【导读】现货黄金攻破3800美元/盎司关口，续刷历史新高 9月29日，现货黄金首次升穿3800美元/盎司，再创历史纪录。 截至记者发稿，现货黄金报3807.319美元/盎司，日内涨1.29%。 自9月25日起，现货黄金一路冲高，在迅速冲破3770美元、3780美元、3790美元三个关口后，向上触及 3800美元/盎司，续刷历史新高，年内累计上涨超45%。 纽约期金站上3830美元/盎司，亦续刷历史新高。截至发稿报3833.9美元/盎司，日内涨0.65%。 市场认为，因投资者对美联储今年将进一步降息的预期持续升温，同时美元走软，为金价提供了额外支 撑。 根据CME美联储观察的数据，交易员目前预计美联储10月份降息的可能性为89.3%，12月份降息的可能 性约为66.6%。 苏克敦金融研究团队评论称，这些数据展现出通胀趋稳的态势，并强化了市场对美联储进一步放宽货币 政策的预期。 FXStreet分析称，黄金日内交易维持积极态势。从长期看，黄金看涨基调依然完好，日线图价格稳守 100日均线关键位，但14日相对强弱指数（RSI）显示超买状态。这表明在启动新一轮短期上涨前，不 排除出现技术整理或阶段性回调的可能。 A股 ...

智通财经APP获悉，瑞银财富管理亚太区投资总监办公室发表报告指，金价或有进一步的上涨空间，到 2026年中，金价或将达到每盎司3900美元。该行预计黄金有望继续受益于实际利率下降、美元走软以及 投资需求在地缘政治风险持续下保持强劲。 瑞银财富管理表示，在美联储可能进一步宽松政策和通胀仍然高企的情况下，美国实际利率有望进一步 下降，利好黄金。尽管最近几周中国对黄金的投资需求因其国内股市上涨而疲软，但随着金价持续上 涨，该行预计中国黄金ETF持仓量或将恢复。 该行同时预计，美联储或在2026年一季度前再降息75个基点，且美国经济不会陷入衰退。在亚洲，额外 货币和财政支持措施正陆续出台，科技供应链继续受益于AI需求，预计随着人民币回升以及出口商将 大量美元收入汇回本国，亚洲货币有望进一步走强。 瑞银财富管理预计，由于美联储潜在降息幅度大于其他央行，以及人民币有望回升，亚洲货币在未来12 个月兑美元或平均升值4%。投资者应考虑对冲投资组合中的美元敞口，并分散投资于澳元和欧元等其 他货币。 对于中国股市，该行认为，涨势尚未达到巅峰，随着家庭大量额外储蓄逐渐流入市场，机器人等创新板 块的估值可能继续重估，中国科技股仍是该 ...

【市场要闻速递】 受美国降息预期和美元走软支撑，金价在触及纪录高位后持稳，投资者等待美联储主席鲍威尔发表讲 话，以寻求进一步的政策暗示。黄金短期趋势仍维持看涨，但从盘中来看，预计短期回调更多是受技术 因素影响。经济增长放缓、通胀上升、地缘政治格局变化以及美元走软，将使黄金投资需求保持强劲。 只要黄金发光，投资需求也将继续推动银价上涨。 全球最大黄金etf--iSharesSilverTrust持仓报告显示，9月19日黄金etf持有量为1000.57吨，较上一交易日增 加6.01吨。周一(9月22日)截止收盘，现货黄金报3746.36美元/盎司，涨幅1.68%，日内最高上探至 3748.65美元/盎司，最低触3682.79美元/盎司。 摘要全球最大黄金etf--iSharesSilverTrust持仓报告显示，9月19日黄金etf持有量为1000.57吨，较上一交易 日增加6.01吨。周一(9月22日)截止收盘，现货黄金报3746.36美元/盎司，涨幅1.68%，日内最高上探至 3748.65美元/盎司，最低触3682.79美元/盎司。 ...

