【导读】本周8只新基金启动募集，全部为含"权"品种 中国基金报记者 天心 2025年最后一周，新基金发行只数缩量。 本周（12月29日—12月31日）三个交易日，新基金市场延续过去两周的清淡态势，发行数量降至个位数。震荡行情下，权益基金仍为主力，"固收+"品种 继续保持暖意。 2025年收官周8只新基金发行 本周只有三个交易日，12月29日是新基金发行的关键日，本周8只新发基金中4只集中在周一启动发行；周二、周三各有2只新基金启动募集。 从认购天数来看，本周新基金中，认购天数最长为前海开源兴和，募集期在三个月左右。在其之后，大成港股恒信、华宝上证科创板芯片ETF、中银证券 安怡的募集期在一个月左右，广发上证科创板芯片ETF认购天数为半个月左右。 本周新基金中，认购天数最短的是易方达中证细分有色金属产业主题指数、山证资管数字经济锐选，均计划发售1天。另有招商资管上证科创板人工智能 指数的募集期也不到一周。 制作：舰长 权益基金仍为发行主力 从基金类型看，本周8只新发基金悉数为含"权"类品种，除了2只二级债基，其余均为权益基金。 其中，指数型股票基金有4只，且都是跟踪行业细分指数的新基金。包括易方达中证细分有色金 ...

Market Overview - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index opened lower but rose throughout the day, with the ChiNext Index at one point increasing by over 3% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.78 trillion, a decrease of 28.8 billion from the previous trading day [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.02% and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.14% [1] Investment Trends - Despite the market downturn, many investment institutions are buying into stock ETFs, with a net inflow of 701.21 billion in stock ETFs and cross-border ETFs last week [4] - The net inflow into broad-based index ETFs was 359.31 billion, indicating a significant direction for capital inflow [4] - Institutions believe that the overall market trend remains unchanged, and the current capital inflow into ETFs suggests that many investors are taking the opportunity to buy on dips [4] External Factors - Recent adjustments in the market are attributed to external factors, including unexpected U.S. employment data and rising unemployment rates, which have created uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [5] - Concerns about asset price declines and the AI bubble have not fully dissipated, contributing to market volatility [5] - Ongoing geopolitical tensions are also affecting market risk appetite [5] Long-term Outlook - Institutions maintain an optimistic long-term outlook for the market, suggesting that the current short-term pullback does not alter the long-term positive trend [6] - The expectation is for a "slow bull" market to emerge, with foreign investment banks noting that while the market has priced in no further interest rate cuts this year, the possibility of a rate cut in December remains [6] Defensive Strategies - As the year-end approaches, institutions are adopting balanced allocation strategies for next year [7] - There is a strong demand for dividend-paying assets due to ongoing pressures in bank lending and deposit growth [8] - The potential for further interest rate cuts by the central bank could enhance the valuation of dividend assets [9] Growth Opportunities - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technology as a key area for growth, presenting both opportunities and challenges [10] - Strategic resources are expected to become focal points in the market due to U.S.-China competition [11] Bond Market Insights - The bond market is showing signs of recovery, with the central bank signaling a more accommodative stance [12] - A decrease in bond supply towards year-end is leading to increased demand for early allocation from banks and insurance companies [12] Investment Strategies - Investors are encouraged to consider professional institutions for market participation and to monitor fund managers' adjustments [12] - A balanced allocation strategy, referred to as the "barbell strategy," is recommended, focusing on both technology-driven sectors and stable dividend-paying stocks [14] - Investors should lower short-term expectations and consider "fixed income plus" funds for stable returns [15] - Maintaining rationality during market downturns and seeking opportunities in corrections is advised as a long-term investment strategy [16]

1. Macroeconomic Data Overview - GDP growth rate in Q3 2025 was 4.8% year-on-year, down from 5.2% in the previous quarter but up from 4.6% in the same period last year [1] - In October 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down from 49.8% in the previous month and 50.1% in the same period last year [1] - The non-manufacturing PMI for business activities in October 2025 was 50.1%, up from 50.0% in the previous month but down from 50.2% in the same period last year [1] - The incremental social financing scale in October 2025 was 816.1 billion yuan, down from 3.5299 trillion yuan in the previous month and 1.412 trillion yuan in the same period last year [1] - In October 2025, the year-on-year growth rates of M0, M1, and M2 were 10.6%, 6.2%, and 8.2% respectively, showing a downward trend compared to the previous month [1] - New RMB loans in October 2025 were 220 billion yuan, down from 1.29 trillion yuan in the previous month and 500 billion yuan in the same period last year [1] - In October 2025, the year-on-year growth rates of CPI and PPI were 0.2% and -2.1% respectively [1] - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) from January to October 2025 was -1.7%, showing a decline [1] - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods from January to October 2025 was 4.28%, slightly down from the previous month but up from the same period last year [1] - In October 2025, the year-on-year growth rates of export and import values were -1.1% and 1.0% respectively, showing a significant change compared to the previous month [1] 2. Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - On the evening of November 24th, Chinese President Xi Jinping had a phone call with US President Trump, emphasizing the importance of Sino-US cooperation and clarifying China's stance on the Taiwan issue [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice on the special management measures for central budgetary investment in rural revitalization, with different investment amounts allocated according to the rural population of each county [3] - Li Muchun, a member of the Party Committee and Deputy General Manager of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange, announced three key development directions, including enriching the variety system, strengthening market services and training, and promoting high-level opening-up [3] - On November 24th, 43 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, while 24 had negative basis. Among them, Shanghai nickel, Zhengzhou cotton, and cast aluminum alloy had the largest basis, while butadiene rubber, apples, and strong wheat had the smallest [4][5] - San Francisco Fed President Daly supported a rate cut in December, and Fed Governor Waller's remarks alleviated market concerns about inflation, jointly boosting market expectations of a Fed policy shift [5] Metals - The Shenzhen Financial Commission warned the public about illegal gold investment activities [6] - On November 24th, international precious metal futures generally closed higher due to the Fed's monetary policy signals [6] - The Thai central bank plans to tighten gold trading reporting regulations [6] - According to LME inventory data on November 21st, lead and copper inventories increased, while aluminum, nickel, and tin inventories decreased [7][8] - Bank of America predicted that the gold price could reach $5000 per ounce by 2026 [8] - As of November 24th, the holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust increased by 0.03% [8] Coking Coal, Steel, and Minerals - As of mid-November, the prices of coke and coking coal increased month-on-month [9] - The fourth round of coke price hikes was implemented, squeezing steel mills' profits. Coke prices may face downward pressure at the end of the month or early December [9] - The US Commerce Secretary demanded that the EU change digital regulations to reduce steel and aluminum tariffs, but the EU refused [9] - From April to October, India's finished steel imports decreased year-on-year, and steel prices faced downward pressure in October [9] - BHP's acquisition offer for Anglo American Resources indicates intensifying competition in the global copper mining market [9] Energy and Chemicals - From November 10th to 21st, international oil prices fluctuated downward, and domestic gasoline and diesel prices were lowered on November 24th [10][11] - As of the end of October 2025, the cumulative proven geological reserves of coalbed methane in China exceeded 700 billion cubic meters [11] - As of the end of October, China's total installed power generation capacity was 3.75 billion kilowatts, with significant growth in solar and wind power [11] - Goldman Sachs predicted a decline in Dutch TTF natural gas prices from 2026 to 2027 and recommended shorting the Q3 2027 futures [11] - JPMorgan maintained its 2026 oil price forecast, with a target of $58 for Brent crude and $54 for WTI crude [11] Agricultural Products - In 2025, the domestic pig market was sluggish, with prices declining and supply increasing due to higher sow存栏 and production efficiency. Terminal demand was weak, and secondary fattening decreased [12] - From January to October, Russia's corn exports to China increased significantly, and in September, Russian corn accounted for about 34% of China's total corn imports [12] 3. Financial News Compilation Open Market - On November 24th, the central bank conducted 338.7 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 55.7 billion yuan [14] - The central bank announced a 1 trillion yuan MLF operation on November 25th, with a net investment of 100 billion yuan for the month [14] - The central bank issued 45 billion yuan of RMB central bank bills in Hong Kong [14] - The Ministry of Finance and the central bank conducted treasury cash management commercial bank time deposit tenders, with a total winning amount of 200 billion yuan [15] Key News - President Xi Jinping emphasized the importance of Sino-US cooperation in a phone call with US President Trump [16] - China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to Japan's proposal for a China-Japan-South Korea leaders' meeting, citing issues with the current conditions [16][17] - Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng held a video call with French Minister of Economy, Finance, Industry, Energy, and Digital Sovereignty, expressing willingness to deepen economic and financial cooperation [17] - The National Development and Reform Commission issued a notice on central budgetary investment in rural revitalization [17] - In the first three quarters of this year, China's total foreign direct investment increased by 4.4% year-on-year, with investment in 151 countries and regions [18] - In October, China's new productive forces continued to grow, with high-tech industries showing double-digit growth [18] - As of the end of October, China's total installed power generation capacity increased by 17.3% year-on-year [18] - The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region plans to resolve hidden debts and other risks [19] - The issuance of interbank science and technology innovation bonds exceeded 530 billion yuan, with increased participation from private enterprises [20] - The use of risk-sharing tools for science and technology innovation bonds is expanding, and new bonds are about to be issued [20] - The Shanghai Bill Exchange's comprehensive service platform was launched, and the first bill discounting business was completed [20] - Four private equity investment institutions plan to issue 930 million yuan of science and technology innovation bonds [21] - Inner Mongolia will issue 10.4 billion yuan of refinancing bonds on December 1st [21] - Fed Governor Waller and San Francisco Fed President Daly supported a rate cut in December [21] - Several companies had major bond events, including overdue debts, management changes, and regulatory measures [21][22] - Moody's and Fitch issued credit ratings for multiple companies [22] Bond Market Summary - China's bond market fluctuated narrowly, with bond futures rising and the money market easing [23] - Some bonds in the exchange market rose, while others fell. The real estate bond and high-yield urban investment bond indices increased slightly [23] - The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.22%, and some convertible bonds had significant price changes [24][25] - Money market interest rates showed mixed trends, with some rising and some falling [25] - Treasury bond and financial bond auctions had different winning yields and multiples [26] - European and US bond yields generally declined [27][28] Foreign Exchange Market - The onshore RMB against the US dollar rose by 47 points, and the central parity rate was raised by 28 points [29] - The US dollar index rose slightly, and most non-US currencies had mixed performance [29] Research Report Highlights - Yangtze River Fixed Income believed that the bond market may decline due to "fixed income +" fund redemptions but could rebound with rate cut expectations [30] - Xingzheng Fixed Income suggested focusing on credit bond liquidity and medium-term credit bonds [30] - Xingzheng Fixed Income analyzed the situation of treasury bond futures and provided trading strategies [30] - Huatai Fixed Income attributed the weak bond market to multiple factors and recommended trading strategies [31][32] - Huatai Fixed Income was cautious about convertible bonds in the short term and had a positive outlook in the medium term [32] - CITIC Securities analyzed the reasons for the simultaneous decline of stocks and bonds and predicted the range of the 10-year treasury bond yield [32] - CICC believed that the trend of household deposits moving to the market would support the A-share market [33] Today's Reminders - On November 25th, 220 bonds will be listed, 179 bonds will be issued, 108 bonds will be paid, and 242 bonds will have principal and interest repaid [34] 4. Stock Market News - The A-share market rose slightly, with military, AI, and other concepts performing well, while lithium mines declined. The trading volume reached 1.74 trillion yuan [35] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index rose by 1.97%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index soared by 2.78%. Southbound funds had a net purchase of 8.571 billion Hong Kong dollars [35] - As of November 24th, 800 listed companies received significant shareholder increases, with a total increase of 115.821 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.69% [35]

Core Insights - This week, 21 new funds are set to launch, primarily focusing on equity funds, although their proportion has decreased compared to previous weeks [1][4]. Fund Issuance Overview - A total of 21 new funds will be publicly offered this week, with 15 of them launching on Monday, accounting for over 70% of the week's total [2]. - The longest subscription period among these funds is three months, with funds like Hengsheng Qianhai Growth Power and Morgan Stanley's Tianyi [2][3]. - The average subscription period for the new funds is 23.29 days, which is longer than in previous weeks, likely due to recent market adjustments [3]. Fund Types and Categories - Equity funds remain the dominant type, with 11 out of 21 new funds classified as equity, although their share has declined [4]. - Among the equity funds, there are five index funds and three enhanced index funds, with the former making up over 45% of the equity category [4]. - Three actively managed equity funds are also being launched, all of which are mixed funds [5]. Fixed Income and Other Funds - The bond market has seen a slowdown in fund issuance, with no pure bond funds launched this week; however, seven secondary bond funds are debuting [6]. - A total of eight "fixed income plus" funds are being introduced this week, making up nearly 40% of the new offerings [6]. Fund Details - Specific funds include the China Post North 50 Index Enhanced Fund with a minimum fundraising target of 1 billion units, and several other funds with targets ranging from 10 billion to 80 billion units [3][7]. - Notable funds launching include the Dachen CSI 800 Index Enhanced Fund and the Guotai Junan Stable Xin Yi Fund, among others [7].

