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AI 教父 Hinton:未来 10 年,人和 AI,谁在给谁打工?
3 6 Ke· 2025-11-24 00:14
2025 年11月18日,谷歌发布 Gemini 3,号称"最智能的AI模型"。两天后,基于Gemini 3 的图像生成工 具 Nano Banana Pro 上线,Adobe、Figma等主流设计平台立即整合。 Gemini 3 比上一代提前了 7 个月发布。这是前所未有的加速。 就在 Gemini 3 发布的第二天,11 月 19 日,美国参议员伯尼·桑德斯(Bernie Sanders)在乔治城大学组 织了一场 AI 对谈。 过去一年里,Hinton 也不止一次公开警告:AI 会带来大规模失业,富人会更富,大多数人会被挤出 去。他给出的时间表是:超级智能可能在 10 到 20 年内出现,甚至更早。 而谷歌的节奏似乎在印证他的判断。Gemini 3 可以自主整理邮件、安排旅行、开发应用,Nano Banana Pro 让一个设计师完成原本需要整个团队的工作。一个分析师问:几年后这些步骤还需要几个人? Hinton在对谈中指向了三个层面: 那天,坐在现场正面回应的,是 AI 教父 Geoffrey Hinton。 在对谈中,桑德斯引用了两个人的话: AI 和机器人会把所有工作都干了。——马斯克 大部分事情都 ...
知情人士回应长城旗下毫末智行原地解散;钟睒睒向一中学捐款1亿元;苏姿丰:不担心AI泡沫,投资不够反而比较危险丨邦早报
创业邦· 2025-11-24 00:08
Group 1 - The sudden suspension of operations at Haomo Technology, a subsidiary of Great Wall Motors, affects approximately 200 employees, with no clear timeline for resumption [4] - Xiaomi's Vice President clarified that rumors regarding a fatal accident involving Xiaomi vehicles are false, urging the public not to spread misinformation [4] - Nongfu Spring's founder, Zhong Shanshan, donated 100 million yuan to establish an education fund, contributing to a total of 1.42 billion yuan raised by various enterprises for local education [6] Group 2 - The introduction of the C7 driver's license for low-speed electric vehicles has been denied by traffic management authorities in Shanghai and Guangzhou, despite media speculation [8] - AMD's CEO, Lisa Su, expressed confidence in the AI market's growth, stating that under-investment poses a greater risk than over-investment, with the AI and data center market projected to reach 1 trillion USD by 2030 [9] - Xiaomi clarified that a recent fire incident in its battery production line was due to operational errors during equipment testing, with no injuries reported [10] Group 3 - Xibei restaurant chain has reduced prices on nearly 40 menu items by 5% to 20%, coinciding with the opening of a new location in Nanjing [12] - OpenAI's CEO, Sam Altman, warned of potential economic challenges due to Google's advancements in AI, while maintaining confidence in OpenAI's competitive edge [12] - Insurance companies in China are developing specialized insurance products for humanoid robots to address risks associated with their deployment in public and private sectors [13] Group 4 - Chang'an Automobile plans to release its first vehicle-mounted robotic component in Q1 2024 as part of its strategy to integrate robotics into various applications [15] - The UK government announced an additional 1.3 billion GBP (approximately 121.09 billion yuan) in electric vehicle subsidies to promote zero-emission transportation [15] - Domestic semiconductor company, Xintai Technology, completed a C+ round of financing to support the production of automotive-grade chips and the establishment of a domestic supply chain [16] Group 5 - Fengfei Aviation launched a zero-carbon eVTOL water airport, expanding low-altitude infrastructure to water bodies for various applications [17] - The low-altitude economy market in China is expected to reach 1.5 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by significant growth in the low-altitude equipment sector [21] - China's film industry has surpassed 46 billion yuan in annual box office revenue for 2025, with expectations for further growth during the holiday season [21]
领益智造冲刺港股,豪赌AI还是“果链”逃生?
