内卷式竞争
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蔡昉:以制度建设平衡新技术的创造性和破坏性
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-11-14 01:45
Core Viewpoint - The investment in artificial intelligence (AI) must align with China's high-quality development goals to ensure its health and sustainability [3][7][11] Group 1: Investment Trends - There is a global surge in AI investment, driven by low birth rates and high aging populations in East Asian countries, necessitating AI to enhance labor productivity [3][8] - Geopolitical tensions have made key technologies like AI a symbol of national strength, leading countries to aggressively pursue AI advancements [3][8] - Major tech companies view AI as a marker of technological leadership and market share, creating competitive pressure to adopt AI [3][8] Group 2: Nature of AI Investment - Disruptive technological breakthroughs often come with investment booms and potential bubbles, which are acknowledged by economists and investors as unavoidable [3][9] - Jeff Bezos categorizes bubbles into "good" (industry bubbles that enhance productivity) and "bad" (financial bubbles that inevitably burst), highlighting the dual nature of AI investment [3][9][10] Group 3: AI's Dual Nature - AI possesses a dual-edged nature, being both creative and destructive, necessitating careful alignment with human values throughout its development and application [4][11] - The alignment problem in AI development emphasizes the need for ethical considerations and safeguards to prevent potential harm [10][11] Group 4: Supply-Side and Demand-Side Considerations - On the supply side, AI should focus on breaking constraints to productivity and addressing the "Solow productivity paradox" by ensuring that AI enhances productivity rather than displacing labor [4][12] - On the demand side, addressing the challenges posed by an aging population and declining birth rates is crucial, with AI playing a role in enhancing consumer capacity and willingness [5][15] Group 5: Institutional Environment - The successful integration of AI into the economy requires a supportive institutional environment, which can be achieved through reforms that balance the creative and destructive aspects of new technologies [17][18] - Reforms in the household registration system could unlock significant labor supply and resource reallocation, enhancing productivity and consumer markets [19]
罗文:针对部分领域出现的“内卷式”竞争问题 市场监管部门将加强反垄断和反不正当竞争执法
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 08:38
(文章来源:第一财经) 据中国市场监管报消息,国家市场监督管理总局党组书记、局长罗文接受访谈表示,针对部分领域出现 的"内卷式"竞争问题,市场监管部门将围绕维护良性竞争市场秩序,加强反垄断和反不正当竞争执法, 坚决纠治利用市场优势地位挤压其他经营主体发展空间等行为,优化经营者集中反垄断审查规则,更好 引导和规范投资并购行为;加强对企业过度低价竞争的合规引导和监管规范,深入治理假冒伪劣、虚假 宣传、低价倾销、违法广告等突出问题,推动形成优质优价、良性竞争的良好格局。 ...
罗文:针对部分领域出现的“内卷式”竞争问题,市场监管部门将加强反垄断和反不正当竞争执法
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-13 08:35
人民财讯11月13日电,据中国市场监管报消息,国家市场监督管理总局党组书记、局长罗文接受访谈表 示,针对部分领域出现的"内卷式"竞争问题,市场监管部门将围绕维护良性竞争市场秩序,加强反垄断 和反不正当竞争执法,坚决纠治利用市场优势地位挤压其他经营主体发展空间等行为,优化经营者集中 反垄断审查规则,更好引导和规范投资并购行为;加强对企业过度低价竞争的合规引导和监管规范,深 入治理假冒伪劣、虚假宣传、低价倾销、违法广告等突出问题,推动形成优质优价、良性竞争的良好格 局。 ...
纯苯苯乙烯风险管理日报-20251107
Nan Hua Qi Huo· 2025-11-07 14:33
纯苯-苯乙烯风险管理日报 2025/11/7 戴一帆(投资咨询证号:Z0015428) 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1290号 苯乙烯价格区间预测 | | 价格区间预测(月度) | 当前波动率(20日滚动) | 当前波动率历史百分位(3年) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 纯苯 | 5200-5800 | / | / | | 苯乙烯 | 6200-6800 | 16.41% | 85.8% | source: 南华研究,同花顺 苯乙烯套保策略表 | 行为导 | 情景分析 | 现货敞 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 买卖方 | 套保比例 | 建议入场 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 向 | | 口 | | 向 | (%) | 区间 | | 库存管 理 | 产成品库存偏高,担心苯乙烯价格下 | | 为了防止存货跌价损失,可以根据企业的库存情况,做空苯乙烯期货来锁定利 EB2512 润,弥补企业的生产成本 | 卖出 | 25% | 6500-655 0 | | | 跌 | 多 | | | | | | | | | 卖出看 ...