今日周二(9月23日)亚盘时段，国际白银目前交投于43.85一线下方，今日开盘于44.00美元/盎司，截至发稿，国际白银 暂报43.77美元/盎司，下跌0.64%，最高触及44.09美元/盎司，最低下探43.74美元/盎司，目前来看，国际白银盘内短线 偏向看跌走势。 本周，美联储主席鲍威尔周二的讲话和周五的核心PCE通胀数据将成为关键验证点。若鲍威尔释放温和信号或PCE数据 表现疲软，无疑将为这把"降息预期之火"再添干柴，进一步推动银价。 【最新国际白银行情解析】 在上周五国际白银从10日移动均线和上升通道中心线汇合处反弹后，看涨延续，上周五收盘接近高点，激发了新的动 能。周一国际白银延续了这一模式，银价接近盘中高点。这种类型的跟进往往是持续需求的标志，表明未来可能会有 进一步的短期收益。 从4月份的摆动低点形成的第二个平行通道，目前正在其上边界接受测试。在突破该阻力线时，将进一步确认国际白银 的强劲，这将加强额外上行的可能性。 【要闻速递】 上周美联储降息25个基点，开启了自去年12月以来的新一轮宽松周期，这本身就是一个强烈的信号。然而，市场真正 的兴奋点在于"未来还有更多"。 美联储内部的"鸽派"呐喊尤为 ...

Group 1 - LME copper prices fell on September 22, 2023, due to rising inventories and a weak global economy, although Chinese consumers' restocking and a softening dollar limited the decline [1][4] - As of September 22, LME three-month copper closed at $9,972.50 per ton, down $16.50 or 0.17% from the previous session [2] - Year-to-date, LME copper has increased by 14%, but has retreated from a 15-month high of $10,192.50 reached last week [4] Group 2 - Shanghai Futures Exchange reported a 12.5% increase in copper inventories, reaching 105,814 tons, the highest level since early June [4] - LME copper inventories have surged by 56% over the past three months [4] - Factors supporting copper prices include restocking by Chinese consumers ahead of the National Day holiday and a slight weakening of the dollar, making dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for buyers using other currencies [5][6] Group 3 - The Grasberg copper mine in Indonesia, one of the largest copper mines globally, has been under production suspension since an accident in early September, providing additional support for copper prices [6] - Marex reported that short covering and other factors are driving zinc prices higher [7] - LME zinc inventories have been declining, leading to a rise in spot zinc prices, which reached a premium of $51 per ton over three-month zinc, the highest level since October 2024 [8] Group 4 - The International Aluminium Institute (IAI) reported that global primary aluminum production in August was 6.277 million tons, with a daily average production of 202,500 tons [9]

Group 1 - Recent gold price surge driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and geopolitical tensions, with prices briefly surpassing $3700, marking a historical high [1] - Investors are taking profits ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision, leading to a price correction, making the upcoming rate decision and Powell's speech critical for gold price direction [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that on the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices operating below the upper band, while MACD shows a bullish crossover and RSI indicates an overbought condition, suggesting a potential pullback [2] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are slowing down, with prices above the middle band, MACD showing a bearish crossover, and RSI indicating a pullback from overbought levels [2] - The 1-hour chart shows a slowing Bollinger Band, with prices above the middle band, MACD indicating a bullish crossover, and RSI suggesting a rebound from oversold conditions, indicating a potential for a strong price increase [2] Group 3 - For bullish positions, aggressive traders should consider entering near the support level of $3350/oz, while conservative traders may wait for a stabilization around $3300/oz before entering [3] - For bearish positions, aggressive traders should look to sell near the resistance level of $3700/oz, while conservative traders may wait for a confirmation around $3750/oz [3] - Recommendations for various gold trading instruments include: - Shanghai gold futures showing strong overall trends but currently in a correction, with support around 830-832 CNY/g, targeting 840 CNY/g [3] - Relying on international gold prices, with support for Rontong gold at 825-828 CNY/g [3] - Accumulating Jicun gold at 825-828 CNY/g for long-term holding [3] - Gold T+D trading strategy suggests buying near support at 828-830 CNY/g and targeting resistance at 840 CNY/g [3]

