Market Overview - The investment market has four levels: preserving capital, controlling risk, earning returns, and achieving long-term stable profits [1] - The current market sentiment shows a rise in risk appetite, negatively impacting the safe-haven appeal of precious metals like gold [1] Gold Market Analysis Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices continued to decline, following significant sell-off pressure from the previous day, with the market closely monitoring this trend [1] - The U.S. Treasury market is experiencing a mild bull flattening, with yields slightly retreating, injecting cautious optimism into the fixed income sector [1] - The U.S. dollar has shown slight resilience amidst improving risk sentiment, while gold's sharp decline highlights the vulnerability of safe-haven assets under current market signals [1] - The economic calendar is sparse due to government shutdown concerns, with only minor Treasury auctions and repurchase operations supporting liquidity [1] Technical Analysis - Key support levels for gold are around the 4000 mark, which is near the 20-day moving average on the daily chart and the 5-week moving average on the weekly chart [3] - A drop below 4000 could trigger a mid-term adjustment trend, while holding above this level may indicate continued bullish sentiment [3] - Short-term trading strategy suggests focusing on short positions during rebounds, with resistance levels at 4160-4180 and support at 4120-4100 [3] Oil Market Analysis Fundamental Analysis - WTI crude oil prices are fluctuating around $57.55, with market focus shifting towards easing trade concerns and improving inventory changes [4] - Recent signals from the U.S. government indicate a reduction in trade tensions, which has positively influenced market sentiment towards oil [4] - The oil market is expected to remain in a range-bound pattern unless new developments in trade concerns arise [4] Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that oil prices have broken below the lower boundary of a trading range, suggesting a downward trend [5] - The MACD indicator shows bearish momentum, indicating that the mid-term outlook for oil is likely to be a downward trend [5] - Short-term trading strategy recommends focusing on long positions during pullbacks, with resistance at 61.5-62.5 and support at 58.5-57.5 [5]

Group 1 - Gold prices are slightly rising as the market awaits the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, with bullish sentiment prevailing [1] - Oil prices increased by over 3% yesterday, influenced by Trump's intensified pressure on Putin, raising questions about future market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 55% compared to 45% bearish [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bearish sentiment of 68% against 32% bullish [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% versus 45% bearish [3] - The Dow Jones Index has a bearish sentiment of 56% compared to 44% bullish [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bearish sentiment of 59% against 41% bullish [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has a bearish sentiment of 71% compared to 29% bullish [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 55% against 45% bearish [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a strong bearish sentiment of 74% compared to 26% bullish [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 83% against 17% bullish [3] - The Euro/AUD pair reflects a bearish sentiment of 75% compared to 25% bullish [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 73% against 27% bullish [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a bearish sentiment of 70% compared to 30% bullish [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 74% against 26% bullish [3] - The USD/CAD pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 55% compared to 45% bearish [3] - The USD/CHF pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 87% against 13% bearish [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 64% compared to 36% bullish [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a bearish sentiment of 70% against 30% bullish [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 58% compared to 42% bullish [4] - The NZD/USD pair reflects a strong bullish sentiment of 70% against 30% bearish [4] - The NZD/JPY pair shows a bearish sentiment of 63% compared to 37% bullish [4] - The USD/CNH pair has a strong bullish sentiment of 75% against 25% bearish [4]

Group 1 - International gold prices remain high, with bullish sentiment increasing, currently at approximately 70% [1] - Oil prices rose by about 1.5% yesterday, although upward momentum has slightly weakened [1] Group 2 - Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 35% and bearish sentiment of 65% [3] - S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 20% and bearish sentiment of 80% [3] - Nasdaq Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 77% and a bearish sentiment of 23% [3] - Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 35% and bearish sentiment of 65% [3] - Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 53% and bearish sentiment of 47% [3] - German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] Group 3 - Euro/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [4] - Euro/GBP currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 