林浆纸一体化

Search documents
研判2025!中国木浆行业产业链、产量及消费量分析:纸业扩张与废纸限令共驱木浆需求,国产增量仍需进口补位[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-24 01:32
Industry Overview - The demand for wood pulp in China is continuously increasing due to the rising production of paper and cardboard, along with restrictions on waste paper imports [1][12] - In 2024, China's wood pulp production is projected to reach 26.26 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.58%, while consumption is expected to be 51.39 million tons, up 4.22% [1][12] - The industry is highly dependent on imports to meet downstream demand due to limited domestic wood resources [1][12] Industry Development History - The Chinese wood pulp industry has undergone five stages of development, from a nascent phase (1950-1978) dominated by state-owned enterprises to a rapid growth phase (2000-2010) following China's WTO accession [4][5] - The current phase (2021-present) focuses on green manufacturing and circular economy, driven by dual carbon goals and technological advancements [5] Industry Chain - The upstream of the wood pulp industry includes raw materials (mainly wood) and production equipment, while the midstream involves wood pulp manufacturing [8] - Downstream applications encompass various paper products, including household paper, cultural paper, packaging paper, and specialty paper [8] Current Industry Status - The wood pulp industry in China is transitioning from "import dependence" to "domestic dominance," with domestic wood pulp consumption expected to reach 25.95 million tons in 2024, a 15.49% increase [14] - The market share of major players like Asia Pacific Forest Products and Chenming Paper has increased due to investments and technological upgrades [14][16] Key Companies' Performance - The industry is characterized by "oligopolistic competition" with high market concentration among five major companies, including Asia Pacific Forest Products and Chenming Paper [16] - Chenming Paper's revenue from chemical pulp is projected to reach 1.519 billion yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 175.29% [18] Industry Development Trends - The industry is accelerating its transition towards green and sustainable development, with policies promoting the use of biomass fuels and efficient equipment [22] - Technological innovations, such as continuous cooking processes and digital production systems, are expected to enhance wood utilization rates and product quality [23] - Companies are expanding their global presence and forming regional partnerships to enhance supply chain resilience [24]
建信期货纸浆日报-20250718
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-18 03:46
Report Overview - Report Title: Pulp Daily Report - Date: July 18, 2025 - Industry: Pulp 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating provided in the report 2. Core View - The absolute price of pulp is at a relatively low level. The downside space due to weak fundamentals is limited, and a new round of price increase depends on the improvement of terminal demand and the restoration of industry profits. In the short term, pulp prices will maintain a wide - range shock at a low level [8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Market Review**: The pre - settlement price of the pulp futures 09 contract was 5234 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5264 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 0.46%. The intended transaction price range of coniferous pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5070 - 6700 yuan/ton, and the low - end price remained stable compared with the previous trading day's closing price. The quoted price of Shandong Yinxing was 5920 - 5950 yuan/ton [7] - **Supply - side Information**: Chile's Arauco announced the July quotation. Yinxing's transactions were completed with no new offers, and the net price of Uruguay's broad - leaf pulp New Star was 500 US dollars/ton. According to PPPC data, the shipment volume of coniferous pulp from the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries in May decreased by 8.2% year - on - year, and the cumulative year - on - year decrease from January to April was 0.6%. According to Europulp data, the total inventory of wood pulp in European ports in June increased by 2.4% month - on - month and 6.6% year - on - year; the consumption of wood pulp in Europe decreased by 9.9% month - on - month and 10.6% year - on - year. In June, China's total pulp imports were 3 million and 30 thousand tons, an increase of 0.5% month - on - month and 16.3% year - on - year. As of July 10, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports increased by 0.45% month - on - month, and only the inventory at Gaolan Port decreased compared with the previous week, with a stable overall shipment speed [8] - **Demand - side Information**: Downstream terminal orders were insufficient, and the overall price of base paper was stable with individual declines [8] 3.2 Industry News - On July 11, the second - phase chemical mechanical pulp project's No. 2 line of Liansheng Pulp and Paper Co., Ltd. was successfully put into operation. It took only 4 hours and 8 minutes to connect the entire system from feeding. After 20 hours of system optimization after startup, the quality of the main pulp reached the pulp - using requirements of the paper machine production line. The chemical mechanical pulp of the No. 2 line has been used in the PM1 white cardboard production line of Zhangpu Base. The successful commissioning of the No. 2 line marks a major progress in the annual production of 3.9 million tons of forest - pulp - paper integration in Zhangpu Base and further strengthens Liansheng's raw material self - supply flexibility [9] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price spreads, needle - broadleaf price spreads, inter - delivery spreads, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, prices and spreads of white cardboard and whiteboard paper, prices and spreads of coated paper and offset paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][19][26][28][30]
