Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market, particularly gold, is experiencing significant price increases, reaching historical highs due to various economic factors and geopolitical risks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 11, gold futures prices have seen a notable rise, attracting over 100 billion yuan in capital, with an increase of more than 17 billion yuan since the beginning of September [1] - The market's positive sentiment towards gold is supported by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and concerns regarding its independence [1] Group 2: Long-term Outlook - There is a declining confidence in dollar assets among investors, which, along with ongoing geopolitical risks and a trend of global central banks increasing their gold reserves, is likely to further drive up gold prices [1]

Price Stability in Domestic Gold Market - Domestic gold prices remain stable, with slight declines observed in some stores. For instance, Chow Sang Sang's gold price decreased by 1 yuan per gram, now priced at 1073 yuan per gram, which is among the highest in the market [1] - Shanghai China Gold maintains the lowest price at 999 yuan per gram, with the price difference between the highest and lowest stores narrowing to 74 yuan [1] Gold Price Overview - The latest gold prices from various brands are as follows: - Lao Miao Gold: 1071 yuan per gram (down 2) - Chow Tai Fook: 1073 yuan per gram (no change) - Zhou Liufu: 1038 yuan per gram (no change) [1][3] - Platinum prices have seen a decline, with Chow Tai Fook's platinum jewelry dropping by 7 yuan per gram to 554 yuan per gram [4] Gold Recycling Prices - Today's gold recycling prices show a slight decrease of 1.7 yuan per gram. The recycling prices from different brands are as follows: - Cai Bai Gold: 824.30 yuan per gram - Chow Sang Sang: 816.60 yuan per gram - Zhou Dafu: 822.90 yuan per gram - Lao Fengxiang: 831.80 yuan per gram [4] International Gold Market Dynamics - The international gold market experienced fluctuations, with spot gold reaching a historical high of 3673.55 USD per ounce before closing at 3625.04 USD per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.30% [7] - Recent geopolitical tensions, including an Israeli airstrike in Qatar, have heightened market risk aversion, contributing to gold price increases. However, the situation is deemed manageable, leading to a reduction in risk aversion [7] - The significant downward revision of U.S. non-farm employment data has raised expectations for interest rate cuts, further stimulating gold prices [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold jewelry sales are expected to perform well in 2025 due to a stable gold price and low base effects, despite overall consumption weight remaining low [1][2] - The average gold jewelry consumption weight in China from 2013 to 2023 was 671.6 tons, with a projected decline to 532.0 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year decrease of 24.7% [2] - For 2025, the forecasted gold jewelry consumption weight ranges from 396.3 to 527.3 tons, which corresponds to a year-on-year decrease of 25.5% to 0.9%, approximately 59.0% to 78.5% of the average consumption weight from 2013 to 2023 [2] Group 2 - The average gold price in 2025 is expected to be around 749.1 yuan per gram, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.4% [2] - Despite the decline in consumption weight, the sales revenue for gold jewelry in 2025 is projected to show positive growth, ranging from 0.1% to 33.2% [2] - Companies are focusing on enhancing product value through design and branding, capitalizing on trends towards high-end and lightweight products, and exploring online and overseas business opportunities for growth [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The investment market has four levels: preserving capital, controlling risk, earning returns, and achieving long-term stable profits [1] - Recent data from the U.S. Commerce Department showed that the PCE price index rose by 0.2% month-on-month in July, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, indicating steady consumer spending but rising inflationary pressures [1][2] - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data is expected to show an addition of 75,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate potentially rising to 4.3%, which could influence interest rate expectations and gold prices [2][5] Group 2: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently experiencing a "slow but solid" upward trend, with key support at 3,423 and potential resistance at 3,470-3,480 [4][6] - The technical analysis indicates that gold's upward momentum remains strong, and traders are advised to focus on buying on dips [4][7] - The core PCE inflation data has sparked discussions about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, which could impact gold prices in the near term [1][2] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has seen increased volatility, with Brent crude and WTI prices closing at $67.63 and $64.32 per barrel, respectively, influenced by various factors including demand expectations and geopolitical tensions [5][6] - The upcoming OPEC+ meeting is expected to confirm plans to increase production by 547,000 barrels per day, which may further affect oil prices [6][7] - Technical analysis suggests that Brent crude faces key support at $60 per barrel, with potential downside risks if this level is breached [6][7]

