美国GDP数据萎缩，美股三大指数集体低开，道指跌0.72%，纳指跌2.07%，标普500指数跌1.35%。 美国科技七巨头集体下挫，特斯拉、英伟达跌超4%，Meta、亚马逊跌超3%，谷歌跌近2%，微软、苹果跌超1%。 超微电脑跌超19%。消息面上，超微电脑公布第三财季的初步业绩，营收为45亿~46亿美元，而分析师预期为53.5亿美元；调整后每股收益为0.29~0.31美 元，远不及分析师预期的0.53美元。 星巴克跌超10%，消息面上，星巴克公布的2025年第二财季财务业绩不及预期。财报显示，星巴克第二财季同店销售下滑1%，分析师预期下降0.59%；第 二财季北美同店销售下滑1%，分析师预期下降0.44%。 中概股方面，纳斯达克中国金龙指数小幅下跌。百胜中国、蔚来跌超5%，禾赛科技跌近5%，阿特斯太阳能、晶科能源等跌超3%。 | ( | 纳斯达克中国金龙指数(HXC) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 6925.19 -55.51 -0.80% | | | | 资料 | 成分 | 资讯 | 相关基金 | | 名称 | | 现价 | 涨跌中一 | | 百胜中国 | | 44 ...

虽然直到今天还有不少网友把美元说成是"美金"，但是自从美国撕毁"布雷顿森林体系"协议以来美元和 黄金就成了此消彼长的竞争关系。 一般每当代表美元汇率走势的美元指数大幅跳水的时候，国际金价就会在避险投资涌入的支撑下强势上 涨。 在美国进入"特朗普2.0时代"以后（1月20日至今），一日三变的特朗普已经让美元指数下跌近8%，与此 同时国际金价则屡创历史新高，4月22日一度突破每盎司3500美元大关。 一季度以来包括我国、俄罗斯、新加坡在内的全球各国大量增持黄金，这股"囤金潮"是否会让美元贬值 90%，人民币国际化又能否趁势崛起呢？ 一、央行囤金的原因 在这场"囤金潮"中我国显然是最值得关注的主力。截至一季度末中国央行已经通过连续五个月的大举买 入，将黄金储备规模提高至7370万盎司（约合2292吨），相比十年前增长超过一倍。 环球银行金融电信协会（Swift）最近公布的数据显示，截至今年一季度末美元在全球贸易中的支付占 比依然高达49.08%，相比去年同期提高1.71个百分点。既然美元目前还是全球贸易最主要的结算货币， 各国央行疯狂囤金的目的是什么呢？ 首先，美债危机严重大幅提高黄金避险价值。虽然特朗普的关税战可 ...

随着一季度全球金价20次突破历史新高，金饰需求遭遇负面冲击。然而，尽管受到高金价压力，金饰市 场依然相对保持韧性，尤其体现在金饰消费额方面。一季度的金饰消费支出同比增长9%，达350亿美 元，除中国以外所有市场的金饰消费额均实现增长。 世界黄金协会资深市场分析师Louise Street表示，今年全球市场开局动荡，美国政策反复无常、地缘政 治局势持续紧张，叠加经济衰退担忧卷土重来，这些因素共同导致投资者面临高度不确定的市场环境。 在此背景下，黄金投资需求激增，推动一季度黄金需求总量达到自2016年以来最高的一季度水平。 Louise Street认为，展望未来，宏观经济形势仍难以预测，而这种不确定性或许会为金价带来进一步上 行潜力。随着动荡局势的持续，未来数月内，来自机构、个人及官方部门的黄金避险需求或将进一步攀 升。(完) 中新网上海4月30日电 (高志苗)世界黄金协会30日发布的2025年一季度《全球黄金需求趋势报告》显 示，一季度的全球黄金需求总量(包含场外交易)达1206吨，同比增长1%。黄金ETF需求复苏，推动一季 度黄金投资需求总量增长逾一倍，达552吨，同比增长170%，创下自2022年一季度以 ...

今年以来，黄金投资需求激增，推动一季度全球黄金需求总量创下近几年的同比最高水平。 世界黄金协会4月30日发布的2025年一季度《全球黄金需求趋势报告》显示，一季度全球黄金需求总量(包含场外交易)达1206吨，同比增长1%。黄金ETF 需求复苏，推动一季度全球黄金投资需求总量增长逾一倍，达552吨，同比增长170%，创下自2022年一季度以来的最高季度水平。同时，一季度金条与金 币需求总量同比增长3%至325吨，创下金条和金币季度需求的历史第二高纪录。 中国市场方面，数据显示，中国市场黄金ETF需求激增，一季度流入约167亿元人民币(约23亿美元，合23吨)，创历史新高。金价的飙升与空前的流入量推 动黄金ETF资产管理总规模(AUM)和总持仓双双突破历史纪录，分别达到1010亿元(约139亿美元)和138吨的高位。 受益于金条和金币需求激增及金饰需求的季节性反弹，一季度黄金总需求较上季度环比回升31%。需求总额高达1675亿元(约230亿美元)，环比增长44%， 同比增长16%。 展望未来，世界黄金协会资深市场分析师路易丝.斯特里特(Louise Street)表示，宏观经济形势仍难以预测，而这种不确定性或为金 ...