Core Viewpoint - Lingyi Zhizhao is shifting its focus to the Hong Kong stock market after years of fluctuations in the A-share capital market, aiming to diversify its capital sources and reduce reliance on major clients [4]. Group 1: Market Position and Financial Performance - Lingyi Zhizhao leads in market share within the consumer electronics and AI terminal hardware sectors, with a comprehensive manufacturing capability covering structural components, modules, thermal management, and batteries [3][6]. - The company's revenue from 2022 to 2024 is projected to be 34.5 billion, 34.1 billion, and 44.2 billion respectively, with gross profits of 7.15 billion, 6.805 billion, and 6.974 billion, indicating a stable revenue growth trend [6]. - The gross margin for the same period is maintained above 15%, showing a downward trend from 20.73% to 15.77%, while net margins are projected at 4.61%, 6%, and 3.98% [6]. Group 2: Revenue Structure and Client Dependency - In the first three quarters of 2025, Lingyi Zhizhao's revenue reached approximately 37.6 billion, with a net profit of 1.941 billion and a gross margin of 16.61% [7]. - The revenue structure is heavily reliant on AI terminals, which accounted for about 92.13% of total revenue in 2024, with the highest contribution coming from imaging display business [7][8]. - A significant portion of the company's revenue comes from a few major clients, with the top five clients contributing 49.1%, 52.0%, 56.0%, and 56.4% of total revenue over the reporting periods [8]. Group 3: Acquisition and Market Strategy - Lingyi Zhizhao recently adjusted its acquisition plan for Jiangsu Keda, changing from a convertible bond and cash method to a cash-only acquisition, raising questions about the valuation of the target company [10]. - The acquisition of Jiangsu Keda, which was seen as a breakthrough for Lingyi's automotive business, faced scrutiny due to discrepancies in revenue growth and profitability compared to industry peers [12]. - The company’s historical focus on simple structural components has evolved into a multi-process supply chain integration capability, driven by close ties with end brands and rapid response to market demands [14].
2025年汽车行业研究报告
艾瑞咨询· 2025-11-24 00:05
汽车行业 丨研究报告 核心摘要: 广告汽车行业作为重要的支柱产业,正经历深度变革,行业格局与用户决策逻辑迎来全新重构。 从行业视角看,自主品牌成为行业主要增长引擎,新能源技术改写价值规则、引发价格圈层化经营;从用户 视角看,购车决策周期缩短但对比更细致,新能源用户偏好科技与智能化,AI搜索与专业内容影响用户决 策;从生态视角看,百度依托AI技术升级搜索与内容,构建"AI新经营+AI全域通"营销体系,为车企打通用 户触达、心智占领、转化流程的全链路。 2025年中国车市三大变革定义车市新秩序——自主加冕、 溢价重塑、结构裂 变 · 自主品牌销量加冕,自主品牌成车市增长唯一引擎,新车发布占比65%,驱动车市 销量+9.2%增长 · 能源换代溢价重塑,新能源 技术平权已改写用户溢价决策标准,重塑价格、重塑价 值、重塑豪华 · 决策竞争结构裂变,价 格圈层经营成未来营销转型新战场,极致降本增效成为经营 新挑战 自主加冕-自主品牌成为车市增长唯一驱动引擎 2025年1-9月自主品牌销量同比+20.3%净增长185.5万辆,驱动车市+9.2%高速增长, 从中国车市历史以来的"合资引领,自主跟随"局面,在今年彻底颠覆 溢价 ...
华泰证券A股策略:配置上围绕中期主线 重视安全边际
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 00:05
华泰证券发布A股策略研报称,近期AI叙事起争论、流动性有所收紧、地缘扰动构成了市场波动加大的 底色,当前市场调整已初步具备空间感,对应9月下旬市场中枢位或有较强支撑,后续伴随着海外流动 性预期改善、国内资金压力减弱、市场情绪进一步消化,行情走势环境或更加健康。配置上,当前市场 估值接近"合理"中枢,若超调则可适度提升仓位,配置上围绕中期主线、重视安全边际,关注低位内需 消费、国产算力、创新药等,继续持有大金融以降低波动性。 ...