77% and bearish sentiment of 23% [4] - Euro/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - Euro/AUD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [4] - GBP/USD currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [4] - GBP/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [4] - USD/JPY currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [4] - USD/CAD currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - USD/CHF currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 17% and bearish sentiment of 83% [4] Group 4 - AUD/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 39% and bearish sentiment of 61% [4] - AUD/JPY currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 33% and bearish sentiment of 67% [4] - CAD/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 65% and bearish sentiment of 35% [4] - NZD/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 47% and bearish sentiment of 53% [4] - NZD/JPY currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 67% and bearish sentiment of 33% [4] - USD/CNH currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 23% and bearish sentiment of 77% [4]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - After two weeks of weak oscillations, both soybean meal and rapeseed meal stopped falling and rebounded. The increase in the oil mill operating rate and the expected increase in supply have been fully factored into the market. Concerns about potential production cuts in Argentina due to heavy rain and the possible delay of the sowing progress in the US Midwest due to heavy rain on the 20th have boosted market sentiment. Additionally, the forecast of dry weather during the US soybean growing season has attracted long - position funds, adding a weather premium to the market [4][7]. - The expected production cut in Argentina due to storms and the short - term heavy rain in the US soybean - growing areas have limited impacts. Attention should be paid to the weather changes during the growing season, and the US soybean market is in a volatile range. With the increase in the oil mill operating rate, the supply is increasing, putting pressure on the spot prices, which continue to decline. However, the long - position sentiment in the futures market has improved, strengthening the support at the lower level. Overall, after the rebound, both soybean meal and rapeseed meal may fluctuate in the short term [4][11]. Summary by Directory Market Data - The CBOT soybean July contract rose 9.75 to 1060.75 cents per bushel, a 0.93% increase. The DCE soybean meal 09 contract rose 53 to 2952 yuan per ton, an 1.83% increase. The South China soybean meal spot price fell 120 to 2940 yuan per ton, a 3.92% decrease. The CZCE rapeseed meal 09 contract rose 43 to 2556 yuan per ton, a 1.71% increase. The Guangxi rapeseed meal spot price rose 60 to 2430 yuan per ton, a 2.53% increase [4][5][7]. - The CNF import price of Brazilian soybeans increased by 12 to 446 dollars per ton, a 2.76% increase, and that of US Gulf soybeans increased by 6 to 463 dollars per ton, a 1.31% increase. The Brazilian soybean crushing profit on the futures market decreased by 40.6 to 43.13 yuan per ton [5]. Market Analysis and Outlook - As of the week of May 18, 2025, the US soybean planting progress was 66%, higher than the market expectation of 65%, and the emergence rate was 34%. As of the week of May 20, about 16% of the US soybean - growing areas were affected by drought [8]. - As of the week of May 15, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 21.8 tons, lower than the market expectation. The net export sales of US soybeans in the current market year increased by 30.8 tons. China did not purchase US soybeans that week, and the cumulative purchase volume in the current year was 2248 tons [8][9]. - As of the week of May 16, 2025, the US soybean crushing profit was 1.94 dollars per bushel. The 2024/2025 Brazilian soybean harvest progress was 98.9%, and the Argentine soybean harvest progress was 74.3% [9][10]. - As of the week of May 16, 2025, the main oil mills' soybean inventory was 586.83 tons, an increase of 51.92 tons from the previous week, and the national port soybean inventory was 683.6 tons, an increase of 60.2 tons from the previous week. The oil mills' soybean meal inventory was 12.17 tons, an increase of 2.05 tons from the previous week [10]. - As of the week of May 23, 2025, the national daily average soybean meal trading volume was 39.344 tons, and the daily average pick - up volume was 17.934 tons. The main oil mills' crushing volume was 220.93 tons, and the feed enterprises' soybean meal inventory days were 5.73 days [10]. Industry News - Brazil exported 7,836,693.24 tons of soybeans in the first three weeks of May, with a daily average export volume 11.34% higher than that of May last year [12]. - Brazil's 2024/25 soybean production forecast was adjusted to 1.697 billion tons, the soybean export volume forecast was slightly reduced to 1.082 billion tons, and the soybean crushing volume forecast was 57.5 million tons [12][13]. - Due to recent storms, the 2024/25 soybean crop in Buenos Aires Province, Argentina, may suffer "significant losses", and there are still 730,000 hectares of soybean crops not harvested [14]. - A commodity research institution maintained the forecast of the US 2025/26 soybean production at 117 million tons, but the long - term summer weather