Group 1 - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aims to deepen reforms in the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, ChiNext, and Beijing Stock Exchange, enhancing the issuance and listing systems to cultivate patient capital [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is focused on creating a favorable monetary and financial environment to support sustained economic recovery [1] - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) is committed to maintaining the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level, alongside ensuring basic equilibrium in international payments [1] Group 2 - The National Audit Office is increasing efforts to reveal major risk hazards in local government debt, finance, and energy sectors [1] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is working to solidify the stability of the real estate market and is focused on developing a new model for real estate growth [1] - The General Administration of Sport of China has issued guidelines to promote the high-quality development of health through sports [1] - The National Energy Administration has set a goal for 2030 to achieve self-sufficiency in the supply chain of key energy equipment industries [1]

Group 1 - The four key figures in the financial sector collectively emphasized the importance of stability in the market, funding, and risk control, indicating a unified approach from various departments to support the market [3][6] - Pan Gongsheng highlighted that the monetary policy will focus on stability while providing support to the real economy, particularly manufacturing and small enterprises, which will ultimately strengthen the earnings of listed companies [3][4] - Li Yunzhe stressed the need to tighten financial regulations to prevent risks from entering the stock market and to ensure that funds are directed towards reliable sectors, rather than speculative investments [4][6] Group 2 - Wu Qing discussed the importance of maintaining market liquidity and balancing IPOs with market capacity, ensuring that underperforming companies are removed to preserve market resources [4][5] - Zhu Hexiong addressed the significance of stabilizing the exchange rate to prevent foreign capital from withdrawing due to currency fluctuations, which would help maintain stability in the A-share market [5][6] - The collective message from these financial leaders is aimed at long-term investors, encouraging them to focus on sectors that align with the stability of the real economy and the clean-up of the market [6]

Core Viewpoint - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) emphasizes maintaining the stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level, alongside ensuring basic equilibrium in international payments [1] Group 1: Regulatory Framework - SAFE aims to faithfully fulfill its foreign exchange regulatory responsibilities as assigned by the Central Committee of the Communist Party [1] - The agency plans to establish a more convenient, open, secure, and intelligent foreign exchange management system [1] - There is a focus on deep reforms and high-level opening in the foreign exchange sector to enhance the facilitation of cross-border trade and investment [1] Group 2: Market Development - SAFE intends to build an open, diverse, functional, and competitive foreign exchange market to actively support regional strategic implementation [1] - The agency will improve the monitoring and early warning system for cross-border capital flows [1] Group 3: Financial Stability - SAFE aims to promote high-quality development in foreign exchange reserve management, positioning reserves as a stabilizer and ballast [1] - There is a commitment to constructing a regulatory system for foreign exchange that is complete and effective, enhancing regulatory collaboration, and cracking down on illegal activities in the foreign exchange sector [1] - The agency will strengthen the rule of law in the foreign exchange domain [1]

中国人民银行行长潘功胜（图源：国新网） 其中，在化解融资平台债务风险方面，潘功胜表示，人民银行严肃财经纪律，推动地方政府统筹资金、资 产、资源化解债务风险，剥离融资平台的政府融资功能，转型为市场化的经营主体；引导金融机构通过债务 重组，降低融资平台流动性风险和利息负担。相关工作取得重要的阶段性成效。截至今年6月末，与2023年初 相比，融资平台数量下降超过60%，金融债务规模下降超过50%，总体上地方政府融资平台风险水平大幅收 敛。在金融支持房地产风险化解方面，人民银行立足宏观审慎管理的职能，优化调整首付比、房贷利率等多 项政策，并降低存量房贷利率，每年可为超过5000万户家庭减少利息支出约3000亿元。在化解中小金融机构 风险方面，人民银行会同金融监管部门和地方政府，综合采取在线修复、兼并重组和市场退出等方式，推动 高风险中小银行数量较峰值明显压降。 在外汇市场方面，人民银行坚持市场在汇率形成之中的决定性作用，面对多变的外部环境，保持了人民币汇 率的基本稳定。经过多年的发展，中国的外汇市场参与主体更加成熟，汇率避险工具的使用也更加广泛，市 场更具韧性。债券市场方面，人民银行从宏观审慎的角度观察、评估债市运行 ...

"十四五"期间，有力维护金融市场平稳运行。 9月22日，央行行长潘功胜在国新办新闻发布会上表示，"十四五"期间，有力维护金融市场平稳运行。 外汇市场方面，坚持市场在汇率形成中的决定性作用，面对多变的外部环境，保持了人民币汇率的基本 稳定。债券市场方面，债券违约率保持低位，市场运行总体平稳。资本市场方面，探索维护资本市场稳 定的货币政策工具，会同证监会创设互换便利和股票回购增持再贷款两项工具。支持中央汇金公司发挥 类"平准基金"作用，不断健全支持资本市场的长效机制。同时，健全金融稳定保障体系。不断健全金融 风险监测、评估和预警体系。设立金融稳定保障基金，存款保险机制平稳有序运行。 ...

