以下文章来源于公募排排网 ，作者康波 公募排排网 . 看财经、查排名、买基金，就上公募排排网，申购费低至0.001折。 本文首发于公众号"公募排排网"。（点击↑↑上图查看详情） 导语 现在低利率环境已成常态，过去几年，利率从高位一路下滑，到底降了多少？当"躺赢"通道变窄，寻找下一个"收益堡垒"已刻不容缓！但那 些在市场中依然坚挺的资产，又在哪里？ 从指数间的对比来看，东证红利低波指数在近 3年有较好的表现。 在近3年累计回报中，东证红利低波指数累计回报较高，同时近3年的最大 回撤又较小，表现出更强的防御特征，综合风险收益后，表现相对较好。 所以，从过往 3年的历史表现来看，东证红利低波指数与市场有产品跟踪的红利指数相比：收益更高、波动更低 。 （ 点此查看详情 ） 那在红利资产中，东证红利低波动指数为何能脱颖而出？ 东证红利低波动指数从沪深A股中选取100只盈利较为稳定、预期股息率较高并具备低波动特征的上市公司股票作为指数样本股，以反映红利 在全球动荡不安、经济波动的当下，哪类资产能够同时满足高股息与低波动的双重需求？今天，我们就来一场深度掘金，寻找那些可能被低 估的投资机遇。（ 点此查看近3年收益同类排名第 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current gold price is around $3381 per ounce, showing a mild downward trend as it awaits the Federal Reserve's decision for clearer direction [2] - Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Iran, are influencing gold prices, with a focus on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement expected to cause significant volatility [2] - The key resistance level for gold is identified at $3405, with a breakthrough indicating a potential bullish trend, while prices below this level suggest a bearish outlook [3][5] Group 2: Oil Market Analysis - Oil prices have stabilized after a significant increase, with Brent crude previously rising by 4.4% and nearing $76 per barrel, while WTI approached $75 [6] - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East, particularly regarding Iran, is a major factor affecting oil prices, with potential for further increases if conflicts escalate [6] - The technical outlook for oil indicates a bullish trend, with the price testing new highs and showing strong upward momentum, suggesting a focus on buying on dips [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the strong performance and increasing popularity of the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550), which has reached historical highs multiple times since 2025, with a net inflow exceeding 20 million on June 17 and a total inflow of 533.3 million over the past five days, bringing its total scale to over 500 million [1] - The Hong Kong dividend assets have been consistently favored by investors, with the total scale of the Hong Kong Dividend ETF exceeding 40 billion, and an inflow of 10.7 billion in 2025, representing a growth of 40% [1][3] - Southbound funds have shown a continuous inflow into high-dividend sectors such as banks and public utilities, with net purchases of bank stocks exceeding 200 billion over the past year, indicating a strong preference for high-dividend, low-valuation assets [3][4] Group 2 - In the current low interest rate environment, dividend assets exhibit relatively stable profitability and high dividends, making them attractive compared to one-year and three-year deposit rates [4][5] - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Low Volatility Index has a dividend yield of 8.1%, significantly higher than the China Securities Bank Index at 5.75% and the CSI 300 Index at 3.39% [5][8] - The index currently has a PE (TTM) of 7 times and a PB of 0.6 times, indicating a lower valuation compared to similar indices and a higher safety margin [9][10] Group 3 - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550) implements monthly dividend assessments, currently distributing 0.04 yuan per ten shares, with a dividend ratio of approximately 0.37% [12] - The ETF has a management fee of 0.2%, the lowest among similar products in the market, making it a cost-effective long-term investment option [12]

Core Insights - The insurance industry is increasingly focusing on dividend insurance products, with 151 new dividend insurance products launched in 2023, accounting for 37% of all new life insurance products, a 9 percentage point increase from 2024 [1][2] - The demand for dividend insurance is rising due to a low interest rate environment and regulatory support, making it an attractive option for consumers seeking a balance of guaranteed and potential returns [2][4] - Major insurance companies are transforming their product offerings to emphasize dividend insurance, with a notable shift towards 10-year dividend sales [3][4] Industry Trends - The trend towards dividend insurance is seen as a response to declining long-term interest rates, with companies expected to promote dividend-type products such as increasing benefit whole life insurance and annuities [4][5] - Regulatory changes, including a reduction in the maximum preset interest rates for traditional and dividend insurance products, are providing insurance companies with more flexibility to manage liabilities [2][4] - The appeal of dividend insurance lies in its dual function of providing both protection and savings, enhancing consumer interest in these products amid a persistently low interest rate environment [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The low interest rate environment in 2025, with savings rates dropping to around 0.05%, does not equate to currency depreciation, as the purchasing power of the RMB has actually increased in the domestic market despite lower savings returns [1][3][11]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - A significant reduction in deposit rates has been observed across state-owned banks, joint-stock banks, and some city commercial banks since May 20, 2025 [1]. - The trend of lowering deposit rates has also been followed by rural commercial banks and village banks, leading to public discussions about the value of the RMB [1][3]. Group 2: Economic Implications - The low interest rates reflect a relatively abundant market liquidity, reduced corporate financing costs, and a lighter government