Group 1 - The international gold price rebounded strongly after reaching the bullish support level and the 5-day moving average support, driven by market reactions to the Federal Reserve's independence threats and potential interest rate cuts [1][3] - The gold price opened at $3,398.17 per ounce, dipped to a low of $3,384.45, and then rose to a high of $3,422.69, closing at $3,416.65 with a daily fluctuation of $38.24, marking a gain of $18.48 or 0.54% [3] - The market outlook for gold remains bullish, with expectations of further upward movement towards the resistance target of $3,348, despite some short-term pullback [3] Group 2 - The short-term moving averages (5-10 days) are aligned bullishly, indicating strong support from various moving averages below, suggesting a preference for low long positions [3] - The potential for a bearish reversal pattern exists, but the overall trend remains upward as long as the price does not break below key moving average supports [3]

Group 1: Domestic Gold Market - Domestic gold prices remain stable, with some brands experiencing price increases. Lao Feng Xiang's gold price rose by 2 yuan per gram to 1012 yuan per gram, marking the highest price among gold stores. Shanghai China Gold maintains the lowest price at 969 yuan per gram, resulting in a price difference of 43 yuan per gram between the highest and lowest priced stores [1] - The latest gold prices from various brands on August 26, 2025, show Lao Miao at 1010 yuan per gram (up 3), Liu Fu at 1009 yuan per gram (no change), and Zhou Da Fu at 1009 yuan per gram (no change). Zhou Sheng Sheng's price is 1011 yuan per gram (up 1), while Shanghai China Gold remains at 969 yuan per gram (no change) [1] - Platinum prices are declining, with Zhou Sheng Sheng's platinum jewelry price dropping by 4 yuan per gram to 548 yuan per gram [1] Group 2: Gold Recycling Prices - Today's gold recycling price increased by 1.2 yuan per gram, with significant price differences among brands. The recycling price for gold is 767.10 yuan per gram, while Lao Feng Xiang's recycling price is the highest at 779.90 yuan per gram [2] Group 3: International Gold Market - The spot gold price experienced slight fluctuations, closing at 3365.95 USD per ounce, down 0.17%. As of the latest update, the price has risen to 3375.99 USD per ounce, reflecting a 0.30% increase [4] - Market concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve, following President Trump's dismissal of a board member, have contributed to a rise in gold prices, which reached a high of 3386.27 USD per ounce [4] - Geopolitical tensions, including Iran's plans to reduce uranium enrichment and ongoing issues in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are influencing gold price movements. Upcoming U.S. economic data releases may also impact gold prices [4]

上周（8月18日至22日当周）国际金价高位震荡走强。当周现货黄金开盘3337.81美元／盎司，最高触及 3378.75美元／盎司，最低3311.43美元／盎司，报收3371.54美元／盎司，周度上涨35.81美元或1.07%， 周K线收阳。 分析来看，虽然俄乌冲突可能缓和的预期削弱了避险需求，但美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行 年会上的演讲强化市场对9月降息的预期，最终推动金价在上周最后一个交易日大幅拉涨，逆转此前几 个交易日的回落走势。 展望新的一周，金价走势除了继续关注俄乌以及中东等地缘局势影响外，还将重点关注未来美国经济数 据对于降息路径的影响。技术上看，金价接近三角整理尾声，或迎来向上突破契机。 鲍威尔"放鸽"金价大涨 但美联储仍存分歧 上周五（8月22日），美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会发表的讲话，强化了金价的周度涨 势。 上周初，随着市场对美联储9月大幅降息的预期降温，导致美元指数及美债收益率反弹，金价一度承 压，上周三，8月黄金价格一度跌至近三周低点。但随着美联储独立性疑问再起，金价盘中企稳反弹， 收盘逆转跌势。 随着鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会上暗示尽管当前存在通胀上行风险，但美联储仍 ...