越跌越买?超700亿资金借道ETF逆势加仓
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-24 00:04
近日,股市回调,市场担忧情绪再度蔓延。 11月21日,A股放量大跌,上证指数下跌2.45%,报收3834.89点,深证成指、创业板指分别下跌 3.41%、4.02%,全市场近5100只个股下跌,前期高歌猛进的AI、芯片、锂电等热门板块集体调整。 在市场调整之际,大量资金却在借道ETF越跌越买、逆势加仓。多家基金公司认为,美联储降息预 期下降、AI泡沫担忧升温等外部因素是近期市场回调的主因,导致海外悲观情绪传导至国内,但在国 内科技产业和反内卷政策支持下,中国资产"慢牛"仍然可期。 超700亿资金借道ETF逆势加仓 近一周以来(11月17日至11月21日),股市出现了明显调整,其中上证指数单周跌幅3.9%,深证 成指单周下跌5.03%,创业板指和恒生科技指数更是大跌5.96%、6.28%。 同时,前期的高景气赛道更是领跌市场,申万焦炭、光伏设备、电子、电池、化工等行业指数单周 跌幅超10%。 但就在市场调整之际,大量资金却在借道ETF越跌越买、逆势加仓。 具体到行业层面,周期、成长跌幅较大,有色金属、电力设备和基础化工等行业表现靠后,消费和 金融则相对稳定。华宝基金认为,这主要是因为AI泡沫担忧并未完全缓解,叠 ...
华泰证券:AI叙事起争论、流动性收紧、地缘扰动构成了近期市场回调底色,当前A股回调已初具空间感
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 23:58
Core Viewpoint - Recent market adjustments are attributed to debates surrounding AI narratives, tightening liquidity, and geopolitical disturbances, which have collectively increased market volatility [2][3]. Market Adjustment Factors - The market correction is driven by multiple factors: 1) Growing skepticism among global investors regarding sustained capital expenditure in AI, exacerbated by Nvidia's unexpected earnings report leading to a decline in its stock price, heightening investor concerns and market deleveraging [2][3]. 2) Year-end profit preservation sentiment among investors and tightening dollar liquidity expectations have disturbed global risk assets, with the Fed's rate cut expectations dropping to about 30% [2]. 3) Increased geopolitical tensions have accelerated a risk-off sentiment in the market, reflected in declines across various asset classes including stocks, bonds, and gold [2]. A-shares Market Valuation - Current A-share market adjustments indicate a preliminary sense of space, with a model predicting a reasonable forward PE TTM of approximately 13.6x for the Shanghai Composite Index, suggesting strong support around the market's central position in late September [3]. Liquidity Improvement Signals - Positive signals for liquidity include: 1) A potential reduction in leverage among financing funds, with the average guarantee ratio in the margin trading market falling to early August levels [4]. 2) A continued upward trend in private equity fund registrations [4]. 3) Investor sentiment, as measured by the breadth index, has declined to near yearly lows, indicating a potential recovery foundation [4]. 4) The peak of stock unlocks has passed, alleviating supply-side pressures [4]. Investment Strategy and Focus Areas - Emphasis on safety margins in investment strategies, focusing on: 1) Identifying stocks with low valuation and low crowding, particularly in sectors like seasoning and fermentation, leisure food, and communication services [5]. 2) Basic fundamentals, targeting sectors with improving supply-demand dynamics, such as textiles, commercial vehicles, and rare metals [5]. 3) High-dividend assets, as market risk appetite declines, with a focus on cyclical dividends in coal, chemicals, and steel, as well as potential dividends in railroads, food processing, and construction materials [5].