今年以来，黄金投资需求激增，推动一季度全球黄金需求总量创下近几年的同比最高水平。 世界黄金协会4月30日发布的2025年一季度《全球黄金需求趋势报告》显示，一季度全球黄金需求总量（包含场外交 易）达1206吨，同比增长1%。黄金ETF需求复苏，推动一季度全球黄金投资需求总量增长逾一倍，达552吨，同比增 长170%，创下自2022年一季度以来的最高季度水平。同时，一季度金条与金币需求总量同比增长3%至325吨，创下 金条和金币季度需求的历史第二高纪录。 中国市场方面，数据显示，中国市场黄金ETF需求激增，一季度流入约167亿元人民币（约23亿美元，合23吨），创 历史新高。金价的飙升与空前的流入量推动黄金ETF资产管理总规模（AUM）和总持仓双双突破历史纪录，分别达 到1010亿元（约139亿美元）和138吨的高位。 受益于金条和金币需求激增及金饰需求的季节性反弹，一季度黄金总需求较上季度环比回升31%。需求总额高达 1675亿元（约230亿美元），环比增长44%，同比增长16%。 展望未来，世界黄金协会资深市场分析师路易丝·斯特里特 （Louise Street）表示，宏观经济形势仍难以预测，而这 种不确定 ...

本周三（4月30日)欧市盘中，现货金价在3310美元/盎司附近徘徊，截发稿暂报3312.35美元/盎司，跌幅 0.15%。贸易紧张局势的缓和，尤其是美国与其伙伴国之间的贸易紧张局势，正在削弱黄金的避险吸引 力。 美国财政部长贝森特周一表示，美国的几个主要贸易伙伴已经提出了"非常好的"建议，旨在规避美国征 收的关税。 贝森特特别强调了这些讨论取得的积极进展，暗示印度可能是首批成功敲定协议的国家之一。 摘要本周三（4月30日)欧市盘中，现货金价在3310美元/盎司附近徘徊，截发稿暂报3312.35美元/盎司， 跌幅0.15%。贸易紧张局势的缓和，尤其是美国与其伙伴国之间的贸易紧张局势，正在削弱黄金的避险 吸引力。 贝森特还透露，特朗普政府正计划减轻其汽车关税的潜在不利影响。 拟议的战略包括减少目前对在美国境内制造汽车所用的外国制造零部件征收的部分关税。 此举可能会让美国汽车制造商和国际供应商松一口气，可能会防止美汽车行业供应链和价格结构出现重 大中断。 金价仍在阻力位3350-3360美元下方徘徊，因美元试图反弹。如果金价跌破3300美元，则将向最近的支 撑位3235-3245美元移动。 瑞银分析师Giovann ...

Core Insights - The World Gold Council's report indicates that global gold demand reached 1206 tons in Q1 2025, a 1% year-on-year increase, driven by record gold prices surpassing $3000 per ounce [1][2] - Investment demand for gold surged, particularly through ETFs, with a total of 552 tons in Q1, marking a 170% increase year-on-year and the highest quarterly level since Q1 2022 [1][2] - Central banks continued to purchase gold for the 16th consecutive year, adding 244 tons to official reserves, despite a 21% year-on-year decline in this demand [1] Investment Demand - Gold ETF demand rebounded significantly, with inflows totaling 226 tons in Q1, reflecting a strong shift towards gold as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical uncertainties [1][2] - Retail investment in gold bars and coins in China increased by 3% year-on-year to 325 tons, marking the second-highest quarterly demand for these products [1] Jewelry Demand - Despite high gold prices negatively impacting jewelry demand, the consumption expenditure on gold jewelry grew by 9% year-on-year to $35 billion, with all markets outside of China showing growth [2] Supply Dynamics - Global gold supply remained stable at 1206 tons in Q1, with record gold mine production offset by a slight decline in recycled gold supply [2] Market Outlook - The current market environment remains uncertain, with gold investment demand reaching its highest level for a first quarter since 2016, suggesting potential for further price increases [2]

