Core Insights - The China Satellite Industry Index (931594) has seen a strong increase of 1.99%, with the satellite ETF E Fund (563530) rising over 2% at one point, currently up 1.95% with a turnover of 8.54% and a transaction volume of 17.07 million yuan [1] Group 1: Satellite Developments - China's first energy engineering dedicated satellite, the Electric Power Construction No. 1 satellite, has been launched, which will enhance the precision of monitoring major energy projects from space with millimeter-level accuracy [1] - The first remote sensing satellite for the electric power industry, "Electric Power Engineering No. 1," was successfully launched and has entered its designated orbit, marking a significant advancement in China's power grid engineering technology [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - Financial analysts from Caitong Securities highlight the upcoming production of the Wenchang Super Satellite Factory and the planned IPO of SpaceX in the second half of next year, indicating a noticeable acceleration in global commercial aerospace investment and industrialization [1] - Current investment recommendations focus on commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and military trade, with advancements in reusable rocket technology expected to significantly reduce launch costs and accelerate the development of satellite constellations and applications [1] Group 3: Related Investment Products - The E Fund Satellite ETF (563530) tracks the China Satellite Industry Index, selecting 50 listed companies involved in satellite manufacturing, launching, and applications, providing comprehensive coverage of the industry chain for investors [2] - The E Fund General Aviation ETF (159255) offers a packaged investment in leading companies across the entire industry chain, helping investors capture opportunities in the low-altitude economy [3]

Core Insights - The defense and military industry index increased by 2.85% in the past week, ranking 14th out of 31 in the Shenwan first-level industry [7] - Over the past month, the index decreased by 4.05%, ranking 25th out of 31 [10] - The one-year performance shows a 12.94% increase, ranking 15th out of 31 [18] - The current PE-TTM for the defense and military industry is 77.60, which is at the 73.27 percentile compared to the past ten years, indicating a relatively high valuation level [13][14] - Notable individual stock performances include LeiKe Defense (32.30%), ZhongTian Rocket (21.60%), and HongDa Electronics (14.28%) in the past week [19][29] - The total transaction amount for the defense and military industry reached 378.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 88.64% [33] - The report suggests focusing on investment themes such as commercial aerospace, military trade, unmanned equipment, military AI, and low-altitude economy [42] Industry and Stock Performance Review - The defense and military industry index performance over the past week, month, and year shows varying trends, with a notable increase in the last week [7][10][18] - Individual stock performance highlights significant gains for top performers and losses for underperformers in the past week [19][29] - The PE-TTM ratios across various sub-sectors indicate differing valuation levels, with aerospace equipment at 77.82 and military electronics at 106.55 [13][14] Funding Situation - The total transaction volume for the defense and military industry reached 378.8 billion yuan, reflecting a strong market activity compared to previous periods [33] - The military ETF fund shares decreased slightly compared to the previous week and month, but showed a significant year-on-year increase [35] Industry News - The launch of the commercial aerospace three-year action plan aims to enhance innovation and resource utilization in the industry [42] - The establishment of a space data center is underway, which will support the development of a large-scale data center system in orbit [43] - The report highlights key developments in the defense and military sector, including significant contracts and partnerships [39][41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating an expectation of strong performance relative to the overall market [3][23]. Core Insights - The report anticipates accelerated task deliveries in Q4, leading to improved performance compared to previous quarters. The upcoming orders during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period are expected to be a catalyst for investment [3]. - Geopolitical uncertainties are driving increased demand for consumable military equipment and military trade, presenting significant investment opportunities. The global military trade market has shown a notable expansion in potential demand for Chinese military equipment, particularly in the Middle East and Asia [3]. - The report suggests a focus on new main battle equipment, consumable weapons, military trade, and military intelligence as key investment areas [3]. - The military industry is entering a new cycle of quality improvement and growth, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The report highlights a significant recovery in performance expected in Q4, with military orders experiencing a pulse-like growth since Q1 of this year [3]. Market Review - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index rose by 2.85%, while the CSI Military Leaders Index increased by 1.52%. In comparison, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.4%, and the CSI 300 Index increased by 1.64%. The Shenwan Defense and Military Industry Index underperformed the ChiNext Index but outperformed the CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite Index [4][10]. - The average increase in the CSI Civil-Military Integration Index was 4.97%, indicating strong performance in this segment [4]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense and military sector last week were: - Saiwei Electronics (44.85%) - TeFa Information (34.07%) - Leike Defense (32.3%) - Aerospace Power (32.22%) - Zhongtian Rocket (21.6%) [10]. - Conversely, the bottom five performing stocks were: - Beihua Co. (-11.59%) - Guorui Technology (-4.84%) - Yaxing Anchor Chain (-3.56%) - Chenxi Aviation (-3.2%) - Aileda (-2.71%) [11]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan Military Industry Index is 77.60, placing it in the upper range historically, with a valuation percentile of 65.76% since January 2014 and 92.45% since January 2019. The aerospace and aviation equipment sectors are noted to be at relatively high valuation levels since 2020 [12][16].