debt burden, which indirectly benefits the public through lower loan rates [3][11]. - Despite lower investment returns, the potential for increased purchasing power due to falling prices may lead to consumers obtaining more goods in the future [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Effective fund management is crucial in a near-zero interest rate environment, with recommendations to allocate idle funds into different term deposits for better returns [3][5]. - Further investment options include bonds, funds, and insurance products, which can provide stable returns and risk mitigation in a low interest rate scenario [5][11]. Group 4: Impact on Income Groups - Low-income groups are less directly affected by interest rate changes due to limited savings, but may face increased employment pressure if corporate expansions do not meet market demand [7]. - Middle-income groups experience a complex situation with reduced savings returns and slower asset appreciation, necessitating careful adjustment of investment strategies [7][9]. - High-income groups are likely to seek higher-yield investment opportunities, such as stocks and real estate, while also benefiting from lower financing costs [9][11].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges posed by a low-interest-rate environment and suggests various asset allocation strategies to mitigate inflation pressure and enhance returns in such conditions [1][3][7]. Group 1: Financial Environment - The global financial environment is becoming increasingly complex, with many individuals struggling to keep pace [1]. - Japan's zero interest rate policy since 1999 and Europe's negative interest rates since 2014 have led to a shift in asset allocation strategies among residents [1][3]. Group 2: Current Market Conditions - Gold prices have reached $3,300, and Bitcoin has surged to $110,000, while deposit interest rates have fallen below 1%, creating significant pressure on traditional savings [3]. - Major domestic banks have collectively lowered deposit rates, with one-year fixed deposit rates dropping below 1% [3]. Group 3: Asset Allocation Strategies - Personal asset management should follow a "three-part method" for diversified asset allocation [3]. - Short-term liquidity should be managed through money market funds or T+0 cash management products, with annualized rates around 1% [3]. - High-dividend stocks and REITs are recommended for stable income, with average dividend rates of approximately 3% for domestic ETFs and up to 7% for Hong Kong's high-dividend ETFs [5]. - A combination of government bonds, convertible bonds, and high-rated corporate bonds can target around 3% returns, with domestic options including policy financial bond funds and convertible bond index funds [5]. - Long-term guaranteed income can be achieved through life insurance products offering around 3% returns, although recent trends show a decline in guaranteed rates [5][7]. Group 4: Global Asset Diversification - Investors concerned about currency depreciation are advised to consider QDII index funds and gold ETFs for international asset diversification and commodity risk hedging [5]. - The article emphasizes the need for a multi-faceted investment strategy to adapt to the low-interest-rate environment and ensure asset preservation and growth [7].

Group 1 - In the first five months of this year, corporate bond net financing reached 908.7 billion yuan [1] - In May, corporate bond net financing exceeded 140 billion yuan [1] - Since the second quarter, the overall cost of corporate bond issuance has been on a downward trend [1] Group 2 - Corporate bond net financing has shown improvement since April [1] - The average yield of five-year AAA-rated corporate bonds was 1.97% in May, further declining from April [1] - Industry experts indicate that in a low interest rate environment, some companies are seizing favorable conditions to increase bond financing and reduce overall financing costs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the CSI A500 index funds has seen a resurgence, primarily driven by small and medium-sized public funds, marking a shift from the previous dominance of large public funds [2][4]. Group 1: Fund Issuance Trends - As of June 12, there are 8 CSI A500 index-related funds currently being issued, with a notable increase in participation from small and medium-sized public funds [3][4]. - The number of fund companies involved in the CSI A500 index fund market has exceeded 75 since the fourth quarter of 2024 [5]. - The total scale of the 113 CSI A500 index funds established is approximately 2165.56 billion, with a current scale of 2964.76 billion, indicating significant growth despite some recent declines in issuance scale [5][6]. Group 2: Fund Performance and Characteristics - Among the 113 established funds, 10 have a scale exceeding 100 billion, all of which are ETFs, while 58 funds have a scale below 10 billion [6]. - The average unit net value of the 113 CSI A500 index funds is 0.997 yuan, with an average return rate of -0.23% since inception [7]. - Over 50% of the funds have a unit net value below 1 yuan, indicating challenges in performance for many newly established products [7]. Group 3: New Index Development - New strategy indices related to the CSI A500 have been developed, including the CSI A500 "Dividend" and "Quality" indices, which are expected to diversify the product offerings in the market [2][8]. - The CSI A500 Dividend Index selects 50 high-dividend stocks from the CSI A500 sample, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend securities [9]. - The low interest rate environment is making dividends more attractive, potentially boosting stock valuations and market performance [9].