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant increase in the performance of the electronic sector, with TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector holdings reaching a historical high of 40% [12][12][12] - The report indicates that the electronic sector's profit growth is expected to be robust, with a projected net profit growth of 54% in 2025, followed by 34% and 25% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [12][12][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring PPI (Producer Price Index) trends, as a shift from negative to positive growth could influence market style changes, favoring value stocks over growth stocks [12][12][12] Group 2 - The report on Aofei Data (300738) indicates that the company achieved a revenue of 1.824 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.3%, and a net profit of 145 million yuan, up 37.3% [13][13][13] - Aofei Data's gross margin improved to 35% in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a significant increase of 9.4 percentage points year-on-year, with a further increase to 37.6% in Q3 [13][13][13] - The report notes that Aofei Data's asset and liability structure shows strong delivery potential for data centers, with new fixed assets amounting to 3.161 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [13][13][13] Group 3 - The report on Jinlei Co., Ltd. (300443) states that the company achieved a gross margin of 24.63% in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 1.88 percentage points year-on-year, with Q3 gross margin reaching 26.41% [15][15][15] - The report indicates that the company is expanding its high-end transmission equipment market, with a focus on free forging products, which have seen a compound annual growth rate of 57% over the past three years [15][15][15] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jinlei Co., Ltd., projecting net profits of 447 million yuan, 652 million yuan, and 758 million yuan for 2025-2027 [15][15][15] Group 4 - The report on Hisense Visual (600060) indicates that the company achieved a revenue of 42.83 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit of 1.629 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24% [18][18][18] - Hisense Visual's market share in high-end televisions remains strong, with a 41.65% retail volume share in the 100-inch and above market [18][18][18] - The report maintains a profit forecast for Hisense Visual, expecting net profits of 2.5 billion yuan, 2.757 billion yuan, and 3.012 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [18][18][18] Group 5 - The report on Xinnengda (300207) highlights that the company achieved a revenue of 21.92 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected net profit of 3.516 billion yuan by 2027 [26][26][26] - The report notes that the demand for energy storage batteries is expected to remain strong, with the company investing in a new lithium battery project in Thailand [26][26][26] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xinnengda, projecting a steady improvement in profitability due to the scale effect in the energy storage sector [26][26][26]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q3 2025, the scale of fixed - income plus funds continued to rise, with a total of 1419 funds and a scale of 1.93 trillion yuan. The issuance of such funds warmed up, especially from August to September. [8][16] - Influenced by the high - level correction in the convertible bond market, fixed - income plus products generally reduced their convertible bond positions and increased their stock positions, and most products increased their allocation to the TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors. [28][30] - In Q3 2025, the median return and maximum drawdown of fixed - income plus funds were 2.84% and - 0.85% respectively. Products with higher stock positions performed better. [36] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Scale Changes: Rapid Growth to Exceed 1.9 Trillion, High - Elasticity Secondary Bond Funds Attract Attention - **Overall Scale Trend**: The scale of fixed - income plus funds increased again in Q3 2025, showing an upward trend for four consecutive quarters. The total scale reached 1.93 trillion yuan, with an increase of 559.428 billion yuan this quarter. [8][10] - **Scale Changes by Product Type**: Except for the