波兰央行货币政策委员Dabrowski：到2025年底之前，利率有望再降两次，每次25个基点。 ...

泰国债券市场调查显示，泰国央行在第四季度料将基准利率下调25个基点。 ...

智通财经7月3日电，坦桑尼亚央行将基准利率从6%下调至5.75%。 ...

Group 1 - Major commercial banks, including ICBC, CCB, and CMB, have recently suspended 5-year large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs), with a reduced issuance of 3-year CDs as well [1] - The suspension of 5-year CDs is a strategy to lower funding costs as banks face low net interest margins and need to stabilize them by reducing liabilities [1] - The overall trend in the financial market shows a simultaneous decline in both deposit and loan interest rates, which is necessary for stabilizing banks' net interest margins and better serving the real economy [1] Group 2 - In May, a significant adjustment in deposit interest rates occurred, with major state-owned banks leading the way, resulting in medium- and long-term deposit rates entering the "1%" era [2] - The withdrawal of 5-year large-denomination CDs indicates a diminishing opportunity for investors to rely on medium- to long-term savings for wealth preservation and growth, highlighting the need for diversified investment strategies [2] - Investors are advised to compare different financial products, focus on interest rate trends, and choose products with better overall returns, while also being aware of the terms and conditions of these products [2] Group 3 - Investors are encouraged to allocate a portion of their portfolios to high-rated bonds and bond funds to complement savings with stable returns [3] - For those with higher risk tolerance, investing in equity assets through index funds can provide long-term capital appreciation potential [3] - Establishing a dynamic rebalancing mechanism is recommended to adjust asset allocations based on economic conditions and market valuations, achieving an effective balance between risk and return [3]

智通财经7月2日电，波兰央行将基准利率下调至5.00%，此前预测为5.25%。 ...

首套住房套款3.05%，二套3.45%；公寓商贷LPR3.5%+60BP=4.1%；公积金首套2.6%，二套3.075%。 今日起，深圳存量公积金贷款利率正式下调！ 5月7日，中国人民银行发布《关于下调个人住房公积金贷款利率的通知》。决定自2025年5月8日起，下 调个人住房公积金贷款利率0.25个百分点，5年以下（含5年）和5年以上首套个人住房公积金贷款利率 分别调整为2.1%和2.6%，5年以下（含5年）和5年以上第二套个人住房公积金贷款利率分别调整为不低 于2.525%和3.075%。 据悉，此次住房公积金贷款利率调整范围既包括新发放的住房公积金贷款，也包括存量住房公积金贷 款。此次利率下调后，新发放的住房公积金贷款将执行新的利率，此前已发放的住房公积金贷款，利率 将在2026年1月1日起下调。 但根据《深圳市住房公积金贷款管理规定》第二十三条规定，公积金贷款发放后，遇国家公积金贷款利 率调整的，公积金中心应当按季度对贷款利率进行调整。这意味着，深圳的存量住房公积金贷款，即于 2025年7月1日起开始执行调整后的利率。 目前深圳最新的房贷利率为： 深圳最新公积金贷款首付政策如下： 首套房：深圳公积金贷款 ...

英国央行行长贝利：我们必须非常谨慎地关注通胀带来的后果。劳动力市场正在走软。利率倾向于继续 逐步下调。 ...

证券研究报告|行业点评报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 06 月 30 日 [Table_Title] 保险业 2025 年 5 月保费点评：寿险增速延续 扩大，财险保持稳健 [Table_Title2] 保险Ⅱ 行业评级: 推荐 [Table_Summary] 分析与判断: ► 人身险：5 月寿险保费增幅延续扩大 2025 年 1-5 月人身险公司原保费收入 22,797 亿元，同比+3.3%。其中寿险/意外险/健康险原保费收入分别 为 18,735/183/3,879 亿元，分别同比+3.9%/-5.5%/+0.9%。5 月单月，人身险公司原保费收入 3,328 亿元，同 比+16.6%，其中寿险/意外险/健康险原保费收入 2,674/30/624 亿元，分别同比+24.1%/-8.5%/-6.3%。寿险单月 保费同比显著高增，且增幅自年初以来连续扩大，我们预计主要系存款利率下调，叠加保险预定利率三季度下 调预期催化。2025 年 1-5 月保户投资款新增交费（以万能险为主）3,406 亿元，同比-4.3%，其中 5 月单月同比 +1.2%（增速环比-14.8pp），我们预计主要系万能险结算利 ...

Core Insights - The insurance industry in China reported a premium income of 3.06 trillion yuan for the first five months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.77% [1][3] - The life insurance sector saw a significant increase in premium income, with a monthly growth rate exceeding 15% in May [1][3] - Non-auto insurance segments, particularly health and accident insurance, experienced rapid growth, with accident insurance premiums rising by 12.55% year-on-year [1][4] Group 1: Premium Income and Growth - The insurance industry achieved a premium income of 3.06 trillion yuan in the first five months, with life insurance contributing 2.45 trillion yuan and property insurance contributing 612.9 billion yuan [3][4] - The growth in premium income for property insurance was 5.22%, while life insurance saw a growth of 3.72% [3][4] - The overall premium income recovery in the first five months is attributed to various factors, including market demand and regulatory changes [1][3] Group 2: Claims and Payouts - The insurance industry reported claims payouts of 1.17 trillion yuan in the first five months, marking a year-on-year increase of 9.91% [3] - The increase in claims payouts indicates a strengthening of the insurance protection function within the industry [3] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Innovations - The property insurance sector is focusing on non-auto insurance products, with health and accident insurance showing significant growth, reflecting increased consumer demand for health and risk management [4][8] - The industry is undergoing continuous transformation, with innovations in new energy vehicle insurance and adjustments in pricing strategies for life insurance products [5][6][7] - Regulatory support is fostering the development of floating income products, which are expected to gain traction in the market [7][8] Group 4: Future Outlook - The insurance market is anticipated to evolve into a more diversified and high-quality development landscape, driven by ongoing reforms and innovation [8] - Recommendations for the property insurance sector include focusing on new energy vehicle insurance innovations and enhancing technology-driven risk management [8] - In the life insurance sector, there is potential for growth in floating income products, necessitating improved asset-liability management and expansion of health and pension insurance services [8]

保险月度跟踪 证 券 研 究 报 告 寿险提速，财险稳健增长 我们的推荐顺序是：中国太保 H、中国人寿 H、中国平安 H、中国人保 H。 风险提示：政策变动，自然灾害加剧，长期利率持续下行，权益市场震荡。 重点公司盈利预测、估值及投资评级 | | | | EPS（元） | | | PE（倍） | | PB（倍） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 简称 | 股价（元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 评级 | | 中国太保 | 36.96 | 4.87 | 4.99 | 5.10 | 7.58 | 7.41 | 7.25 | 1.08 | 推荐 | | 新华保险 | 58.53 | 6.39 | 6.93 | 7.60 | 9.15 | 8.45 | 7.70 | 2.09 | 推荐 | | 中国人寿 | 41.16 | 3.09 | 3.19 | 3.25 | 13.31 | 12.92 | 12.67 | 2.27 | 推荐 ...