来源：全景财经 为持续向投资者普及ETF基础知识，招商证券携手十大基金公司，联合全景网共同举办2025年招商证 券"招财杯"ETF实盘大赛系列直播，旨在帮助投资者提升资产配置与风险管理能力，促进ETF市场的健 康发展。 12月5日，"招财杯"ETF实盘大赛系列直播邀请到了招商基金基金经理廖裕舟一起探讨《港股科技一轮 调整过后，是持续"去泡沫"还是蓄势再突破？》。 廖裕舟表示，10月份开始的港股科技的这一波回撤，是非常典型的日历效应，到年底大家有偏保守或者 偏价值的获利了结心态，基本面并没有发生太大的变化。结合AI产业趋势、港股科技企业基本面、资 金面以及估值来看，港股科技行情未来仍然值得关注。 不同于A股AI板块偏硬科技、偏制造板块的公司，港股科技主要是偏大的AI平台公司，偏软的互联网、 计算机行业，这些都是A股相对稀缺的。 从AI产业趋势来看，已经离商业化越来越近了。当前谈论AI泡沫为时尚早，截至12月3日，恒生科技指 数PE约为23倍，在历史上近十年的分位数只有33%，且横向对比美国AI龙头估值更有优势。中美对比 来看，我现在越来越相信中国AI企业选择的商业化路径是相对更靠谱的。 不同的港股指数，其重仓股 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Technology ETF Tianhong (159128) experienced a decline of 1.57% on December 9, with a trading volume of 63.8851 million yuan [1] Fund Performance - The fund's latest share count increased by 55 million to a total of 1.275 billion shares, with a total increase of 630 million shares over the past 20 trading days [1] - The latest net asset value is calculated at 1.199 billion yuan [1] - Since its establishment on October 31, 2025, the fund has returned -5.95%, while the return over the past month is -5.68% [1] Management Information - The fund is managed by Tianhong Fund Management Co., Ltd., with fund managers Sha Chuan and Hong Minghua [1] - The performance benchmark for the fund is the National Index Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index return (adjusted for valuation exchange rate) [1]

港股科技ETF（159751）业绩比较基准为中证港股通科技指数收益率，管理人为鹏华基金管理有限公 司，基金经理为张羽翔，成立（2021-12-10）以来回报为6.67%，近一个月回报为-4.81%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 12月9日，港股科技ETF（159751）跌1.57%，成交额7186.25万元。当日份额增加600.00万份，最新份额 为12.12亿份，近20个交易日份额增加8500.00万份。最新资产净值计算值为12.92亿元。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 ...

11月中旬以来，恒生科技再次到达并跌破120日均线，陷入横盘。综合多家机构观点，港股科技成长板 块短期赔率较高，静待流动性拐点出现。据广发证券，历史复盘显示，恒生科技每次运行到120日线附 近，都会出现一轮不错的上涨。叠加三季报，美团、阿里巴巴就暂停外卖补贴达成一致，相关亏损"达 峰"，充分反映到股价中，目前具有赔率（向上弹性大于向下调整的空间）。 中金公司（601995）也指出：港股科技新一轮行情的发动，或需要额外的产业进展或者流动性来催化。 华夏基金数量投资部也指出：日历效应来看，历史上恒生科技在每年的一季度表现普遍较好。港股科技 近两个月的回调，是流动性、基本面与估值等多重压力的集中体现，风险提前释放后，给了岁末年初重 新入场、布局2026年的契机。关注12月9日美联储12月议息会议降息能否落地，海外流动性可能迎来积 极催化。 投资工具方面，除了恒生科技，也可以关注港股通科技指数。与恒生科技指数相比，港股通科技指数差 异在于：行业覆盖更广、更具锐度，从而在反弹阶段更具弹性。相关ETF：恒生科技指数ETF （513180.SH）、港股通科技ETF基金（159101.SZ），一键把握港股科技的左侧布局机会。 ...

刚过去的11月，港股经历了显著震荡，恒生科技指数从10月的最高点回撤最大超过20%，市场情绪一度 低迷。然而，进入11月最后一周，市场进入"修复模式"，恒生科技指数单周累计上涨3.77%，领跑港股 三大指数。更值得关注的是，港股科技成为资金扫货的主要目标，11月份额增长前十的股票ETF中，有 5只恒生科技ETF，1只恒生互联网ETF。其中，恒生科技ETF易方达（513010）11月份额增长35.41亿 份，最新规模近250亿。 来源：市场投研资讯 （来源：小白读财经） 这说明，当多数投资者因短期波动而犹豫观望时，一部分"聪明钱"已开始对港股科技进行左侧布局。 01 聪明钱看到了什么？ 三大转变正在发生 资金逆势布局港股科技，并非盲目抄底，而是基于对三个关键变化的敏锐察觉。 （1）流动性预期从"疑虑"重回"宽松轨道" 在流动性或收紧的重重"疑虑"之后，市场对美联储明年降息的预期已显著升温，12月1日，美国银行全 球研究部表示，预计美联储将在12月会议上降息25个基点，2026年将再降2次。科技产业一直对利率高 度敏感，全球资金环境趋于宽松，将为港股科技市场的修复提供一大助力。 （2）产业叙事从"概念炒作"进入" ...