outlook is not optimistic, and the soil moisture in the central soybean belt is a major risk factor [15]. - The US government plans to grant 163 small refineries exemptions, which may reduce the actual mandatory blending volume of US biodiesel and cause a nearly 5 - million - ton decline in the US oil industry's consumption [16]. Related Charts - The report provides multiple charts, including the trend of the US soybean continuous contract, the CNF arrival price of Brazilian soybeans, the freight rate, the RMB spot exchange rate trend, the regional crushing profit, the soybean meal main contract trend, the spot - futures price difference, the management fund's CBOT net position, the regional soybean meal spot price, the soybean meal M 9 - 1 inter - month price difference, the US soybean - growing area precipitation and temperature, the Argentine soybean harvest progress, the US soybean's cumulative export sales volume to the world and China, the US soybean's weekly net sales volume and export volume, the US oil mill's crushing profit, the soybean meal's weekly average daily trading volume and pick - up volume, the port and oil mill soybean inventory, the oil mill's weekly crushing volume and operating rate, and the oil mill's soybean meal inventory and feed enterprises' soybean meal inventory days [17][19][22][23]

Group 1 - Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, which has led to a renewed boost for gold prices, approaching $3250 per ounce [1] - The sentiment in the US stock market is mixed, with varying reactions across major indices [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has 26% bullish and 74% bearish sentiment [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects 17% bullish and 83% bearish sentiment [3] - The Dow Jones Index has 36% bullish and 64% bearish sentiment [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows 64% bullish and 36% bearish sentiment [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has 16% bullish and 84% bearish sentiment [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has 39% bullish and 61% bearish sentiment [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows 83% bullish and 17% bearish sentiment [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has 59% bullish and 41% bearish sentiment [3] - The Euro/AUD pair reflects 29% bullish and 71% bearish sentiment [3] - The GBP/USD pair shows 25% bullish and 75% bearish sentiment [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has 56% bullish and 44% bearish sentiment [3] - The USD/JPY pair reflects 51% bullish and 49% bearish sentiment [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows 36% bullish and 64% bearish sentiment [3] - The USD/CHF pair has 86% bullish and 14% bearish sentiment [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair shows 23% bullish and 77% bearish sentiment [4] - The AUD/JPY pair has 64% bullish and 36% bearish sentiment [4] - The CAD/JPY pair reflects 70% bullish and 30% bearish sentiment [4] - The NZD/USD pair shows 65% bullish and 35% bearish sentiment [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has 32% bullish and 68% bearish sentiment [4] - The USD/CNH pair reflects 42% bullish and 58% bearish sentiment [4]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is approaching, leading to heightened bullish sentiment in the gold market [1] - There is speculation on whether gold prices can break through previous resistance levels during the U.S. trading session [1]

Group 1 - Spot gold prices approached $3200 before rebounding to $3250, indicating a slight increase in bearish sentiment [1] - OPEC's April crude oil production decreased rather than increased, leading to over 1% gains in both WTI and Brent crude oil prices [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% compared to 18% bearish [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 23% and bearish sentiment of 77% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 40% and bearish sentiment of 60% [3] - The Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 45% and bearish sentiment of 55% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 59% and bearish sentiment of 41% [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 26% and bearish sentiment of 74% [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a near-even sentiment with 49% bullish and 51% bearish [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 69% against 31% bearish [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a significant bearish sentiment of 90% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair shows a bearish sentiment of 87% [4] - The GBP/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 76% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 60% [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a strong bullish sentiment of 79% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a very strong bullish sentiment of 89% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 69% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a near-even sentiment with 47% bullish and 53% bearish [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 57% [4] - The NZD/USD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 56% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has a strong bullish sentiment of 67% [4] - The USD/CNH pair shows a very strong bullish sentiment of 86% [4]