Core Insights - The digital RMB is expected to accelerate its penetration across the industrial chain, with significant growth potential in the future [1][2] - The development of digital RMB is beneficial for the internationalization of the RMB, addressing issues in traditional cross-border payment systems [2] - By 2030, the transaction volume of digital RMB could reach between 52.8 trillion to 223.6 trillion yuan, driven by both domestic consumption and cross-border payments [3] Group 1: Digital RMB Overview - Digital RMB is a central bank-issued digital legal currency, covering retail, corporate, and cross-border scenarios, gradually becoming a foundational infrastructure for the digital economy [1] - It operates under a "centralized management + dual-layer operation" model, with a completed top-level design and a system that has transitioned from "point breakthroughs" to "network coverage" [1] - Currently, digital RMB is being piloted in 17 provinces, with an international operational center established to facilitate cross-border digital payments and blockchain services [1] Group 2: Market Potential and Ecosystem - The digital payment ecosystem in China is mature, with high penetration rates, which will accelerate the implementation of digital RMB in various scenarios [2] - The zero transaction fee of digital RMB can reduce operational costs for third-party payment providers, incentivizing them to promote its adoption [2] - The estimated market space for digital RMB by 2030 includes domestic daily consumption payments and cross-border payments, with significant potential for third-party payment companies, especially in the cross-border payment sector [3]

Core Viewpoint - The "Action Plan" aims to enhance the high-quality development of service outsourcing, which is crucial for fostering new momentum in foreign trade and expanding employment channels, while promoting digital trade and innovative development [1][2]. Group 1: Action Plan Overview - The "Action Plan" was jointly issued by six government departments, focusing on six key actions: platform enhancement, innovation leadership, nurturing main entities, market expansion, industry standard development, and talent cultivation [1]. - By 2030, the plan aims to cultivate a number of internationally competitive service outsourcing leading enterprises and establish innovative service outsourcing clusters with distinct advantages [1][2]. Group 2: Regional Development Support - The plan supports eastern cities to leverage high-end resource aggregation for global service outsourcing development, while encouraging central and western regions to expand their unique service outsourcing sectors [2]. - It emphasizes the integration of digital economy with the real economy, promoting the establishment of digital trade industrial clusters and international data service businesses [2]. Group 3: Implementation and Coordination - The plan highlights the need for inter-departmental coordination to address barriers to service outsourcing development, ensuring effective implementation of tasks [3]. - Local governments are encouraged to actively explore and develop tailored action plans, while the Ministry of Commerce will play a leading role in coordination and guidance [3].

Core Viewpoint - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, Changsha is committed to high-quality urban development, emphasizing the "People's City" concept and showcasing its ecological advantages as a "mountain-water city" [2][28]. Economic Development - The city's GDP is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.4% from 2021 to 2024, entering the ranks of mega cities [11]. - Changsha has cultivated seven trillion-level industrial clusters and three national-level advanced manufacturing clusters [12]. - The total value of the digital economy has surpassed 500 billion, with the service sector's added value exceeding 900 billion, contributing 51.7% to economic growth [18]. Industrial Structure - The city has established a modern industrial system, with significant advancements in advanced manufacturing and technology innovation, ranking 5th among national advanced manufacturing cities [19]. - The number of high-tech enterprises has increased from over 4,100 to 8,600, with a local transformation rate of over 50% for research results from universities [19]. Urban Infrastructure - Changsha has made significant improvements in urban infrastructure, including the completion of 15 cross-river passages and the expansion of the metro network to cover six districts and one county [24][26]. - The city has achieved a forest coverage rate of 55%, ranking among the top three provincial capital cities in China [31]. Cultural and Tourism Development - The city has seen a robust growth in cultural enterprises, with revenues reaching 1,662 billion and an annual growth rate of around 10% [36]. - In 2024, the city is expected to receive over 200 million tourists, generating more than 200 billion in tourism revenue, marking a 10% annual growth [40]. Social Welfare - The city has prioritized employment, with an expected addition of 782,700 urban jobs, a 9.59% increase compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [46]. - The number of insured individuals for various social insurances has reached 8.49 million for pension, 2.43 million for unemployment, and 3.39 million for work-related injuries [49].