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The discussion revolves around the **Huafu Xinhua CSI Dividend Value Index** and the **Huafu CSI All-Share Free Cash Flow ETF**, both designed to meet investor demand for dividend assets in a low-interest-rate environment [1][2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Investment Strategy**: The Huafu Xinhua CSI Dividend Value Index employs a multi-factor model focusing on defensive characteristics, aiming to provide higher returns than traditional dividend indices by reflecting the fundamentals of listed companies more timely and avoiding valuation traps [1][2][5]. - **Free Cash Flow Focus**: The Huafu CSI All-Share Free Cash Flow ETF tracks free cash flow metrics, ensuring that portfolio companies exhibit strong financial health, which helps maintain stability during market adjustments and offers sustained growth potential [2][3]. - **Market Demand**: There is a strong demand for dividend assets due to the low-interest-rate environment, with the market size for dividend ETFs growing from approximately **70 billion RMB** in September 2024 to over **120 billion RMB** by March 2025, indicating persistent demand even with rising risk appetite [4]. - **Performance Metrics**: Since 2013, the Huafu Xinhua CSI Dividend Value Index has achieved an annualized excess return of about **5%** compared to traditional indices, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing portfolio quality [1][5]. Additional Important Insights - **Sample Selection Criteria**: The index requires that total cash dividends exceed total refinancing amounts and that the dividend payout ratio is greater than **20%**, ensuring companies have a strong willingness and ability to return capital to shareholders [7]. - **Defensive Characteristics**: The index's defensive nature is attributed to its inclusion of market indicators and low volatility factors, allowing for timely adjustments to avoid significant price fluctuations during market downturns [12][14]. - **Industry Distribution**: The index maintains a more diversified industry distribution, with a cap of **30%** on any single industry, which contrasts with traditional indices that may have higher concentrations in specific sectors [13]. - **Comparison with Traditional Indices**: While the Huafu Xinhua CSI Dividend Value Index may underperform in bull markets, it excels in bear markets, making it a suitable long-term investment tool for risk-averse investors [11][14]. - **Free Cash Flow vs. Dividend Yield**: Free cash flow is viewed as a more comprehensive indicator of a company's financial health compared to traditional dividend yield metrics, as it reflects a company's ability to generate cash for dividends and reinvestment [15][16][17]. Conclusion - The Huafu Xinhua CSI Dividend Value Index and the Huafu CSI All-Share Free Cash Flow ETF represent innovative approaches to dividend investing, focusing on defensive strategies and financial health, which are increasingly relevant in today's low-interest-rate environment. Investors are encouraged to understand the unique characteristics of these products to optimize their investment strategies for stable and substantial returns [27].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant divergence between A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, highlighting the recent drop in the AH premium index, which has reached a five-year low, indicating potential investment strategies based on historical patterns of market behavior [1][3][4]. Group 1: AH Premium Index - The AH premium index, which measures the price ratio of A-shares to H-shares for companies listed on both exchanges, has fallen below 130, marking the lowest point since June 2020 [1][3]. - Historically, when the AH premium index drops below 130, it has often been followed by a sharp rebound, suggesting that this threshold can serve as a quantitative trading factor for investors [3][4]. - The frequency of the AH premium index dropping below 130 has increased, indicating a downward shift in its central tendency, which may suggest a new normal for the index [4][5]. Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - Since February 2024, the market has experienced a prolonged downtrend, influenced by unprecedented interest rate declines and policy adjustments affecting institutional investments in Hong Kong stocks [5][6]. - Short-term adjustments in the Hong Kong market are anticipated due to the AH premium index falling below 130, with recent net selling by southbound funds in major internet companies indicating market pressure [6]. - In the medium to long term, the low interest rate environment may continue to push the AH premium index lower, establishing a new norm where the index remains below 130 for an extended period [6]. Group 3: Biopharmaceutical Sector - Despite the overall decline in the Hong Kong market, the biopharmaceutical sector has shown strong performance, with the Hang Seng Medical ETF rising over 50% year-to-date [8][10]. - The introduction of the 18A policy by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2018 has allowed unprofitable biotech companies to list, leading to a supply advantage for innovative drug companies in Hong Kong compared to A-shares [10]. - Investors are advised to consider both long-term asset allocation in high-growth sectors and short-term trading strategies in the volatile biopharmaceutical market [12][14].