公 司 报 告 通威股份(600438.SH) 持续推动降本和技术研发以应对行业低谷 推荐（维持） 股价：16.31 元 主要数据 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 139,104 | 91,994 | 94,638 | 103,552 | 112,773 | | YOY(%) | -2.3 | -33.9 | 2.9 | 9.4 | 8.9 | | 净利润(百万元) | 13,574 | -7,039 | -5,072 | -899 | 1,319 | | YOY(%) | -47.2 | -151.9 | 27.9 | 82.3 | 246.8 | | 毛利率(%) | 26.4 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 8.0 | 9.8 | | 净利率(%) | 9.8 | -7.7 | -5.4 | -0.9 | 1.2 | | ROE(%) | 22.1 | -14.5 | -11.7 | -2.1 | 3.0 | | EPS(摊薄/元) | 3.02 | ...

2025 年 5 月 5 日 公司研究 内蒙基地吨现金成本已降至 2.7 万元以内，组件海外业务实现跨越式增长 ——通威股份（600438.SH）2024 年年报&2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入 919.94 亿 元，同比-33.87%，实现归母净利润-70.39 亿元，同比-151.86%；2025Q1 实现 营业收入 159.33 亿元，同比-18.58%，实现归母净利润-25.93 亿元，环比减亏。 硅料、电池市占率稳居行业第一，组件海外业务实现跨越式增长。2024 年公司 维持了硅料/电池环节的领先优势并在组件环节实现突破，高纯晶硅销量同比增 长 20.76%至 46.76 万吨，全年产销量约占全国 30%，市占率连续多年位居行业 第一；太阳能电池销量同比增长 8.70%至 87.68GW（含自用），全球市占率约 14%，连续八年蝉联全球电池出货量榜首；组件销量同比增长 46.93%至 45.71GW，海外销量同比增长 98.76%，斩获沙特、波兰等多国 GW 级项目订单。 2025Q1 在产业链价格持续下跌背景下公司盈利能 ...

2025 年 5 月 5 日 公司研究 内蒙基地吨现金成本已降至 2.7 万元以内，组件海外业务实现跨越式增长 ——通威股份（600438.SH）2024 年年报&2025 年一季报点评 要点 事件：公司发布 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入 919.94 亿 元，同比-33.87%，实现归母净利润-70.39 亿元，同比-151.86%；2025Q1 实现 营业收入 159.33 亿元，同比-18.58%，实现归母净利润-25.93 亿元，环比减亏。 硅料、电池市占率稳居行业第一，组件海外业务实现跨越式增长。2024 年公司 维持了硅料/电池环节的领先优势并在组件环节实现突破，高纯晶硅销量同比增 长 20.76%至 46.76 万吨，全年产销量约占全国 30%，市占率连续多年位居行业 第一；太阳能电池销量同比增长 8.70%至 87.68GW（含自用），全球市占率约 14%，连续八年蝉联全球电池出货量榜首；组件销量同比增长 46.93%至 45.71GW，海外销量同比增长 98.76%，斩获沙特、波兰等多国 GW 级项目订单。 2025Q1 在产业链价格持续下跌背景下公司盈利能 ...

事件 2025 年4 月28 日，协鑫集成发布2024 年报及2025 年一季报。2024 年公司实现营业收入162.4 亿元，同 比增长1.7%，实现归母净利润0.7 亿元，同比减少56.7%，实现销售毛利率8.9%，同比下降0.2pct。 2025Q1 公司实现营业收入31.6 亿元，同比增长7.1%，实现归母净利润-2.0 亿元，上年同期为0.2 亿元， 实现销售毛利率3.4%，同比下降4.0pct。 系统集成业绩高速增长 2024 年公司系统集成包业务实现营业收入23.2 亿元，同比增长90.4%，实现毛利率9.9%，同比提升 1.8pct。2024 年国内光伏装机增速放缓，公司调整业务策略，通过与央国企设立合资平台、成立地方开 发公司等方式，实行"以点至面"开发策略，实现系统集成业务业绩大幅增长。同时注重后端业务开发， 2024 年公司检测业务开发实现1419MW，同比提高41%，运维开发950MW，同比提升268%。 盈利预测与投资建议 我们预计公司2025-2027 年营业收入分别为181.9/221.2/265.5 亿元，同比增速分别为 12.0%/21.6%/20.0%；归母净利润分别为2. ...