Core Insights - The China-Singapore Connectivity Project has successfully deepened cooperation over the past decade, facilitating trade and collaboration between China's western regions and ASEAN countries [1][2] Group 1: Project Overview - The project was officially launched in November 2015 as the third government-to-government collaboration between China and Singapore, following the Suzhou Industrial Park and Tianjin Eco-City [1] - Over ten years, the project has developed 33 innovative institutional open results, enhancing face-to-face cooperation between China’s western regions and ASEAN countries [1][2] Group 2: Achievements and Developments - The project has established five key channels: the New Land-Sea Corridor, the China-Singapore Cross-Border Financing Channel, the China-Singapore (Chongqing) International Internet Data Dedicated Channel, the Chongqing-New Singapore Air Corridor, and a cultural exchange channel [2] - As of October 2023, the New Land-Sea Corridor has reached 127 countries and regions, connecting 581 ports [2] - The project has successfully facilitated the entry of Chongqing's agricultural products into the Singapore market, achieving a trade volume exceeding 250 million yuan [4] Group 3: Future Directions - The project aims to deepen cooperation in areas such as digital trade, cross-border computing power, artificial intelligence, and green development, with a goal to create a new model for international cooperation by 2030 [7] - The initiative is expected to enhance regional economic development and provide new support for multilateral cooperation [7]

政策推动加生态适配，数币有望加速发展 [Table_Industry] 综合金融 数字人民币专题报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘欣琦(分析师) | 021-38676647 | liuxinqi@gtht.com | S0880515050001 | | 孙坤(分析师) | 021-38038260 | sunkun@gtht.com | S0880523030001 | 本报告导读： 数字人民币有利于人民币国际化发展，在中国移动生态成熟背景下，数字人民币成 为可靠发展路径；推动数字人民币普及，有利于产业链上下游相关企业发展。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 综合金融《绩效考核迎新规，行业更重投资者体 验》2025.12.09 综合金融《资本杠杆或进一步优化，打开优质头 部 ROE 长期提升空间》2025.12.07 综合金融《Agent 及端侧 AI 产品加速落地》 2025.12.07 综合金融《回归融物本源，重塑行业监管框架》 2025.12.06 综合金融《Gemini 3 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Commerce and five other departments have issued a notification regarding the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Outsourcing," aiming to enhance the competitiveness and innovation of service outsourcing in China by 2030 [1][2]. Group 1: Action Plan Objectives - By 2030, the plan aims to cultivate a number of internationally competitive leading service outsourcing enterprises and establish innovation-driven service outsourcing clusters with distinct advantages [1]. - The plan emphasizes the digitalization, intelligence, greening, and integration of service outsourcing, with a significant increase in employment [1]. Group 2: Specific Measures - The action plan outlines six key areas for implementation: enhancing platform capabilities, leading through innovation, nurturing main entities, expanding market access, developing industry standards, and training talent [1]. - It supports eastern cities to leverage high-end resources for global service outsourcing, while encouraging central and western regions to develop their unique outsourcing strengths [1]. Group 3: Digital Economy Integration - The plan promotes deep integration of the digital economy with the real economy, aiming to build digital trade industrial clusters [2]. - It encourages the development of international data service businesses and the establishment of a data service industry chain for overseas data storage, processing, and trading [2].

Economic Overview - The national economy continues to show a stable and progressive development trend, with key indicators reflecting steady performance in production, employment, and market prices [2][4] - In November, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 4.8% year-on-year, with the equipment manufacturing sector growing by 7.7%, contributing 59.4% to the overall industrial growth [2] - The service sector's production index rose by 4.2% year-on-year in November [2] Market Sales and Investment - Social retail sales increased by 1.3% year-on-year in November, with a cumulative growth of 4% for the first 11 months, surpassing both the previous year's growth and the annual total [3] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, but project investment excluding real estate grew by 0.8% [3] - Despite a decline in investment growth, key sectors continue to see investment increases, supporting long-term economic development [3] Foreign Trade and Employment - In November, China's total goods import and export value grew by 4.1% year-on-year, with exports increasing by 5.7% [3] - The urban unemployment rate remained stable at 5.1%, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7% year-on-year, marking a 0.5 percentage point increase from the previous month [3] Agricultural Production - The grain output for the year reached 1.42975 trillion jin, a 1.2% increase from the previous year, maintaining stability above 1.4 trillion jin [4] New Productive Forces - Significant progress has been made in cultivating new productive forces, with high-tech manufacturing value added increasing by 9.2% year-on-year from January to November [5] - The manufacturing of smart consumer devices grew by 7.6%, and the digital economy continues to expand, with digital product manufacturing value added increasing by 9.3% [5][6] Policy Support and Future Outlook - The economy is expected to meet annual targets despite challenges, supported by strong macro policies and the growth of new economic drivers [7] - Consumption policies have shown effectiveness, with significant year-on-year growth in retail sales of home appliances and communication equipment [7] - International institutions have raised their economic growth forecasts for China for 2025, indicating positive future expectations [7]