Core Viewpoint - China Galaxy Securities suggests focusing on the military industry chain's upstream, military trade, the two aircraft sectors, and equipment intelligence opportunities by 2026 [1] Short-term Outlook - In 2026, as the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan," the main engine sector is expected to initiate a new round of inventory replenishment cycle, with the upstream of the military industry chain likely to benefit first [1] - The order-driven momentum is anticipated to start as early as the end of 2025 [1] Mid-term Outlook - Military trade demand is expected to reach a significant turning point, driving an increase in both quantity and price of equipment demand, benefiting main engine and key subsystem manufacturers [1] - Strong demand from AI in the power generation sector is likely to sustain the robust performance of the gas turbine industry chain [1] Long-term Outlook - By 2027, coinciding with the centenary of the military establishment, national defense spending is expected to maintain a high growth rate of around 7% [1] - The acceleration of new-generation main battle equipment iteration and the rising demand for new combat capabilities are likely to sustain high industry prosperity [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05% to close at 3836.77 points, with a daily high of 3854.33 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.37% to close at 12585.08 points, reaching a high of 12655.29 points [1] - The ChiNext Index gained 0.31%, closing at 2929.04 points, with a peak of 2951.43 points [1] ETF Market Performance - The median return of stock ETFs was 0.2%, with the highest return from the Penghua SSE Sci-Tech Innovation Board 200 ETF at 3.01% [2] - The highest performing industry ETF was the China Securities Satellite Industry ETF, yielding 4.25% [2] - The highest return among thematic ETFs was the China Securities Aerospace Industry ETF, which achieved 5.01% [2] ETF Gain and Loss Rankings - The top three ETFs by gain were: - Huaxia China Securities Aerospace Industry ETF (5.01%) - Tianhong China Securities Aerospace Industry ETF (4.66%) - Wanji China Securities Aerospace Industry ETF (4.64%) [4] - The top three ETFs by loss were: - Xingyin SSE Sci-Tech Innovation Board Comprehensive Price ETF (-2.14%) - Huaxia China Securities Sci-Tech Innovation 50 ETF (-1.88%) - Jiashi China Securities Rare Metals Thematic ETF (-1.68%) [4] ETF Fund Flow - The top three ETFs by fund inflow were: - Huatai-PB SSE 300 ETF (inflow of 3.665 billion yuan) - Huaxia SSE 50 ETF (inflow of 1.53 billion yuan) - Southern CSI 500 ETF (inflow of 895 million yuan) [6] - The top three ETFs by fund outflow were: - Huabao CSI Bank ETF (outflow of 211 million yuan) - Fuguo CSI Military Industry Leaders ETF (outflow of 209 million yuan) - Guotai CSI Coal ETF (outflow of 207 million yuan) [6] ETF Margin Trading Overview - The highest margin buy amounts were for: - Huaxia SSE Sci-Tech Innovation 50 ETF (593 million yuan) - E Fund ChiNext ETF (440 million yuan) - Guotai CSI All-Share Securities Company ETF (415 million yuan) [8] - The highest margin sell amounts were for: - Huatai-PB SSE 300 ETF (34.95 million yuan) - Southern CSI 500 ETF (7.56 million yuan) - Huaxia SSE 50 ETF (3.97 million yuan) [9] Institutional Insights - Shenwan Hongyuan expects strong resonance between demand and supply in China's military trade, driven by expanding global military trade demand and enhanced product capabilities [10] - Debon Securities highlights a historic opportunity for the commercial aerospace industry, transitioning from manufacturing to application, with significant growth in low-orbit satellite demand [11]

Core Viewpoint - The defense stocks continue to rise, driven by increased global geopolitical uncertainties and expanding military trade demand, particularly highlighted by the recent Dubai Airshow showcasing Chinese military equipment and aircraft [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Shipbuilding Defense (600685) increased by 6.6%, reaching HKD 15.82 [1] - AVIC (02357) rose by 4.8%, reaching HKD 3.93 [1] - Aerospace Holdings (00031) saw a rise of 1.96%, reaching HKD 0.52 [1] Group 2: Dubai Airshow Highlights - The Chinese exhibition at the 2025 Dubai International Airshow featured notable equipment including the J-10CE and J-35A fighter jets, Y-20 transport aircraft, and various drones [1] - The C919 large passenger aircraft made its debut in the Middle East [1] - An order for 50 unmanned transport aircraft from Aerospace Feipeng was confirmed at the Dubai event [1] Group 3: Market Analysis - According to Industrial Securities, the Dubai Airshow marks a new window for defense observation [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan's report indicates that the global military trade market is undergoing a structural change due to increasing geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The performance and supply capabilities of Chinese military products are gaining high recognition, with significant demand growth expected in markets like the Middle East and Asia [1]