Group 1: Domestic Gold Market - Domestic gold prices remain stable, with notable variations among different brands. For instance, Chow Sang Sang's gold price decreased by 1 yuan per gram to 1006 yuan per gram, while Shanghai China Gold saw a significant drop of 11 yuan per gram to 969 yuan per gram, marking it as the lowest-priced store [1][3]. - The price difference between the highest and lowest gold prices among various stores has widened to 37 yuan per gram [1]. - The latest prices for major brands are as follows: Lao Miao Gold at 1002 yuan per gram, Liufuk Gold at 1006 yuan per gram, and Zhou Dafu Gold at 1006 yuan per gram, all showing no change [1][3]. Group 2: Platinum Market - Platinum prices are on the rise, with Chow Sang Sang's platinum jewelry price increasing by 5 yuan per gram to 548 yuan per gram [4]. - The gold recovery price has slightly decreased by 1 yuan per gram, with significant price differences among brands [4]. Group 3: International Gold Market - The spot gold price opened lower, reaching a low of 3325.08 USD per ounce before closing at 3338.33 USD per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.29% [6]. - The drop in gold prices is attributed to the release of the U.S. August PMI data, which reached an 8-month high, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut and leading to a rise in the dollar index [6]. - Despite the decline, the increase in initial jobless claims in the U.S. suggests a slowdown in the labor market, which may limit further declines in gold prices [6]. - Analysts suggest that if Federal Reserve Chair Powell indicates potential rate cuts in the coming months, it could lead to downward pressure on the dollar and support for gold prices [6].

Core Viewpoint - The gold ETF fund (159937) is experiencing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with a recent price of 7.37 yuan and a 12.55% increase over the past six months [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of August 21, 2025, the gold ETF fund has a turnover rate of 1.35% and a trading volume of 3.81 billion yuan [1] - The fund has seen a net inflow of 221.58 million yuan recently, with a total of 81.55 million yuan net inflow over the last 15 trading days [2] - The fund's net asset value has increased by 80.84% over the past five years, ranking it among the top two comparable funds [2] Group 2: Investment Dynamics - UBS forecasts that the upward trend in gold prices may continue for another year, driven by factors such as persistent inflation in the U.S., below-trend economic growth, and a potential resumption of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [1] - Eastern Jin Cheng suggests that unexpected inflation data may lead to a cautious stance from the Federal Reserve, which could pressure gold prices in the short term [1] Group 3: Fund Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past year is 2.40, indicating strong risk-adjusted returns [3] - The fund has a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%, with a tracking error of just 0.002% over the past three months, reflecting high tracking precision [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in international gold prices, highlighting the potential for upward movement despite current resistance levels and market uncertainties [1][6]. Price Movement Analysis - On August 21, gold opened at $3349.54 per ounce, reached a high of $3351.92, and then fell to a low of $3325.24 before closing at $3338.43, marking a daily decline of $11.11 or 0.33% [4][5]. - The price movement was influenced by technical resistance, profit-taking, and positive economic data from the U.S., which limited the rebound potential of gold prices [5][6]. Market Influences - The upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is anticipated to maintain a hawkish tone, which could further strengthen the dollar and limit gold's upward momentum [7]. - Despite the hawkish outlook, there are strong expectations for future rate cuts, which may provide support for gold prices in the longer term [7]. Technical Indicators - Gold prices are currently facing resistance at the 60-day moving average and support at the 100-day moving average, indicating a period of consolidation and potential volatility [11]. - Historical patterns suggest that after a period of adjustment, gold prices may trend upward again, with key support levels identified around $3270 and $3200 [9]. Trading Strategy - The recommended trading strategy is to adopt a bullish stance on gold, focusing on buying opportunities near support levels while monitoring resistance levels for potential sell signals [11].