美元指数
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张尧浠:基本面多空因素拉锯、金价震荡仍具看涨预期
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 00:32
Core Viewpoint - The international gold price is expected to maintain a bullish outlook despite fluctuations, with potential support levels identified for future buying opportunities [1][5][10]. Market Performance - On June 9, gold opened at $3311.77 per ounce, reached a low of $3293.69, and closed at $3325.39, marking a daily increase of $13.62 or 0.41% [1]. - The daily trading range was $44.23, indicating significant volatility [1]. Influencing Factors - The U.S. dollar index is experiencing downward pressure due to internal conflicts and geopolitical risks, which has contributed to a rebound in gold prices [3][8]. - The market is currently cautious, with a lack of clear driving factors, and gold's performance is expected to be volatile until it breaks through short-term moving averages [3][7]. Technical Analysis - The monthly chart indicates that gold prices remain above the 5-month moving average, maintaining a bullish trend despite recent volatility [10]. - The weekly chart shows that while bullish momentum has weakened, key support levels are still intact, suggesting potential buying opportunities on dips [12]. - The daily chart highlights that gold has not broken below key support levels, indicating that any pullbacks could present buying opportunities [14]. Economic Indicators - Upcoming U.S. CPI data is anticipated to influence market sentiment, with expectations of rising inflation potentially benefiting gold prices [5][8]. - The overall economic environment, including rising fiscal deficits and geopolitical tensions, continues to support gold as a safe-haven asset [8].
美元指数高频追踪
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 08:28
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report maintains the view that the US dollar index will fluctuate weakly. Last week, the US dollar index fluctuated narrowly in the range of 98.5 - 99.5. The factors supporting the US dollar may be the still - resilient fundamentals and potential new trade agreements. However, the weak rebound of the US dollar may reflect that the mid - term cross - border capital rebalancing and increased foreign exchange hedging main lines remain unchanged. The mid - term logic of the current market may continue, and the short - term focus is on the progress of China - US trade talks, Trump's tariff legal opinion, other countries' trade agreement progress, and the performance of the US May CPI [3]. 3. Summary by Related Content 3.1 US Dollar Index Core Logic - Last week, the US dollar index fluctuated narrowly between 98.5 and 99.5. The supporting factors were the resilient fundamentals and potential new trade agreements, but the weak rebound reflected the unchanged mid - term cross - border capital rebalancing and increased foreign exchange hedging [3]. - The mid - term logic of the market may continue, and the short - term focus is on the progress of China - US trade talks, Trump's tariff legal opinion, other countries' trade agreement progress, and the US May CPI. New trade agreements are beneficial for the upward repair of the US dollar index, and the legal opinion on Trump's tariffs may have limited impact. Inflation trends in the US May CPI will also affect the US dollar index [3]. 3.2 Economic Index Trends - The US Citigroup Economic Surprise Index has declined [5]. - The difference between the US and European Citigroup Economic Surprise Indexes has declined [7]. - The long - term inflation expectation in the US remains at a certain level [7]. 3.3 Interest Rate and Volatility Index Trends - The difference in short - term interest rate expectations between the US and Europe fluctuated narrowly and then basically remained at the previous level [8]. - The VIX index oscillated at a low level [8]. 3.4 Position and Ratio Trends - CFTC net positions show that the US dollar maintains a net negative position [11]. - The gold - to - copper ratio has declined [13]. 3.5 Commodity Price Trends - Copper prices have oscillated upwards [15]. - Crude oil prices have risen from the bottom [15]. 3.6 Spread and Technical Indicator Trends - The US - Germany spread first declined and then rose with the US Treasury yield, and the US dollar index oscillated narrowly [19]. - The US dollar index runs below the 9 - day moving average, and the RSI indicator is not oversold [20].
