Group 4: Value vs. Price - The distinction between price and value is crucial; price is what is paid in the market, while value reflects the intrinsic worth of a company based on its fundamentals [12][13][14]. - Investors are encouraged to focus on the underlying value of companies rather than being swayed by short-term price movements, as exemplified by Buffett's investment in Coca-Cola [13][14]. Group 5: Learning and Growth - The article concludes that understanding fundamental investment principles can help investors avoid common pitfalls and make more informed decisions, emphasizing the importance of continuous learning in investment practices [25].
中银基金李建:多路径推进权益布局,构建长期投资能力
券商中国· 2026-01-05 04:43
Core Viewpoint - The importance of equity assets in the asset allocation system is increasing due to supportive policies for the capital market and the accelerated entry of medium- and long-term funds [1] Group 1: Policy and Market Dynamics - Recent policy deployments reflect the decision-makers' high regard for the capital market, aiming for a capital market that is adaptable, competitive, and inclusive by 2035 [5] - The Chinese capital market is evolving towards a more long-term investment value ecosystem, with medium- and long-term funds becoming significant forces in improving market structure and stabilizing volatility [5] - Policies like the new "National Nine Articles" are driving improvements in corporate governance and shareholder returns, shifting the capital market focus from financing to investment returns [5] Group 2: Company Strategy and Transformation - Zhongyin Fund is focusing on a transformation centered around equity investment, enhancing its equity product system, and strengthening research and investment capabilities to meet long-term capital allocation needs [2][6] - The company is committed to a strategy of "equity, retail, and digital" transformation, continuously improving its equity product layout and investment coverage [6] Group 3: Equity Investment Expansion - The development of passive asset management tools, particularly ETFs, is gaining momentum, driven by the growth of pension finance and buy-side advisory systems [7] - Zhongyin Fund has been expanding its ETF product line since launching its first ETF in 2011, aiming to meet diverse customer needs in various market conditions [8] Group 4: Fixed Income Plus Strategy - Zhongyin Fund is optimizing its product structure towards "fixed income plus" products to better match different client risk preferences [9] - The company emphasizes that "fixed income plus" is not merely about adjusting asset ratios but requires higher collaboration between research and investment teams [9][10] Group 5: Research and Investment Capability - The overall market environment for equity investments is expected to improve, with structural opportunities remaining prominent [11] - Zhongyin Fund is enhancing its investment capabilities by integrating research, investment, and risk control processes, and promoting multi-strategy collaboration [11][12]
2026春节前红包!格力167亿分红落地,每10股派30元股民笑了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-05 02:11
2026春节前红包!格力167亿分红落地,每10股派30元股民笑了 别再猜格力分红大方不大方,数据直接说话!根据格力电器在深交所披露的公告,2024年堪称"分红大 年":中期已经每10股派10元(含税),年度利润分配预案更是每10股派20元(含税),两者加起来全 年每10股能拿30元现金红利,累计分红总额高达167.55亿元。 这个金额可不是随便说的,占2024年归属于上市公司股东净利润的52.06%,也就是说公司赚的钱里, 一半多都分给了股东,比行业平均水平高不少。举个通俗的例子:如果手里有1000股格力股票,不算扣 税就能拿到3000元红利,够买好几样春节年货,或是给家里换个新的格力小家电,这波回报真的很实 在。而且分红只派现金不送红股,不用纠结股票数量变化,钱直接进账户,省心又直观。 二、春节前稳拿红包!1月24日前到账,时间敲定 最让股民关心的"什么时候能拿到钱",答案已经明确了!格力董秘在互动平台直接回应,2025年中期分 红方案已经通过股东会审议,会在2个月内(也就是2026年1月24日前)完成派发。按照往年惯例,分红 会通过股东托管的证券公司,直接划入资金账户,到账速度很快,基本除权除息日后1- ...