| 产供给持续增长 | | --- | | 生 | | 1至11月 | 同比增长 | | --- | --- | | 规模以上高技术制造业 增加值 | 9.2% | | 工业机器人产量 | 29.2% | | 工业控制计算机及系统 | 87.6% | | 产品产量 | | | 市场销售继续扩大 | | | 1至11月 | | | 社会消费品零售总额 | 4% | | 快于上年同期 | | | 服务零售额 | 5.4% | | 连续3个月回升 | | | 其中,文体休闲服务类 | | | 零售额保持两位数增长 | | | 货物进出口增长加快 | | | 11月 | | 数据来源：国家统计局 制图：蔡华伟 "11月，更加积极有为的宏观政策持续显效，全国统一大市场建设纵深推进，着力做强国内大循环，生 产供给持续增长，市场销售继续扩大，货物进出口增长加快，就业物价总体稳定，高质量发展扎实推 进，国民经济延续了稳中有进的发展态势。"在国务院新闻办12月15日举行的新闻发布会上，国家统计 局新闻发言人、总经济师、国民经济综合统计司司长付凌晖介绍11月国民经济运行情况。 "尽管有困难有压力，但我国经济韧性强，宏观政策支持有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Service Outsourcing" aims to enhance the international competitiveness of service outsourcing enterprises and improve the digital, intelligent, green, and integrated development levels of the industry by 2030 [1]. Group 1: Action Plan Overview - The Action Plan was jointly released by six government departments, emphasizing the importance of service outsourcing in service trade and digital trade [1]. - It outlines 13 specific measures across six areas: platform enhancement, innovation leadership, enterprise cultivation, market expansion, industry standard development, and talent training [1]. Group 2: Innovation Leadership - The Action Plan supports the establishment of internationally recognized data security and privacy protection mechanisms in certain regions, promoting the deep integration of the digital economy with the real economy [2]. - It encourages the development of cloud computing, supercomputing, intelligent computing, and artificial intelligence services in resource-based cities, facilitating the transfer of domestic and foreign IT outsourcing and digital services [2]. Group 3: Enterprise Cultivation - The Action Plan proposes increased investment and financing support for service outsourcing, simplifying application processes for enterprises while ensuring fund security [2]. - It highlights the role of the Service Trade Innovation Development Guidance Fund in attracting more social capital into the service outsourcing sector through market-oriented methods like equity investment [2]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to innovate financial products and services tailored to the characteristics of service outsourcing, expanding coverage for financing based on intellectual property and order pledges [2].

Core Viewpoint - The integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation is essential for achieving high-quality development in China, emphasizing the importance of cultivating application scenarios to support this integration [1][2][5]. Group 1: Importance of Application Scenarios - Application scenarios serve as critical environments for validating new technologies and products, enabling the identification of technical demands and research opportunities within industrial applications [2][3]. - High-quality application scenarios can attract various resources, including talent, capital, and data, thereby facilitating the rapid emergence of high-value technologies and products [3][4]. Group 2: Strategies for Scenario Development - The government aims to cultivate and expand application scenarios in emerging fields such as digital economy, artificial intelligence, and clean energy, while also enhancing scenarios in traditional sectors like manufacturing and transportation [6]. - There is a focus on increasing the openness of application scenarios, promoting cross-sector collaboration, and ensuring that new scenarios are developed based on local resources and characteristics to avoid redundancy [6]. Group 3: Policy Framework and Implementation - The implementation of policies to support the integration of technological and industrial innovation includes establishing a clear path from technological breakthroughs to industrial applications [5][6]. - Enhancing the regulatory framework for resource allocation and improving the legal and standard systems are crucial for fostering a conducive environment for innovation [6].