自8月20日启动的这轮上涨一度将金价推至每盎司3702.93美元的历史新高，确认了图表上主导的看涨倾 向。但周三亚市时段出现回落迹象，暗示这轮长期涨势中可能出现阶段性停顿。通常来说，价格维持在 高点附近，短期技术性回调难以避免。日线相对强弱指数（RSI）持续位于70上方，坚定处于超买区 域，该读数凸显买盘动能亢奋。MACD柱状图仍处于零轴上方，但已开始呈现逐渐缩小的柱线，表明短 期看涨动能正在减弱，这预示未来几个交易日内可能需要经过一个整理的过程，再重新回到上涨趋势 上。 周三（9月17日）现货黄金在连续三个交易日上涨以后迎来小幅回落，本周交易开始以来，黄金的看涨 动能已推动价格短期上涨1.7%，短期的技术回调不影响总体看涨趋势。随着美联储利率决议临近，持 续数周的稳定买盘压力依然坚挺，只要市场对美联储降息的预期持续压制美元，黄金在后续交易中大概 率将保持上行主导趋势，金价周二触及历史高位至3702.93美元/盎司，因市场押注美联储本周降息，推 动金价在避险需求、各国央行买盘及美元走软的助力下持续上涨，金价周二首次突破每盎司3700美元， 因市场押注美联储本周降息，推动金价在避险需求、各国央行买盘及美元走软的 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the continuous surge in gold prices, with spot gold surpassing $3690 per ounce and reaching historical highs, driven by a weakening dollar and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2][3] - The recent rally in gold prices began on August 20, with a cumulative increase of approximately 40% this year, significantly outperforming the expected 27% rise in 2024 [2][3] - Various factors contributing to the rise in gold prices include expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, a softening dollar, increased gold purchases by global central banks, and heightened geopolitical uncertainties [2][3] Group 2 - The price of gold jewelry has surged, with major brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Feng Xiang seeing prices exceed 1080 yuan per gram, reflecting the rising gold prices [4] - Analysts suggest that the current gold market presents a unique investment opportunity, as gold serves as a hedge against inflation and geopolitical uncertainties [4][5] - Despite the strong upward trend, some analysts warn that gold is currently in an overbought territory and may face short-term correction risks, although the long-term bullish outlook remains intact [5] Group 3 - The demand for gold investment products, particularly gold ETFs, has seen a significant increase, with global gold ETF net purchases reaching 473.1 tons in 2025, marking the first annual net inflow since 2021 [5] - The increase in gold holdings by central banks, including a reported 166 tons increase in global official gold reserves by the second quarter of 2025, indicates a strong institutional interest in gold [3][5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold prices are supported by a weakening US dollar, declining US Treasury yields, and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, maintaining a strong position [1] - Technical analysis shows that on the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices near the upper band, and the MACD indicator is in a bullish crossover while the RSI is in an overbought state, suggesting a potential pullback [1] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with gold prices below the upper band, and the MACD is showing a narrowing bullish crossover, while the RSI indicates a pullback from overbought conditions [1] Group 2 - For future trading strategies, aggressive traders can consider buying near the support level of $3350 per ounce, while conservative traders may wait for a more stable support at $3300 per ounce [3] - For short positions, aggressive traders can look to sell near the resistance level of $3700 per ounce, while conservative traders may consider selling at $3750 per ounce [3] - Specific recommendations for various gold trading instruments include buying opportunities in Shanghai gold futures if prices pull back to 830-831 CNY per gram, and similar strategies for other gold products based on their respective price levels [3]

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged, reaching over $43 per troy ounce, the highest level since 2011, in line with strong gold price trends [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Recent precious metal price increases are attributed to a weakening US dollar, with market expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve and further easing by year-end [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties and continued inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have also contributed to the rising demand for silver [1] Group 2: Demand Drivers - Over half of global silver consumption is driven by industries such as solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, indicating a strong industrial demand for silver [1]