避险情绪
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翁富豪:4.24黄金回调显多空博弈,黄金日内最新操作策略
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-24 00:32
周三现货黄金延续了回调态势。市场情绪受多重因素共同作用,特别是美国总统特朗普近期针对关税及美联储政策所发表的温和言论,促使避险资产黄金面 临获利回吐压力。与此同时全球股市与债券市场因风险偏好增强而呈现上涨态势,黄金作为传统避险资产,承受了较大压力。展望未来,黄金市场将在基本 面与技术面的双重影响下,维持较高的波动性。短期内特朗普温和表态所引发的避险情绪降温,可能持续对金价构成下行压力;然而从长期视角来看,避险 需求与基本面支撑依然坚实。翁富豪认为需密切关注美国政策动态、美元走势以及关键技术位的表现,以便精准把握市场节奏。 美国财长贝森特暗示国际贸易紧张局势有望缓和,此消息激发了股市的乐观情绪,并推动美元反弹至近一周高点。此外美国总统特朗普表示无意解雇美联储 主席鲍威尔,受此影响美元短线大幅上涨,现货黄金则出现急剧下跌。在经历短线大幅上涨后,多头存在获利了结与回调的需求。市场避险情绪有所缓解, 美元指数超跌后反弹,同时黄金日线图技术指标在连续超买后存在修正需求。在多重因素的共同作用下,金价短期内将维持宽幅震荡格局,等待技术指标的 修正。翁老师提醒大家需继续关注美元指数的走势选择。经过此轮避险情绪推动的快速上涨后 ...
风险恐惧推金价连破纪录,避险类ETF迎最强资金潮!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 08:18
复活节假期后欧洲市场集中回归,本周首个交易日,即便在相对清淡的指引中,黄金价格仍再次创下新的记录新高,周二首次测试了3500美元关口。对应市 场的避险情绪恶化,对美联储未来独立性的担忧引发美国股市、美元和长期美国国债的抛售。 美国总统特朗普周一表示,除非立即降息,否则美国经济可能会放缓,并再次批评美联储主席鲍威尔。美国股市周一大幅下挫,因特朗普加大了对鲍威尔的 抨击力度,令投资者担心美联储的独立性,且此举凸显特朗普对于经济状况的担忧。然后实际上,美联储和市场一样,面对特朗普随时变化的政策也相当无 奈,无法在此时做出具体的政策变化。 面对市场的恐慌和震荡,隔夜特朗普政府尝试安抚市场。此前美国财政部长贝森特在一次闭门会议上表示,他相信中美贸易紧张局势将会缓和。此外,美国 总统特朗普表示无意罢免鲍威尔,但希望美联储降息。在言论的带动下,黄金从纪录高位直接回吐逾100美元,但当前的整体市场氛围依然有利于金价再创 高位。 4月份迄今,这三大类基金共计流入180亿美元,其中现金类基金约占三分之二。SPDR彭博1-3个月期国债ETF(股票代码:BIL)迄今已流入80亿美元,其 次是iShares短期国债ETF(SHV)和i ...
江沐洋:4.22今日黄金白银、沪金沪银行情走势分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 05:38
Group 1 - Gold prices reached a historical high of $3500 per ounce before a slight pullback, driven by short-term technical overbought conditions, while trade concerns, geopolitical risks, and doubts about the Federal Reserve's independence continue to support safe-haven buying [1] - Market expectations for at least three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year are solidifying, keeping the dollar near a three-year low and enhancing gold's appeal as a hedge against currency depreciation [1] - The technical indicators suggest that gold is currently overbought, with the daily RSI above 70 and a significant divergence in the 4-hour MACD, indicating potential for a price correction [2] Group 2 - The domestic gold market in China has mirrored the extreme rise in international gold prices, with the highest domestic gold price reaching 836 yuan, making it challenging to capture profits without physical gold [6] - The support level for domestic gold is around 820 yuan, while the support for the Shanghai silver market is at 8050, indicating a cautious trading environment with limited opportunities for significant price movements [6][7] - Silver prices have not followed gold's upward trend significantly, remaining in a high-level consolidation phase, with short-term trading opportunities available but lacking strong momentum for a sustained rally [5][7]
避险情绪消退,黄金跌至3313,还能做多吗?美元反弹,黄金阻力在哪里?点击查看详细分析...