Group 1 - The recent pullback in the Hong Kong tech sector is influenced by discussions around the AI bubble in the US market, which has dampened investor sentiment and raised concerns about potential declines in tech stocks [3] - Changes in global liquidity expectations due to the US government shutdown and comments from Federal Reserve officials about potentially slowing monetary policy adjustments have also impacted the Hong Kong tech sector [3] - The rapid previous gains in the Hong Kong tech sector have led to high trading congestion, creating natural pullback pressure, which is seen as a normal adjustment [3] Group 2 - Despite recent pullbacks, the outlook for the Hong Kong tech sector remains positive, supported by expectations of improved liquidity from potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and stable earnings growth from leading companies in the internet and semiconductor sectors [5] - The recent success of domestic AI applications, such as the Qianwen App, which surpassed 10 million downloads in its first week, indicates a rapid transformation of AI technology into practical products and services, potentially igniting a new wave of AI applications in China [5] - The valuation of the Hong Kong tech sector is considered healthy, remaining at relatively low levels compared to historical standards, with a long-term upward trend still intact [5]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market showed a slight increase on the first trading day of December, with notable gains in AI-related stocks, particularly Alibaba and Tencent [1][3] - Meituan reported a significant loss in its local market business for Q3, amounting to approximately 14.1 billion yuan, primarily due to irrational competition in the food delivery sector [3] - The market is perceived to be nearing a "bad news fully priced" state, with previous risks such as US-China trade tensions and the impact of the food delivery competition on internet sector profitability being largely absorbed [3] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index opened slightly higher, with Alibaba-W rising over 3% and Tencent Holdings increasing by more than 1% [1] - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) saw a price increase of 0.9%, surpassing the 5-day moving average [1] Company-Specific Developments - Meituan's Q3 report indicated that losses in the food delivery segment peaked during this quarter, signaling a potential end to the intense competition in the sector [3] - Alibaba has also indicated a slowdown in subsidies for its flash purchase business, suggesting a shift in strategy as the "food delivery war" appears to be winding down [3] Investment Opportunities - The Hong Kong Internet ETF (513770) and its associated funds are recommended for investors looking to capitalize on the internet sector, which has adjusted significantly under previous liquidity pressures [3][4] - The ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Internet Index, which is heavily weighted towards leading internet companies, including Alibaba, Tencent, and Xiaomi, with a combined weight of over 45% [4] Fund Performance Metrics - The Hong Kong Internet ETF has a market size exceeding 10 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of over 600 million yuan, indicating strong liquidity [4] - The top holdings in the ETF include Alibaba (18.89%), Tencent (17.01%), and Xiaomi (10.05%), reflecting a focus on major players in the technology sector [4]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong technology sector has experienced a correction after reaching a yearly high in early October, with significant ETF inflows indicating investor confidence in the long-term value of technology companies despite short-term volatility [1][4][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hong Kong technology indices, including the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index and the Hang Seng Technology Index, have seen declines exceeding 7% in the past month [1][4]. - Major technology stocks like Alibaba and SMIC have faced price drops of 6.24% and 15.06% respectively over the same period [4]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index's price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) stands at 22.5 times, which is at the 27th percentile over the past decade, indicating a relatively low valuation [6][9]. Group 2: ETF Inflows - Despite the market correction, technology-focused ETFs in Hong Kong have seen a net inflow of 439 billion yuan in the past month, with 13 Hang Seng Technology ETFs attracting over 240 billion yuan [1][5]. - Specific ETFs such as Huatai-PB Hang Seng Technology ETF and Huaxia Hang Seng Technology Index ETF have recorded net inflows of 57.72 billion yuan and 54.47 billion yuan respectively [5][6]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investors remain optimistic about the long-term growth potential of leading technology companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Xiaomi, which are seen as having strong technological foundations and market positions [6][9]. - The market is currently influenced by external factors such as the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, which has raised concerns about liquidity and market valuations [4][5]. - Analysts suggest that if short-term pressures on the Hong Kong market are alleviated, there is potential for continued upward momentum driven by institutional investments [8][9]. Group 4: AI Bubble Concerns - Concerns regarding an "AI bubble" have emerged, but some analysts argue that the current fluctuations do not diminish the underlying investment value of AI technologies [5][10]. - The potential of AI technologies is still seen as significant, with leading companies that can integrate AI into diverse business scenarios likely to benefit the most [11].

11月26日，港股AI延续涨势，重仓互联网龙头的港股互联网ETF（513770）场内价格续涨逾1%，连涨3 日。科网龙头走势分化，美团-W涨超6%，小米集团-W涨近2%，腾讯控股、快手-W跟涨。阿里巴巴-W 绩后一度跌超2%，现跌1%。 因对淘宝闪购和AI大幅投入，阿里巴巴三季度经营利润同比降85%，但云增速超预期。单季度实现云营 收398.24亿元，同比增长34%，连续多个季度提速，其中AI相关产品收入已实现9个季度三位数同比增 长，成为云业务增长的核心引擎。 阿里明确积极加码AI能力建设，不排除在已承诺的三年超3800亿元云和AI硬件基建投资外追加投入。 阿里CEO吴泳铭表示，未来三年内不太可能出现人工智能泡沫。未来三年，人工智能资源整体将处于供 不应求的状态。 Omdia数据显示，今年上半年阿里云在中国AI云市场份额达35.8%，远超第二至第四名总和。此外其To C端突破同样亮眼，千问 App公测一周下载量破千万，未来将接入电商、地图、本地生活等生态，实现 AI To B与To C的全场景渗透。 机构指出，阿里当前的投入逻辑已获验证，AI+云的技术壁垒与即时零售的场景壁垒正加速形成，随着 算力供给瓶颈逐 ...

风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 11月21日，港股科技50ETF（513980）跌2.26%，成交额14.35亿元。当日份额增加3.26亿份，最新份额 为300.71亿份，近20个交易日份额增加3.85亿份。最新资产净值计算值为218.44亿元。 港股科技50ETF（513980）业绩比较基准为中证港股通科技指数收益率(使用估值汇率折算)，管理人为 景顺长城基金管理有限公司，基金经理为金璜、汪洋，成立（2021-06-21）以来回报为-27.36%，近一 个月回报为-10.42%。 来源：新浪基金∞工作室 ...