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy, once hailed as the "king of photovoltaics," is currently navigating through a challenging period in the solar industry, facing significant losses due to supply-demand mismatches and price declines [1][3]. Financial Performance - Longi reported losses of 8.617 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2024 and 1.436 billion yuan for Q1 2025 [1]. - In 2024, the company’s operating costs were 76.44 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.54% year-on-year, with management expenses dropping to 3.43 billion yuan, down 30.22% from 4.915 billion yuan in 2023 [5]. Industry Context - The solar industry is experiencing its most challenging period in nearly a decade, with over 500 billion yuan in combined losses reported by 30 listed solar companies in 2024 [3]. - The market is characterized by intense competition and price declines, with many companies facing operational challenges, including production cuts and layoffs [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Longi has committed to developing BC technology as the mainstream for silicon solar cells over the next 5-6 years, launching several upgraded BC products in 2024 [1][7]. - The company has undergone organizational restructuring and efficiency reforms to enhance its operational capabilities and customer focus [5][6]. Market Position - Despite the industry's downturn, Longi remains a leader in global silicon wafer and module production, with shipments of 108.46 GW of silicon wafers and 82.32 GW of solar modules in 2024 [4]. - The company has accumulated orders of 30 GW for its HPBC series components, with a target of 80-90 GW in total shipments by 2025, expecting over 25% of that to be BC components [8][10]. Future Outlook - Longi's leadership anticipates a turnaround in 2025, with expectations of returning to profitability by Q3 2025, driven by advancements in BC technology and organizational improvements [12][14]. - The company is focusing on maintaining financial stability, with a debt ratio of 59.83% and cash reserves of 53.157 billion yuan, positioning itself favorably against competitors [6][14].

事件：公司发布2024 年年度报告和2025 年一季报。2024 年，公司实现营业收入124.88 亿元，同比 +21.35%；实现归母净利润4.18 亿元，同比-5.45%；扣非归母净利润4.06 亿元，同比+2.52%。2025Q1， 公司实现营业收入29.94 亿元，同比+1.38%；归母净利润0.90 亿元，同比+18.24%；扣非归母净利润 0.89 亿元，同比+5.90%。 光伏导电浆料出货增加，保持行业领先地位。报告期内，公司主营产品光伏导电浆料实现收入123.21 亿 元，同比上升20.75%。公司光伏导电浆料出货量为2024 吨，其中N 型光伏导电浆料出货量为1576 吨， 占比达77.87%。光伏导电浆料的收入增加主要原因在于可再生能源转型加快导致全球光伏产业快速发 展，支撑光伏导电浆料市场稳步扩张，以及N 型电池技术升级确定，光伏导电浆料单位耗量略有上升。 研发驱动产品升级，上下游市场深度协同。依靠长期自主研发，公司已构筑品类丰富、迭代迅速的产品 体系，产品线覆盖目前市场上所有主流电池技术路线；公司向上延伸产业链布局，横向拓展产品矩阵， 2024 年，公司拟投资12 亿元在常州建设"高端 ...

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry has entered a phase of slow growth, with significant uncertainties for market development in 2025, and the potential for no incremental new installations in that year [1] Company Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 82.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 36.23%, and a net loss of 8.62 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 10.75 billion yuan in the previous year [3] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a net loss of 1.436 billion yuan, an improvement of 38.89% compared to a loss of 2.35 billion yuan in the same period last year [3] - The decline in performance is attributed to an imbalance in supply and demand, insufficient operating rates, and a continuous drop in photovoltaic product prices, alongside rapid technological iterations leading to asset impairments [3] Industry Trends - In 2024, the production of polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules increased by over 10% year-on-year, while export volumes for photovoltaic batteries and modules grew by over 46% and 12%, respectively [3] - Despite the increase in production, prices across the industry have significantly declined, with polysilicon prices dropping over 39%, silicon wafer prices over 50%, and battery and module prices around 30% [3] Shipment and Production Outlook - The company achieved silicon wafer shipments of 108.46 GW in 2024, with external sales of 46.55 GW, and battery module shipments of 82.32 GW [4] - For 2025, the company expects to achieve silicon wafer shipments of 120 GW and battery module shipments between 80 GW and 90 GW, with BC module shipments expected to exceed 25% of total shipments [4] Technological Developments - The manufacturing cost difference between BC and TOPCon technologies has been reduced to 0.05 yuan per watt, with expectations for further cost reductions through efficiency improvements and scale effects [5] Market and Policy Impact - The company is closely monitoring changes in U.S. trade policies, particularly the impact of the removal of tariff exemptions for Southeast Asian solar components and the ongoing "double anti" investigations [5][6] - The company's investment in Vietnam, aimed at serving the U.S. market, has faced challenges due to these policy changes, leading to significant fixed asset impairments [6] Future Market Expectations - The company anticipates that the global photovoltaic demand will remain stable or see slight growth in 2025, with a return to growth expected by 2026, although at a reduced rate of around 10% compared to previous years' growth rates of 40% to 50% [6]