news flash· 2025-04-23 03:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the recent decline in gold prices to 3313, questioning whether there is still potential for bullish positions in the market [1] - It highlights the impact of a rebound in the US dollar on gold prices and seeks to identify resistance levels for gold [1] Market Analysis - The article notes a decrease in risk aversion among investors, contributing to the drop in gold prices [1] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the US dollar's performance as it plays a crucial role in gold price movements [1]
山海:黄金出现大扫盘,但趋势不变还是多!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-23 02:53
山海:黄金出现大扫盘,但趋势不变还是多! 上个交易日讲过,美元指数在97.5附近会走出反弹,至少能去一下100,至于能不能连续上涨则要看后市表现,经过周二的变化,美元上涨至99.3附近,完 全符合预期,那么,今天就关注美元是否能去100之上,如果破位100之上这波美元就有可能见底,后市有连涨空间,但基于现在还是弱势,不能过分看涨 美元,所以今天也有二次下跌空间。对于黄金的暴涨暴跌走势,这里不做过多的评论,市场的运行有自己的逻辑,尊重市场才是最勇敢的面对方式。近期 山海一直强调,黄金在极限上涨中,有较大的风险,周期都自顶部背离,日线随时都有暴跌空间,周二就走出了这个力度,当然,交易其实并不好做,逆 势做空压力很大,顺势做多难给关键点,所以,近期行情能走出利润就很厉害了。当然顺势是最佳方式,但也不能追多,只能等待回来多。经过周二的大 跌,现在可以确定3500是暂时的高点,短期内就看3500的得失,山海偏向难以在本周继续破位,但是要注意的是,暂时黄金的多头趋势并没有改变,周三 还有可能会继续走出上涨空间,上方关注3425,3450,所以,在趋势之下,还是要找做多的点位,等上涨的力度。从技术面来看,日线虽然收阴,吞没 ...
避险情绪大减 瑞郎日元均跌1%
news flash· 2025-04-22 22:33
避险情绪大减 瑞郎日元均跌1% 金十数据4月23日讯,避险货币继续走低,美元兑日元USD/JPY、美元兑瑞郎USD/CHF日内涨幅均扩大至1%,现分别报0.8275 和143。 | USDCHF · 5分 · BANK 开=0.82809 高=0.82815 低=0.82790 收=0.82799 -0.00011 (-0.01%) | | 9v | | | - 000 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 0.83400 | 《商品代码 | 最新价 | 深赋 | 涨跌% | | | 0.83200 | | | | | | | | GBPUSD | 1.32463 -0.00821 | | -0.62% | | | 0.83000 | EURUSD | 1.13198 -0.01009 | | -0.88% | | | | XAGUSD | 32.2270 | -0.2730 | -0.84% | | | 0.82799 +1.12% | XAUUSD | 3321.48 | -58.28 | -1.72% | | | 04:27 0.82600 | USDJ ...