美联储完成年内首次降息后，各类资产表现各异，揭示了市场的复杂情绪：既有对流动性改善的期待， 也有对全球经济前景的担忧。 北京时间9月18日凌晨，美联储宣布降息25个基点至4.00%~4.25%，并暗示年内或再降两次。降息消息 公布后，美股三大股指当日涨跌不一，道琼斯指数上涨0.57%，标普500下跌0.10%；纳斯达克下跌 0.33%。A股18日早盘整体涨势喜人，但是午后集体下跌，最终上证指数、深证成指、创业板指分别收 跌1.15%、1.06%、1.64%；香港恒生指数当日跌幅1.35%，收报26544.85点。日经指数18日则收于 45303.43点，上涨1.15%。 对全球金融市场而言，美联储重启降息周期将推动全球流动性条件边际改善，从历史经验看，美联储降 息通常会缓解新兴市场资本外流压力，支撑风险资产价格。 "对人民币资产而言，中美利差收窄将缓解贬值压力，但国内经济基本面仍将是决定外资流向的关键因 素。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示，近日人民币对美元汇率走高，与此次美联储降息，以及年底 前可能进一步大幅度降息的预期有关。 人民币汇率当日并未出现大幅波动。人民币对美元中间价报7.1085，较前一日下调7 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate target range to between 4.00% and 4.25%, marking its first rate cut since December 2024 [1][2] - The Fed's decision comes amid slowing economic activity, rising unemployment, and persistent inflation, with the committee acknowledging increased downside risks to employment [2][5] - The Fed's projections indicate a potential further reduction of 50 basis points by the end of the year, with an additional 25 basis points cut each year for the next two years [2] Group 2 - Following the Fed's announcement, the U.S. stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 260.42 points (0.57%), while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices experienced slight declines [2] - The dollar index initially fell by 0.4% but later recovered to show a 0.3% increase after Powell's press conference emphasized inflation risks [3] - Analysts suggest that the Fed's rate cut could trigger a global wave of central bank rate cuts, potentially benefiting the Chinese stock market and leading to a second wave of upward momentum [5][6]

Group 1: Dollar Dynamics - The Federal Reserve is expected to initiate a rate cut cycle in September, which typically puts downward pressure on the dollar[4] - The dollar index has completed a significant correction, with the market pricing in the Fed's policy path adequately[6] - The dollar's strength is increasingly influenced by the relative performance of other major currencies rather than solely by the U.S. economy[6] Group 2: Eurozone and Pound Sterling Challenges - Eurozone economic data, such as the August composite PMI at 51, indicates insufficient growth momentum, limiting the euro's upward potential[6][7] - The UK faces fiscal policy uncertainty, with the Chancellor's budget announcement set for November 26, leading to market speculation and pressure on the pound[7] - The relative weakness of other currencies, including the euro and pound, supports the dollar's stability even in a loosening cycle[7] Group 3: Renminbi Stability - The renminbi index has shown a high correlation with the dollar index over the past two years, maintaining relative stability during dollar corrections[9][11] - China's economic policy is shifting towards growth stabilization and structural optimization, contributing to the renminbi's resilience[11] - The renminbi is positioned to act as a stabilizing anchor in the Asian currency system amid global currency fluctuations[11]

冉学东 因此，此次中间价的大幅上调，显然是为了稳定人民币汇率，尽管人民币对美元是温和升值，但是 CFETS人民币汇率指数在今年7月4日达到了95.3000，该数值已经创下自2021年来的新低。 CFETS人民币汇率指数由中国外汇交易中心（CFETS）发布的综合反映人民币对一篮子外币汇率水平 的指标，2015年12月11日首次发布的官方汇率综合指标，基期为2014年12月31日（基期指数100点）。 这个指数的货币篮子涵盖24种外币（2017年从13种扩容），包括美元、欧元、日元等主要贸易伙伴货 币，权重根据转口贸易调整后的贸易数据确定。 就是说今年以来，在美元持续贬值的形势下，人民币对美元并未出现大幅升值，同时对于欧元、日元、 英镑、瑞士法郎等国际货币形成了较大的贬值压力。 但是美元兑人民币中间价到了8月下旬开始，尤其是最近几日突然加快拉升。人民币中间价较在岸市场 价偏强幅度逐步从0扩大到当前的400到500基点。8月25日，人民币兑美元汇率中间价一下跳升了160个 基点，到了7.1161元，这可是去年11月以来新高。到了8月28日，这个中间价又涨了45个基点，到了 7.1063元，继续去年刷新11月以来的记 ...

Company News - Dalian Thermal Power plans to acquire Kanghui New Materials for 10.153 billion yuan, marking a shift to the new materials industry [4] - China Communications Construction Company intends to purchase 70% equity of Boda New Energy, expanding into the photovoltaic business [5] - Zongshen Power's subsidiary Meixin Yishen has been approved for listing on the Beijing Stock Exchange [5] - Airport Holdings has terminated the transfer of its wholly-owned subsidiary Tianrui Real Estate [5] - Saiteng Co. plans to repurchase company shares worth between 200 million to 400 million yuan [5] - Kingood Co. has received three notifications for designated supply of Avatar electric vehicles [5] - Andavil's subsidiary is expected to win a bid for a 255 million yuan airborne system project [5] - Guorui Technology's subsidiary is anticipated to win a bid for a 380 million yuan engineering signal system procurement project [5] Macro News - As of the end of August, the broad money supply (M2) stood at 286.93 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.6%, which is 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month and 1.6 percentage points lower than the same period last year [1] - The total social financing stock was 368.61 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 9% [1] - In August, the increment of social financing was 3.12 trillion yuan, which is 631.6 billion yuan more than the same month last year [1] - The increase in RMB loans was 1.36 trillion yuan, which is 868 billion yuan more than the same month last year [1] - The China SME Development Index for August was 89.4, rising 0.1 points from July and marking the third consecutive month of increase [3]