Performance Insights - In Q1 2025, convertible bond funds achieved a median return of 3.48%, outperforming pure bond funds which had a median return of -0.19%[1] - The first quarter saw significant growth in the scale of convertible bond funds, reaching 98.4 billion CNY, an increase of 3.6% from the previous quarter[2] - The excess return of convertible bond funds was highlighted, with a 25th percentile excess return of 1.72%[8] Fund Size and Positioning - The scale of first and second-tier bond funds increased by 331 billion CNY and 871 billion CNY, reaching 7686 billion CNY and 7692 billion CNY respectively in Q1 2025[2] - Convertible bond fund positions increased by 0.32 percentage points to 91.24%, marking a historical high[2] - Traditional bond funds saw a reduction in convertible bond positions, with first-tier bond funds decreasing by 0.04 percentage points to 8.65%[22] Market Trends and Strategies - Public funds focused on increasing positions in sectors like AI and photovoltaic components while reducing exposure to banks and brokerages[34] - The overall market environment in April 2025 is characterized by uncertainties, prompting a cautious approach among fund managers[3] - The preference for lower-risk bond funds is driven by banks' risk appetite and capital usage considerations[23] Risk Factors - Potential risks include accelerated style rotation in equity markets and unexpected adjustments in convertible bond market rules[4]

自2014年以来，政策利率和市场利率逐步进入下行通道。2020年疫情的爆发加速了这一趋势，而 2024年以来在全球降息的大背景下，国内利率下行的节奏进一步加快。 具体来看，1年期和5年期 贷款市场报价利率（LPR）分别从2019年底的4.15%和4.8%，逐步降低至目前的3.1%和3.6%；公 开市场7天期逆回购操作利率也从2.5%降至1.5%；中期借贷便利（MLF）利率也有多次调整，从 2019年底的3.25%逐步降低至目前的2%。 2024年12月9日，中央政治局会议中将货币政策基调 从"稳健"转变为"适度宽松"，这是自2011年以来的首次调整，市场普遍预期央行2025年将采取更 大力度的降息政策。 导语 在经历了由疫情引发的、起伏多变的政策环境后，全球多家央行已陆续开启降息周期。回首此前 动荡的几年，众多央行先是出于应对危机的考量，将政策利率下调至历史低位，随后却在严峻的 通胀压力下一路加息，将利率升至数十年来的高位。所幸的是，海外通胀压力已逐步得到缓解。 在此背景下，主要央行的有序降息再度被提上日程——尽管时间上稍晚于市场预期，降息幅度也 可能相对温和。 与全球多数经济体近几年的利率走势不同，中国自2 ...