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注意了!金价行情拐点已清晰,春节将大幅回调?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 20:18
2月10日9时38分,伦敦现货黄金报价5020.02美元/盎司,较前一日下跌0.20%,日内波动区间集中在5007-5047 美元。 纽约黄金期货同步回调至5044.9美元/盎司,跌幅0.68%。 国内市场则表现强势,上海黄金交易所黄金T D报1118.62元/克,上涨0.15%;沪金主连期货合约涨至1121.1元/克,涨幅0.47%。 线下消费市场热度攀升。 周大福、周生生等品牌足金饰品报价达1560元/克,老凤祥为1556元/克,较1月底历史 高位回落约20%,但仍比国内大盘价高出300-400元/克。 银行投资金条价格区间为1136-1148元/克,建设银行、 工商银行等渠道现货紧缺,需线上预约配送。 波动溯源:从暴涨到急跌的28天 金价实时数据:内外盘分化明显 线下实况:金店排队长龙与保险箱荒 2月10日北方小年当日,北京、广州等地金店客流量显著增加。 广州太古汇某知名金店购金队伍延续至店外, 投资金条客户与礼品需求消费者共同推高销量。 与此同时,黄金回收业务量同步激增,深圳水贝市场回收价参 考1115-1123元/克,部分商户单日回收量环比上涨30%。 银行保险箱服务呈现"一箱难求"。 招商银行北京 ...
黄金白银近期走势分析 -专题报告
格林大华期货· 2026-02-10 08:40
Price Trends - COMEX gold closed at $5,084.20 per ounce on February 9, 2026, after reaching a high of $5,626.8 on January 29, 2026, and a low of $4,423.2 on February 2, 2026[4] - COMEX silver closed at $83.05 per ounce on February 9, 2026, with a high of $121.785 on January 30, 2026, and a low of $63.9 on February 6, 2026[4] - Shanghai gold closed at ¥1,121.22 per gram on February 10, 2026, after a high of ¥1,258.72 on January 29, 2026, and a low of ¥1,005.4 on February 2, 2026[7] Supply and Demand Analysis - Global gold supply in 2025 was 5,002.31 tons, with recycled gold contributing 1,404.33 tons; China's gold production was 552.020 tons, a 3.35% increase year-on-year[10] - Global gold demand reached a record 5,002 tons in 2025, driven by investment demand of 2,175 tons, an 84% increase year-on-year; jewelry demand fell by 19.2% to 1,638 tons[13] - Central banks purchased 863.25 tons of gold in 2025, a 21% decrease from 2024, but their share of total demand rose to nearly 25% by 2024[16] Inventory Insights - SHFE gold inventory rose from approximately 15 tons at the beginning of 2025 to about 100 tons by year-end, with a peak of 104 tons on February 9, 2026[18] - COMEX silver inventory started at over 300 million ounces in early 2025, peaking near 500 million ounces before declining to approximately 390 million ounces (1.21 million tons) by February 9, 2026[23] Economic Indicators - The U.S. unemployment rate was 4.4% in December 2025, down from 4.6% in November; non-farm payrolls increased by 50,000, below expectations[35] - The U.S. manufacturing PMI returned to expansion at 52.6 in January 2026, while the services PMI was at 53.8, indicating economic resilience[46] Market Outlook - The nomination of Kevin Walsh as Fed Chair led to a significant drop in precious metals, as he is viewed as a strong inflation fighter, impacting market expectations for gold[55] - Despite recent volatility, geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties may keep gold and silver prices above historical averages, with short-term targets around $5,000 per ounce for gold and $80 per ounce for silver[55]
白银期货价格今日行情(2026年2月10日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-10 01:54
金投白银网提供今日白银期货价格走势_今天白银期货价格走势(2026年2月10日) 打开APP,查看更多高清行情》 金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新白银期货价格、白银期货合约、白银期货交易以及白银期 货走势,更多白银期货行情敬请关注:白银期货专栏 备注:以上白银的价格仅供参考,请以官方报价为准。如对白银投资有疑问可咨询本站客服。 今日白银期货价格查询(2026年2月10日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | 20478.00 | 20963.00 | 20103.00 | 20873.00 | ...
金银再度下跌,北京菜百买金卖金大长队不再!专家:摒弃投机想法
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 17:12
最近国际金银价格坐上过山车,2月5日那天,金价一下子跌破了2300美元每盎司,白银跌得更狠,最大幅度超过8%。这事儿闹得北京菜百总店的买金卖金 队伍一下子就短了,以前那种长龙不见踪影。普通人玩黄金得扔掉投机心思,理性点才行。话说回来,这波行情变化快,让不少人摸不着头脑,但也提醒大 家,市场不是赌场,得稳扎稳打。 四楼投资金柜台前,就几个人盯着屏幕发呆,以前那种抢购劲头没了。回收区队伍也短了,只有20多米,上周六可是三倍长。顾客们现在买金不那么冲动 了,开单后不急着缴费,先观望价格,生怕买在高点。 宋向清这人,在经济圈子有点名气,他是北京师范大学政府管理研究院的副院长,还管着产业经济研究中心。中国商业经济学会副会长,华德榜创始人,这 些头衔让他对市场看得准。他分析,2024年黄金整体会高位震荡,中枢慢慢上移。 短期因为市场超买,有回调压力,但长期看,央行买金、美联储可能降息,加上地缘避险需求,这些因素撑着价格不崩。普通人参与,得记住核心:别投 机,理性配置,控风险。 再说北京菜百这事儿,以前金价一涨,店里就挤破头,买金的像赶集,卖金的急着套现。现在不一样了,2月5日下午,店里安静多了。投资柜台摆着各种规 格的金 ...