Core Viewpoint - The military stocks continue to rise, driven by increased global geopolitical uncertainties and expanding military trade demand, particularly highlighted by the recent Dubai Airshow showcasing various Chinese military equipment [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Shipbuilding Defense (00317) increased by 6.6%, reaching HKD 15.82 [1] - AVIC (02357) rose by 4.8%, trading at HKD 3.93 [1] - Aerospace Holdings (00031) saw a 1.96% increase, priced at HKD 0.52 [1] Group 2: Dubai Airshow Highlights - The 2025 Dubai International Airshow featured significant Chinese exhibits, including the J-10CE and J-35A fighter jets equipped with PL missiles, the Y-20 transport aircraft, and various drones like the Wing Loong and WZ-7 [1] - The C919 large passenger aircraft made its debut in the Middle East, and an order for 50 unmanned transport aircraft from Aerospace Feipeng was confirmed at the event [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - According to Industrial Securities, the Dubai Airshow marks a new window for defense observation, indicating a shift in the international military trade landscape [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan's report suggests that the increasing global geopolitical uncertainties are leading to a significant expansion in military trade demand, with Chinese products gaining recognition for their performance and supply capabilities [1] - The report anticipates a strong resonance between demand and supply in China's military trade, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, contributing to a future large-scale military trade landscape for China [1]

E Vice I 2025 年 11 月 24 日 看好 相关研究 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hanqiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 册 分歧污 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 期待"十五五"订单陆续落 大军工行业关注度 国防军工行业周报（2025年第 48 周） 本期投资提示: 上周申万国防军工指数下跌 1.72%，中证军工龙头指数下跌 2.87%，同期上证综指下 跌 3.9%, 沪深 300 下跌 3.77%, 创业板指下跌 6.15%, 申万国防军工指数跑赢创业 板指、跑赢沪深 300、跑赢上证综指、跑赢军工龙头指数。1、从细分板块来看，上周 国防军工板块 1.72%的跌幅在 31 个申万一级行业涨跌幅排名第 4 位。2、从我们构建的 军工集团指数变化来看，上周中证民参军涨跌幅排名 ...

Market Overview - The major stock indices in the market experienced fluctuations and retreated, with the ChiNext index dropping approximately 1% and falling below 2900 points, while around 3200 stocks were in the green [1] - As of the midday close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34% to 3821.68 points, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.59%, and the ChiNext index declined by 0.77%, with a total transaction volume of 1,032.6 billion yuan across the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets [3] Sector Performance - Sectors such as coal, gas, non-ferrous metals, electricity, and stability saw declines, while military and pharmaceutical sectors rose against the trend, with military trade and AI application concepts being particularly active [3] Market Sentiment and Analysis - The current market is characterized by a "three-phase overlap": a consolidation phase in the middle of a bull market, a critical period for verifying economic conditions, and a performance policy gap, leading to market fluctuations and profit-taking as the year-end approaches [3] - Recent disturbances in the overseas environment, including repeated expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, have shaken global market liquidity expectations; despite Nvidia's earnings exceeding expectations, its stock price experienced volatility, raising concerns about the sustainability of AI spending, which has affected sentiment in the A-share market [3] - Long-term factors supporting a slow bull market remain unchanged; however, in the short term, the strategy should focus on opportunistic positioning, awaiting the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and the central economic work conference in mid-December, with potential for increased buying if adjustments are sufficient, while monitoring support levels at the 60-day and half-year moving averages and market volume conditions [3]

行 业 及 产 业 国防军工 相关研究 证券分析师 韩强 A0230518060003 hanqiang@swsresearch.com 武雨桐 A0230520090001 wuyt@swsresearch.com 穆少阳 A0230524070009 musy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 联系人 达邵炜 A0230124030001 dasw@swsresearch.com 2025 年 11 月 24 日 期待"十五五"订单陆续落地，加 大军工行业关注度 看好 ——国防军工行业周报（2025 年第 48 周） 本期投资提示： ⚫ 上周申万国防军工指数下跌 1.72%，中证军工龙头指数下跌 2.87%，同期上证综指下 跌 3.9%，沪深 300 下跌 3.77%，创业板指下跌 6.15%，申万国防军工指数跑赢创业 板指、跑赢沪深 300、跑赢上证综指、跑赢军工龙头指数。1、从细分板块来看，上周 国防军工板块 1.72%的跌幅在 31 个申万一级行业涨跌幅排名第 4 位。2、从我们构建的 军工集团指数变化来看，上周 ...