黄金价格屡创新高之际 巴里克黄金(GOLD.US)出售Donlin金矿项目50%股权
智通财经网· 2025-04-22 13:06
巴里克黄金还授予 NovaGold一项选择权,可在交易完成前以9,000万美元购买 Donlin 项目所欠巴里克黄 金的全部未偿债务,或在交易完成后18个月内以1亿美元行权,届时该选择权将到期——即如果选择在 交易完成后18个月内购买,则以1亿美元的价值购买。 黄金价格方面,现货黄金和纽约黄金期货价格周二亚洲时段进一步升破了3500美元/盎司关口,年内可 谓屡次创下历史新高。到目前为止,黄金现货和期货价格在今年迄今已经上涨了30%以上。在经济不确 定性日益大幅升温的情况下,避险情绪持续推动金价创新高。 为筹措 NovaGold的收购资金,Paulson、The Electrum Group 及 Kopernik Global Investors 已承诺以每股 3.00 美元认购最多 1.7 亿美元普通股,剩余 3,000 万美元差额由 NovaGold 自筹。 智通财经APP获悉,总部位于加拿大的黄金矿业巨头巴里克黄金 (GOLD.US)美东时间周二表示,已同 意以大约10亿美元现金将其在阿拉斯加 Donlin Gold 金矿项目中的高达50%股权出售给 Paulson Advisers 关联方与 NovaG ...
金价飙涨凶猛!980亿热钱涌入,沪金期货持仓反超股指期货
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-04-22 09:30
市场对金价的炒作,已经达到阶段性高潮。 4月22日,国际金价继续刷新新高,当日午后伦敦金现货、COMEX黄金双双突破3500美元整数价位。 数据显示,4月10日沪金期货总持仓量为39.2万手,而截至今日收盘时已经升至45.3万手,为该品种上市以来的历史最高值。 | | 期货主力 外盘主力 品种加权 上证A股 深证A股 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排序 | 名称 ala | 最新 | 沉淀受金 | | 日1 V1 /日 /11/ | 沪金加权 | 832.88 980.40 | | | 快速涨幅 | | | | | 跌幅 | 1000股指加权 | 5743.0 864.85 | | | 5日涨幅 跌幅 | 300股指加权 | 3724.8 656.35 | | | 20日涨幅 跌幅 | 500股指加权 | 5471.4 | 526.69 | | 成交量 | 沪铜加权 | 76930 | 366.58 | | 持仓量 | 沪银加权 | 8204 | 297.36 | | 日増減仓 | 豆粕加权 | 3033 | 187.13 | | 沉淀资金 | 铁矿石加权 | 716.0 ...
特朗普成搅局者,避险情绪持续,黄金多头何时休?点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析
news flash· 2025-04-22 09:04
特朗普成搅局者,避险情绪持续,黄金多头何时休?点击观看金十研究员文成直播分析 相关链接 ...
山海:市场增加黄金避险,上涨极度疯狂不可控!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-22 04:17
Group 1: Gold Market Dynamics - Gold has entered an extreme upward trend, rising over $200 from $3283 to around $3450, with significant daily increases [2][5] - The market is characterized by emotional trading, making it difficult to identify entry points for trades, leading to recommendations of either not trading or trading with light positions [2][4] - The support levels for gold are identified at 3415 and 3380, with potential for further increases if the market provides a pullback [5] Group 2: U.S. Economic Influence - President Trump has criticized the Federal Reserve and called for immediate interest rate cuts, which has led to increased volatility in financial markets and affected the outlook for the U.S. economy [2] - The uncertainty surrounding Trump's trade policies has contributed to a chaotic global market environment, increasing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2] Group 3: Silver Market Insights - Silver has not followed gold's upward trend, lacking its own momentum and being more influenced by gold's price movements [5] - The price levels for silver are monitored with resistance at 33 or 34, and potential for a downturn if gold shows signs of weakness [5] Group 4: Oil Market Overview - The oil market is currently in a bearish trend, with expectations of further declines, particularly if prices fall below key support levels of 60.5 and 56.5 [6] - Traders are advised to wait for a rebound to short-sell, as the overall sentiment remains negative [6] Group 5: Futures Market Analysis - Domestic gold futures have seen significant price increases, with the current level at 830, making it challenging to trade effectively due to the lack of pullbacks [7][8] - The futures for silver and other commodities are also experiencing volatility, with recommendations to focus on low-risk trades and monitor key support and resistance levels [9][10][11]