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定增市场双周报:基准折价率下行,解禁收益收窄-20250623
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-23 14:41
Group 1: Project Dynamics - As of June 23, 2025, there are 607 ongoing private placement projects, with 18 new projects added in the last two weeks, a decrease of 3 from the previous period[5] - The number of terminated projects decreased by 4 to 7, while the number of projects approved by the review committee fell by 8 to 2[5] - The average time from proposal to approval for non-simple procedures is approximately 528 days, an increase of 274 days from the previous period[16] Group 2: Fundraising Overview - Total fundraising in the last two weeks reached 287.21 billion yuan, a significant increase of 96602.56% driven by two projects exceeding 100 billion yuan[27] - The average benchmark discount rate for competitive bidding projects decreased by 8.83 percentage points to 11.17%[27] - The average market price discount rate for competitive bidding projects increased by 0.58 percentage points to 18.38%[27] Group 3: Unlocking Gains - Among the 6 competitive bidding projects that were unlocked, 4 had positive returns, with a positive return rate of 66.67%, down 33.33 percentage points from the previous period[40] - The average absolute return rate on the unlocking day for these projects was 7.02%, a decrease of 12.76 percentage points[40] - The average market price discount rate for these projects was 13.29%, down 3.69 percentage points from the previous period[41] Group 4: Pricing Project Performance - The two pricing projects unlocked had an average absolute return rate of -11.04%, a decline of 198.24 percentage points, with a success rate of 50%[47] - The average market price discount rate for these pricing projects was 7.39%, down 18.96 percentage points[49] - The average industry return during the "issue-unlock" period was -25.23%, a decrease of 55.25 percentage points[49] Group 5: Risk Factors - Risks include slower-than-expected review progress, fluctuations in secondary market stock prices, and changes in the competitive bidding market environment[51]
定增市场双周报:新增数量维持高位,解禁收益均为正-20250609
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-09 14:13
研 究 专 题 定增双周报 2025 年 06 月 09 日 新增数量维持高位,解禁收益均为正 ——定增市场双周报 2025.05.26-2025.06.08 本期投资提示: 新 股 发 行 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 彭文玉 A0230517080001 pengwy@swsresearch.com 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 任奕璇 A0230525050002 renyx2@swsresearch.com 研究支持 朱敏 A0230524050004 zhumin@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱敏 (8621)23297818× zhumin@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 相关研究 - ⚫ 新增项目维持高位,存量项目环比增加。截至 2025 年 6 月 9 日,上两周(5 月 26 日至 6 月 8 日)新增 21 宗定增项目(其中竞价 11 宗),环比持平;终止 11 宗(其中竞价 5 宗), 环比增加 1 宗;发审委通过 10 宗(其 ...
定增市场双周报:折价持续回升,解禁收益回暖-20250526
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-26 13:15
Group 1: Market Dynamics - 21 new private placement projects were added in the last two weeks, a 10.53% increase from the previous period[5] - 10 projects were terminated, marking a 42.86% increase in terminations[5] - The number of projects awaiting approval stands at 598, with 60 projects having passed the review and registration process[5] Group 2: Fundraising and Pricing - The total fundraising amount for the 9 projects listed in the last two weeks reached 5.362 billion yuan, a 286.83% increase[26] - The average base discount rate for competitive projects was 14.88%, up 2.94 percentage points from the previous period[26] - The average subscription success rate for competitive projects dropped to 40.00%, a decrease of 60.00 percentage points[26] Group 3: Unlocking Gains - Among the 5 competitive projects that were unlocked, 4 yielded positive returns, resulting in an 80.00% success rate[42] - The average absolute return on the unlocking day for these projects was 25.30%, with an excess return of 26.87%[42] - The average market price discount rate for unlocked projects was 15.91%, down 1.12 percentage points[42] Group 4: Project Analysis - Long White Mountain aims to raise up to 236 million yuan for tourism-related projects, with a total market value of 8.475 billion yuan[19] - China Energy Construction plans to raise up to 9 billion yuan for multiple renewable energy projects, with a total market value of 80.176 billion yuan[20]
定增市场双周报:折价分化,发行放缓、注册加快-20250512
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-12 07:41
Group 1: Market Dynamics - The registration pace has significantly accelerated, with a total of 594 projects currently under review, an increase of 2 from the previous period[6] - In the last two weeks, 18 new private placement projects were added, a decrease of 6 from the previous period, while 7 projects were terminated, also down by 6[6] - The average time from proposal to approval has shortened to 233 days, with a 100% approval rate for projects reviewed in the last two weeks[18] Group 2: Fundraising and Pricing - Two competitive bidding projects raised a total of 1.386 billion yuan, a decrease of 88.08% from the previous period, with a full subscription rate of 100%[32] - The average base discount rate for competitive bidding projects increased by 3.05 percentage points to 11.95%[32] - The average market discount rate for these projects rose by 3.73 percentage points to 12.76%[32] Group 3: Performance Analysis - Among the six competitive bidding projects that were unlocked, 66.67% had positive returns, a decrease of 33.33 percentage points from the previous period[43] - The average absolute return on the unlock date for these projects was 23.62%, down by 6.16 percentage points[43] - For four pricing projects, the average absolute return was -20.52%, a significant drop of 96.50 percentage points from the previous period[49] Group 4: Risk Factors - Risks include slower-than-expected review progress, fluctuations in secondary market stock prices, and changes in the competitive bidding environment[54]