金光集团 APP(中国)将再次赴约链博会,共筑绿色高效产业链生态圈
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-07-04 03:30
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese paper industry is entering a critical development phase amid global green low-carbon transformation and industrial chain restructuring, with APP (China) setting a benchmark through its integrated "forest-pulp-paper" model and sustainable practices [1][5]. Group 1: Industry Development - APP (China) has established a "forest-pulp-paper" integrated green circular industry chain, promoting ecological forestry, environmentally friendly pulping, and green paper production since its entry into China in 1992 [1]. - The company emphasizes the importance of stable supply chains for enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness, especially in the face of global supply chain challenges [8]. Group 2: Participation in Events - APP (China) participated in the second China International Supply Chain Promotion Expo, showcasing its achievements in green value chains and digital innovation, and signed a cooperation memorandum with several financial institutions, marking a new paradigm of "finance + manufacturing" collaboration [3][5]. - The company plans to present its latest cooperation results and practices at the upcoming third expo, aiming to expand its network and enhance technological service exchanges [7]. Group 3: Investment and Projects - APP (China) has initiated a special paper project in Hainan with an investment of approximately 870 million yuan, which aims to introduce modern production lines and low-carbon processes, contributing to the green industrial development of Hainan Free Trade Port [8]. - Continuous technological upgrades and capacity optimization are enhancing the company's competitiveness in high-end paper products, meeting the growing demand for high-quality, environmentally friendly paper products in domestic and international markets [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - As a "chain master" enterprise, APP (China) is committed to deepening its "forest-pulp-paper" model and leveraging its supply chain management system to lead the paper industry towards a stronger and more sustainable future [10].
建信期货纸浆日报-20250704
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-04 03:07
Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: July 4, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp Futures: The previous settlement price of the 09 contract was 5,048 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,094 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.91% [7] - Shandong Wood Pulp Market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp was 5,220 - 6,750 yuan/ton, with the low - end price unchanged from the previous trading day. The price of Shandong Yinxing was 6,100 yuan/ton [7] - Chilean Arauco's June Quotes: Yinxing was 740 US dollars/ton, and Jinxing was 620 US dollars/ton, the same as the previous quote [7] - Supply - side Data: In May, the shipment volume of softwood pulp from 20 major pulp - producing countries decreased by 8.2% year - on - year, and the cumulative decrease from January to April was 0.6% year - on - year. In May, the total wood pulp inventory in European ports increased by 13.3% month - on - month and 22% year - on - year. China's pulp import volume in May was 3.02 million tons, up 4.3% month - on - month and 6.9% year - on - year [7] - Inventory Status: As of July 3, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports increased by 3.11% month - on - month, with only the inventory in Qingdao Port decreasing compared to the previous week. The overall shipping speed was stable [7] - Downstream Market: The market orders of downstream paper mills had no obvious improvement, and the prices of finished paper remained stable. The port de - stocking speed was slow, the supply of imported wood pulp market was relatively loose, and the price was oscillating in the low - end range [7] Group 3: Industry News - On July 3, the 650,000 - ton/year bleached chemical pulp production line of Nine Dragons Paper Co., Ltd. in Jianli Bailuo Industrial Park, Jingzhou was successfully put into operation, marking a key breakthrough in the 20.5 - billion - yuan forest - pulp - paper integration project. The supporting 1.2 - million - ton/year white cardboard production line plans to be installed and debugged in the fourth quarter of 2025. After the project is fully completed, a complete industrial chain from pulping to packaging and printing will be formed in Jingzhou [8]
仙鹤股份激进扩张五年抛509亿项目 有息负债121亿资金仅9亿财务承压
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-07-02 23:40