decline in the scale of new - share subscription funds, the scale of other products increased. Among them, the scale of low - and medium - position fixed - income plus funds increased significantly, and the scale of hybrid bond - type secondary funds rose rapidly. [10][13] - **Top - Rising Products**: The product with the largest scale increase was Yongying Steady Enhancement, with a scale increase of 27.331 billion yuan this quarter. It is a medium - volatility secondary bond fund with outstanding performance this quarter. [14] - **New Product Issuance**: In Q3 2025, fund companies issued 33 fixed - income plus funds, with a total initial issuance scale of 26.8 billion yuan. The issuance warmed up significantly from August to September. [16] - **Fund Company Perspective**: The management scales of the top 20 fund companies in terms of management scale all increased. The company with the largest scale increase was Invesco Great Wall Fund, with an increase of 78.199 billion yuan this quarter. [18] 3.2 Investment Characteristics: Lower Convertible Bond Positions, Raise Stock Positions - **Asset Allocation Characteristics**: Affected by the high - level correction in the convertible bond market, fixed - income plus products generally reduced their convertible bond positions and increased their stock positions, especially low - position fixed - income plus funds. [28] - **Industry Allocation Characteristics**: All types of fixed - income plus funds uniformly reduced their allocation to the financial real estate, consumption, medicine, and cycle sectors and increased their allocation to the science and technology innovation and advanced manufacturing sectors. [30] - **Fund Company - Level Industry Allocation Characteristics**: Among the top 10 fund companies in terms of fixed - income plus fund scale, there were significant differences in industry allocation views. For example, Invesco Great Wall Fund and Huaxia Fund over - allocated to the cycle sector, while Southern Fund and Invesco Great Wall Fund under - allocated to it. [32] - **Industry Allocation Characteristics of High - Performing Funds**: High - performing fixed - income plus funds in Q3 2025 generally had high convertible bond positions and mainly invested in the TMT, advanced manufacturing, and non - ferrous sectors. [34] 3.3 Performance Review: Huashang Fund Leads - **Overall Performance of Fixed - Income Plus Funds**: In Q3 2025, the median return and maximum drawdown of fixed - income plus funds were 2.84% and - 0.85% respectively. Products with higher stock positions performed better. [36] - **Fund Company - Level Performance**: Among the top fund companies in terms of fixed - income plus fund scale, Huashang Fund and Boshi Fund had the highest average returns. Tianhong Fund and BOC Fund had relatively similar product performance, while Huaxia Fund and Invesco Great Wall Fund had higher performance differentiation. [38] - **Performance of Large - Scale Funds**: In Q3 2025, the performance of large - scale fixed - income plus funds varied. Products with top performance in the same strategy included Invesco Great Wall Jingyi Fengli and Yongying Steady Enhancement. [39] - **High - Performing Products of Different Types of Fixed - Income Plus Funds**: The products with top returns included Hongta Hongtu Shengshang One - Year, Huatai - PineBridge Yurun, Rongtong Stable Credit Gain 6 - Month Holding, and Caitong Asset Management Xinyi. [41]

Core Viewpoint - The new fund issuance market in China remains active, with 29 new funds launched for public subscription during the week of October 20 to October 24, 2023, with equity funds being the dominant category [2][3]. Fund Issuance Overview - A total of 29 new funds were launched, with 26 of them debuting on Monday, October 20, accounting for nearly 90% of the week's total [4]. - The average subscription period for the new funds was 28.79 days, which is significantly longer compared to previous periods, likely due to recent market adjustments [4]. - The longest subscription period was three months for five funds, while the shortest was five days for two passive index funds [4]. Fund Types and Goals - Among the 29 new funds, 22 specified fundraising targets, with three funds aiming for 8 billion units, while the lowest target was 500 million units for three funds [5]. - Equity funds comprised over 80% of the new offerings, with 24 funds categorized as such, including 11 index funds and 4 enhanced index funds [7]. - Several new funds focused on Hong Kong-related indices and those tracking the ChiNext and free cash flow indices [7]. Active Equity Funds - The active equity funds included eight mixed funds, with three featuring floating fee structures and two being quantitative products [8]. - Investment directions varied, with some funds targeting the Hong Kong market and others focusing on niche sectors [8]. Bond and Mixed Funds - Only three bond funds were launched, indicating a cooling in bond fund issuance amid market adjustments [8]. - Two mixed FOFs were also introduced, both adopting a conservative investment style [8].