| 证券代码：301062 | 证券简称：上海艾录 | 记录表编号：2025-001 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：123229 | 债券简称：艾录转债 | | 上海艾录包装股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 | | 分析师会议 □ 特定对象调研 □ | | --- | --- | | 投资者关系活动 | □ 媒体采访 √ 业绩说明会 | | 类别 | □ 新闻发布会 □ 路演活动 | | | □ 现场参观 | | | 其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） □ | | 参与单位名称及 | 投资者网上提问 | | 人员姓名 | | | 时间 | 年 月 日（周三） 下午 2025 4 30 15:00~16:00 | | 地点 | 公司通过全景网"投资者关系互动平台"（https://ir.p5w.net）采用 | | | 网络远程的方式召开业绩说明会 | | | 1、上海艾录 董事长、总经理 陈安康 | | 上市公司接待人 | 2、上海艾录 董事、董事会秘书、副总经理 陈雪骐 | | 员姓名 | 3、上海艾录 董事、财务负责人 陆春艳 | | | 4、上海艾录 独立董事 陈杰 | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - Longi Green Energy reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, primarily due to falling prices of key products like solar modules and silicon wafers, marking the first annual loss since 2013 [2][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Longi Green Energy achieved operating revenue of 82.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 36.23% [3]. - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of -8.62 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 10.75 billion yuan in the previous year, representing a decline of 180.15% [3][12]. - The gross profit margin for the main business decreased to 7.44%, down nearly 11 percentage points from the previous year [12]. Industry Context - The solar industry faced severe supply-demand imbalances and price declines, with many leading companies, including JinkoSolar and Tongwei, also reporting significant revenue and profit drops [4][6]. - The average price of polysilicon dropped by 40% from 65 yuan/kg to 39 yuan/kg, while the price of mainstream N-type silicon wafers fell by over 50% [7]. - The overall price decline across various segments of the solar industry ranged from 60% to 80% compared to the 2023 peak, leading to widespread losses in the second half of 2024 [7][10]. Strategic Challenges - Longi Green Energy attributed its poor performance to irrational price competition and operational missteps, including a mismatch between production and market demand [12][13]. - The company faced significant inventory write-downs and increased credit impairment losses, with inventory losses amounting to 6.13 billion yuan [13]. - The operational model of "production based on sales" led to a severe disconnect in product launches, resulting in excess inventory and subsequent losses [13]. Future Outlook - Despite the challenges, Longi Green Energy has begun to implement reforms aimed at enhancing product competitiveness and optimizing cost management [13][14]. - The company reported a slight recovery in the first quarter of 2025, with revenue of 13.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.75%, but a narrowing of net losses to -1.44 billion yuan [16]. - The industry anticipates that solar prices may remain low in the short term, with potential improvements expected by the end of 2025 as capacity adjustments take place [15][18].

通灵股份（301168.SZ）：接线盒盈 利能力下滑，汽车部件成第二主业 ——2024 年年报及 25 年一季报业绩点评 财务要点：公司 24 年全年实现营业收入 15.87 亿，同比增长 3.04%，实现 归母净利 7139.50 万元，同比下降 56.73%。25 年 Q1 实现营业收入 4.19 亿元，同比增长 2.65%，实现归母净利 2088.07 万元，同比下滑 41.64%。 价格和成本端双重影响，接线盒盈利能力下滑显著。受 2024 年度光伏行业长 期产能过剩影响，光伏组件端价格下行，导致组件端利润承压，进而逐步传导 到组件辅材领域，2024 年度公司光伏接线盒销售均价约 12.74 元/台套，较 23 年的 15.54 元/台套下降 18.0%，同时 24 年市场铜价一直在高位震荡影响，尽 管公司光伏接线盒出货量达到约 8100 万套规模，但受价格端和成本端的双重 影响，公司 2024 年下半年盈利能力大幅下滑，进而影响到全年经营业绩。全 年毛利率从 23 年 22.90%下降至 24 年年报的 15.43%。 展望 2025，接线盒盈利能力有望修复。我们认为，公司去年出货量未有明显 提升， ...