积极信号!5月我国外汇储备升至3.285万亿美元,黄金配置持续加码
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 07:57
从汇率折算因素来看,美元汇率的波动对外汇储备规模产生了影响。5月,美元指数出现一定程度的下跌,而非美元货币相对美元升值。5月美元指数由4月 底的99.64下行0.20%至 99.43,英镑兑美元升值0.92%至1.345,欧元兑美元升值0.2%至1.13。我国外汇储备中包含了一定比例的非美元货币资产,当这些非美 元货币兑换成美元时,由于汇率的变化,其价值相应增加,从而推动了外汇储备规模的上升。 资产价格变化也是重要原因之一。全球金融市场在5月出现了一定的波动,但整体上,债券、股票等资产价格有所上涨。我国外汇储备投资于多种资产,资 产价格的上涨使得外汇储备的账面价值增加,进而导致外汇储备规模上升。 浙商证券分析师测算:资产价格对本月储备是负向拖累,主要国家国债利率全面上行,5月末5年期美债收益率较4月末上行24BP至3.96%,5年期英债收益率 上升24BP至4.05%,5 年期德债收益率上升7BP至2.08%,债券收益率波动对外储的综合影响约-231.79亿美元。 近日,国家外汇管理局最新发布的统计数据显示,截至5月末,我国外汇储备规模为32853亿美元,较4月末上升36亿美元,升幅为0.11%。 业内人士指 ...
【美元指数6日上涨】6月7日讯,美元指数6日上涨。衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.45%,在汇市尾市收于99.190。截至纽约汇市尾市,1欧元兑换1.1397美元,低于前一交易日的1.1442美元;1英镑兑换1.3530美元,低于前一交易日的1.3580美元。1美元兑换144.85日元,高于前一交易日的143.63日元;1美元兑换0.8222瑞士法郎,高于前一交易日的0.8204瑞士法郎;1美元兑换1.3696加元,高于前一交易日的1.3661加元;1美元兑换9.6428瑞典克朗,高于前一交易日
news flash· 2025-06-06 19:11
美元指数6日上涨 金十数据6月7日讯,美元指数6日上涨。衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天上涨0.45%,在汇市 尾市收于99.190。截至纽约汇市尾市,1欧元兑换1.1397美元,低于前一交易日的1.1442美元;1英镑兑 换1.3530美元,低于前一交易日的1.3580美元。1美元兑换144.85日元,高于前一交易日的143.63日元;1 美元兑换0.8222瑞士法郎,高于前一交易日的0.8204瑞士法郎;1美元兑换1.3696加元,高于前一交易日 的1.3661加元;1美元兑换9.6428瑞典克朗,高于前一交易日的9.5687瑞典克朗。 ...
美国5月非农就业报告公布后,美元指数短线拉升约10点后又迅速走低约20点,现报98.89。现货黄金短线走低约7美元后又拉升逾10美元,现报3356.44美元/盎司。
news flash· 2025-06-06 12:39
Core Points - The US non-farm payroll report for May was released, leading to a short-term increase in the US dollar index by approximately 10 points, followed by a rapid decline of about 20 points, currently reported at 98.89 [1] - Spot gold experienced a short-term drop of around 7 dollars before rebounding over 10 dollars, currently priced at 3356.44 dollars per ounce [1]
美元指数DXY日内涨幅扩大至0.50%,现报99.23。现货黄金向下触及3350美元/盎司,日内跌0.09%。
news flash· 2025-06-06 12:32
美元指数DXY日内涨幅扩大至0.50%,现报99.23。现货黄金向下触及3350美元/盎司,日内跌0.09%。 ...
6月6日白银晚评:美国非农数据今晚将来袭 白银持坚于12年高位附近
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-06 11:26
特朗普的最新表态表明,俄乌冲突短期内难以结束,这可能进一步加剧全球市场的避险情绪。黄金作为 传统的避险资产,通常在不确定性增加时受到投资者青睐。此外,特朗普政府暂停对乌克兰的军事援助 并寻求改善美俄关系的策略,可能导致美元指数波动。 【基本面解析】 周五,美国劳工统计局将公布备受关注的5月非农就业数据,市场预期将新增13万个岗位,失业率维持 在4.2%不变。 周三,有"小非农"之称的ADP就业报告显示,美国民间增加的职位是两年来最少。该报告可能是负面非 农就业报告的前奏。 北京时间周五(6月6日),亚欧交易时段,周四公布的失业救济人数数据令人失望,致使美元再度承压 遭抛售,美元指数于略低于99.00处企稳。美国非农就业人数预期将增加130,000人。白银价格则在2012 年2月以来的高位附近维持坚挺态势。市场在翘首以盼的美国5月就业报告出炉前保持观望,该报告涵盖 非农就业人数、失业率以及工资通胀等关键数据。当日早些时候,欧洲经济日历将公布第一季度国内生 产总值(GDP)与就业变化数据的修订值,以及4月份零售销售数据的修正情况。 今日白银价格最新查询(2025年6月6日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 单位 | | ...