房地产市场止跌回稳
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新政来了,北京楼市将发生哪些变化?精准释放改善需求
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-08-09 07:38
Core Viewpoint - Beijing's new real estate policy aims to boost market expectations and activity, facilitating a stabilization in the housing market [1][7]. Group 1: Policy Changes - Families meeting certain criteria can now purchase an unlimited number of homes outside the Fifth Ring Road in Beijing, which includes both new and second-hand properties [2][3]. - The policy removes the distinction between single and married individuals regarding purchase limits, applying the same rules to all adult individuals [2]. - The new policy does not alter the basic eligibility criteria for purchasing homes, such as the duration of social insurance contributions [2]. Group 2: Impact on Market Dynamics - The Fifth Ring Road is a key area for real estate transactions, with over 80% of new residential sales occurring there from January to July this year [3]. - The policy is expected to support the balance between work and residence, allowing families with real needs to enter the market [3][7]. - The new measures are seen as timely interventions to enhance market activity, especially as recent data indicated a slight weakening in the housing market [7][8]. Group 3: Public Fund Loan Adjustments - The new policy introduces significant changes to public fund loans, including a new standard for first-time homebuyers and increased loan limits for second homes [4][5]. - The maximum loan limit for second homes has increased from 600,000 to 1,000,000 yuan, with a uniform down payment requirement of 30% [4]. - Homebuyers can now withdraw public funds for down payments, reducing the upfront financial burden on first-time buyers [6]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The policy is expected to reinforce the previous stabilization of the market, with analysts predicting a continuation of positive trends in the third quarter [7][8]. - The adjustments are seen as a signal for potential further relaxations in housing policies in other major cities, such as Shenzhen and Shanghai [8].
政策以更大力度推动房地产市场止跌回稳
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-08-08 07:59
各线城市房价同比降幅收窄 从环比来看,5月份,各线城市商品住宅销售价格下降。一线城市除上海外新房价格环比由上月持 平转为下降0.2%。一线城市二手房价格环比降幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点至0.7%,4个一线城市均下降。 二线和三线城市新房价格分别环比下降0.2%、0.3%,降幅分别比上月扩大0.2个、0.1个百分点;二、三 线城市二手房价格环比均下降0.5%,降幅均扩大0.1个百分点。 今年以来,随着各项稳定房地产政策加快落实,房地产市场运行总体平稳。国家统计局6月16日发 布的数据显示,5月份,70个大中城市中,各线城市商品住宅销售价格环比下降,同比降幅继续收窄。1 至5月份,新建商品房销售面积同比下降2.9%,销售额下降3.8%,均较1至4月份有所下滑。 "价格涨涨跌跌属于行业规律,尤其是在前几个月政策效应强、市场需求释放较好的背景下,要客 观看待一些城市价格下降的现象。"上海易居房地产研究院副院长严跃进对《金融时报》记者表示,当 前,市场需求相对有所下降,开发商落实以价换量策略符合供求关系,也有助于促进交易量上升。各地 考虑到高品质住宅项目陆续入市,一些存量项目加快降价销售,这是企业自身的定价策略。 值得 ...
