Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing fluctuations in the gold market during the European trading session and highlights the anticipation surrounding the upcoming ADP data release, which may lead to a market breakthrough [1] Group 1 - The gold market is experiencing continued volatility, indicating uncertainty among investors [1] - The release of ADP data is expected to be a significant event that could influence market movements [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the ADP employment report for June indicates a decrease of 33,000 jobs, contrasting with the forecasted increase of 98,000 jobs and the previous increase of 37,000 jobs [1]

Group 1 - The article highlights the upcoming release of the US ADP employment report for June at 20:15 Beijing time [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. ADP employment figures for June are set to be released shortly, indicating potential shifts in the labor market and economic conditions [1] Group 1 - The upcoming ADP employment report is a key indicator for assessing job growth and economic health in the U.S. [1]

今天晚上开始会陆续公布重要的数据，今晚有小非农ADP数据，而明天有大非农数据，所以这两天的行情波动预计也不会小，但白盘该震荡还是震荡，短线 黄金价格交投3342一线美元，昨天3350大涨接近尾盘，而且将上方空头波段开跌口全部收复！再上去已经是不可能的事情！昨天晚上的高点3358是极限多空 临界点，今天3345直接空！当天多空分水岭我们需要关注3326美元一线，价格如果说将该位置跌破。空头当天南下剑指3300一线甚至有机会跌破！不要犹豫 现在3345直接空进去！空头全部投降了就是真正的大空头来临！综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上贺博生建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重 点关注3357-3367一线阻力，下方短期重点关注3325-3315一线支撑。 原油最新行情趋势分析： 渡己者才能渡人，难熬的不是你每天都在盈利，而是处在逆境时如何解决，人的意志会随着时间的流逝、客观事物的影响而动摇，顺境时要内求，自知者才 能明智，才能走向更高点，逆境时更要内求，强大自己才能克敌制胜！一切外在的根，都源自于我们的内在！我们无法改变客观事物的不确定性，但只有从 始而终去遵循客观事物的规律，才能走的更远！而所谓的规律其实就是 ...

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Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is expected to experience significant fluctuations this week due to geopolitical developments and upcoming non-farm payroll data, with a focus on comments from central bank leaders, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell [1] - Gold prices initially fell but later rose, confirming a key signal with a double bottom at 3245, and a potential test of a double top at 3455 in July [1] - A bullish trend has been established as gold broke above 3300, with targets set at 3370 and 3400, supported by technical indicators showing a clear upward trend [1] Group 2: Employment Data and Economic Indicators - If ADP and non-farm employment data remain weak, coupled with dovish comments from Powell, the dollar is likely to remain under pressure, providing support for gold [3] - Concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit and rising long-term inflation fears may allow gold to challenge levels above 3450 and potentially reach 3499 [3] Group 3: Domestic Gold Trends - Domestic gold prices have shown significant downward movement, but the long-term bullish trend remains intact, with expectations of a rebound [4] - The focus for domestic gold is on the support level at 755, with potential buying opportunities if prices stabilize above 760 [5] Group 4: Silver Market Analysis - The potential for deeper interest rate cuts by the Fed, along with U.S. fiscal and trade tensions, is expected to support the entire metals sector [7] - Silver prices opened at 36.089, experienced a drop to 35.783, and then rallied to close at 36.015, indicating a possible bullish reversal if the price breaks above 36.84 [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rising value of gold due to a weakening dollar, increasing uncertainty around U.S. trade agreements, and heightened expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][3] - Gold prices reached a three-day high of 3357.88, driven by global economic uncertainties and the market's anticipation of at least two rate cuts by 2025 [1] - The upcoming U.S. employment report is expected to influence U.S. Treasury yields, with potential implications for gold prices [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates a bullish short-term trend for gold, with MACD showing a bottom divergence and prices moving above previous resistance levels [3] - The suggested trading strategy includes buying gold on dips around the 3330-3335 range, with a stop loss at 3327 and a target of 3350-3360 [4] - Market participants are advised to monitor geopolitical risks that may drive safe-haven demand for gold [3]