早报|俞敏洪长文再回应并道歉;钟睒睒向一中学捐款一亿元;多地否认试点“老头乐”C7驾照;小米汽车未交车却催尾款,法院判返双倍定金
虎嗅APP· 2025-11-23 23:56
大家早上好!这里是今天的早报,每天早上,我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 昨夜今晨 【浙江一所中学,获得农夫山泉创始人钟睒睒1亿元捐款】 据每日经济新闻,11月22日,浙江诸暨市举行教育大会,诸暨市教育强市奖励基金成立。大会现场收到多家企 业总计1.42亿元捐赠。 其中,农夫山泉创始人钟睒睒个人出资,向诸暨中学捐赠1亿元,成立诸暨中学钟子逸教育基金项目。 资料显示,浙江省诸暨中学创办于1912年,位于暨阳路47号,是浙江省首批一级重点中学和浙江省首批一级特 色示范高中。作为百年老校,诸暨中学培养出了赵忠尧、何增禄、徐逸樵、何占豪、钱君匋等4万多名优秀学 子。 据绍兴网,钟睒睒祖籍诸暨,钟子逸是其祖父,诸暨中学是钟子逸红色思想的起源地。另据诸暨日报,钟子逸 出生于1899年。1924年9月,钟子逸在宁波加入中国共产党,1926年12月,与寿松涛等在国民党诸暨县党部内 成立了中共诸暨城区支部,任书记。 钟子逸历任天津市社会调查局调查员、天津《世界诚报》编辑、《新民日报》及晚报总编辑兼政治编辑。1931 年夏秋间,应叔叔邀约到上海玛特纳木器厂工作。1932年秋,离上海去香港筹办分厂,任厂长。 据悉,钟 ...
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures leap sparking hopes of a rebound to balance November losses
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-23 23:47
Market Overview - US stock futures rose as investors anticipate a market turnaround in the Thanksgiving trading week, following a recent pullback in AI-driven stocks [1] - Major indexes have experienced notable losses in November, with the S&P 500 down 3.5% month-to-date and the Nasdaq Composite down 6.1% [2][3] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve Bank of New York president suggested a potential rate cut in December, contributing to Friday's market rebound [2] - Upcoming economic data releases include producer prices and retail sales for September, which are expected to provide insights into the economic landscape [4] Earnings Reports - The earnings season continues with key releases from companies such as Alibaba Holdings, Dell Technologies, and retailers like Kohl's and Best Buy during the holiday-shortened week [5]
华泰策略:当前市场已初步具备空间感 估值接近“合理”中枢
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 23:42
Core Viewpoint - Recent market adjustments are attributed to multiple factors including debates over AI narratives, tightening liquidity, and geopolitical disturbances [2][3] Market Adjustment Factors - The skepticism surrounding sustained capital expenditure in AI has increased among global investors, exacerbated by Nvidia's unexpected earnings report leading to a decline in its stock price [2] - Investor sentiment is influenced by a strong desire to preserve returns as the year-end approaches, alongside tightening dollar liquidity expectations impacting global risk assets [2] - Geopolitical issues have intensified, contributing to a risk-off sentiment in the market, as evidenced by declines across various asset classes including stocks, bonds, and gold [2] A-Share Market Outlook - The current A-share market correction shows signs of having sufficient space for recovery, with a projected "reasonable" forward PE TTM level for the Shanghai Composite Index at approximately 13.6x [2] - The market is expected to find strong support around the central level established in late September, and any significant market overcorrection could present further investment opportunities [2] Liquidity and Market Sentiment - Positive signals indicate potential improvement in liquidity, with a rapid increase in December Fed rate cut expectations to over 70% following positive remarks from the New York Fed President [3] - Domestic liquidity shows signs of recovery, with a decrease in the average guarantee ratio in the margin financing market and a rebound in private equity fund registrations [3] - The recent peak in stock unlocks has passed, alleviating supply-side pressures in the market [3] Investment Strategy - Emphasis on safety margins in investment strategies is crucial under current high volatility conditions, focusing on sectors with low valuation and improving fundamentals such as seasoning and fermentation products, leisure foods, and communication services [3] - Attention should also be given to high-dividend assets as market risk appetite declines, with recommendations to consider cyclical dividends from sectors like coal, chemicals, and steel, as well as potential dividends from railways and food processing [3]