全国百城新建住宅均价小幅上涨,二手房价走弱
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-08 02:13
Group 1 - The average price of new residential properties in 100 cities in July was 16,877 yuan per square meter, with a month-on-month increase of 0.18% and a year-on-year increase of 2.64% [1] - The average price of second-hand residential properties in the same cities was 13,585 yuan per square meter, showing a month-on-month decrease of 0.77% and a year-on-year decrease of 7.32% [1] - The overall real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with potential for slight fluctuations in housing prices as policies take effect [1] Group 2 - The narrowing gap between net rental yields and mortgage rates is a key observation point for the bottoming out of total demand for new and second-hand homes [2] - The new housing market is expected to improve earlier than the second-hand market due to expectations of reduced supply, improved quality of supply, and significant differentiation among homebuyers [2] - In July, the total bond financing in the real estate sector reached 71.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90.3%, with credit bond financing accounting for 45.65 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 104.8% [2]
多地部署下半年地产工作:力推楼市止跌回稳 聚焦城市更新
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-08-07 16:27
本报记者 张芗逸 近期,多地对下半年工作进行部署安排。记者梳理发现,对于房地产相关领域,多地一方面表态将持续推动楼市止跌回 稳,另一方面也将城市更新列为下半年的工作重点。 中指研究院政策研究总监陈文静表示,稳定房地产市场对于稳定宏观经济至关重要,6月13日召开的国务院常务会议明确 指出要更大力度推动房地产市场止跌回稳,为地方政府指明了政策方向。此外,近期召开的中央城市工作会议锚定了城市发展 新方向,城市更新的重要性明显提升,各地积极贯彻落实会议精神,发力高质量开展城市更新。 持续发力稳市场 前述广东省召开的会议也要求,要认真落实中央城市工作会议精神,推动城市高质量发展,稳步推进城中村和老旧小区改 造。 江苏省政府8月5日召开的促消费工作专题会议提出,要持续推动房地产市场止跌回稳,高质量开展城市更新,加大"好房 子"建设供给,巩固扩大房票安置成效,更好释放住房消费需求。 7月28日,云南省住房和城乡建设厅党组成员、副厅长黄媛在云南省2025年上半年经济运行情况新闻发布会上表示,下一 步将"促进房地产市场供求总量平衡、结构合理、价格稳定、健康发展"。 7月17日召开的2025年广东全省上半年经济形势分析会暨省委财 ...
每经热评︱实现房地产市场止跌回稳,民企力量不容忽视
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-07 11:56
民企们正试图重新在土拍市场争夺话语权。 在深圳,7月出让的龙华区地块容积率仅3.1,明显低于以往动辄4以上的水平;广州白云区龙归地块在 出让前经过多次调规,从最初容积率3.0、配建8000平方米回迁房,调整为容积率1.7并取消回迁房配 建,为民企建设高品质住宅提供了更大空间;杭州则对7月底出让的石桥单元地块提出明确要求:住宅 层高不小于3米,高层住宅设置架空层且层高不低于4米,每单元至少设置1部担架电梯…… 这些"竞品质"规则倒逼房企提升产品力,同时保障了项目品质,"诚意满满"的地块,则向民企开发商释 放了更友好的信号。地方政府的精准供地策略与民企的开发需求,已经形成了有效对接。 事实上,这一轮楼市调控后,相关民企也经历了大浪淘沙,目前仍在投资拿地的民企已经与之前大不相 同,而现阶段楼市也确实存在不少结构性机遇。当前,一些中小规模房企或实业企业下属开发商争相进 入土拍市场、参与房地产建设,虽然规模与过去那些大型房企难以比肩,但依然值得关注和肯定。毕 竟,要持续用力推动房地产市场止跌回稳,民企始终不可缺位。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 比如,上海祺祥旺宇置业有限公司(以下简称祺祥旺宇)拿下的是"全国单价地王", ...
港股异动丨内房股普涨 中国金茂、建发国际涨超4%
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-08-07 02:33
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong real estate stocks have generally risen, with notable increases in companies such as China Jinmao and Jianfa International Group, indicating a potential recovery in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong real estate stocks saw significant gains, with China Jinmao and Jianfa International Group rising over 4%, and Yuexiu Property increasing by 2.6% [1] - Other companies like Longfor Group, CIFI Holdings, Shimao Group, and R&F Properties also experienced gains exceeding 1% [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - Huatai Securities' research report suggests that the foundation for a medium to long-term stabilization in the real estate market is being established, although full recovery will take time [1] - The report outlines potential policy directions for the second half of the year, including stabilizing housing price expectations, effectively stimulating home-buying demand, optimizing land acquisition to reduce inventory, and focusing on funding sources for urban renewal [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Huatai Securities favors the recovery pace in core cities, particularly first-tier cities, and continues to recommend developers with "good credit, good cities, and good products" [1] - The report also highlights the attractiveness of leading property management companies with stable dividends and performance, as well as local Hong Kong real estate stocks benefiting from asset revaluation [1]
华泰证券:房地产市场中长期“止跌回稳”的基础正在构建
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-06 23:53
人民财讯8月7日电,华泰证券研报称,供需结合来看,房地产市场中长期"止跌回稳"的基础正在构建, 但要全面达成仍需要时间。展望下半年,政策发力方向可能包括:1、稳定房价预期是第一步;2、更有 效地激活购房需求;3、优化收储发力去库存;4、关注城市更新资金来源。华泰证券更看好以一线城市 为代表的核心城市复苏节奏,继续推荐具备"好信用、好城市、好产品"逻辑的"三好"地产开发商,分红 与业绩稳健的头部物管公司,以及受益于香港资产重估逻辑的香港本地地产股。 ...