Core Insights - In the first nine months of 2025, over 2,900 fund products announced dividends totaling more than 180 billion yuan, representing a nearly 30% increase compared to the same period last year [3][6] - The "fixed income+" funds showed strong performance in Q3, with over 90% of approximately 3,700 products achieving positive returns, and some funds rising over 33% [3][5] Fund Performance - Q3 saw public fund dividends exceeding 55.5 billion yuan, with equity funds contributing 11.6 billion yuan, nearly doubling year-on-year [6][20] - The total dividend for the year reached 182.5 billion yuan, a 29% increase year-on-year, reflecting improved profitability driven by a recovering A-share market [6][20] ETF Market Dynamics - In September, over 110 billion yuan flowed into stock ETFs, marking a significant monthly net inflow [7][10] - The total market size of ETFs reached 5.63 trillion yuan by the end of September, with stock ETFs surpassing 3.7 trillion yuan and bond ETFs nearing 700 billion yuan [8][9] New Fund Issuance - September 2025 saw a record high in new fund issuance, with 201 new public funds established, totaling 167.3 billion units [13][20] - The year-to-date issuance of new funds increased by over 30% compared to the previous year, with a notable rise in equity and bond funds [20] Notable Fund Performances - Several large-scale funds achieved returns exceeding 100% over the past year, with some funds showing gains of over 150% [18][19] - The top-performing funds included those focused on advanced manufacturing and carbon neutrality themes, reflecting strong market interest in these sectors [19] Regulatory and Market Developments - The public fund fee reform is accelerating, with a focus on reducing fees for money market funds [17] - The first foreign consumer REIT, Huaxia Kaide Commercial REIT, was successfully listed, marking a significant step in the internationalization of China's REIT market [15][16]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The proposed multi - objective - oriented Tikhonov regression model can effectively measure the multi - asset positions of "Fixed Income +" funds, with high accuracy in identifying significant position adjustments and providing key value for fund evaluation and investment practice [3]. - The model can track the flow of funds in "Fixed Income +" funds and identify significant position - adjustment behaviors, helping investors capture market signals and select products with sustainable timing capabilities [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs I. Research Background and Model Introduction of "Fixed Income +" Fund Position Measurement 1. Background and Market - mainstream Model Methods Review - Measuring fund positions is necessary for understanding the asset structure of "Fixed Income +" funds, enhancing investment transparency, and strengthening risk management. In a low - interest - rate environment, "Fixed Income +" funds are important for capital inflow and stable value - added, and high - frequency position monitoring can provide basis for portfolio optimization [7]. - The current market - mainstream method for measuring fund positions is to construct a regression model based on fund net value and market indices and estimate positions through a portfolio optimization framework, which can provide high - frequency and dynamic position tracking [7]. 2. Systemic Dilemmas of Mainstream Measurement Models in "Fixed Income +" Fund Applications - Mainstream models cannot measure multi - asset portfolios, have low interpretability, significantly underestimate pure - bond positions, and have regression variable setting biases [8][9][10]. 3. Tikhonov Regression: A New Method for Solving Multi - asset Measurement Problems - Tikhonov regression is an extension of ridge regression, which can solve the multi - collinearity problem of multi - asset regression by designing a specific regularization matrix [12][14]. 4. Optimization of Tikhonov Regression Loss Function - Instead of using hard constraints, the loss function is optimized by introducing L1 and L2 regularization to achieve soft constraints, which can maintain numerical optimality and practical investment restrictions [17][18]. 5. Definition of Tikhonov Regression Equation - A unified modeling framework under 1/2 regularization conditions is defined, providing a basis for solving the optimal position [19][20]. 