Core Viewpoint - Xianhe Co., Ltd. has signed a significant investment agreement with the government of Hejiang County, Sichuan Province, for a bamboo pulp paper integrated high-performance paper base new materials project, with a total investment of approximately 11 billion yuan [1][5]. Investment Details - The project will be constructed in two phases, each with an investment of about 5.5 billion yuan, aiming to produce 400,000 tons of bamboo pulp and 600,000 tons of high-performance paper base new materials annually [2][5]. - The project is expected to generate an annual output value of approximately 5.15 billion yuan and provide around 2,000 jobs upon completion of the first phase [5][6]. Historical Investments - Since 2020, Xianhe Co., Ltd. has announced significant investments totaling 50.9 billion yuan across various projects in Guangxi, Hubei, and Shandong, in addition to the current Sichuan project [2][9]. - Notable projects include a 21.9 billion yuan expansion in Guangxi and a 10 billion yuan project in Shishou, Hubei [8][9]. Financial Position - As of the end of Q1 this year, the company's debt-to-asset ratio stood at 65.49%, marking a historical high, with interest-bearing liabilities of 12.146 billion yuan against cash holdings of only 895 million yuan [4][11]. - The company's profitability has shown volatility, with net profits fluctuating from 1.017 billion yuan in 2021 to 1.004 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year change of 41.76%, -30.14%, -6.55%, and 51.23% respectively [11]. Market Position - Xianhe Co., Ltd. is recognized as one of the largest specialized manufacturers of high-performance paper base functional materials in China, with a diverse product range and significant market share in various segments [10]. - The company holds nearly 45% market share in the tobacco industry paper segment and about 25% in the thermal paper market, indicating a strong competitive position [10].
太阳纸业(002078):浆纸价格逐渐企稳,新增产能投放增厚壁垒利润,底部布局良机
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-06-23 07:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Viewpoints - Pulp prices are stabilizing, and new capacity additions are expected to enhance bottom-line profits, presenting a good opportunity for bottom positioning [6] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the potential rebound in pulp prices, which could act as a catalyst for growth [7] - The company has a strong integrated supply chain advantage, with significant investments in forestry and pulp production [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to reach 41,650 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.3% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 3,537 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.1% [2] - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 1.27 yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 11 [2] Market Data - As of June 20, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 13.31 yuan, with a market capitalization of 36,801 million yuan [3] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.3 and a dividend yield of 2.25% [3] Additional Insights - The company has recently launched a special paper project with a capacity of 34,000 tons, and further capacity expansions are planned for the future [6] - The company is actively managing its forestry resources, with plans to increase plantation areas significantly, which will strengthen its competitive position in the market [7]
能源化工纸浆周度报告-20250622
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-06-22 09:17
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The pulp market may show a pattern of counter - arbitrage and fluctuate slightly stronger due to the adjustment of deliverable products. After the suspension of the "Bratsk" brand deliverable for bleached sulfate softwood pulp futures, the overall price center of the futures market may rise, and the near - far month spread may widen [78]. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Industry News - As of June 19, 2025, the pulp inventories in Changshu Port, Qingdao Port, and Gaolan Port in China all increased, with a 0.7% increase in Changshu Port, 1.2% in Qingdao Port, and 2.6% in Gaolan Port. The total inventory of mainstream ports reached 220.8 million tons, a 1.1% increase from the previous period [6]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange announced the suspension of the warehousing of the "Bratsk" brand deliverable for bleached sulfate softwood pulp futures [6]. - Shandong Sun Paper and its subsidiaries won new industrial land in Beihai, Guangxi and Yanzhou, Shandong [6]. Market Data Market Trends - The basis of Silver Star on June 20, 2025, was 930 yuan/ton, with an 8.39% increase from the previous period and a 124.64% increase year - on - year. The basis of Russian Needle was 130 yuan/ton, with a 124.14% increase from the previous period and a 195.59% increase year - on - year. The price difference between Silver Star and Russian Needle was 800 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period but a 45.45% increase year - on - year [14]. - The 09 - 11 month spread on June 20, 2025, decreased by 50% from the previous period, and the 11 - 01 month spread was - 82 yuan/ton, a 7.89% decrease from the previous period [19]. Fundamental Data Price - The price differences between softwood and hardwood pulp (Silver Star - Goldfish, Russian Needle - Goldfish) decreased. On June 20, 2025, the price difference between Silver Star and Goldfish was 1950 yuan/ton, a 2.5% decrease from the previous period but a 160% increase year - on - year. The price difference between Russian Needle and Goldfish was 1150 yuan/ton, a 4.17% decrease from the previous period and a 475% increase year - on - year [26]. - The import profit of Silver Star was positive but continued to decline this week. The hardwood pulp Star had no quotation in June, and partial supply was expected to resume in July [33]. - The prices of imported softwood pulp such as Silver Star, Cariboo, Northwood, and Lion decreased slightly compared to the previous period. The prices of imported hardwood pulp such as Goldfish, Star, and Bird remained stable [35][42]. - The price of Venus was 5100 yuan/ton on June 20, 2025, a 2% increase from the previous period but a 6.42% decrease year - on - year. The price of Kunhe was 3900 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous period and a 1.3% increase year - on - year [46]. Supply - In April 2025, the European port inventory decreased by 12.77% month - on - month, and the global pulp out - port volume decreased by 18.3% month - on - month and 10.89% year - on - year [50]. - In May 2025, the pulp import volume showed a differentiated performance. The softwood pulp import volume decreased by 4.75% month - on - month, while the hardwood pulp import volume increased by 7.84% month - on - month [53]. Demand - The capacity utilization rates of white cardboard, household paper, offset paper, and coated paper decreased to varying degrees on June 20, 2025. The capacity utilization rates of white cardboard, household paper, offset paper, and coated paper were 72.2%, 62.1%, 54.6%, and 56.55% respectively [58]. - The prices of white cardboard, household paper, offset paper, and coated paper remained stable this week, but the market trading was light, and the raw material procurement enthusiasm was not high [61][64]. - The profit of household paper decreased this period, while the profits of other paper types increased to varying degrees [67]. Inventory - The total inventory of mainstream ports in China reached 220.8 million tons on June 20, 2025, a 1.05% increase from the previous period and a 21.12% increase year - on - year. The inventories in Qingdao Port, Changshu Port, and Gaolan Port all increased [75]. - The warehouse receipt quantity of pulp in warehouses was 23.53 million tons on June 20, 2025, a 1.22% decrease from the previous period and a 50.27% decrease year - on - year. The warehouse receipt quantity in factories was 1.63 million tons, unchanged from the previous period and a 49.25% decrease year - on - year [69]. Operation Suggestions - The pulp market may fluctuate slightly stronger due to the adjustment of deliverable products. The suspension of the "Bratsk" brand deliverable may increase the willingness of buyers to take delivery and raise the overall price center of the futures market. The market may show a counter - arbitrage pattern [78].
建信期货纸浆日报-20250611
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-11 01:21
1. Report Information - Report Type: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: June 11, 2025 [2] 2. Industry Investment Rating - No information provided. 3. Core Viewpoints - The new round of imported pulp quotes remained stable, the port destocking speed was still slow, the implementation effect of downstream price increase letters was average, and the shutdown of the 690,000 - ton per - annum softwood pulp mill Joutseno in Finland due to poor orders boosted the market trend, leading to a wide - range rebound in pulp prices [8]. 4. Summary by Section 4.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **Pulp Futures**: The previous settlement price of the 09 - contract of pulp futures was 5,256 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,284 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.53%. The 01 - contract and 05 - contract also showed different price changes [7]. - **Spot Market**: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5,280 - 6,750 yuan/ton, and the low - end price remained stable compared with the previous trading day. The quotation of Shandong Yinxing was 6,150 - 6,170 yuan/ton [7]. - **Supply and Demand**: Chilean Arauco announced its June quotes, with Yinxing at 740 US dollars/ton and Jinxing at 620 US dollars/ton, unchanged from the previous period. The shipment volume of softwood pulp from 20 major pulp - producing countries in April decreased by 7.2% year - on - year, and the cumulative year - on - year increase from January to April was 1.4%. China's pulp imports in May were 3.02 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.3% and a year - on - year increase of 6.9%. As of June 5, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 2.6% month - on - month. The downstream market had a clear demand for improving profitability, but the follow - up of terminal orders was limited, and the raw material procurement mentality was cautious [8]. 4.2 Industry News - Jiulong Paper is promoting a forest - pulp - paper integration project in Beihai, Guangxi. The first production line is planned to be put into operation in June 2025, and the other two production lines will be put into operation in stages in September and December. The project aims to achieve full production in 2025, with a total investment of 35 billion yuan, covering an area of 5,120 mu. After the project is put into operation, the annual output value is expected to reach 70 billion yuan, and the annual tax will increase by 3 billion yuan. The pulp production capacity is expected to reach 14.4 million tons [9]. 4.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including pulp futures price, spot price, price difference, inventory, and other data, with data sources mainly from Wind, Zhuochuang Information, and the Research and Development Department of Jianxin Futures [7][11][20]