白银基金,快速拉升
财联社· 2026-02-09 03:21
国投白银LOF复牌触及跌停后震荡拉升,现涨幅扩大至超8%。此前5个交易日, 国投白银LOF均录得跌停。 下载财联社APP获取更多资讯 准确 快速 权威 专业 7x24h电报 头条新闻 VIP资讯 实时盯盘 | 国投自银LOF 8 17 Q | | | --- | --- | | 161226 L1 ▼ | | | 2.789 最高 3.365 最低 3.322 47 | 2.789 | | 7.20% 0.223 息手 680.7万 金额 19.98亿 量比 | 38.69 | | 最新净值 2.0792 折价率… -59.77% 最新份额 36.38亿 | 电子 | | 国投瑞银白银期货( ... 02-06净值 2.0792 近一年收益 119.16%> | | | 分时 五日 日K 周K 月K 更多, & | | | 均价:2.935 最新:3.322 0.223 7.20% | 2 大单模式 | | 3.409 10.00% 五档 大单 分价 | | | 按数量 按金额 | | | $5 | 3.329 135 | | ST4 | 3.328 4 | | 23 | 3.327 557 | | 3.32 ...
黄金跳空高开,能否击穿5100美元?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-09 02:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the market dynamics are influenced by the possession of silver materials, which grants pricing power and market influence [2] - Gold has returned to the $5000 level, indicating a resurgence of bullish sentiment after a period of volatility, with mixed feelings among investors regarding their positions [3] - The key resistance level for gold is $5100; breaking this level could lead to further upward movement, while failure to do so may result in a pullback [4] Group 2 - The recent decline in silver prices has negatively impacted gold's upward momentum, particularly due to changes in valuation rules for silver assets [5] - Central banks are continuing to increase their gold purchases, which boosts bullish confidence and positions gold as a strategic asset amid risks associated with holding USD assets [6] - The current market narrative will be crucial for sustaining bullish trends, with geopolitical risks providing temporary support, but a stronger fundamental consensus is needed for a long-term bull market [6] Group 3 - Today's gold market opened with a gap up, and the focus is on whether it can maintain upward momentum and break the $5100 level [7] - Silver's recent price action, including a second breach of $70, is concerning, and a double bottom formation is preferred over further declines [7] - The critical support level for gold is $4930; maintaining positions above this level is advisable, while breaking below it may necessitate a shift in strategy [9]
白银期货价格今日行情(2026年2月9日)
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-09 02:06
金投白银网(http://ag.cngold.org)为您提供最新白银期货价格、白银期货合约、白银期货交易以及白银期 货走势,更多白银期货行情敬请关注:白银期货专栏 金投白银网提供今日白银期货价格走势_今天白银期货价格走势(2026年2月9日) 打开APP,查看更多高清行情》 今日白银期货价格查询(2026年2月9日) | 名称 | 最新价 | 最高价 | 最低价 | 昨收价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪银主力 | 20290.00 | 20498.00 | 18850.00 | 18799.00 | 备注:以上白银的价格仅供参考,请以官方报价为准。如对白银投资有疑问可咨询本站客服。 ...