Core Viewpoint - Since reaching a historical high on April 22, gold prices have experienced a pullback, with COMEX gold futures trading around $3,325.3 per ounce as of April 29, down approximately $180 from the previous week's peak of $3,509.9 per ounce [1] Group 1: Hedge Fund Activity - The recent decline in gold prices is attributed to hedge funds reducing their net long positions in COMEX gold futures, with a decrease of 1.1196 million ounces reported for the week of April 22 [2][4] - Hedge funds have been consistently reducing their net long positions since mid-April, driven by a historical pattern of price corrections following new highs [2][11] - Despite the selling pressure from hedge funds, gold prices initially continued to rise due to concerns over global trade and economic uncertainties, which drove investors to seek gold as a safe haven [3][8] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The market saw a significant inflow into gold ETFs, with a net inflow of $3.3 billion, indicating a growing preference for gold as an investment [10] - The increase in gold ETF holdings during the first quarter of this year was 226.5 tons, which supported the rising gold prices [11] - The sentiment among hedge funds remains bullish on gold, as they continue to view it as a valuable asset despite their recent profit-taking strategies [11][12] Group 3: Protective Measures by Traders - Gold producers and trading firms have increased their net long positions in COMEX gold futures to counteract the selling pressure from hedge funds, with increases of 520,800 ounces and 1,993,700 ounces respectively [12] - The actions of trading firms are aimed at maintaining market liquidity, especially when hedge funds are heavily shorting gold futures [12][13] - The protective strategies employed by trading firms may not fully offset the selling pressure from hedge funds, indicating a complex market dynamic [12][13] Group 4: Future Price Expectations - Analysts predict that gold prices may reach $3,350 per ounce by the end of the year, with potential average prices of $3,900 per ounce by next year if demand from central banks continues [14] - The current geopolitical and economic environment is characterized by rising risks and inflation expectations, enhancing gold's appeal as a traditional safe-haven asset [14]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese gold market showed robust development in Q1 2025, with various data reflecting its complex structure and inherent vitality. Group 1: Domestic Gold Production - In Q1 2025, domestic gold production reached 87.243 tons, an increase of 1.284 tons or 1.49% compared to Q1 2024 [1] - Gold mine production accounted for 61.772 tons, while by-product gold from non-ferrous metals contributed 25.471 tons, forming a significant part of domestic gold production [1] - Total gold production, including imports, was 140.830 tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.18% [1] Group 2: Trading Market Activity - The Shanghai Gold Exchange saw a total trading volume of 16,000 tons (double-sided), a year-on-year increase of 4.57%, with a trading value of 10.70 trillion yuan, up 42.85% [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange reported a trading volume of 55,400 tons (double-sided), a significant increase of 91.17%, with a trading value of 30.52 trillion yuan, up 143.69% [2] - The surge in trading volume and value indicates strong market recognition of gold's investment value amid global economic uncertainties [2] Group 3: Gold Reserves and Investment - Domestic gold ETF holdings increased by 23.47 tons in Q1 2025, reaching a total of 138.21 tons, marking a year-on-year growth of 327.73% [3] - China increased its gold reserves by 12.75 tons, bringing the total to 2,292.33 tons by the end of March [3] - The simultaneous increase in gold holdings by the central bank and private investors highlights gold's growing importance in asset allocation [3] Group 4: Consumption Trends - Gold consumption in China totaled 290.492 tons in Q1 2025, a decline of 5.96% year-on-year [4] - Jewelry consumption fell by 26.85% to 134.531 tons, while investment in gold bars and coins rose by 29.81% to 138.018 tons [4] - The high gold prices have suppressed jewelry demand, but there is a growing interest in innovative gold products among younger consumers [4] Group 5: Price Trends - By the end of March 2025, the London spot gold price was $3,115.10 per ounce, up 17.79% from the beginning of the year [5] - The average price for Q1 2025 was $2,859.62 per ounce, a 38.16% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [5] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange's Au9999 gold price closed at 730.80 yuan per gram, reflecting a 19.02% increase since the start of the year [5] Group 6: Market Insights - The structural changes in the gold market reflect deeper adjustments in the global economic landscape, with central bank purchases and private investment demand indicating a decline in trust in fiat currency systems [5] - Experts suggest that the high gold prices are pushing the industry to innovate and adapt to changing consumer preferences, emphasizing the cultural and aesthetic value of gold [5][6]

老铺黄金自2024年6月在港交所上市以来，每股股价从发行价40.5港元一路飙升至800港元附近，涨幅20倍左右，远超同期国际金价30%的涨幅。这一优异表 现，主要得益于美联储步入降息周期为黄金行业带来的发展机遇，以及老铺黄金自身突出的核心竞争力推动其业绩爆发式增长。数据显示，2024财年公司净 利润同比增幅高达253.9%；同时其估值也颇具优势，PE值一度低至17.9。 值得注意的是，2025年6月28日老铺黄金将迎来上市后最大规模的限售股解禁潮，解禁后市场流通股份将大幅增加，叠加解禁股东的潜在减持行为，可能加 剧市场抛压，引发股价短期波动。在这一关键节点，市场情绪变化与技术面走势值得密切关注。从长期来看，需重点关注解禁股东后续的减持计划等行为， 同时结合公司基本面变化，综合评估其发展的长期韧性。 截至2025年4月29日收盘，老铺黄金（6181.HK）股价收于760港元，涨幅6.59%，市值高达1280亿港元，是港股市值最高的黄金珠宝龙头企业。 老铺黄金的核心竞争力 老铺黄金在品牌定位与产品差异化策略上独树一帜，其以"古法工艺"作为核心竞争要素，深度挖掘中国传统文化内涵，将产品与"吉庆""传承"等具有深厚文 ...