看准趋势 做时间的朋友
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-04 22:05
冬虫,蛰伏地下,等待第一声春雷,唤醒活力,张扬生命…… 竹笋,蓄力深土,等待第一场春雨,破土而出,拔节生长…… 百花,含苞未发,等待第一缕春风,绽放枝头,争奇斗艳…… 等待,是一种定力,是一种智慧,是一种信念。 等待,不是消极的,不是被动的,不是躺平,更不是摆烂。等待,是苦练内功,是内求于心,外合于 道。等待,是以静制动,是蓄势待发,伺机而行。 北冥有鲲,潜藏深渊,蓄势化鹏,翱翔九天。潜龙勿用,非是无力,乃藏锋养气运,隐忍待时发。 绳锯木断,水滴石穿,这是时间的力量,这是坚持的力量,这是专注的力量,这是耐心的力量。 慢养孩子,静待花开。教育孩子要多一分从容和耐心,忌望子成龙、望女成凤心切,拔苗助长,欲速则 不达。 手中有股,心中无股。投资资本市场,要秉持长期、理性、价值投资原则,要看得准、拿得住,要 有"乱云飞渡仍从容"的定力,要有"咬定青山不放松,任尔东西南北风"的坚守。 巴菲特就是长期、理性、价值投资的成功典范,他崇尚复利思维、逆向思维、底线思维,相信时间的力 量,愿做时间的朋友,从不急功近利,避免频繁交易,曾长期持有可口可乐、西方石油、美国银行、苹 果等股票,获得丰厚回报,成就"股神"美名。 人类,被称 ...
看准趋势,做时间的朋友
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-01-04 20:25
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of patience and long-term investment strategies in capital markets, highlighting that waiting is not passive but a form of inner cultivation and strategic readiness [4][6] - It discusses the significance of technological innovation as a driving force for national strength and economic development, with a focus on self-reliance in high-tech sectors [5][6] - The article outlines recent policy initiatives aimed at fostering innovation and supporting the growth of new industries, indicating a clear direction for the capital market to act as an incubator for technological and industrial innovation [6][8] Group 2 - The narrative suggests that understanding and aligning with trends is crucial for investment success, as it reflects the broader movements of national development and technological change [7][8] - It predicts a bullish market outlook for 2025, with expectations for the Shanghai Composite Index to surpass 4000 points and daily trading volumes to exceed 1 trillion, driven by policies supporting technology and finance [8][9] - The article concludes with a call to embrace the future, suggesting that the journey towards national rejuvenation and technological advancement is unstoppable, encouraging stakeholders to become proactive participants in this evolution [9]
段永平再晒部分苹果持仓!累计收益率超16倍
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-01-04 04:57
Core Insights - Renowned investor Duan Yongping shared his investment portfolio on the platform Xueqiu, highlighting significant returns from Apple Inc. (AAPL.US) stock purchases made since November 2011 [2][3] Investment Performance - The account managed by Duan Yongping has achieved a cumulative return of 1623.48%, translating to approximately $34.26 million in profit [2] - The initial purchase in November 2011 involved 131,000 shares at an average price of $13.75 per share, yielding a profit of $33.92 million with a return rate of 1881.8% [2] - A subsequent purchase in December 2022 included 2,388 shares at an average price of $128.94 per share, resulting in a profit of $342,700 and a return rate of 111.3% [2]
在狂飙与崩塌之间,他选择“睡得着觉”
美股研究社· 2026-01-03 05:37
Core Insights - The article highlights the contrasting performance in global capital markets in 2025, with significant gains in AI hardware, precious metals, and geopolitical tensions driving asset prices up, while many retail investors faced losses due to market volatility [1][2] - Investor Achen achieved impressive returns across various asset classes, emphasizing a disciplined and structured asset allocation strategy rather than speculative trading [1][3] Investment Performance - Achen's stock account yielded a 45% return, driven by a focus on the AI hardware supply chain and a strict dynamic rebalancing strategy [3] - The performance of precious metals was influenced by geopolitical events, with silver rising 140% and gold 60%, the latter being a more planned investment based on macroeconomic trends [2][19] - The 15% return from the "Anzheng Changying" fund was viewed as a stabilizing force within Achen's overall portfolio, providing a buffer against market volatility [6][31] Risk Management - Achen's investment philosophy redefines risk, focusing on the ability to preserve wealth against inflation and market downturns rather than merely avoiding losses [6][39] - The structured account system divides roles among different asset classes, with equities as the offensive component, ETFs as a defensive measure, and precious metals providing protection during market turmoil [7][26] Future Strategy - Looking ahead to 2026, Achen plans to adopt a more conservative approach, reducing exposure to precious metals and reallocating profits into lower-volatility assets to enhance portfolio resilience [11][34] - Achen emphasizes the importance of a tiered asset allocation strategy that aligns with individual financial goals and risk tolerance, advocating for a balanced approach to avoid extreme risk exposure [12][40] Conclusion - The narrative underscores the value of stability and long-term survival in investing, contrasting with the prevalent pursuit of high returns in volatile markets [14][44] - Achen's experience serves as a reminder that true investment success lies in maintaining a sustainable strategy that prioritizes wealth preservation over short-term gains [14][46]