直面转型阵痛 汽车流通行业探寻发展新机遇
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-07 11:13
Core Insights - The automotive circulation industry is undergoing significant transformation due to changes in product structure, competition, and distribution models, prompting discussions on how to stabilize and optimize the circulation system [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - As of October 22, 2023, the number of applications for the 2025 vehicle trade-in subsidy has exceeded 10 million, with over 3.4 million vehicles scrapped and more than 6.6 million vehicles replaced [1] - The retail sales of passenger vehicles have been continuously growing this year, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles reaching new highs, supported by national consumption promotion policies [1] Group 2: Dealer Challenges - Despite positive market changes, dealers face ongoing challenges, including a general contraction of dealer networks and declining business revenues, with cash flow pressures due to delayed sales rebates [1][2] - The call for improved governance in the circulation sector and the restructuring of manufacturer-dealer relationships emphasizes the need for reasonable inventory levels and timely rebate payments to alleviate dealer survival anxieties [2] Group 3: Second-hand Vehicle Market - The existing vehicle ownership of 360 million provides a strong foundation for the expansion of the second-hand vehicle market, with improving policies and increasing transparency enhancing the operating environment [2] - Experts advocate for addressing bottlenecks in second-hand vehicle circulation and fostering professional, brand-oriented business entities to improve trust and service quality [2] Group 4: Future Directions - The automotive circulation industry is encouraged to lead new supply with new demand and to innovate in service offerings, transforming challenges into opportunities [2] - The industry association plans to collaborate with enterprises to reshape channel value, leverage technological innovations, and enhance the service capabilities throughout the vehicle lifecycle [2][3] - Establishing a more pragmatic and efficient brand authorization cooperation model is essential for fostering a healthy and orderly development of the automotive industry [3]
“卷”的正确姿势是这样的
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-11-07 09:03
Group 1 - The article discusses the different forms of "competition" in the context of technological self-reliance in China, highlighting that while "involution" is undesirable, it should not be feared [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of core technologies, particularly in the hydrogen energy sector, where companies like Dongfang Electric have established a complete hydrogen energy industry chain and have been recognized as a leading enterprise in future energy by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [5] - Original achievements in pharmaceuticals are highlighted, with Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical's self-developed Class I ophthalmic drug significantly reducing the price of imported alternatives, showcasing the company's innovation in drug development [9] Group 2 - The article points out the significance of technical talent in achieving breakthroughs in low-altitude aircraft technology, with Sichuan Wofei Changkong Technology Development Company recruiting experienced teams from leading research institutions to tackle complex engineering challenges [13] - The company has focused on developing key technologies independently, including flight control and tilt-rotor structures, which have undergone multiple iterations to align with national conditions [13]
报告:超半数中国CEO对未来一年中国经济增长抱有信心
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-11-07 05:40
Core Insights - The 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) is taking place in Shanghai from November 5 to 10, showcasing a positive shift in CEO confidence regarding China's economic growth for the upcoming year [1] Summary by Categories Economic Outlook - 54% of Chinese CEOs express confidence in China's economic growth over the next year, an increase of 9 percentage points from the previous year, and significantly higher than their confidence in the global economy [1] - 73% of Chinese CEOs anticipate positive revenue growth for their companies this year, down from 81% last year; 20% expect negative revenue growth, up from 15% last year [1] Industry Performance - There is a notable divergence in revenue growth expectations between emerging and traditional industries; the life sciences and technology sectors show the most optimistic revenue growth outlook [1] - Traditional industries such as industrial manufacturing, consumer retail, and real estate face pressure on revenue growth due to supply-demand imbalances and weak demand [1] Competitive Challenges - "Involution" competition is identified as a significant short-term challenge for Chinese companies; 52% of CEOs prioritize R&D and innovation to develop new productive capabilities to overcome this competition [1]
焦点访谈|三次修改“新规”直面新形势 细化标准“靶向”治理新问题
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-06 13:53
Core Viewpoint - The newly revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law aims to address irrational "involution" competition behaviors in the digital economy, which harm both consumers and legitimate business operators [1][19]. Group 1: Legislative Changes - The revised Anti-Unfair Competition Law has increased the number of articles from 33 to 41, specifically targeting new forms of unfair competition in the digital economy [1]. - New provisions have been added to address unfair competition behaviors related to data acquisition and usage, as well as malicious transactions in the online space [8][19]. Group 2: Case Study - A case in Jiangsu Province involved a company selling software that illegally scraped data from competitors, resulting in over 1.6 billion data points being collected and an involved amount exceeding 8.7 million yuan [5]. - The market regulatory authority imposed a fine of 530,000 yuan on the offending company, marking the first case of this nature in Jiangsu [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The rise of "involution" competition has led to practices such as forced price wars and the use of unauthorized data, which disrupt fair market order and harm sustainable development [11][16]. - The law now explicitly prohibits platform operators from forcing merchants to sell below cost, addressing the underlying issues of price manipulation in the e-commerce sector [16][19]. Group 4: Implications for Businesses - Businesses are urged to operate within legal boundaries when collecting online data to avoid engaging in unfair competition [7]. - The law emphasizes the importance of maintaining fair competition to foster innovation and high-quality development in the market [14][19].