前北大教授姚洋和孟晓苏:为何房价还在下跌?凭什么不救三好生?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 12:41
现在看来,房地产市场仍然处在一个非常关键的调整阶段,虽然说大方向上,有各种利好政策的组合加持,市场有向好趋势,但是短期内,又出现了回落。 中指在近日公布7月份百城房价数据显示,百城二手住宅均价为13585元/平方米,环比下跌0.77%,同比下跌7.32%,同环比的跌幅比例相较上个月都出现了 扩大趋势。二手房市场作为楼市晴雨表,其波动趋势关乎我们对未来政策调整的判断。 姚洋最近有点火,从北京转向上海,他的吐槽引发了热议,这里就不参与评论了。如今姚洋已经是上海财经大学滴水湖高级金融学院院长。 无论是姚洋还是孟晓苏可以说对房地产的研究都很资深了,所以也都有独到的见解。 说实话,今天还在谈房地产未来有没有潜力,这个问题并不难,如果选好参照物就很好回答。如果房地产跟当年最辉煌的时候比,我告诉你,房地产已经告 别高速增长的时代,这跟过去的模式已经被淘汰有很大关系,再说,花无百日红,哪里有什么永远? 房地产走到今天也是必然的,理性来说,城镇化率已经达到比较高的水平,人口增长红利已经大不如前,所以,加上老百姓虽然还在为住房发愁,但是整体 上房子总量并不缺,那么也就意味着房地产不可能回到过去那种高速模式了。 2024年9月那么 ...
行业周报:新房成交面积环比增加,调控政策持续松绑-20250803
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-03 14:35
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - New housing transaction area increased month-on-month, while regulatory policies continue to be relaxed. The overall real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with potential for slight fluctuations in housing prices during this process [5][60] - The land transaction area decreased year-on-year, but the premium rate increased month-on-month. The credit bond issuance scale increased year-on-year but decreased month-on-month [5][48] Summary by Sections Sales Sector - In the 31st week of 2025, the transaction area of new homes in 68 major cities was 2.15 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 31% but a month-on-month increase of 11%. Cumulatively, the transaction area from the beginning of the year to date reached 72.96 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 10% [7][30] - The transaction area of second-hand homes in 20 cities was 1.75 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth rate of +2% [33] Investment Sector - In the 31st week of 2025, 100 major cities launched land planning with a total area of 22.6 million square meters, with a transaction area of 20.29 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 23%. The premium rate for land transactions was 9% [38] - The Nanjing land auction market was active, successfully selling 13 residential land parcels, with premiums of 54.38%, 33.87%, and 0.17% for three parcels, totaling 6.8915 billion yuan [8][41] Financing Sector - In the 31st week of 2025, the issuance of credit bonds was 4.73 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21% but a month-on-month decrease of 74%. The cumulative issuance scale was 228.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8% [48][48]
销售探底但地王频现,百强房企7月遭遇“冰火两重天”
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-08-01 11:27
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the performance of the top 100 real estate companies in July 2025 showed a significant decline, with sales amounting to 236.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.2% [1] - Only about 30% of the top 100 real estate companies achieved positive year-on-year sales growth in July [1] - Cumulative sales for the top 100 real estate companies from January to July 2025 reached 2,073.01 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 13.3% [1] Group 2 - Among the top real estate companies, only five surpassed 100 billion yuan in sales, with Poly Developments leading at 163.2 billion yuan [2] - The land market in core cities remains active, with total land acquisition by the top 100 companies reaching 578.3 billion yuan from January to July 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.3% [2] - The competition for quality land in core cities is intense, with record-breaking land prices, such as a plot in Shanghai's Xuhui District selling for 200,000 yuan per square meter [2] Group 3 - Fitch Ratings emphasizes that actively acquiring land is crucial for Chinese rated real estate companies to maintain competitiveness, as new land sales typically outpace old inventory [3] - The supply of residential land in first-tier cities has increased significantly this year, with varying trends in land prices across cities [3] - The central government's macro policy aims to enhance stability and flexibility, with a focus on high-quality urban renewal as a key development strategy [3]