穿越投资:我的投资哲学与“深研”路径
雪球· 2026-01-02 07:04
Group 1 - The core investment principle is to select the right "benchmark" for comparison, which influences the probability of profit and sets reasonable investment expectations [5][6] - The S&P 500 index has an annualized return of approximately 11.8% over the past 40 years, while the Dow Jones index has a return of only 9.3%, highlighting the significant impact of slight differences in annualized returns over long periods [6] - In contrast, the A-share market has shown a long-term central tendency around 3000 points, with an annualized return of only about 2.8% since 2000, indicating a lower probability of achieving high returns compared to markets with higher central returns [7] Group 2 - It is crucial to ensure that the selected "benchmark" is accurate and not distorted by statistical weight or changes in criteria, as misleading averages can lead to poor investment decisions [9][10] - The example of real estate prices illustrates how national averages can obscure significant local price increases, emphasizing the need to penetrate data to find the true market central [10][11] Group 3 - Retail investors have the advantage of time and deep focus, allowing them to conduct thorough research on a limited number of companies, which can lead to superior long-term investment outcomes [13][16] - The case study of the Shanghai IFC project demonstrates the importance of understanding long-term supply and demand dynamics rather than being swayed by short-term market fluctuations [18][19] Group 4 - Investors should clearly understand the characteristics of different investment sectors and their long-term real "return rates" to make informed decisions about asset allocation [21] - There are two strategies for investors: A strategy of "diversified investment" for those who cannot or do not want to conduct deep research, and B strategy of "deep research" for those aiming for excess returns through focused study [22][23]
富国基金:以投资者为本 共筑高质量发展新生态
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-02 02:33
Core Viewpoint - The release of the "Regulations on the Management of Sales Expenses for Publicly Raised Securities Investment Funds" marks a significant milestone in the public fund industry, aimed at promoting high-quality development and benefiting investors through reduced fees and improved service structures [1][4]. Summary by Sections Sales Fee Rate Reform - The overall reduction in sales fees across the industry is 34%, expected to save investors approximately 30 billion yuan annually [2]. - Specific fee reductions include a decrease in the sales service fee for money market funds to 0.25% per year, and a reduction in subscription fees for actively managed equity funds from 1.5% to a maximum of 0.8% [2]. Mechanism Optimization - The reform aims to shift the focus from short-term trading to long-term investment by decoupling sales agency income from short-term redemption behaviors [3]. - Non-money market funds will have a one-year holding period to waive sales service fees, encouraging long-term investment [3]. Development Orientation - The regulations encourage a focus on individual investors by limiting the client maintenance fee for personal investors to no more than 50% of management fees, enhancing service experiences [3]. - A new direct sales service platform (FISP) is established to improve efficiency and risk control for fund managers [3]. Key Transformations - The reform emphasizes a shift from a "scale" to a "return" orientation, reducing "traffic fees" and promoting a long-term, healthy investment model [4]. - It encourages a long-term investment philosophy through measures like redeeming fees being allocated to fund assets and waiving sales service fees for long-term holders [4]. - The regulations clarify various previously ambiguous areas, aiming to create a fairer and more transparent industry ecosystem [4]. Reform History - Since the initiation of the fee rate reform in July 2023, significant progress has been made, with cumulative annual savings for investors exceeding 50 billion yuan [5]. - The reform is viewed as not just a fee reduction but also a mechanism optimization and ecosystem restructuring effort [5]. Future Outlook - The industry aims to enhance research capabilities and service systems in line with the new regulations, striving to build a trustworthy investment institution that prioritizes investor satisfaction [6].