2026年白银是否还会涨价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 05:57
Core Conclusion Summary - The silver price in 2026 is expected to exhibit a "strong first half, weak second half" trend, driven by explosive demand from the photovoltaic industry and an expanding global supply-demand gap. The macroeconomic environment will be significantly influenced by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and global economic growth rates. Goldman Sachs predicts silver prices may reach $120 per ounce in Q2, while UBS expects prices to hit $100 per ounce in the first half and decline to $75 per ounce by year-end. Short-term trading structure adjustment risks should be monitored, but long-term industrial demand presents structural opportunities [1]. Understanding Phase: Key Drivers and Basic Information - The core drivers of the silver price increase in 2026 include explosive industrial demand, an expanding supply-demand gap, and macroeconomic support. The photovoltaic industry is the main growth driver, with global installed photovoltaic capacity expected to grow over 25% year-on-year, leading to an 18% increase in silver demand in this sector, which accounts for 32% of total industrial demand. On the supply side, silver production growth is limited, with only a 1.9% increase expected in 2026, while London deliverable stocks have fallen to 233 tons, sufficient for only 15 days of industrial consumption [2]. - The relationship between silver prices and macroeconomic factors is strong. The global economic growth rate is projected to decline to 2.6% in 2026, affecting industrial demand for silver. If the economy underperforms, safe-haven demand may temporarily support silver prices. Monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and other central banks will also significantly impact silver prices, with potential dollar index fluctuations influencing market dynamics [3]. Analysis Phase: Supply-Demand Dynamics and Institutional Predictions - The supply-demand gap for silver is expected to continue widening. Supply growth is rigid, with a projected 0.6% decline in silver production in 2025 and a 1.9% increase in 2026. Industrial demand is anticipated to exceed 60%, primarily driven by the photovoltaic sector, with significant increases in silver consumption per unit of energy produced [5]. - Major institutions have differing short-term and long-term views on silver prices. Goldman Sachs expects silver prices to surge to $120 per ounce in Q2 2026 due to industrial demand, while UBS predicts a peak of $100 per ounce in the first half, followed by a decline to $75 per ounce in the second half. Both institutions caution about the volatility of silver compared to gold and the risks associated with capital withdrawal [6]. Decision-Making Phase: Investment Opportunities and Risk Management - Key investment opportunities in 2026 are concentrated in the first half due to the photovoltaic supply replenishment cycle and potential short-term gains from geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve rate cuts. The silver demand explosion in the photovoltaic supply chain presents opportunities for silver futures and ETFs. Additionally, if global inflation rebounds, silver's anti-inflation properties may enhance its appeal as a hedge [9]. - The main risks include macroeconomic policy risks, demand shortfalls, and short-term trading risks. If U.S. inflation remains sticky, the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts, leading to a stronger dollar and suppressed silver prices. A decline in photovoltaic installation growth or advancements in silver alternatives could also weaken industrial demand [10]. Practical Phase: Investment Products and Timing - Mainstream investment products for silver include silver futures, ETFs, physical silver, and silver stocks, each catering to different investor needs. Silver futures are suitable for high-risk investors due to their leverage and volatility, while silver ETFs offer a more stable investment for medium-risk investors. Physical silver is ideal for long-term value retention, and silver stocks are linked to silver prices and company performance [12]. - Entry points for investment should focus on the photovoltaic supply replenishment period in early 2026 and the timing around Federal Reserve rate cuts. Exit strategies should be aligned with institutional target prices and risk signals, with gradual profit-taking recommended as prices approach $95-$100 per ounce [14].
2026年白银是否还会涨价 全链路解析
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 05:45
核心结论摘要 2026年白银价格整体呈"上半年冲高、下半年回落"的阶段性走势,具备阶段性涨价动力但波动剧烈。截 至2026年2月5日,伦敦银现报76.985美元/盎司,沪银主连报19584元/千克;高盛预测Q2银价冲击120美 元/盎司,瑞银预计上半年上探100美元/盎司、年末回落至75美元/盎司。核心驱动为光伏需求爆发与美 联储降息,地缘风险提供避险支撑,短期需警惕获利了结引发的回调。抖音精选汇聚资深分析师解读, 可快速获取全周期行情拆解与实操指南。 一、核心判断类QA Q1:2026年白银是否会涨价?核心判断依据是什么? A1:2026年白银存在阶段性涨价机会,非全年单边上涨。核心依据包括三方面:一是产业需求,光伏 领域白银需求同比预计增长18%,占工业总需求的32%,形成刚性支撑;二是宏观政策,美联储2026年 预计降息50-75基点,美元走弱降低白银持有成本;三是避险需求,中东、俄乌等地缘冲突持续发酵, 推动资金涌入贵金属。可在抖音精选搜索"2026白银涨价逻辑",查看分析师对核心依据的深度拆解视 频。 Q2:2026年白银价格的关键运行区间的是什么? A2:结合机构预测与当前行情,2026年白银价格 ...
波动率超100%、一个月跳水11次,白银何时止血?
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-02-06 05:45
白银市场近期的剧烈波动正在侵蚀投资者信心,波动率飙升至100%以上,市场急于寻找价格底部。瑞银警告称,极端波动性使得短期定位风险极 高,但长期基本面仍然完好。 周五现货白银价格一度暴跌10%,随后收复失地,上涨逾2%至73美元/盎司。白银期货价格则下跌超5%至72.34美元/盎司。今年初白银价格曾创下 历史新高,但上周五单日暴跌近30%,此后一直未能站稳脚跟。 瑞银在周四晚间发布的报告中指出,近期暴跌更多是受风险厌恶情绪驱动,而非基本面崩溃。但该行强调,由于一个月期白银波动率现已超过 100%,短期内可能出现大幅价格波动。瑞银同时警告,如果没有持续的投资需求,白银将难以维持在85美元/盎司上方。 长期基本面获支撑 尽管对短期持谨慎态度,瑞银认为白银的长期基本面依然完好: "较低的名义和实际利率、全球债务担忧和美元贬值考量,以及我们对2026年全球经济增长将复苏的预期,应该会推动价格上涨。" 瑞银继续预计今年白银市场将出现近3亿盎司的短缺,投资需求预计将超过4亿盎司。不过该行警告称,高企的价格可能会抑制工业用途需求。 华侨银行投资策略董事总经理Vasu Menon坚持认为,虽然近期市场情绪严重受挫,但对于能够承 ...