Group 1 - COMEX silver inventory recorded at 15,542.26 tons on June 30, with an increase of 18.8 tons from the previous day [1][2] - COMEX silver price closed at $36.33 per ounce on June 30, up 0.46%, with a daily high of $35.59 and a low of $36.33 [1][2] Group 2 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet expressed confidence in the progress of a significant bill aimed at comprehensive tax reform, which passed the Senate with a narrow margin [2] - The bill may lead to a substantial increase in the fiscal deficit by $3.8 trillion, potentially weakening the dollar and boosting demand for precious metals [2] - Anticipated easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve in 2025, exceeding 60 basis points, is expected to support gold prices during periods of low interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report provides a weekly preview of key economic data releases and events, and analyzes their potential impacts on the futures market. Different economic indicators and events may have various effects on different types of futures, such as industrial product futures, stock index futures, bond futures, and precious metal futures. For example, if certain manufacturing PMI data is higher than the previous value, it may slightly boost the prices of industrial product futures and stock index futures but suppress bond futures [3][11][17]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs This Week's Key Focus - On June 30 at 09:30, China's June official manufacturing PMI, non - manufacturing PMI, and composite PMI will be released [2][3]. - On July 1 at 09:45, Markit will announce China's June Caixin manufacturing PMI [2][11]. - On July 1 at 22:00, the US ISM will release the US June ISM manufacturing PMI [2][17]. - On July 2 at 20:15, the US ADP will announce the June ADP employment change [2][19]. - On July 3 at 20:30, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the June non - farm payroll report [2][22]. - Also, pay attention to domestic macro - policy changes, international trade and tariff wars, international geopolitical situations, and speeches by US President Trump and Fed officials [2]. This Week's Hotspot Preview June 30 - China's June official manufacturing PMI is expected to be 49.7 (previous 49.5), and non - manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.3 (previous 50.3). A slight increase in manufacturing PMI may slightly boost industrial product and stock index futures but suppress bond futures [3]. - Germany's June CPI annual rate initial value is expected to be 2.2% (previous 2.1%) [5]. - The US June Chicago PMI is expected to be 43 (previous 40.5) [8]. - The European Central Bank will hold a central bank forum in Sintra from June 30 to July 2 [9]. July 1 - The USDA will release the quarterly inventory report and planting intention report at 00:00, which may affect agricultural product futures [10]. - China's June Caixin manufacturing PMI is expected to be 49 (previous 48.3). A slight increase may slightly boost industrial product and stock index futures but suppress bond futures [11]. - Germany's May real retail sales monthly rate is expected to be 0% (previous - 1.2%) [12]. - Germany's June seasonally - adjusted unemployment rate is expected to be 6.4% (previous 6.3%), and the number of unemployed is expected to increase by 15,000 (previous 34,000) [13]. - The eurozone's June harmonized CPI annual rate un - seasonally - adjusted initial value is expected to be 2.0% (previous 1.9%), and the core harmonized CPI annual rate un - seasonally - adjusted initial value is expected to be 2.3% (previous 2.4%) [14]. - Germany's June CPI annual rate initial value is expected to be 2.3% (previous 2.4%) [15]. - Global Western central bank governors will have a panel discussion at 21:30 [16]. - The US June ISM manufacturing PMI is expected to be 48.8 (previous 48.5). A slight increase may slightly boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related futures but suppress gold and silver futures [17]. July 2 - The eurozone's May unemployment rate is expected to be 6.2% (previous 6.2%) [18]. - The US June ADP new employment is expected to be 85,000 (previous 37,000). An increase may boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures but suppress gold and silver futures [19]. - The US EIA will announce the change in crude oil inventory for the week ending June 27. A continued decline may boost crude oil and related commodity futures [20]. July 3 - China's June Caixin services PMI is expected to be 51.5 (previous 51.1) [21]. - The US June seasonally - adjusted new non - farm employment is expected to be 110,000 (previous 139,000), the unemployment rate is expected to be 4.3% (previous 4.2%), and the average hourly wage annual rate is expected to be 3.9% (previous 3.9%). A significant decrease in new non - farm employment and a slight decrease in the unemployment rate may boost gold and silver futures but suppress other industrial product futures [22]. - The US initial jobless claims for the week ending June 29 are expected to be 240,000 (previous 236,000) [23]. - The US May factory orders monthly rate is expected to be 8% (previous - 0.37%). A significant increase may boost non - ferrous metals, crude oil, and related commodity futures but suppress gold and silver futures [25]. - The US June ISM non - manufacturing PMI is expected to be 50.5 (previous 49.9). A slight increase may slightly suppress gold and silver futures [26]. July 4 - The National Bureau of Statistics will release the market prices of important production materials in circulation in late June, covering 9 categories and 50 products [27]. July 6 - OPEC + eight member countries will hold a meeting to decide the production policy for August, which may affect related commodity futures [28].