规范地方政府经济促进行为,“反内卷”未来五年怎么做
第一财经· 2025-11-03 12:51
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of breaking down barriers to the construction of a unified national market in China over the next five years, as outlined in the recent guidelines from the Central Committee [3][8]. Summary by Sections National Unified Market Construction - The recent guidelines highlight the need to standardize local government economic promotion behaviors and address "involutionary" competition, aiming to create a more unified market environment [3][4]. - The guidelines call for the establishment of unified market foundational systems, including property rights protection, market access, information disclosure, social credit, mergers and acquisitions, and market exit regulations [3][5]. Local Government Economic Promotion - There is a focus on regulating local government economic promotion behaviors, which have historically led to market disorder and hindered the establishment of a unified market system [5][6]. - The article discusses the past issues with local governments providing tax incentives and subsidies to attract investment, which, while beneficial in the short term, disrupts fair competition [6][7]. Involutionary Competition - The article addresses the phenomenon of "involutionary" competition, where local governments' financial incentives lead to unhealthy price competition among businesses [7][8]. - The guidelines aim to rectify this by promoting fair competition and eliminating local protectionism and market fragmentation [8][9]. Future Directions - The article outlines four key areas for addressing involution: controlling local government subsidies, ensuring product and service quality, encouraging bankruptcy restructuring, and enhancing antitrust enforcement [9][10]. - The introduction of the Fair Competition Review System is highlighted as a crucial step in preventing local protectionism and ensuring a level playing field for all businesses [9][10].
投资逻辑质变:从规模扩张到效益优先
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 05:14
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of fixed asset investment in stabilizing economic growth and optimizing investment structure for high-quality economic development [1] Investment Landscape Changes - Recent years have seen significant changes in China's investment landscape, with fixed asset investment growth slowing to 3.2% in 2024 and 0.5% from January to August 2025 [2] - Real estate investment, once a primary driver, has declined significantly, with a 27.1% drop in 2024 compared to 2021, and a further 12.9% decrease from January to August 2025 [2] - The share of secondary industry in fixed asset investment has increased to 34.8% in 2024, up 6.1 percentage points from 2020, with manufacturing investment growing by 5.1% from January to August 2025 [2] High-Tech Industry Competition - The rapid growth of high-tech industry investment has led to "involution" competition, characterized by price wars and reduced quality, impacting profitability [3] - For instance, the profit growth of large-scale automotive manufacturing enterprises was -0.3% in the first eight months of 2025, contrasting sharply with a 20.2% investment growth [3] Enhancing Investment Efficiency - Improving investment efficiency involves several key areas, including necessary investment returns for enterprises, financial feasibility of infrastructure projects, and the efficiency of investments in driving economic growth [4][6][7] - The capital-output ratio in 2024 reached 9.38, the highest since 2020, indicating a need to enhance the relationship between investment and consumption [7] Role of Investment in Economic Quality - The quality of economic growth is linked to total factor productivity, which needs to be improved through targeted investments in technology and resource reallocation [8] - In 2024, total factor productivity contributed 2.2% to GDP growth, highlighting the importance of investment in enhancing economic potential [8] Recommendations for Investment Improvement - Addressing "involution" competition through government intervention and industry self-regulation is crucial for maintaining a healthy market environment [9] - Developing a sustainable financing model for infrastructure projects is essential, focusing on balancing government and private sector roles [10][11] - Enhancing investment's role in boosting consumption and optimizing supply structure is vital for future economic stability [12][13]