建信期货纸浆日报-20250606
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 01:45
Report Information - Report Name: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: June 6, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team [4] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The new round of imported pulp quotations remained stable, the de - stocking speed at ports was still slow, the downstream base paper enterprises successively issued price increase letters but the implementation effect was average, and the fundamentals changed little. Pulp maintained a low - level range - bound adjustment [7] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp futures contract 09 had a previous settlement price of 5,228 yuan/ton and a closing price of 5,218 yuan/ton, with an overall increase of 0.19%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5,400 - 6,750 yuan/ton, and the low - end price remained stable compared with the previous trading day's closing price. The quotation of Shandong Yinxing was 6,300 yuan/ton [7] - Chile's Arauco announced its June quotations: Yinxing at 740 US dollars/ton and Jinxing at 620 US dollars/ton, which were flat compared with the previous period [7] - According to PPPC data, the shipment volume of softwood pulp from the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries in April decreased by 7.2% year - on - year, and the cumulative increase from January to April was 1.4% year - on - year. China's pulp imports in April were 2.89 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 11.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 10.2%. As of May 29, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 2.2% month - on - month [7] - The downstream market had a clear demand for improving profitability, but the follow - up of terminal orders was limited, and the raw material procurement mentality was cautious [7] 2. Industry News - On June 5, the single - machine commissioning of the PM2 white cardboard project of Liansheng Pulp and Paper was launched. This project was designed by China Haisum Changsha Company and was currently in the single - machine commissioning stage. The coated board production line BM2 and the bleached chemi - thermomechanical pulp (BCTMP) production line were supplied by Valmet and were expected to be put into operation in the third quarter of 2025 [8] - Liansheng Pulp and Paper (Zhangzhou) Co., Ltd., established in 2020, was a large - scale forest - pulp - paper integrated pulp and paper enterprise. Its main products included chemical pulp, chemi - mechanical pulp, white cardboard, cultural paper, and household paper. The company covered an area of more than 300 hectares and had more than 3,000 employees [8] 3. Data Overview - Multiple data charts were provided, including cross - period spreads, import softwood pulp spot prices, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, needle - broadleaf price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate. The data sources were mainly Wind and Zhuochuang Information [13][14][16]
金光集团APP(中国)副总裁翟京丽: 从“制造产品”到“制造向善”,以链主思维推动造纸产业生态共建
21世纪经济报道· 2025-06-05 04:04
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the transition of the paper industry from "manufacturing products" to "manufacturing for good," highlighting the importance of sustainable development and ecological value in the industry [1][10]. Group 1: Industry Transformation - The paper industry is undergoing a systemic transformation, driven by the dual goals of quality and sustainability, as it prepares to be included in the national carbon market [1][7]. - The concept of "ecological value closed loop" is introduced, upgrading the previous "forest-pulp-paper integration" model to enhance sustainability [2][4]. Group 2: Carbon Asset Management - Carbon assets are emerging as a core asset alongside capital and technology, and early investment in carbon asset management can provide a competitive advantage [2][4]. - As of the end of 2023, the company has 29.3 million hectares of self-owned forest land, with a cumulative carbon storage of 43.7 million tons, laying a solid foundation for carbon sink development [2][4]. Group 3: Strategic Framework - The company has established a 2030 sustainable development strategic framework, focusing on strategic leadership, ecological collaboration, and innovation-driven approaches to build a carbon asset management system [2][4]. - The company aims to integrate various chains, such as supply chains and value chains, to enhance competitiveness and resilience [5]. Group 4: Collaborative Ecosystem - The company promotes vertical integration of the industry chain and horizontal ecological collaboration to create an innovative ecosystem, facilitating cooperation among various stakeholders [3][4]. - The establishment of platforms like the "China Paper Industry Sustainable Development Forum" fosters collaboration among government, industry associations, and research institutions [4]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The company believes that true commercial benevolence involves integrating social responsibility into business strategies, transforming challenges into opportunities for innovation [8][10]. - The future of sustainable development in the paper industry lies in adhering to green circular development models while promoting ecological transformation across the industry [10].