6. Solution of Regression Problem with L1/L2 Regularization - The gradient/ sub - gradient descent method is used to iteratively update parameters to approximate the optimal solution, obtaining the optimal position estimation of funds in various assets [21]. II. Implementation Process and Result Presentation of "Fixed Income +" Fund Position Measurement Model 1. Construction of Regression Indices - The regression indices of the fund pool are finely divided. The convertible bond and stock ends combine "individual characteristics" and "group characteristics" to construct indices, while the pure - bond end uses ChinaBond indices for regression according to the fund's position structure [26]. 2. Index Correlation - The average correlation coefficients within the pure - bond and stock index pools are relatively reasonable. By classifying funds and mapping industries, the correlation between indices is further reduced, improving the stability and reliability of regression results [32]. 3. Multi - objective - oriented Tikhonov Regression Algorithm - The data is constructed and pre - processed, the regression model is defined, the augmented matrix is built, and the solver is used to calculate. The results are visualized and analyzed to verify the rationality and interpretability of the model [34]. 4. Model Results - The model has high accuracy in measuring the positions of "Fixed Income +" funds. In August, the overall equity - containing position of "Fixed Income +" funds increased slightly, with a structural differentiation between stock and convertible bond positions [37]. 5. Error Distribution - The measurement errors of pure - bond and stock positions are relatively small and concentrated, while the error of convertible bond positions is relatively controllable. The model can be further optimized to improve the measurement accuracy of convertible bond positions [40]. 6. Classification by Equity - containing Exposure - The model can accurately track the asset allocation levels of various funds. For funds with different equity - containing exposures, the position centers and absolute errors of pure - bond, stock, and convertible bond positions vary [42]. 7. Stability of Large - scale Fund Position Measurement - The model has better stability in measuring the positions of large - scale funds, effectively tracking their dynamic position adjustments [46]. III. Applications of "Fixed Income +" Fund Position Measurement Model 1. High - frequency Tracking of Fund Flows - The model can effectively track the flow of funds in the stock positions of "Fixed Income +" funds. Most industries showed slight increases in positions this month, and the concentration of the top three industries increased, indicating a strengthening of market consensus. Leading funds have a more active equity allocation strategy [52]. 2. Identification of Significant Position - adjustment Behaviors - The model can identify significant position - adjustment behaviors with a win - rate of nearly 80%, which is helpful for evaluating the timing ability of fund managers and providing reference for asset allocation [54].

Core Insights - The new fund issuance is experiencing a peak following the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival, marking the final push for fund managers in 2023 [2] - A total of 23 funds were launched on October 9, with nearly 70 new funds scheduled for October, including several actively managed equity funds led by high-performing fund managers [2][3] Fund Types and Performance - Actively managed equity funds, index funds, and hybrid bond funds are the main types of new funds, expected to bring additional capital to the equity market [2] - 19 actively managed equity funds are set to launch post-holiday, with a focus on technology-themed funds due to strong performance in the first three quarters of the year [3] - Notable fund managers, such as Guan Fuqin and Yan Siqian, are leading new fund launches, with some funds achieving over 100% growth this year [3][4] Market Trends - The issuance of index funds is also robust, with over 30 new products scheduled for October, covering various indices to meet diverse investor needs [5] - The bond fund market is shifting towards hybrid bond funds, with no pure bond funds being launched, reflecting recent poor performance in the bond market [6] - The overall new fund issuance has rebounded in 2023, with 1,148 new funds established in the first three quarters, surpassing the total for the previous year [7][8] Notable Fund Launches - Major actively managed equity funds launched this year include the招商均衡优选混合基金, which raised nearly 5 billion, marking it as the largest actively managed fund this year [8] - The trend of increasing trust in actively managed equity funds correlates with the positive changes in the stock market, while the bond fund market has seen a significant decline [8]